1/16/2015 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 190 points (+1.10%) and the Nasdaq up 63 points (+1.39%).

The stock market continues to perform exactly as forecasted. If you would like to find our what happens next, please Click Here. In the meantime, a number of things to consider over the weekend.

• Marc Faber Sees S&P 500 Hitting 2,500 Before a Collapse

Marc’s fundamental view of our current economic environment is right on the mark. I couldn’t agree more. Unfortunately, his timing has been terrible over the last few years. As a result of predicting a massive bear market since about 2011. Has he thrown in the towel?

Not by a long shot, but his timing and his ultimate S&P target might backfire…..once again. In terms of timing and missing a large down move. When perma bears such as Marc Faber suggest that the market is about to surge higher, the maximum bearish pain threshold is hit and the time might be right to go short. That is too say, don’t wait for 2,500.

• Swiss franc’s ‘unprecedented’ surge causes 2 brokerage firms to become insolvent

• Largest Retail FX Broker Stock Crashes 90% As Swiss Contagion Spreads

By now everyone should be familiar with what the Swiss did with their Swiss Franc, its impact on currency/financial markets and complete devastation they have caused throughout FX industry. As a result, everyone from Goldman Sachs to a typical day trading grandmother suffered massive losses.

There are two simple lessons here. 

First, don’t try to be on the same side of the trade as everybody else. It rarely pays. On the contrary, the probability of it blowing up in your face is typically high. Just as we saw. Second, don’t use leverage. Countless speculators, including 2-5 large FX brokers were literally wiped out. I am sure we haven’t yet heard about all the damage the move caused. In many cases capital that took years and even decades to accumulate, was destroyed in a matter of minutes. In other words, don’t leverage up 1:100 and expect good things to happen. Sooner or later you will get destroyed.

• How to defend your money from the emerging bear market

A good overall look at why smart investors should anticipate a bear market sooner rather than later. An article definitely worth your time. Think about it in the following fashion. Those who outright dismiss even the slightest possibility of a bear market, despite a 5.5 year bull market cycle, might soon find themselves with large losses. Just as they did in 2008. Yet, those who a smart enough to prepare will be able to avoid losses and even profit.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 16th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

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Weekly Update: Marc Faber, FX Bloodbath & Upcoming Bear Market Google

1/15/2015 – Another down day with the Dow Jones down 103 points (-0.59%) and the Nasdaq down 69 points (-1.48%). 

I thought I have heard every bullish argument until I have heard this. Get this, despite the Dow being up 8.17% and the Nasdaq being up 14% in 2014, apparently we had a “stealth correction” during the year. Better yet, because of this stealth correction the stock market is about to push much higher. Just as it did after 1994. The stealth correction investors missed

“Looking back at 2014, what was overlooked—and what was glaring to us—is that the S&P 500 had this great year but most stocks didn’t have as great of a year. This is the stealth bear market we are talking about. Your average median stock, specifically the small and mid-caps, had a much more sideways year. Yet if history is a guide, that may be the prelude to a great 2015 for stocks all around.”

“This is actually very reminiscent of the behavior we saw in 1994 where there was a similar ‘stealth bear market’ in a lot of small- and mid-cap stocks,” he said. “Back in ’94, small caps underperformed for most of the year. And then something important happened late in the year—there was a divergence in activity where the small caps fell to a new 52-week low and the S&P 500 did not. There was a subsequent reversal and that really helped stage the next leg of the advance.” -Oppenheimer & Co.

Nice try, even North Korea would be proud of the nonsense above.  There are multiple problems here.  First, we had a real correction in 1994 where the Dow declined 12% top to bottom. Second, we had a strong positive year in 2014 that had nothing to do with 1994. Cyclically or otherwise. Finally and most importantly, 1994 marked the beginning of the final 5-year bull market blow off cyclical run in the overall 1982-2000 secular bull market. Today, we are still in a secular bear market that will only complete in 2017.

That is to say, the premise above is a whole lot of baloney. There will be a big correction off today’s bubble levels and those who believe otherwise will take a major beating. Just as they did in 2008.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 15th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

1/14/2015 – Another down day with the Dow Jones down 189 points (-1.07%) and the Nasdaq down 22 points (-0.48%). 

The stock market continues to behave exactly as forecasted. During both rallies and sell-offs. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here. 

After trying to surge higher the Dow had quite a reversal over the last 12 trading hours. Down over 650 points. Luckily, financial media is starting to ask all the right questions.

Are commodities and interest rate collapse signalling a massive recession ahead? Is the FED now irrelevant? Take a look at the video below, its worth 5 minutes of your time.

As you have probably ascertained by now, I hate the FED with passion. It is a massive cancer that is eating at our underlying economic base from the inside out. Just as Japan did to their economy over the last 25 years.  And that’s the biggest mistake most investors out there make. They believe the FED will be able to backstop any sort of a correction or sell-off….”buy the dips”.

Nothing could be further from the truth. The FED is powerless now that the interest rates are at ZERO. Plus, today’s massive stock market bubble almost assures that all large future moves will be to the downside. To be honest, the best one can hope for is that the upcoming sell-off is not as big as 2007-2009.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 14th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Commodities Slump Suggests Upcoming Stock Market Disaster Google