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Bill Gross: Get Out Now

Daily Chart January 6nd

1/6/2015 – Another down day with the Dow Jones down 132 points (-0.75%) and the Nasdaq down 60 points (-1.30%). 

The stock market continues to perform just as forecasted. If you would be interested in learning what happens next, please Click Here. 

The biggest story in the market today is the plunge in interest rates. The 10-Year Note is now below 2%. We will discuss that in greater detail tomorrow. In the meantime, it is nice to find yourself on the same page as Bill Gross. Bloomberg: Bill Gross Says the Good Times Are Over

“When the year is done, there will be minus signs in front of returns for many asset classes,” Gross, 70, wrote in the outlook. “The good times are over.”

That’s quite a statement as he goes on to suggest that folks should get out of the way. I tend to agree with Bill and the subject matter is rather easy. The stock market is in a massive overvaluation bubble driven by QE, zero interest rates and speculative spirits. And even though the US Economy appears to be doing quite well, it is an illusion driven by all of the above. That is why the 10-year note is below 2%. The bond market is not buying it.

That is to say, imagine yourself at 2007 and 2000 tops and you will have a fairly good understanding of where we are today.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 6th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Bill Gross: Get Out Now Google

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Is Right Now A Good Time To Invest In Biotech? – Daily Podcast

Visitor Question: Is Right Now A Good Time To Invest In Biotech?  Listen to our short 5-10 minute podcast to find out. Plus, don’t forget to email me your questions.IBB

z33

Is Right Now A Good Time To Invest In Biotech? – Daily Podcast  Google

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What You Ought To Know About The Oil Price Rebound

oil4

Most in financial industry are acutely aware of Warren Buffett’s quote “Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”. And as evident from the chart above, perhaps no market has more blood running through the streets right about now than the oil market and all related companies….even countries.

As a result, everyone and their day trading grandmother are looking for a bottom in an attempt to make untold riches when oil prices finally rebound. Oil Investors Keep Betting Wrong on When Market Will Bottom  

This mindset leads me to a simple conclusion. There won’t be a strong rebound in oil price anytime soon. This move down appears to be more structural as opposed to technical in nature. Meaning, once oil finds its bottom, it might rebound 10-20% only to fall back and trade within a certain trading range. For many years to come. What gold did since its sell-off in 2012 would be a perfect illustration of that.

In other words, while it is possible oil will have a large rebound after it finds bottom, don’t count on it. Until and unless everyone gives up on oil and looks at it with disgust, it is unlikely to stage a large rebound, let alone a bull move.

Z30

What You Ought To Know About The Oil Price Rebound  Google

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Goldman Sachs Reveals Wishful FED Market Projection

Daily Chart January 5nd

1/5/2015 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 330 points (-1.85%) and the Nasdaq down 74 points (-1.57%)

The stock market continues to perform just as forecasted. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here.

In the meantime, Goldman Sachs knows exactly what the market will do in 2015 Goldman Sachs Expects The Stock Market To Follow A Very Specific Path In 2015

Goldman_Sachs_Forecast

There you go ladies and gentlemen, just follow the chart above. It will lead you to the promise land of untold riches. It could even be the secret FED chart of where Janet Yellen wants Goldman to guide the market. Too bad it ends the year at a break even point.

On a more serious note, my work continues to show that 2015 will be a tough year for everyone involved. I continue to stand by my forecast that the market will drive both bulls and bears up the wall. Sharp declines (as today) will be followed by strong rallies, rinse and repeat. In the end, only the market timers who are able to switch positioning at major turning points will be able to benefit. Everyone else, particularly the bulls, will lose money.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 5th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Goldman Sachs Reveals Wishful FED Market Projection Google

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What Do You Believe The Biggest Investment Misconception Of 2015 Is ?

Visitor Question: What Do You Believe The Biggest Investment Misconception Of 2015 Is?  Listen to our short 5-10 minute podcast to find out. Plus, don’t forget to email me your questions.

z33

What Do You Believe The Biggest Investment Misconception Of 2015 Is ?Google

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Yo Canada, Your Real Estate Is Way Overpriced.

Canada-US-debt

In October of 2013 I did the unthinkable. I came out and stated that the US real estate market was topping out its “Dead Cat Bounce” leg and that the subsequent decline in real estate prices will make 2006-2010 decline look timid by comparison. You can see the full report here Real Estate Collapse 2.0 Why, How & When as my opinion hasn’t changed.  And while we haven’t seen substantial declines just YET, the market is rolling over as we speak. That is to say, the worst is yet to come.

And if you thought California real estate was expensive, just take a look north of the border. The situation in Canada is equivalent to the hottest markets in the US, with one primary difference. Canadian real estate was a late bloomer and their speculative cycle didn’t really get going until after 2002. Since their real estate cycle was about 8-10 years behind, they were not impacted by the real estate collapse in the US. Further, when the next round of financing (by the FED) showed up in 2008, Canadian Real Estate simply continued to accelerate as if nothing has happened.

Basically, Canadian real estate is where the US real estate was 9 years ago. The cycles confirm that as well. When this particular liquidity party ends (happening now) and the stock market shifts into the bear market, I would fully expect Canadian real estate to collapse. It is never different. Our friends at DoctorHousingBubble.com have a wonderful piece on Canadian real estate I encourage you to check it out. The Canadian housing bubble makes California real estate look sensible: Crash in energy prices will put pressure on home values up north as Canadians go into maximum leverage.

Plus, Garth Turner’s Blog “Greater Fool” is a great place to follow 

Z30

Yo Canada, Your Real Estate Is Way Overpriced. Google

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Will Stocks Surge In 2015…. Just As They Did In 1999?

Daily Chart January 2nd

1/2/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 9 points (+0.06%) and the Nasdaq down 9 points (-0.20%). 

A great year for InvestWithAlex.com. We were able to beat the pants off the Dow and 95% of money and hedge fund managers out there. Delivering a risk averse gain of 19.80% Vs the Dow’s +8.17%.

In the meantime, the stock market continues to perform just as anticipated. That’s one of the reasons I shut down shop on December 23rd and took a well deserved break. Telling my subscribers that the market will not do anything until 2015 rolls around. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here.

Now, during this down time so many “Bullish” articles came out that I almost blew a fuse. Almost. I am sure you have seen them, “The Secular Bull Market Is Just Starting, The Dow 20,000, Bears Will Get Run Over (what bears?), 2015 is Another 1999”, etc….. You get the picture.

The case for a bull market is fairly straight forward……..

  • Most technical indicators have turned positive.
  • The advance/decline line has turned up.
  • The number of new 52-week highs has been expending.
  • The Dow Theory continues to confirm a bull market.
  • Most markets are at an all time high.
  • Seasonality suggests that the bull market will continue.
  • Republicans will bring business back. Presidential cycle suggests up markets.
  • Oil prices are falling and that’s great for the overall economy.
  • Corporate earnings are great, unemployment is low, fundamentals are good, confidence is up, etc……
  • Oh and I almost forgot, everyone will get a Ferrari along with a massive tax return in early 2015.

In fact, if all of the facts above don’t make you want to pawn your left kidney and buy every stock under the sun, I don’t what will.

My response is………..so what? 

All of the above is already well know and discounted by the market. As I have suggested so many times before, the market moves according to its own mathematical points of force, not fundamental data. Consider the following. Most of the bullish points above were just as relevant on September 19th as they are today. Yet, the stock market proceeded to top out and then decline close to 10% in a matter 3 short weeks.

That is to say, don’t for a second believe that this market cannot decline here, despite all the bullish sentiment.  As a matter of fact, that is exactly when the market tend to “eat it”. Perhaps even faster than it bounced off of its October lows.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information here. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 2nd, 2014  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Will Stocks Surge In 2015…. Just As They Did In 1999? Google