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Short Sellers Are Getting Ready……Should You?

daily chart ANovember 19 2014
11/19/2014 – A down day with the Dow Jones down 3 points (-0.02%) and the Nasdaq down 27 points (-0.57%). 

The market continues to perform as anticipated. Believe it or not, but sometimes they have people on who actually make sense. That is, instead of perpetual bulls who only see the Dow 20K, 40K, etc….without any sort of a fundamental background to support their views. I couldn’t agree more with Mr. Kass’s view and I highly recommend that you spend a few minutes watching the video below.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 19th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Short Sellers Are Getting Ready……Should You?  Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

peter lynch“You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don’t understand that’s going to happen, then you’re not ready, you won’t do well in the markets.” – Peter Lynch

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day Google

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Flood Of IPO. Great News Or Another Top?

daily chart ANovember 18 2014

11/18/2014 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 41 points (+0.23%) and the Nasdaq up 31 points (+0.67%).  

If you recall, the biggest IPO of the year, Alibaba (BABA) went public on Friday, September 19th. That was the exact date of the market top, followed by a gut wrenching 10% decline into October 14th. And while we don’t have a massive IPO coming to the market this time around, we do have 12 of them hitting the market at the same time…….this week. The IPO rush begins

Great news….right??? Not so much. While most investors see the flood of IPOs as a net positive and as a confirmation of a strong market, it is rarely so. As Alibaba example above, a crash on the Nasdaq in March of 2000 was a perfect illustration of what happens when too many speculatively priced IPOs hit the market at the same time. That is to say, IPOs, too many or too big, tend to suck up all available capital.

So, lets look at the facts. We have had one of the fastest rallies ever since October 14th low, the market is overpriced, low volume, a wide range of divergences, massive gaps suggesting upcoming downside, FED tightening, speculative spirits are running high, flood of IPOs and everyone expects a Santa Claus rally into the Dow 20K. What can possibly go wrong?

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 18th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Flood Of IPO. Great News Or Another Top?  Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

david tepper“This company looks cheap, that company looks cheap, but the overall economy could completely screw it up. The key is to wait. Sometimes the hardest thing to do is to do nothing.” – David Tepper

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

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Where Would The Dow Be Without The FED Intervention?

daily chart ANovember 17 2014

11/17/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 13 points (+0.07%) and the Nasdaq down 17 points (-0.37%). 

A number of interesting articles for your consideration.

One and the same as I am still trying to figure out why our Nobel Prize winning economists (aka financial charlatans) can’t figure this out.  Japan falling back into an “official” recession despite its market pushing to a 6-year high is a clear indication of that.

It is rather simple. Today’s markets and most western economies are out of sync with reality, overpriced, driven by cheap credit and destructive FED policies. Everyone knows that. The more important question is……. where would our markets be, for instance, if the stimulus is withdrawn and fiscally conservative policies of the late 1990’s are reintroduced?

Would the Dow find itself at 15,000 or 10,000 or maybe even 5,000?  One thing is for sure. It wouldn’t be sitting at today’s levels.

That is why I tend to agree with Wilbur Ross. Sooner or later the stimulus money runs out, speculative spirits vanish into thin air, credit velocity slows and financial markets fall right back to where they are supposed to be. To their natural level of equilibrium. I think we are about to find out exactly how that plays out and where that level is.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 17th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Where Would The Dow Be Without The FED Intervention? Google

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Investment Grin Of The Day – Australia’s Smartest Man

An airplane was about to crash..

There were five passengers on board, but only four parachutes.

The first passenger said, “I am President Obama, the chosen one. The world needs me, I can’t afford to die.”

So he took the first parachute and left the plane.

The second passenger, Tony Abbot said, “I am the Prime Minister of Australia and I am the smartest man in Australian history, so Australia’s people don’t want me to die.”

He took the second parachute and jumped out of the plane.

The third passenger, John Kerry said, “I’m a Senator and a decorated war hero from the Army of the United States of America.”

He grabbed the parachute next to him and jumped.

The fourth passenger, ex-President George W Bush said to the fifth passenger, a 10-year-old schoolgirl;

“I have lived a full life and served my country the best I could. I will sacrifice my life and let you have the last parachute.”

The little girl said “That’s okay, Mr President. There’s a parachute left for you…, Australia’s smartest man just took my schoolbag.”

z32

Investment Grin Of The Day Google

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Is It Time To Lock In Your Gains?

daily chart ANovember 14 2014

11/14/2014- Another mixed day with the Dow Jones down 17 points (-0.10%) and the Nasdaq up 8 points (+0.18%) 

The stock market continues to perform just as anticipated. I have a number of incredibly important things for you to consider over the weekend.

#1: The market has done this just 4 times in the last 20 years

An incredibly important technical look at the market and definitely worth your time. In addition, consider the following. The rally from February 5th low to July 17th top (over 6 months) resulted in about a 1,800 point advance. The market advanced just as much since October 14th bottom. In just 20 trading days. Typically, such moves resolve in one of two ways. Either a long period of distribution/consolidation at the top or a fast retracement right back to the bottom. Beware.

#2: Marc ‘Dr. Doom’ Faber: I will soon be proven right

Despite his multi-decade long excellent track record, financial media talking heads are once again making fun of legendary investors Marc Faber. Just watch the video and take a look at the article comments. His fundamental view is spot on. Today’s markets are nothing more than a perpetual shell game instituted by the FED. Yet, the laws of physics dictate that the market will come crashing down…..sooner or later…….wiping out all Bullish gains within a short period of time. Point being, when Bulls and clueless financial commentators begin to make fun of Marc Faber, the market is likely to be approaching a significant turning point.

#3: Record stock rally to continue as funds chase performance

There are a million and one different reasons as to why this rally should continue. Indefinitely. Yet, it is important to be aware of one simple fact. When everyone agrees and when everyone is on one side of the trade, markets tend to shift gears and reverse course.

The points above are presented for your consideration in order to illustrate how incredibly bullish everyone is. The bears have been decimated, the bulls are in control and no one expects this market to go down. That is to say……BEWARE…..instead of counting on this never ending bull market, it might be an opportune time to lock in your gains (if any).   

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 14th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Is Time To Lock In Your Gains? Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

marktwain“October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.” ― Mark Twain

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

tudor jones“Were you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and foremost protecting your butt. After a while size means nothing. It gets back to whether you’re making 100% rate of return on $10,000 or $100 million dollars. It doesn’t make any difference.” – Paul Tudor Jones

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

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What Would Jesus Invest In?

daily chart ANovember 11 2014

11/12/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 3 points (-0.01%) and the Nasdaq up 14 points (+0.31%). 

The easiest trade to make in today’s market is to go long. It’s a no-brainer and you can buy just about anything as the Dow hasn’t suffered a 100 point correction (even Intraday) in over 20 trading days. Most bears have been decimated and most bulls are coming out of the woodwork to once again make ballsy predictions. Case and point…….

Rather than debating fundamental aspects of today’s rally, let’s take a closer look at a much more important variable. Market/investor psychology. Oftentimes it is the most difficult trade to make that ends up being the correct one. That is to say, when everyone ends up on one side of the market, as today, the market tends to move the other way. Luckily, I don’t have to go further than 8 trading weeks to prove my point.

  • Case #1: September 19th, 2014 Top. Market’s psychological backdrop was not that dissimilar to today. All time highs, never ending rally, Santa Claus rally is just around the corner and other BS. No one expected a massive decline that ensued. We went short on September 24th.
  • Case #2: October 14th,  2014 Bottom. Most people were either freaking out or shorting the crap out of the market. No one was bullish. Everyone and their day trading grand mother were predicting a market crash. I was looking for a bottom. All shorts were covered on October 16th in preparation to go long. 

Point being, when everyone begins to believe that the market cannot go down (as today), it is time to seriously consider the other side of the trade. To play a devil’s advocate. You know….to do some soul searching and to ask if Jesus would go long or short this market. Not to do so is not only dangerous, but is often the reason why so very few people can consistently make money in the market.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 12th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

What Would Jesus Invest In Google