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The Shocking Truth Behind Coming Up With Brilliant Ideas

business_ideas

Continuation from yesterday……….

STEP #2: Dismiss Any Notion of a Brilliant or a Perfect Idea

When people begin working on Step #1, one of their primary complaints I hear is that they can’t come up with 8-10 good ideas within a 30 minute time frame. They are missing the entire point.  In most cases people are pushing incredibly hard for that billion dollar idea or that perfect idea that would be easy to execute. They want it now.

I remember receiving an e-mail from Zack about this process when I originally shared this information on one of my blogs in 2012. Zack was angry. He told me, in no uncertain terms, that my idea generation process was absolute garbage and that after two weeks of practice he wasn’t able to come up with a single idea. After inquiring further into Zack’s issue it quickly became apparent that he was trying to come up with 8-10 great business ideas on a daily basis.

Something that is statistically impossible to do.

Please understand something very important. Not every single one of your ideas has to be perfect or even workable. They are also allowed to be crazy, out there, stupid, absurd, laughable, impossible, illegal, etc….. No matter how insane you believe your idea is, put it in your notepad. Worst case scenario, it will allow you to improve on your ideas, the best case, it will unify with one of your other ideas at a later time to create a spark otherwise impossible. And never forget, the world is full of billionaires and millionaires who were laughed at, ridiculed and dismissed as outright crazy. Don’t be afraid to join their company.

STEP #3:  Read, Read, Read and Then Read Some More….

Not only is it good for your overall intelligence, but it is also good for your wallet. As you read industry news, business articles, technology developments, various reports, research papers or whatever else you are interested in, you will be able to start putting things together in your mind in such a way that it will allow you to come up with A LOT of new ideas.

Take Bill Gates for example. While he clearly saw the computer revolution coming in the mid 1970’s, even dropping out of Harvard in order to take advantage of it, very few others saw what he did. Not only did most people think he was crazy, even IBM dismissed his vision for the future as utterly ridiculous. Yet, Bill Gates knew. He spent his formative years in Lakeside school playing with computers and by the time he was 18 he was one of the best programmers in the nation. From his vantage point he could clear see what the future held.

The same process applies to new idea generation. The more you know and in the wider range of fields, the better your ideas will become.  As often is the case, you will be able to connect the dots and see things that other people simply do not see.  While you might not have as much inside information as Bill Gates had, by having a deep pool of knowledge to draw from you will be ahead of 99.99% of the people out there.

Quick Note: Try to stay away from worthless entertainment such as gossip, celebrity news, novels, arguments and other similar writings.

PRACTICE #2: Try to structure your day or your current job in such a fashion that you are able to read as much as you possibly can. Make a conscious effort to increase your knowledge base and it will pay off 10X in the form of much better and much more profitable ideas.

To Be Continued Tomorrow ……(Why Am I Seeing This On  A Financial Website?)

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How You Could Have Been A Burrito Kingpin

CMG2

Continuation from yesterday…….TIMING & MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS:

As was suggested earlier in the book, both the overall stock market and individual stocks tend to move according to their own cyclical compositions. A number of cyclical examples were given, including a 5-year and a 17-18 year cycles. Showing that the stock market moves in clearly defined patterns.

While it is certainly possible to identify the internal mathematical structure of almost every financial instrument, a long trading history is a must.  In the case of individual stocks, a 15 to 20 year trading history is necessary. Anything less than that would not yield appropriate results.

Since Chipotle’s stock first started trading in January of 2006, it would have been impossible to ascertain the stock’s internal mathematical or timing composition by either 2008 or 2009. Even today.  Yet, despite our inability to figure out what the stock itself would do, we did have the next best thing available to us. The overall stock market.

As Chipotle’s stock price was collapsing in 2008, so was the market. In fact, between October 11th, 2007 and March 6th, 2009 the Dow declined close to 7,500 points or 55%. A massive mid cycle collapse reminiscent of the 1972-1974 and 1907-1908 declines. An analyst working with the overall cyclical composition of the market would be aware of the following facts at the time.

  1. The overall market is tracing out a 17-18 year secular bear market that started in 2000.
  2. The 2007-2009 bear market leg represents a mid cycle collapse where 50% or more declines are typical.
  3. The bull market of October 10th, 2002 to October 11th, 2007 lasted exactly 5 years. Suggesting that the upcoming mid cycle decline would last 1.5-2 years.
  4. Mid cycle bottoms are typically followed by either a 2-year or a 5-year bull market runs.

In other words, an analyst working with the mathematical and cyclical composition of the stock market would have had a very good understanding that the stock market was likely to hit a bottom in the early 2009, followed by a strong rally. This was further confirmed by a number of other indicators converging on March of 2009 as a high probability turning point.  Once again, the methods of analysis that have lead to such a conclusion can be studied further in my other book Timed Value.

When it comes to investing in Chipotle, this type of an analysis would have been of great help for a number of reasons. First, we would have realized that Chipotle’s share price is likely to stage a strong recovery if the market was to turn around and to stage a multi-year bull market rally. Since no fundamental reasons, outside of general overvaluation, existed for the company’s stock price to decline, it would have been logical to assume that Chipotle’s stock price would recover as soon as the market does. Second, the company was growing at a rapid pace despite the economic collapse and was now selling at a reasonable valuation. Finally, an analyst familiar with all of the above would be watching the company’s stock for a clear technical bottom and a confirmation. With a clear intention of purchasing the stock once the confirmation was obtained.

This confirmation was obtained during the 3rd week of November when the company’s stock broke out of its down trending channel at around $42.20. A long position should have been initiated at that time.

The result? 

Chipotle’ stock price had appreciated 1,465% (14.7 bagger) between its February of 2008 bottom and today.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….

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How You Could Have Been A Burrito Kingpin Google

What Cuban Missile Crisis Can Teach Us About The Nuclear World War 3

cuban blockade

HOW WILL THE WAR START

Continuation from yesterday…….On October 24th, 1962 a convoy of Soviet ships was steaming towards a Cuban port.  In their wake laid a large contingent of the US vessels enforcing the blockade. Everyone was on edge. If the Soviet ships where to cross the blockade line, they would likely have sparked a military confrontation that could have quickly escalated to an all out nuclear exchange. The sense of doom was in the air. So much so that the U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara was quoted as saying “I thought it was the last Saturday I would ever see.”

A few days prior, on October  14th, 1962, a U-2 spy plane flying over Cuba discovered nuclear missile sites under constructions. Missiles that would have had the capability of reaching the US within minutes. President Kennedy immediately gathered a small group of senior officials to debate the crisis. Known as ExComm, the group met continuously for the next two weeks. Deeply divided between those who wanted a peaceful political solution and those demanding that President Kennedy uses the opportunity to strike at the Soviet Union first.

Eight days later, Kennedy ordered a naval blockade of Cuba while putting all of the U.S. military forces on DEFCON 3. The US B-52 bombers were placed on the highest state of alert, Polaris class submarines were told to expect launch orders and ICBMs were prepared for their countdown sequence. President Kennedy’s adversary Nikita Khrushchev responded by putting Warsaw Pact military forces (Soviet Military Machine) on full battle alert. The U.S. was forced by respond with DEFCON 2.

As the Soviet ships appeared on the horizon the stage was set. If they were to cross the blockade line, the nuclear war was imminent. In fact, both the Soviet Union and the US bombers were already in flight to their respective targets. Both Kennedy and Khrushchev had their finger on the proverbial red button in the highest stakes game of chicken ever played. The world was just a few minutes away from an all out nuclear inhalation.

One simple mistake, one miscommunication, one shot, one dirty look, one wrong word, one loss of communication, one lost nerve or one person buckling under an immense amount of pressure is all that stood between peace and an all out nuclear war.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How Your Consciousness Can Control Your Reality

Multidimensionality

Continuation from last week……..That is the key. If Julia knew how STRESS really worked she would be able to separate from her thoughts and observer them as an outsider looking in. As if she was watching a move.  She would know that her thoughts are NOT her. She would know that for the most part her thoughts are being randomly generated by her mind in an involuntary fashion.  She would also know that she has the capacity to stop these thoughts. More importantly, she would be aware of the negative spirals associated with such thinking and what to do to stop them in their tracks.  Immediately shifting her state of being from a state of STRESS to the state of happiness, joy and indifference.

CONCLUSION:

This chapter contained a number of incredibly important concepts that we must review before moving on. A clear comprehension of the concepts above will make all the difference in helping you transform STRESS energy into a powerful force that you can then use for other endeavors.

We Are NOT Our Bodies, Minds, Thoughts, Feelings or Emotions:

An important question was asked. “Who are we?” The book displayed evidence that while we are closely associated with our bodies, minds, thoughts, feelings and emotions, we are not physical matter.  The exercise above clearly showed that if are able to observe our own minds and our own thoughts, a third point of reference must be present. Otherwise, any observation would be impossible. That third point of reference is our human consciousness.

Human Consciousness and Having the Ability to Separate From Physical Reality:

It was demonstrated that our consciousness has the ability to be an observer. *Again, if you were not able to become an observer of your own thoughts I highly encourage you to repeat the exercise until you are successful. The ability to observe your own thoughts will give you the understanding that you seek. Further, this separation gives us a deep understanding of what human consciousness is and how the body/mind processes work behind the scenes.

How STRESS Really Works:

We have looked at stress through a number of examples where it was shown that STRESS is triggered by various thought patterns within our own minds. Such thought chains then go on to create negative spirals within our physical and emotional bodies. Causing variant degrees of STRESS as a result.

Ability to Control It:

Finally, it was shown that when we shift into the state of higher consciousness and become observers of our own STRESS energy, we gain the ability to control it. Not only to control it, but to transform it into yet another form of a positive energy.

In the next chapter we will look at the tools necessary not only to control STRESS, but to completely separate from it.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Why The Market Has Gone LOCO

daily chart July 28 2014

7/28/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 22 points (+0.13%) and the Nasdaq down 5 points (-0.10%). 

The market continues to perform exactly as per our internal forecasts.  In yet another display of how out of sync with reality the stock market is, the shares El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. (LOCO) surged 43% today alone. Giving the company a valuation level typically reserved for a fast growing tech company. Certainly not a fast food restaurant.

Despite the euphoria, it appears I am not the only bear in woods. A number of other market participant are warning of the same thing. I highly encourage your to read these articles and decide for yourself.

I would have to agree with both. This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 28th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

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How To Make Idea Generation A Daily Practice

confused guyLet’s us now shift gears and take a look at what we need to do in order to start generating amazing business ideas.  The steps below are a compilation of what I have used over the last 10 years to develop business ideas that, in one way or another, have added millions to my overall net worth.  In other words, it has worked incredibly well for me and I know, for a fact, that it will work incredibly well for you.

STEP #1: Make Idea Generation a Daily Practice:  

As mention above, idea generation is related to muscle memory. And while your brain is technically not a muscle, its development patterns closely resemble those of other muscles within your body. The more you work on it, the more you study, the more you practice and the more you think, the sharper your brain will become.  In all areas that you concentrate on.  When it comes to developing your business ideas, while you don’t have to spend a lot of time on the process, a consistent 10-30 minute daily effort is necessary.

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For instance, I typically allocate about 15-20 minutes out of my hectic schedule to this practice.  No matter what.  In fact, I have an entire routine developed around the process.  I typically grab a cup of coffee, disconnect from all of my devices, tune everything out and concentrate intensely on developing new ideas over a 20-30 minute period of time.  Yet, I am not just working on “new” business ideas.  I am developing all sorts of new ideas. They might be additional products or services for my existing businesses, various offers, investment opportunities, better marketing processes, new technologies, new partnership, etc…..The spectrum of new ideas is unlimited and should be treated that way.

Plus, the biggest bang for your buck will typically come from combining two “new” seemingly independent ideas into a blockbuster idea your would be unable to develop otherwise. You might have had one idea a few months ago and the more recent idea today. When combined, such ideas might explode into a bowl of fireworks or that extremely profitable business you have always dreamt of. Clearly illustrating, once again, why you should make this a daily practice.

It is also important to understand that it might take a little bit of time and effort on your part to get this process going.  In fact, if you have never done this before, you might find the practice incredibly difficult. Not being able to come up with any ideas at all in the first few days. That is normal. For as long as you dedicate your time and effort to this practice, do not despair, the ideas will come soon enough.  So much so, that within a few months you will be flooded with too many business ideas.

Personally, I make it a point to come up with 8-10 business ideas per day.  I typically do not end my daily idea generation sessions until I hit that point.  You should have the same attitude.  After a few weeks or months of practice coming up with 10 ideas per day shouldn’t be a problem at all. Not only that, as your idea generation muscle gets better, the quality of your ideas will go up as well.  Eventually it will become so easy that various ideas will literally fall from the sky.

Extra Tip: If at all possible I would highly recommend doing this “Daily Idea Practice” first thing in the morning or when your mind is at its freshest.

PRACTICE #1:

Get a notepad and a pen out. Take 30 minutes to write out 10 business ideas within your area of expertise or passion. Do not worry about the quality of your ideas at this juncture. They are allowed and encouraged to be a little insane.

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How You Could Have Made A Fortune Investing In Burritos

CMG2

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Continuation from Friday…….Since our fundamental analysis did yield a strong buy signal for Chipotle’s stock in late 2008 and early 2009, we must now concentrate on the technical side of the equation to see if such a decision would have been confirmed.

As the chart above shows, the company’s stock price collapsed over 75% between December of 2007 and November of 2008. In the midst of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. In fact, Chipotle’s stock price established a clearly defined down trending channel throughout the move. The price then followed this channel all the way down into its 2008 bottom.  The stock price proceeded to bottom at $39 a share and then immediately broke out at around $45 in November of 2008.

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Giving us a clear sign that the stock price might have bottomed. Any analyst following the company should have watched for this development very closely. It would have been the first sign that the stock price has corrected and is in the process of a bounce. While it would be unclear how long the bounce would last, when we combine such information with our mathematical and timing work below, we could have assumed that Chipotle’s stock price was about to stage a massive multi-year rally.

A second entry point opportunity presented itself in March of 2009 when the company’s stock price broke above its previous high at around $65 a share. Further confirming the change in trend and suggesting that the stock price has much more room on the upside.

In conclusion, technical analysis did confirm our fundamental analysis with two clearly defined buy signals. When the stock price first broke out of its down trending channel in November of 2008 and when it pushed above its previous high in March of 2009. Any investor closely following the stock should have been able to take a position in November of 2008 at around $45 a share. Particularly, when you take our mathematical and timing work into consideration.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……

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The Nuclear War Developments To Anticipate Over The Next 20 Years

nato expansion

Continuation from Friday…….Most people react in one of two ways when they first hear about my prediction. The first group dismisses me with outmost disrespect. They challenge my credibility, call me really nasty names and assure me that in today’s world any nuclear conflict is simply impossible.  In fact, I am certain that at least half of this group believes that I do most of my writing from a mental asylum.

As accurate as their presumption might be, the other half of folks try to assure me that the war is coming much sooner than 2029 and that it has already started.  Believing that the war will come out of the Middle East and Israel.  While it would be impossible to address all of such issues, allow me to leave you with the following thoughts on the subject matter.

First, my time cycle work is as accurate as anyone can get to making future predictions.  After working with such cycles for over 10 years, both long-term and short-term, I have not seen them miss once and I don’t believe they will start now.  And that is going all the way back to 1776.  Second, while wars can spring out over a very short period of time and seemingly out of nowhere, the conditions must right. Such conditions call for a significant amount of discontent and hate between the parties.  While the relationship between the US and Russia/China is heading downhill, it is far from being in a critical phase.  We need another 10-20 years to fully nurture the hate between the parties and to brainwash the populations.

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Here are the developments we have to look for over the next 20 years.

  • The relationship between the USA and Russia will deteriorate significantly.
  • NATO will continue with its attempts to move right next to the Russian border.  Further destabilizing the region in the process.
  • Western Media and political leaders will continue to accelerate their propaganda portrayal of Russia as an “Evil Empire” with a madman (Putin) at the helm.  Putin will portray the US in the very same fashion.
  • China will face a massive financial crisis due to its housing, shadow banking, credit and economic bubbles. Resulting unrest might lead to an all out regime change.
  • China will continue to exert its dominance in the South Pacific Region while building a powerful military machine. Pushing the US and China relationship to a new low.
  • The relationship between Russia and China will continue to improve.
  • Russia and China will be forced to form military alliance to counterbalance NATO.

As soon as points above are fulfilled, particularly the last one, know that the war is drawing closer. In the next section we will take a brief look at how the war might start.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Site?)

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