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When Will The Bear Market Start?

stupid bearsIt’s good to know that I am not the only person left on the face of this earth who thinks that  A. The FED has no idea of what they are doing B. The stock market is in a massive bubble territory and C. This will end very badly. It Looks Like The Fed Has No Idea What’s About To Happen

Actually, scratch that. Since Peter Schiff capitulated a few weeks ago and became a bull, I don’t think that there are any bears left in the wilderness. Well, maybe Marc Faber. To be honest, I am neither a bull or a bear. I simply follow what my mathematical, timing, technical and fundamental work indicates.

Unfortunately, that work shows that the stock market is in a bubble territory not that dissimilar from 2007 top. In other words, a massive bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.  And while most people seek out some sort of a catalyst before tuning bearish, the market doesn’t work that way. It will simply top out one special day, with no fan fare (just as it did on October 11th, 2007), and head lower. Picking up speed as it develops. The question is……are you ready for it?   

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When Will The Bear Market Start?  Google

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 18th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart June 18 2014

A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 98 points (+0.58%) and the Nasdaq up 25 points(0.59%). 

The market staged a fairly strong rally after today’s FOMC meeting and Janet Yellen’s statement that her “secret valuation formula” shows that the stock market is within “historic norms”….aka “no bubble”. Whatever that means. Now, instead of arguing who’s valuation formula is better, allow me to take you back to FED minutes from Q-1 of 2008 (search FED Minutes on this site or Google it).

In those minutes, Ben Bernanke worried about the overheating housing market and openly argued for further tightening. If you don’t recall, by that time, the bear market of 2007-2009 was nearly half way done.  Point being, the FED has no idea where we are nor where the proper valuation levels should be. They have no secret formula and they are flying blind. If anything, today’s tightening was just another nail in this stock market rally.

My mathematical work clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 18th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Daily Stock Market Update. June 18th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

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When Will The Stock Market Wake Up? Find Out Now

Talking Numbers brings up the issue of “Sleeping Markets” that I have talked about for quite some time now. While the segment tries to relate today’s low volatility/flat markets to 1994 base and the subsequent 1994-2000 bull market rally, in reality, today’s situation is reversed. BEWARE: As I have mentioned before, the market is accumulating energy. When it finally snaps, expect a very fast moving market (Click Below To Watch Video)

Z31

When Will The Stock Market Wake Up? Find Out Now  Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

warren_buffet“None of this means, however, that a business or stock is an intelligent purchase simply because it is unpopular; a contrarian approach is just as foolish as a follow-the-crowd strategy. What’s required is thinking rather than polling. Unfortunately, Bertrand Russell’s observation about life in general applies with unusual force in the financial world: “Most men would rather die than think. Many do.” – Warren Buffett

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

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Top CEO’s Anticipate A Massive Slowdown. Should You?

no capex investwithalexOne of the main bullish arguments or justifications behind today’s stock market rally is that corporations will accelerate their CAPEX spending and hiring. It appears as if some of Americas top CEO’s disagree with such an assessment. Top CEOs downgrade economic growth forecasts, expect to spend less

“CEO expectations for both investment and growth remain well below the potential of the U.S. economy and below what we should be experiencing at this stage of a recovery,” Stephenson said.

While the downbeat mood was blamed on the expiration of tax breaks, this goes deeper than that.  There is very little to invest in because of the ZERO interest rate environment over the last decade. Most possible investments have already been made and the economy is not catching fire as most would have you believe.

All of this comes back to the FED and their irresponsible (even criminal) monetary policy. With the US Economy already showing sings of cracking (credit/speculative velocity is dying off) and with our mathematical/timing work showing a severe recession in the US between 2014-2017, the writing is on the wall.  Simply put, the stock market is way out of sync with reality.

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Top CEO’s Anticipate A Massive Slowdown. Should You?  Google

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American Total Debt Level Reaches Unprecedented Benchmark

total debt USA investwithalex

American total debt level (government, business, mortgage, consumer) has hit an unprecedented level of 60 Trillion dollars. Well, $59.4 Trillion to be exact. A number so staggering that is truly impossible to comprehend. Yet, let’s give it a try. Here is what you can buy for 60 Trillion….

  • 15 Trillion Big Macs at McDonald’s
  • 60 Million McMansions at $1 Million each.
  • 240,000 Boeing’s 777
  • Or you would have to spend about $2 Million per every single minute of your life if you are to live for 70 years.

It would only be appropriate if the stock market celebrates this amazing achievement with another stock market rally. On a more serious note, there is absolutely no way that the US Government or the US Citizens can repay this amount of debt. Given our current economic environment, it would have to be inflated away. That is precisely what my mathematical and timing work shows.

Even though there are signs of inflation, technically we are still in a deflationary environment. With more debt defaults and debt liquidation coming during the bear market of 2014-2017, deflation will continue to rule. Yet, come 2017 we should see ever increasing pressure on the inflationary front. Slow at first and accelerating into double digit inflation towards the 2030’s. That in itself will create a huge mess, but it’s too early to talk about that at this stage.

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American Total Debt Level Reaches Unprecedented Benchmark  Google

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 17th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart June 17 2014

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 27 points (+0.16%) and the Nasdaq up 16 points (+0.37%)

Contrary to a popular belief, the stock market does not follow the news. Today is a perfect illustration of that. Despite an outright collapse in Iraq, gas pipeline detonation in Ukraine, prospects of faster FED tightening and subpar economic data coming out on most fronts, the stock market managed to erk out a small gain.

How does it work? 

Instead of following the news, the stock market traces out an exact mathematical structure. This is best explained from a scientific perspective. For instance, every element in nature will have a certain 3-Dimensional structure associated with it. Same thing with the stock market, just a little bit more complicated. The stock market traces out its exact mathematical points of force while moving though 3-Dimensional space and in accordance to its own DNA sequence.

What does this work show?

Well, my mathematical work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Daily Stock Market Update. June 17th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

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Why Retirement Is For Fools

retirement

Over the last 50 years the Wall Street did a wonderful job selling the main street on the dream of retirement. Work and save now, invest in the mutual funds (aka…give us your money) and then live happily ever after in retirement. Why ‘I’ll just work longer’ is not a good retirement plan.

In short, such BS articles drive me up the wall.  While I am all for saving as much money as you can, handing it over to Wall Street in hopes of having enough income in time for retirement is a foolish dream. The bear market of 2014-2017 will, once again, show you why.

On a personal note, I don’t understand retirement.  I will work until I drop dead, even though I can retire today. Retiring at any age is DEATH. It is as simple as that. Instead, one should structure his work/life balance as a contact state of enjoyment. When that happens, work becomes pleasure and retirement becomes unnecessary. Enough wisdom for today.

Z31

Why Retirement Is For Fools Google