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Mainstream Financial Media Anticipates A Devastating Stock Market Collapse Of…Wait For It….

5-7%. But not to worry, the markets will surge higher thereafter, so “Buy The Dip”. 

What a bunch of jackasses!!! 

iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (ETF) is already down 20%. If you follow the advice above you will get your portfolio or retirement account shredded into pieces. Would you be interested in highly unique financial analysis that can predicts the markets? I have to warn you thou. What it shows is not pretty. Certainly not the 5-7% drop. Still interested? Here are a few reports you can start with

 CNBC Idiots

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Mainstream Financial Media Anticipates A Devastating Stock Market Collapse Of…Wait For It…. Google

Talking Numbers: The correction is on. Here’s how bad it’s going to get.

Thursday wasn’t just bad for the markets, it stunk.

While the Nasdaq composite index saw its worst loss since 2011, the market benchmark S&P 500 index lost 2 percent and is now negative for the year. Only 21 stocks in the S&P 500 were either positive or flat Thursday and the index ended the day at 1,833.08.

And, it may get worse before it gets better.

Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Stifel’s Washington Crossing Advisor, sees the potential for a 5 to 7 percent correction in the S&P 500 over the coming months. That could come as the Federal Reserve continues to taper its monetary stimulus program. During that time, according to Morganlander, investors will flee to more defensive, quality names.

However, the year may end on a positive note, Morganlander believes.

“We think in 2014, a 6 to 8 percent total return on the S&P 500 could in fact happen,” he said. “That would be on the back of around 3 percent GDP growth [and] earnings growth of 6.5 percent, which would get your S&P earnings to $115.”

Though Morganlander also sees somewhat higher revenues ahead for companies, stocks will also be pushed up with continued share buybacks.

“You have revenue growth of around 3 percent,” predicted Morganlander. “Perhaps you have buybacks of 2 percent of the total amount of shares. And, overall total amount of return is around 6 to 7 to 8 percent on the market.”

Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer & Co., agrees with Morganlander that a correction could be ahead, though he sees it in a range between 6 and 8 percent. And, like Morganlander, he also thinks the market will close the year on the upside.

“For the S&P 500, I’m still remaining positive,” said Wald. “I think we do get that 6 to 8 percent correction. We’re due for one. Summertime is when you would expect it.”

Wald thinks investors should pay attention to the fact that the S&P 500 still trades above its 200-day moving average.

“Sometimes, it’s just as easy to follow the trend and follow the rising slope of the S&P 500’s 200-day moving average,” said Wald. “The tactical opportunities are on the downside, to buy dips rather than to sell rallies.”

The important level to watch, according to Wald, is one the S&P 500 just broke below: 1,840.
“If you can’t hold that,” said Wald, “maybe that correction comes a little bit sooner rather than

Obama Wins A Prestigious F#&# The Press & Freedom Award. George Washington Flips In His Grave

“Change We Can All Believe In”  Yep, change for the worst. Now, before you send me conservative love letters or liberal hate mail, understand, I am neither…..so don’t bother.  It is time Americans take back their freedom and liberty from warmongers in Washington. It is only my hope that the upcoming bear market and a severe recession in the US Economy will wake some people up. 

On Wednesday this week, the Thomas Jefferson Center for the Protection of Free Expression announced that the US Justice Dept. had topped this year’s list of “Jefferson Muzzle” recipients, an award handed out every April since 1992 “as a means to draw national attention to abridgments of free speech and press and, at the same time, foster an appreciation for those tenets of the First Amendment.”

The White House Press Office was listed in the second slot among this year’s “winners,” trailed immediately by a third-place tie between the National Security Agency and the Department of Homeland Security.

And that is precisely why President Obama should be declared an enemy of the state and sent to Gitmo. 

obama

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Obama Wins A Prestigious F#&# The Press & Freedom Award. George Washington Flips In His Grave Google

RT Writes: Obama administration wins Jefferson Muzzle award for restricting free press

The United States Department of Justice and the White House Press Office are this year’s top winners of a dubious award extended to those considered to be “responsible for some of the more egregious or ridiculous affronts to First Amendment principles.”

On Wednesday this week, the Thomas Jefferson Center for the Protection of Free Expression announced that the US Justice Dept. had topped this year’s list of “Jefferson Muzzle” recipients, an award handed out every April since 1992 “as a means to draw national attention to abridgments of free speech and press and, at the same time, foster an appreciation for those tenets of the First Amendment.”

The White House Press Office was listed in the second slot among this year’s “winners,” trailed immediately by a third-place tie between the National Security Agency and the Department of Homeland Security.

It isn’t unusual for the free-speech loving organization named in honor of the third president of the US to condemn federal agencies for infringing on the constitutional rights of American citizens, but the Obama administration swept this year’s honors, undoubtedly lending further credence to allegations that the White House has ravaged First Amendment-protected freedoms by interfering and attempting to influence even the most venerable mainstream press outlets in the country.

According to the Jefferson Center, first place honors this year were awarded to the Justice Dept. due to the Obama administration’s relentless aggressive pursuit of individuals alleged to have leaked government information, while the press office’s routine shunning of journalists from official functions in exchange for regularly relying on a private White House photographer earned that department second place standing. The NSA and DHS were selected not as a result of any new infringing policies put in place by those offices, however, but rather because they went after Americans who parodied the official government seals of either department.

Elsewhere on this year’s list of winners are the North Carolina General Assembly Police and the Kansas Board of Regents rounding out the top five, followed by Modesty Junior College, the Tennessee State Legislature and the principals of schools in Florida and New Jersey.

From the White House to the statehouse, from universities to high schools, members of the press have had to defend against a variety of challenges, some never seen before,” Jefferson Center Director Josh Wheeler said in a statement this week.

Indeed, the Obama White House in particular has been accused in recent years of treating the press in a manner unheard of since the administration of Richard Nixon — an allegation that would seem overblown had it not been made by the likes of the internationally renowned Committee to Protect Journalists and some of the country’s most well respected reporters.

I think we have a real problem,” New York Times national security reporter Shane Scott told the CPJ for their report on eroding press freedoms in the US last October. The administration’s prosecution and persecution of leakers was having a real “deterrent effect,” Shane acknowledged, adding, “If we consider aggressive press coverage of government activities being at the core of American democracy, this tips the balance heavily in favor of the government.”

Six months later, the Jefferson Center agrees and has put the White House’s war on leakers and the journalists accused of “aiding and abetting” them at the top of this year’s list.

The government surely has a legitimate interest in identifying those disclosing such information,” the center said in an explanation included in this week’s report. “Yet if the press is to fulfill its role as a government watchdog and report what it sees to the public at large, it has to be able to assure its sources of confidentiality.”

Imperative as it may be, doing as much has been made harder than ever due largely to the administration’s targeting of leakers: WikiLeaks source Chelsea Manning was sentenced last summer to 35-years in prison for disclosing state secrets, and Edward Snowden — the former intelligence contractor who last year began to supply journalists with classified documents pilfered from the NSA — is wanted for espionage in America and has spent nearly the last year in Russia as a result.

And though these instances are few and far between, the severity of these prosecutions and similar investigations into outlets like Fox News and the Associated Press waged by the Obama administration to narrow in on leakers has been credited with creating a chilling effect that is allowing for the government to essentially scare sources and reporters from covering certain topics, lest they wish to risk a federal prison sentence: former Central Intelligence Analyst John Kiriakou is currently serving timeat a correctional facility in Pennsylvania for confirming the name of a colleague to an established reporter, and last month State Department advisor Stephen Kim was sent behind bars for having shared secrets with a Fox Reporter — which, in turn, led to the Justice Department seeking in secretthat journalist’s private emails. In that instance, the Washington Post wrote recently, “court documents in the Kim case reveal how deeply investigators explored the private communications of a working journalist.”

But when the government hasn’t been hounding journalists for speaking to sources, it’s been influencing the way the world sees its news to a certain degree. The White House Press Office, the Jefferson Center wrote, was also awarded a Muzzle award this year because the administration has “dramatically limited” access to the president for photojournalists, instead compelling a government cameraman to create the images dispersed worldwide by the White House to narrate the administration’s otherwise-often-secret inner workings.

The White House counters that it has released more images of the President at work than any previous administration. While that may be true, the journalistic value of such photographs is a product of their content, not quantity,” the center said. “For systematically rejecting independent journalistic access in favor of its own sanitized visual record, the White House Press Office has earned a 2014 Jefferson Muzzle.”

Tied at third-place, the NSA and DHS were both deemed Muzzle-worthy by the Jefferson Center for spending three ears pursuing an American citizen who designed parodies of those agencies logos, including one which touted the “US Department of Homeland Stupidity.”

The Obama administration was last awarded a Jefferson Muzzle in 2011 for what the center described then as restricting media access to the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico a year prior.

Since 1992, the Thomas Jefferson Center for the Protection of Free Expression has celebrated the birth and ideals of its namesake by calling attention to those who in the past year forgot or disregarded Mr. Jefferson’s admonition that freedom of speech ‘cannot be limited without being lost,’” the organization says on its website.

Carl Icahn Confirms Our View. And It Is So Disturbing You Won’t Be Able To Sleep Over The Weekend

In his brief interview with CNBC (see video below), Carl Icahn confirmed what we have been saying on this blog for quite some time. First, everyone loves this market (even his barber) a little too much and that in itself should raise some red flags. Second, most earnings you see today have been artificially driven by cheap credit infused by the FED.  That’s exactly what we have been saying here for a long time. Today’s earnings are a mass delusion at best. As we have said before, if you take credit driven earnings out, the true market P/E should be around 60-80, making this market not only expensive, but “Are You F#&$ing Kidding Me?” expensive. You will see the P/E ratio surge (as they did in 2008) once the markets crater and the US Economy falls into a severe recession later this year. 

Finally, Mr. Icahn insinuated that there will be a major correction over the next 3 years, but he doesn’t know exactly when. While he doesn’t, we certainly do. And not only to the year or to the month, but to the day. That’s right, our mathematical and timing work shows us exactly when (to the day) the bull market will top out and the subsequent bear market composition (bear market of 2014-2017). If you would like to gain access to such information, please Click Here.   

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Carl Icahn Confirms Our View. And It Is So Disturbing You Won’t Be Able To Sleep Over The Weekend Google

Stock Market Update. April 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 10 2014

A massive down day with the Dow Jones down 267 points (-1.62%) and the Nasdaq Down 129 points (-3.10%).

Is this another buying opportunity as most market pundits believe or is this a “sell now ask questions later” type of a deal? I continue to believe that markets are starting to wake up and see the forest through the trees. What a lot of traders and investors are starting to see is not pretty. Excessive overvaluation, massive speculation in all asset classes (even trailer parks), slowing economy, ineffective and counterproductive FED, flattening yield curve, etc….. With confidence levels collapsing it is just a matter of time before we find ourselves in a full blown bear market. 

That is precisely what our mathematical and timing work shows as well. In fact, we have been consistent in predicting a certain date for the bear market to start since the time this blog initiated in 2013. When the bear market of 2014-2017 starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains achieved over the last 2 years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and it’s subsequent internal composition, please Click Here. 

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here).   

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Stock Market Update. April 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

The Next Hottest Hedge Fund Investment? Yep, Trailer Parks

Nothing against trailers parks or the business model, but this liquidity party is getting seriously out of hand. When hedge funds are starting to invest in Trailer Parks you know that all other asset classes have been driven to the moon.

Dan Weissman, who previously worked at Goldman Sachs and a private hedge fund, now owns five mobile home parks. “The greatest part of the business is that we go to sleep at night not ever worrying about demand for our product. It’s the best decision I’ve ever made,” he tells Bloomberg Markets. 

If you watch the video, the talking head asks “Should I buy a distressed trailer park for $280,000, is that a good investment?” (WTF?) Yes, she should buy one. Unbelievable. I can’t wait until this FED induced liquidity party meets its disastrous end so we can all go back to productive economic endeavors as opposed to speculating in trailers parks. 

trailer park

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The Next Hottest Hedge Fund Investment? Yep, Trailer Parks  Google

 

Breakout: You won’t believe this hot new investment ‘vehicle’

Some of Wall Street and Silicon Valley’s best minds are packing it all in for greener pastures. And they’ve found those pastures in…trailer parks.

“Trailer parks have unusual economics,” says Anthony Effinger, the author of an article on the topic forBloomberg Markets. “It’s a supply and demand curve that’s super attractive to investors.”

There certainly is demand for trailer homes—they’re often the cheapest form of housing which means a lot in an economy with ever-growing wage disparity. The supply of designated trailer parks is also quite low because, “nobody wants a trailer park in their town or county,” says Effinger.

Dan Weissman, who previously worked at Goldman Sachs and a private hedge fund, now owns five mobile home parks. “The greatest part of the business is that we go to sleep at night not ever worrying about demand for our product. It’s the best decision I’ve ever made,” he tells Bloomberg Markets.

“What’s at work here,” says Effinger, “is the shrinking middle class.” People with bad credit and criminal histories are often unable to rent or buy homes, and are forced into trailer parks—where owners are usually willing to overlook credit and criminal activity.

It’s not all a walk in the park. Investors go into these parks and often have to fix decrepit homes, deal with criminals, and in some cases even meth labs.

“There are so many people crowding into technology,” says Effinger. “They’re all super bright, everybody’s making a new app for the iPhone and in New York there are super-talented MBAs scrambling for a limited number of financial jobs…what these guys wanted was something where they didn’t have to bump up against those folks.”

They’re willing to enter a hairy industry to avoid that competition.

So should you look to invest in mobile homes? “I suspect you’d need a lot of patience and a lot of time to deal with some of this stuff,” says Effinger.

Markets Continue To Collapse. What’s Next?

Just a picture of iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) slicing through it’s lows like a hot knife through butter. Bear Market? What bear market? Statistically, April is the best month for stocks and according to Mr. Saut (from earlier post) the market is set for a 12% gain this year. “Sarcasm”. Listen, if you are tired of the main stream financial media bullshit and would like to find out exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please follow us Here

IBB.

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Markets Continue To Collapse. What’s Next?  Google

Today’s Market Action Is A Perfect Example Of Why You Should Never Follow The FED

Yesterday, the market soared on the FOMC Minutes indicating slower tightening (if any at all) over the next few years. Just as we have been saying for a long time. Today, Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank suggested that the central bank might push its main interest rate even lower or cut the rate it pays banks on excess reserves kept at the U.S. central bank to accelerate economic recovery.

Say what? 

How can you cut something that is already technically ZERO. Since the rates are at zero and the yield curve is flattening as we speak, what are they going to do when the next recession hits? QE 100 Billion, 500 Billion, $1Trillion/month or will they just send everyone a check for $1 Million. And that’s the biggest problem here. The FEDs have already used up their BAZOOKA and there is nothing they can do to prevent, stop or reverse the next recession. As per out mathematical work the next recession/bear market will transpire between 2014-2017. Checkmate. 

unconventional FED

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Today’s Market Action Is A Perfect Example Of Why You Should Never Follow The FED Google

 

Reuters: Fed could cut rates to combat joblessness: Kocherlakota

ROCHESTER, Minnesota (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve should do more to boost both inflation and jobs, a top Fed official said on Tuesday, including possibly pushing its main interest rate even lower or cutting the rate it pays banks on excess reserves kept at the U.S. central bank.

“The key is for us to be able to demonstrate in an effective fashion that we are committed to the recovery,” Narayana Kocherlakota, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, told reporters after a speech.

The Fed has been winding down its massive bond-buying stimulus since early this year, and Kocherlakota said he has no plans to “relitigate” that decision, which puts the Fed on track to ending bond-buying altogether before the end of the year.

Instead, he said on Tuesday, the Fed must do better on returning the economy more rapidly to full employment and a healthy 2-percent pace of inflation.

The Fed has kept its short-term policy rate between zero and a quarter of a percentage point since December 2008, and Kocherlakota told the Greater Rochester Chamber of Commerce that “we should be thinking about” pushing it even lower.

“It’s really about demonstrating a commitment to stay with the recovery for as long as it takes to get the economy fully recovered,” he said.

The idea of lowering the Fed’s main policy rate, already near zero, or cutting the rate the Fed pays to banks on reserves they keep locked up at the central bank, is outside the mainstream of current Fed policymaking, which currently is focused on providing guidance about what economic conditions could lead to the Fed raising rates.

Kocherlakota, whose lone dissent against the Fed’s policy decision last month marks him as the central bank’s most dovish member, said that guidance falls short.

“We would be better off having more of a collective vision as a committee to what the change in conditions would have to be that would lead us from ending the asset purchase program to raising rates,” he told reporters.

“Unless we communicate as a group about what those conditions are, then we face this instability that two words in a press conference, or two words in a speech or an answer to a Senator can end up moving financial markets participants’ vision of what we are trying to do with policy.”

The Fed last month said it would reduce its monthly bond purchases to $55 billion and would continue to trim the program in measured steps as long as the economy improves as it expects.

After the policy-setting meeting, Fed Chair Janet Yellen briefly roiled markets when she suggested the Fed may start raising rates around “six months” after the bond-buying program ends. She also said that the timing of any rate hike depends on economic conditions, but that message was lost in the immediate aftermath of her answer.

“Unless we communicate more effectively on a collective basis about how conditions are shaping our policy choices, I think we going to continue to face that kind of instability,” Kocherlakota said.

In recent weeks several Fed policymakers have given their views as to when rates ought to start rising, although forecasts from all 16 current policymakers show nearly all expect it sometime next year.

Kocherlakota on Tuesday refused to be drawn about his personal expectations for when rates should rise.

He reiterated his expectation that the U.S. economy will likely grow around 3 percent this year and that unemployment will fall to the “low sixes” by the end of this year, from 6.7 percent now.

“It’s a question of the speed of the recovery, not about whether we are seeing a recovery,” he said.

Inflation, which is running near 1 percent, is “too low” and does not look likely to rise back to the Fed’s 2 percent goal for another four years, Kocherlakota said.

“Low inflation in the United States tells us that resources are being wasted,” he said, including the productive potential of Americans who cannot get jobs because demand for goods and services is so low.

And while unemployment has fallen from the recession-era high of 10 percent, “the U.S. labor market is far from healthy,” he said. Longer term, he said, unemployment should fall to just over 5 percent.

Kocherlakota’s view that the Fed should do more is no secret: The Fed, in his view, should have promised to keep rates near zero until U.S. unemployment falls below 5.5 percent, as long as inflation and financial stability risks are contained.

Instead, the Fed last month dropped the idea of tying low rates to any specific unemployment figure and said it would factor in a wide range of economic measures as it judged the correct timing for raising rates.

Kocherlakota said that the Fed could reword its policy statement show “a stronger commitment to the recovery in terms of being willing to stay accommodative for as long as it takes to see the recovery to completion.”

What Ukrainians Really Think About The US

If you are naive enough to believe the situation in Ukraine has anything to do with freedom and democracy as opposed to expansion of NATO, I have a picture to share with you. Taken in Ukraine over the last 24 hours, this is the reality of what most Ukrainians think about the EU and the US, despite Western Media propaganda to the contrary. Translation:  America and EU, Get Your Hands Off Ukraine. Get Your Mercenaries Out. The US & EU Are Occupiers.  

What Ukranians Think About The US

Do We Need This? It Is Time For America To Stay Out Of This BS. 

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What Ukrainians Really Think About The US Google

24 Hours Before Ukraine Ultimatum Ends. 24 Hours Before The War Starts?

I continue to maintain that this is exactly what Russia is waiting for before going into East Ukraine. Ukraine’s new interim government issued a 24 hour deadline prior to using force against pro-Russia and anti-government protesters who occupy a number of buildings in the city of Donetsk (East Ukraine). With Ukraine’s armed forces now surrounding the city, all we need now is that first spark. So, 24 hour ultimatum, 24 hours to the first spark, 24-48 hours until Russian army crosses the border, 24-48 hours until the start of a massive International shit storm and finally, 24-48 hours until the US Stock Market sells off?  I guess we are about to find out.  

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24 Hours Before Ukraine Ultimatum Ends. 24 Hours Before The War Starts?  Google

RT Reports: Standoff between gvt, protesters intensifies, 24 hours before Kiev ultimatum ends

With 24 hours until Kiev’s threatened deadline to use force against anti-government protesters occupying buildings in eastern Ukraine, reports emerge of tanks around the city of Donetsk. Several locals were allegedly injured trying to stop the convoy.

An eyewitness confirmed the information about military forces arriving in the city in an interview with RT.

“At about 2pm we received information that military hardware had arrived at our local train station. We went there and saw APCs, military vehicles and troops. The whole town gathered nearby. The soldiers tried to start moving, and the people tried to stop the vehicles,” Lyudmila said.

She also noted the harsh response from the military when the locals attempted to stop them.

“The soldiers twisted the arms of pensioners, there were two men standing there and [the soldiers] drove over their feet [in tanks]. I was pulled back by local coalminers while I tried to stop the vehicles. They didn’t even look at who was in front of them. The men started shouting for them to stop, saying there were girls and women in front of them, but they didn’t care.”

According to a decree signed by coup-imposed leader Aleksandr Turchinov, the local administration building in Donetsk and surrounding territory is an “important government facility, which is a subject to state protection.”

The decree entered into force upon signature and Turchinov has already given Ukraine’s state security service appropriate directions, Itar-Tass reports.

Ukraine’s acting interior minister Arsen Avakov stated earlier on Wednesday that a “special police task force” had already arrived in Donetsk, Lugansk and Kharkov from western regions of Ukraine and was ready to take them under control within 48 – using force, if needed.

The buildings of power structures in the eastern cities of Donetsk and Lugansk remain under control of the protesters. While so far there have been no attempts to recapture the occupied buildings, activists continue building barricades preparing for a possible attack by forces shipped in from other regions of Ukraine.

People are burning bonfires to stay warm in front of the barricades and singing songs to keep up their spirits, with Russian and regional flags waiving in the background. Many women and elderly people are among those on nightwatch in the center of city.

“We will be on duty here all night, because the assault could begin at any moment,” one of the activists told Ria Novosti. Thousands more people are ready to stand up against attackers at the first call of those keeping watch around the perimeter. Several times over the last few days activists assembled to train their response to emergency situations.

 

Barricades around the Donetsk regional administration, seized by protesters (RIA Novosti)

Barricades around the Donetsk regional administration, seized by protesters (RIA Novosti)

 

Activists expect the military operation to take place overnight in Donetsk and Lugansk simultaneously. Local administration in Kharkov was already stormed on Tuesday by armed men without insignia and masked law enforcement officers, after the local police in Kharkov refused to fulfil orders from Kiev.

 

About a hundred fighters from the newly-formed Ukraine’s National Guard reportedly arrived in the airport of Donetsk, the deputy director of a local group called People’s Militia of Donbas, Sergey Tsyplakov, told Ria Novosti.

“In Donetsk airport about a hundred of people from the National Guard have been housed,” Tsyplakov said. “Around a hundred of Right Sector thugs are also in the city, as well as a hundred employees from a private US military company operating under contract with Kiev junta.”

“Totally around 300 professionals or well-trained and motivated fanatics,” Tsyplakov added. “This is a major force, but we are ready to fight.”

 

Image from colonelcassad.livejournal.com

Image from colonelcassad.livejournal.com

 

Earlier in the day, pro-federalization activists in Donetsk blocked two busses carrying unbadged armed men in camouflage near the military commissariat. According to Tsyplakov activists believe they were mercenaries but were unable to identify gunmen as they kept silent and refused to answer any questions.

 

Image from colonelcassad.livejournal.com

Image from colonelcassad.livejournal.com

In the meantime, Ukrainian personnel and armored vehicles were spotted moving closer to the city of Donetsk. Amateur videos posted on YouTube show that locals were trying to stop machinery from progressing further.

Protests against the new government in Kiev have been continuing in eastern Ukraine for weeks now. On Monday, popular assemblies in Donetsk and Kharkov, where local administration headquarters were captured by protesters, declared independence from Ukraine and announced the creation of the independent Donetsk People’s Republic and Kharkov People’s Republic.