2/12/2016 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 318 points (+2.03%) and the Nasdaq up 71 points (+1.66%)

About two weeks ago I suggested that the market will drive both bulls and bears up the wall going forward. And that appears to be the case here. With bears declaring victory one day, only to be squeezed to death the next. As is the case today. Let’s try to figure out what’s going on.

• Shipper Moller-Maersk Posts Q4 Loss of $2.5 Billion -VS-
• U.S. recession risk at 20%-25%, Morgan Stanley’s Caron says

We have covered the Baltic Dry Index and its recent crash on this blog before. And while various market pundits continue to argue about the possibility of a recession, Baltic Dry has made the whole matter as clear as night and day. That is, after losing 90% of its value in just under two years and hitting historic lows on the daily basis.

Not only are we already in a recession, something much worse might be coming down the pipeline. At least that is what global trade and oil are telling us.

• Is it really 2008 all over again? -VS- 
• Bottom fishers, the time to buy stocks after that S&P rout may be nigh

Buy the dip mentality has worked very well between 2009 bottom and 2015 top. Yet, the strategy has proven disastrous since then. Is it ready to make a comeback? Perhaps. At the same time, the market’s technical and fundamental backdrop is indeed very similar to the one we saw in 2008. No one can seriously argue that the market is not overpriced.

So, who is right? 

Well, last week I showed you the chart below.  Suggesting that the market will remain within a certain trading range until the structure below terminates itself in TIME. Hence, the tag of war we are witnessing today. It is only after this structure completes itself, in TIME, that the market will move violently. If you would like to find out exactly when this large scale move will start, and most importantly, its direction, please Click Here. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 12th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

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Big Market Move Is Coming….Are You Ready? Google

2/11/2016 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 255 points (-1.60%) and the Nasdaq down 17 points (-0.39%) 

I typically shy away from giving direct “financial advice”, but this one is a no-brainer. At least based on my long-term mathematical and timing work.

I am executing this “Trade” for myself and I have instructed my entire family to do the same. Most importantly, I believe this “Trade” will allow individuals to do the incredible. That is, to legally loot a bank of your choice. Literally. A truly once in a lifetime opportunity.

Let’s start from the beginning.

1. Over the last two years I have maintained that we will see a double bottom in the 10-Year Treasury Note. Here is a sample post from last year 10-Year Note: All Systems Are A Go For A Double Bottom
2. Well, guess what…..we are nearly there. At the chart below shows.

Whether we still push lower, into a double bottom, perhaps even lower is pointless for the purposes of this post. The time to act is NOW. I would say you have about 1-12 months to get this trade done. And the sooner you do it, the better.

What is this trade? 

1. We are witnessing a multi-generational bottom in interest rates. Refinance and lock in your loans at a fixed rate and do it now. The longer the duration of the loan the better.
2. The FED will be forced to inflate away or monetize the dollar or our massive debt.
3. Most of your fixed loan value (not underlying asset) will be wiped out through inflation. In other words, you will stick it to the bank. Big time.

Why/How?

Here is what will happen over the next 10-20 years. At least based on my mathematical and timing work.

We are are about to go through a major bear market leg. Since the FED is sitting at zero interest rates already, they will be forced to do additional rounds of QE and to even go Interest rate negative. My work suggests that the US Dollar and Interest rates will have none of that. At a certain point.

The US Dollar will decline while Interest rates head higher (market rates). Additional stimulus will finally get inflation going. An inflation that will accelerate over the next 10-15 years. Think in terms of 1966-1982 period of time.

By the time it is all said and done, in about 20 years, your fixed mortgage might be inflated away to the tune of 75-90%. To the point where a $500,000  fixed 30 year loan and $3,000 monthly payment today, might only be worth about $100,000 or $500 monthly in today’s money. The rest of its value will simply vanish.

In other words, you win and banks lose……..for once.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 11th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Google

2/10/2016 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 99 points (-0.62%) and the Nasdaq up 15 points (+0.35%) 

When it comes to investing, sentiment, investor or otherwise, becomes increasingly important. For instance, when we were heavily short in May of 2015, you couldn’t find a bearish point of view if your life dependent on it How We Nailed May 19th, 2015 Top -To The Day. Even permabears like Marc Faber were throwing in the towel at the time.

The situation is entirely reversed today. Open any financial media outlet and you will be hard pressed to find anything positive. So much so that quite a few prominent market “pundits” are calling for an outright financial Armageddon. Soup lines in tow.

And you thought I was a bear. Here is just a small sample from today.

• The U.S. May Be Even More Broke than You Think – Old news. Everyone knows that.
• Shock slump across European industry bodes ill for 2016 – Worthless linear thinking. Where were they predicting this “slump” in 2015?
• The head of trading at Morgan Stanley just confirmed Wall Street’s worst fear – And five times five is twenty five.
• David Stockman: Markets Going to Be Mauled by Bear – I like Mr. Stockman. I would actually listen to what he has to say. Our fundamental views match
• JP MORGAN STRATEGIST: Central banks tried to control the world … and failed miserably – Very true. As soon as most investors realize the same, well, watch out below.
• Companies lose billions buying back their own stock – A brain dead monkey could have predicted this in 2014-2015. And while I fancy myself to be just a little bit more intelligent, I did just that. Why Stock Buybacks Signal A Bear Market Ahead
• Cramer: Extreme valuations point to a recession – Really? Correct me if I am wrong, but I recall Mr. Cramer calling all bears “Idiots” in May of 2015 and suggesting that the stock market was undervalued at the time. Now, 10-15% lower, it is overvalued?

Point being, financial media’s bearish sentiment is overwhelming today. When that happens one of two things develop. We either crash or a big time bounce is just around the corner. I will let you decide what happens next. But you can always Click Here if you would like to know now.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 10th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Google

I am absolutely astonished by how easy it is for politicians and corporate media to fool smart phone addicted “zombie” populations into believing anything. Case and point…..

Last September I wrote the following….Is Russia About To Annihilate ISIS?

 On a more serious note, if they really go after them, Russia will be able to wipe out ISIS and all associated terrorist parties (American backed “freedom fighters” on Monday and just regular terrorist by Friday) within a few months. That should stabilize the region and stop the humanitarian/refugee disaster we are all witnessing today.

And that is exactly what is happening on the ground as ISIS rats or as Mr. Obama calls them “Freedom Fighters” flee back into Turkey. Thousands flee as Russian-backed offensive threatens to besiege Aleppo

Here is what I find truly astonishing. After destabilizing the entire region, the US, NATO, Turkey and Saudi Arabia blame Russia for what is going on in Syria. What is even more astonishing is that most Americans believe this narrative. Here is the latest.

• Pentagon wants $582bn in 2017 budget, quadrupling of spending in Europe
• Saudi Arabia ready to take part in any US-led ground operations in Syria – military spokesman
• Analysis: How Russia keeps piling pressure on Turkey
• Russia’s Lethal New Robotic Tanks Are Going Global
• Moscow slams UN chief for Syria comments

The bottom line is….. For whatever reasons, Western Powers (NATO Members) are hell bent on starting a war with Russia. Eventually they will get their wish. As was first outlined in this report. Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon.When, How & Why

The War Drums Are Growing Louder Google