Shoeshine Boys Are Long Biotech

Daily Chart April 21 2015

4/20/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 209 points (+1.17%) and the Nasdaq up 63 points (+1.27%)

I am starting to notice something curious. The overall US stock market has been, more or less, in a flat trading range since about July 17th, 2014. Or for 9 months. Yet, the speculative spirits are running as hot as ever. I am seeing the evidence of that everywhere as most people continue to “yap” about their highly speculative positions. And I am not the only one.

Market top conversations are back.

“One of our producers was out with some hipsters in Brooklyn, and these people were all talking about biotech stocks,” he says. “When you get that kind of chatter at that kind of level, it just makes me nervous.”

This is incredibly important as we have now come a full circle. March 6th, 2009 bottom was incredibly easy to predict and identify. We had a number of cycles and mathematical structures arriving at the same time. Yet, not a single person or hedge fund I gave this information to, acted on it. Why? Simple psychology. After a 55-70% drop in most equities, they were too terrified.

Now, the situation is reversed. After a 6 year bull market, no one can imagine a substantial decline. Even though most of the stocks are incredibly expensive and have disconnected from any sort of a fundamental/economic reality.

Don’t forget, it’s buy low – sell/short high, and NOT buy high – sell/short low.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. April 20th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Shoeshine Boys Are Long Biotech Google

April 20, 2015April 20, 2015

Why Most People Will Miss The Market Top….Again

Because I highly doubt that you are smarter than John D. Rockeffeller. Let me tell you a cool story first.

The Dow set a secondary bottom in early May of 1924 and then went on a rampage bull market that terminated on September 3rd, 1929 (exact top). Thereafter, the Dow distributed for 6 weeks before initiating its crash sequence on October 24, 1929. By November 13th, 1929 the Dow was down 49%. A devastating collapse.

Now, I know what you are thinking. “People were kind of dumb back then. The market was clearly in a speculative bubble and even a monkey with half a brain could have seen the 1929 crash coming from a mile away”. WRONG. Human nature never changes. Case and point, I present to you probably the smartest and the wealthiest businessman who ever lived, Mr. John D. Rockeffeller (his net worth was over $200 Billion in today’s money).

October 30, 1929: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has one of its best days ever, rocketing up 29 points, or 12.3%, to 258 as John D. Rockefeller, Sr. announces: “There is nothing in the business situation to warrant the destruction of values that has taken place on the exchanges during the past week. My son and I have for some days been purchasing sound common stocks.” The Dow goes on to lose 84.1% more of its value before bottoming out on July 8, 1932.

I think his quote speaks for itself. Just as in 1929, 99.99% of people today are not aware of where we are. Back to 2015. I have already beaten the fundamental/economic/market horse and today’s stock market overvaluation/speculation levels to death. Both, in my daily blog and in my weekly updates. The only remaining question is, are you ready for a big market sell-off when it comes? If you would like to find out when that happens, please Click Here

Why Most People Will Miss The Market Top….Again Google

April 20, 2015

Investment Wisdom Of The Day

InvestWithAlex Wisdom 18

Investment Wisdom Of The Day Google

April 18, 2015April 25, 2015

Two Hedge Fund Managers Discuss The Stock Market, Currencies, Commodities & Investment Ideas – Weekly Podcast

April 18th, 2015: We have a great show for you this week. Hedge fund managers Matthew Demeter and Alex Dvorkin discuss the following topics….

What the stock market is doing and what we expect to happen over the next few weeks.
COT Report and what the big guys are buying. Listen to make sure you are not on the wrong side of the trade.
Deflation, employment numbers, gold, geopolitical and macroeconomic issues.
A multitude of great investment ideas and various tops/bottoms that can make you a ton of money.
And of course, much…..much more.

Don’t miss this one and join us again next Saturday.

Listen to the podcast by clicking on the player above. If you prefer iTunes, please Click Here

Two Hedge Fund Managers Discuss The Stock Market, Currencies, Commodities & Investment Ideas – Weekly Podcast Google

April 17, 2015April 18, 2015

How It Was Possible To Predict Today’s Stock Market Bloodbath

Daily Chart April 17 2015

4/17/2015 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 280 points (-1.55%) and the Nasdaq down 76 points (-1.52%).

The stock market continues to behave exactly as forecasted. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here.

So, was it possible to predict today’s sell-off?

Sure, but you wouldn’t be able to forecast or anticipate it with the help of either fundamental or technical analysis. You would need something more. You would need TIMING analysis.

Most investors measure the movements of their underlying financial instruments in PRICE only. That is a wrong approach. Don’t forget, all charts consist of two axis. Price and time. By concentrating only on the price portion of the equation, investors and analyst leave out 50% of necessary data. TIME data needed to make accurate stock market forecasts. In other words, we need to unify price and time.

To fully understand how to do that, get two free chapters of my book Timed Value.

Let’s take a quick look at the real stock market example to see the amazing precision this particular technique can offer us.

I cannot overstate how amazing this chart is. Just a few points. (3-DV stands for 3-Dimensional Value)

As we have already discussed, the move between 1994 bottom and 2000 top was 11,832 3-DV UNITS. The Dow topped at exactly 11,866 in January of 2000. Amazing!!!
The up move between 1994 bottom and 2000 top was 11,832 3-DV UNITS. The down move between 2000 top and 2002 bottom was 6,483 3-DV UNITS. When you combine both values together you end up with a value of 18,315 3-DV UNITS. The move took 9 years.
The up move between 2002 bottom and 2007 top was 10,156 3-DV UNITS. The down move between 2007 top and 2009 bottom was 8,137 3-DV UNITS. When you combine both values together you end up with a value of 18,293 3-DV UNITS. The move took 7 years.

To summarize, the combined move took 16 years and there was only 22 3-DV UNITS of variance between two sections. This variance over the 16 year period of time can be attributed to as little as 2 trading days and a few hundred points on the Dow. This example alone should put to rest all claims that the stock market is random and unpredictable. Once again, when we identify the exact structure of the stock market through using our 3-Dimensional analysis we can time the market with great precision.

For example, if we understand the structure above we know that the move between 2002 bottom and 2009 bottom will be identical in 3-DV UNITS of the move between 1994 bottom and 2002 bottom. Just by having this information alone one should be able to figure out the stock market with great precision. Further, once we have hit the 2007 top on the DOW, any analyst using this technique knows that the upcoming down move will be exactly 8,127 3-DV UNITS. (18283-10156=8,127)

That would mean that once the 2007 top is confirmed you would know exactly where the market would bottom. So, while everyone is freaking out in the late 2008 and early 2009 you are either shorting the market and making a lot of money or you are setting yourself up for the upcoming bull market that you know will start in March of 2009. Same thing or calculations apply to the December 31st, 2013 top on the Dow Jones.

I hope this clearly illustrates how powerful this type of an analysis can be. Again, once the market structure is fully understood you would know not only where but WHEN the market would turn.

So, what does the future hold…….will we get another bounce (buy the dip) or is this sell-off just getting started?

Well, my mathematical and timing work clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

How It Was Possible To Predict Today’s Stock Market Bloodbath Google

April 17, 2015

Investment Grin Of The Day

investment grin of the day 64

Investment Grin Of The Day Google

April 17, 2015April 17, 2015

How Artificially Low Interest Rates Destroy The Primary Pillars Of The American Economy

Surprisingly enough, Blackrock’s CEO takes quite an honest look at the FED and today’s artificially low interest rate environment. He holds no punches as he clearly explains how the FED is destroying not only the savers, but the very foundation of our economy.

Central banks do not understand “the huge pain” low interest rates are causing to the long-term interests of insurance companies, pension funds and retirement plans

Anyway, take a look at the video below. It is definitely worth 3 minutes of your time.

How Artificially Low Interest Rates Destroy The Primary Pillars Of The American Economy Google

April 16, 2015April 16, 2015

Shocking: Why The Stock Market Deserves Infinite Valuation

Daily Chart April 16 2015

4/16/2015 – A down day with the Dow Jones down 7 points (-0.04%) and the Nasdaq down 3 points (-0.06%)

According to quite a few market pundits, the party in the equity markets hasn’t even started yet. Case and point

I cannot stop shaking my head in disbelief. To save you some time, here is what was said:

“This is an extraordinary buying opportunity, buy any and all dips, with zero interest rates the price of equities could be infinite, this bull market will continue, valuation don’t matter anymore, etc….”

Valuations don’t matter……infinite run ups are just around the corner …..buy now. That sounds familiar. If I didn’t hear the exact same thing at 2007 and 2000 tops, well, call me a fool.

Again, the underlying assumption in both cases is the same. We are in such a unique monetary easing environment that there is no way in hell the markets can go down. Maybe so, but here is the major point that most investors miss. Today’s market environment becomes a matter of psychological setup as opposed to a fundamental background.

When everyone and their day trading grandmother believe that we are in such a bullish environment, the market is getting ready to reverse. Why? Well, it’s rather simple, everyone has already bought into the long side of the market. Contrary to the opinion of the market pundits above, I would argue that the only opportunity here is on the short side (or in cash).

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Shocking: Why The Stock Market Deserves Infinite Valuation Google

April 16, 2015April 16, 2015

Putin Destroys McCain. Calls Out America

Imagine President Obama doing a 4 hour live interview in order to answer real questions from real citizens. Instead of yapping about the NCAA basketball and discussing gay cake issues. I would pay to see that. That is exactly what President Putin just did in Russia.

Putin’s 2015 Q&A marathon LIVE UPDATES

Not only did he call out Senator McCain for what he really is, a bloodthirsty and crazy warmonger, he very artfully dismantled the American political propaganda machine. Not that Russia is any better, but it is important to understand why Russia and the US/NATO will eventually go to war (Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon.When, How & Why) Watch the video below to see Putin call McCain crazy after McCain publicly threatened Putin’s life. It’s Priceless.