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Will The American People Ever Turn On The FED?

Old Navy Vs Gap

If you turn on the news you will quickly discover that the American middle and lower classes are suffering. Strikes, wage increase demands, people with two or more jobs barely able to make the ends meet, etc….

Why? 

Courtesy of the FED of course, but very few people realize that.  Simply put, they have created an “asset/speculative economy” by transferring wealth from productive capital investments to speculation and share buybacks.  An economy where only the rich benefit.

The chart above displays this disparity in a clear fashion. Sales at Gap’s namesake brand plummeted 7% in March, and are down 14% from two years earlier. Banana Republic sales fell 3%. Meanwhile, the company’s cheaper Old Navy label is thriving, with a sales increase of 14% in March.

Point being, no economy where only the rich benefit can function very well over the long-term. And as the US Economy heads towards yet another deep recession and stock market collapse, we have no one to blame but ourselves. The question is, for how much longer will the American people allow the FED to perpetuate this crime against them?

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Will The American People Ever Turn On The FED? Google

The FED Expects An Economic Boom, WTF?

Daily Chart April 15 2015

4/15/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 74 points (+0.41%) and the Nasdaq up 34 points (+0.68%). 

Something strange is in the air. While most people will agree that we are heading towards some sort of an economic storm, most believe we won’t see any major trouble before 2017-2018, even as late as 2022. So much so that St. Louis Fed President James Bullard believes the US Economy is about to boom.

Fed’s Bullard says rate hikes are needed for coming ‘boom’

Now, wait a second. Let’s bring an ounce of common sense to the statement above. Since 2009 bottom we have lived in an environment of zero interest rates and 3 massive capital infusions in the form of QE. And even with all of that money floating around the US Economy has failed to show any signs of a “Boom”.

Sure, our capital markets have experienced a massive boom, but as I have shown here so many times before, the US Economy is rolling over and accelerating down.

Bullard: We risk a market bubble if we don’t move on monetary policy

“A risk of remaining at the zero lower bound too long is that a significant asset market bubble will develop.”

Earth to Bullard: We are already in a massive bubble. It is already too late. And you don’t need a fancy Harvard Ph.D. nor do you have to look further than the chart below to fully realize that. Take a look.

The market is now more expensive than at 1907,1937, 1966,1972 and 1987 tops. Just as expensive as at 1929 and 2007 tops. Only 2000 top stands above (due to the tech bubble and the lack of earnings at that time  – arguably that number can be dismissed). And the charlatans at the FED have the audacity to claim that there is “No Bubble”? Despite QE, zero interest rates, stock buybacks, high margin debt, etc…. Seriously, WTF?

This leads me to stand by my earlier statement. The FED has no clue.  

PE Ratio

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. April 15th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

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The FED Expects An Economic Boom, WTF? Google

The Future Of Cooking & How To Make Money Off Of It

In the late 1990’s GreenMountain/Keurig Coffee Company (GMCR) introduced the first generation of their at home/office coffee machines. And if you would have invested $10,000 in GMCR in 1999 you would have close to $5 Million today (50,000% ROI). That’s just one of the reasons as to why it makes sense to pay attention to future kitchen technologies.

I present you you Robo Chef: ROBOT CHEF THAT CAN COOK ANY OF 2,000 MEALS AT TAP OF A BUTTON TO GO ON SALE IN 2017

While the version above is bulky and probably expensive, it is just a matter of time before someone develops a cheaper and more compact product. When they do, it is likely to be incredibly popular. So, keep your eyes open for the company that does. The rewards are likely to be significant.

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The Future Of Cooking & How To Make Money Off Of It  Google

Put Option Cost At An All Time High, Crash Coming?

business headlines about our worldLong-term crash protection put option cost has doubled.Traders pay up for crash protection-time to worry. Just a structural change or an ominous sign of things to come?

“Long-dated crash put protection costs on the have more than doubled over the past 9 months,” a Goldman Sachs options research team led by John Marshall wrote. “We believe it is an important development to watch as it implies investors are increasingly concerned about downside risk even as U.S. equities trade near all-time highs.”

Specifically, the options that have more than doubled in value are 55 percent out-of-the-money puts that expire in five years. That is to say, in order for these derivatives to pay off come expiration, the S&P would have to lose more than half its value over the next five years.

“We see reason for concern as put prices were up a similar amount in 2007 ahead of the financial crisis, diverging from credit and equity at that time as well.”

This is a complex matter to discuss and the increase above could be caused by a number of different things. Changing dynamics in the options markets, hedging, balance sheet issues, etc…. With that in mind, maybe some smart folks are building large short positions in an anticipation of a large decline or worse, a crash. That would make even more sense.

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Put Option Cost At An All Time High, Crash Coming?  Google

Dream Big & Speculate Away

Daily Chart April 14 2015

4/14/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 60 points (+0.33%) and the Nasdaq down 11 points (-0.22%).  

Everyday I attempt to bring you a few more data points in order to illustrate that we are in a massive financial bubble. We have two more today. First, Mr. Cramer.

Cramer: Go for it! Dream big for your portfolio

Where Mr. Cramer tries to convince me that I am just not intelligent enough to understanding proper valuation techniques.  You see, its not that Netflix, Facebook, Twitter, Alibaba, etc…. are overvalued, I am just too stupid to understand how to value them properly.

Cramer thinks that some stocks are undervalued simply because investors just can’t think big enough and imagine what could happen in the future. And there could be big bucks in store if investors try to think outside of the box.

So, dream big and buy on margin. After all, it appears we live in a world where valuations no longer matter. Call me crazy, but I think Mr. Cramer had the exact same view at 2000 and 2007 tops.

Second, about a month ago Mark Cuban brought up the issue of a massive venture capital bubble and its illiqudity. I wrote about it earlier What Most People Don’t Know About Mark Cuban’s Bubble Call. It also important to note that the same bubble exists in today’s private equity funds. Well, at least in their attempts to take this junk public at incredible valuation levels (watch the video below).

That is to say, the game of musical chairs continues to intensify. In both private and public markets. When will it stop? Based on my work, we do not have that much, if any, time left. Big losses are ahead.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. April 14th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

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Dream Big & Speculate Away Google

Scary: Is The Nasdaq Building A Head And Shoulders Pattern?

Technicians often fear the head and shoulders pattern as it entails trouble ahead. So much so that the pattern often shows up right before some sort of a big decline starts. With that in mind, the Nasdaq might be developing one right now. Take a look at the chart below and decide for yourself. At the very least, pay attention. Just FYI.

nasdaq head and shoulders

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Scary: Is Nasdaq Building A Head And Shoulders Pattern? Google

Is The FED Planning To Abolish Cash?

cashless societyIn an attempt to gain complete control of our financial system the FED needs an additional tool. The ability to set negative interest rates in order to tax the currency. We might as well be a stone throws away from someone at the FED actually proposing this notion as CITI’s own economist believe it’s a splendid idea.

Citi Economist Says It Might Be Time to Abolish Cash

Their plan entails…..

  • Abolishing currency.
  • Taxing currency.
  • Removing the fixed exchange rate between currency and central bank reserves/deposits.

I am truly speechless here. Apparently it is not enough that we are already suffering through the worst FED induced Ponzi Scheme in human history. They now want the FED to abolish cash in order to induce negative interest rates.  To fight deflation, to induce even larger asset bubbles, to gain full control control of the population, etc…

Just imagine how high the stock market will go if the fools above are able to set interest rates at, let’s say, -6%. Yet, as we are about to find out, the bigger the bubbles the bigger the eventual consequences will be. You cannot rewrite the laws of physics and that is precisely what they are trying to do here.

Perhaps I will end this with the following statement, echoing the NRA. I just hope that most Americans are smart enough to realize the same.

I’ll give you my cash when you pry it from my cold, dead hands. 

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Is The FED Planning To Abolish Cash?  Google

Why The FED Has No Clue

Daily Chart April 13 2015

4/13/2015 – A down day with the Dow Jones down 81 points (-0.45%) and the Nasdaq down 8 points (-0.15%). 

The stock market continues to behave as forecasted. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here.

Despite the appearance of having complete control over our financial markets, the FED might lose that power of perception fairly soon. And once the FED trade goes, the markets should implode. I have long argued that the FED has no idea of where we are and what their reckless QE and zero interest rate policy has done.  Case and point…..

Exclusive: Fed’s Williams sees less risk of rate retreat after lift-off

“So even if the economy got some bad shocks, really you are probably just talking about flattening that path out a bit, or maybe raising rates more slowly.”

Economic lift-off……what economic lift-off? See, I told you they were clueless. Over the last few months I have presented at least a dozen data points showing that the US Economy is rolling over and accelerating down. (Ex: chart below). Plus, forward earnings and guidance are expected to be adjusted lower due to the strong dollar and the same economic issues. We should see the evidence of that in Q-1 reports.

Finally, no matter what the FED says, asset bubbles do not translate to strong economic growth. The view Mr. Williams has is identical to the view Mr. Bernanke held in Q-1 of 2008. As the FED minutes revealed, Mr. Bernanke was concerned about overheating the economy and the housing sector. The 2007-2009 bear market was pushing into its 6th month by that point.

That is to say, don’t rely on the FED to make your investment decisions. And if you do, you will pay dearly for it.

Macrodata

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please NoteA bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. April 13th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Why The FED Has No Clue Google