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The FED Decision, Apple, Yields & What The Market Is About To Do

Daily Chart January 28th

1/28/2015 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 195 points (-1.12%) and the Nasdaq down 43 points (-0.93%). 

The stock market continues to behave as forecasted. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here. 

A number of very important things to consider today. First, a very important fundamental/technical look at today’s market. Forbes: Watch These Interesting Stock Market Patterns Forming Right Now  I highly encourage you to study the article in great detail.

Dow Patterns

Second, today’s market action is incredibly important considering….

  • The FED decision to not change course.
  • Plunging yields.
  • Market’s inability to rally despite Apple’s blow out quarter.

You can look at all of the above in a number of different ways. It can be debated that the FED decision not to alter their eventual interest rate hike plan bodes well for the overall US Economy. At the same time, neither the yields nor the stock market are buying that premise. If anything they are flashing a red warning light. And since there is are no fundamental reasons for this massively overpriced stock market to rally, as earnings are not very good and the US Economy is rolling over,……….I wonder what happens next.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please NoteA bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 28th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

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The FED Decision, Apple, Yields & What The Market Is About To Do  Google

Is It Time To Buy The Russian Market & Ruble?

Listener Question: Is It Time To Buy The Russian Market & Ruble? – Daily Podcast – Listen to our short 5-10 minute podcast to find out. Plus, don’t forget to email me your questions.rsx

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Is It Time To Buy The Russian Market & Ruble? Google

NATO Mercenaries Are Fighting In Ukraine & The Game Of Nuclear Chicken

In cartoon: Ukraine in crisis

I continue to write about Russia and the situation in Ukraine because I believe it is the most important macro economic development in at least 200 years. Not only will this impact the US stock market in a negative way, it might change all of our lives forever. In fact, it might very well  be that when the history books are written 50 years from now, this issue might be viewed as the most significant in human history. In the very same fashion the treaty of versailles is viewed today.

I assure you, the intelligence level of today’s politicians did not improve one iota from the idiots who started World War I and then created perfect conditions for World War II.

Do you want the real story of what is happening in Ukraine? I highly recommend the following article by MISH Email From US Special Forces Veteran; 500 US Blackwater Mercenaries in Ukraine? US Backs Ukrainian Neo-Nazis  He did a wonderful job putting things together.

In addition, consider the following news flow……

Did you catch the first article? Things are now getting very serious. Russia feels under attack and the US/EU/NATO are now playing a dangerous game of Nuclear Chicken. A game that I am afraid all of us will have to pay for. Sooner or later.

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NATO Mercenaries Are Fighting In Ukraine & The Game Of Nuclear Chicken Google

The FED, Deflation, Gold, Oil and Other Commodities.

Daily Chart January 27th

1/27/2015 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 291 points (-1.65%) and the Nasdaq down 90 points (-1.89%). 

Hedge fund manager Jeff Gundlach outlines a number of very important observations that I wholeheartedly agree with (watch the video below). Particularly……

  • We are in a deflationary environment.
  • The FED would be stupid to raise rates due to upcoming economic weakness, strong dollar and no inflation.
  • The only reason to raise interest rates in this environment is to re-load on future “recession fighting tools”.

Bingo!!! Despite zero interest rates and a massive credit infusion into our economic system in the form of QE, it is now becoming evident that the real economy is rolling over into a massive recession. If anything, the FED is too late. They should have started raising interest rates about a year ago. Now, they might be forced to raise interest rates into a double whammy of economic slow down and falling stock prices.

Here is the most important thing to consider when it comes to the stock market. I don’t believe the FED will alter their message in terms of raising interest rates over the next few months. And as investors begin to comprehend the unfortunate setup above (raising rates in a recessionary environment) all hell is going to break loose in the stock market. Finally, I believe it is only after a big sell-off that the FED might reconsider raising interest rates. Not before it.

Watch the video below as he continues to discuss gold, oil, etc… It is definitely worth your time.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please NoteA bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 27th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

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Hedge Fund Manager Predicts A Record Breaking Sell-Off

It’s a sad state of affairs when a mere suggestion that the market might decline makes the news. Especially when you consider today’s extreme bubble valuation levels. Hedge fund manager Crispin Odey tends to agree. HEDGE FUND MANAGER ODEY WARNS: We’ve Entered A Downturn That Will Be Remembered In 100 Years

We’ve entered an economic downturn that is likely to be remembered in a hundred years and central banks won’t be able to stop it. Odey writes that the shorting opportunity “looks as great as it was in 07/09.” “My point is that we used all our monetary firepower to avoid the first downturn in 2007-09.”

An article worth your time as I couldn’t agree more. As you know, I have been warning about a severe bear market of 2014/15-2017 for well over a year now. It is coming and there is nothing anyone, including the FED, can do in order to prevent it.

With that in mind, I do want to ease your mind in one respect. The upcoming sell-off or bear market will not be as powerful as 2007-2009 decline. The collapse of 2008 was represented by a mid-cycle collapse reminiscent of 1972-74 or 1937 or 1907. The final leg of a secular bear market (2000-2017) is never as powerful.

That is to say, anyone expecting a 50% or more haircut here would be utterly disappointed. If you would like to find out what happens next and the extent of this bear market, please Click Here. 

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Hedge Fund Manager Predicts A Record Breaking Sell-Off Google

Is The US Dollar About To Reverse?

Daily Chart January 26thrd

1/26/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 6 points (+0.03%) and the Nasdaq up 14 points (+0.29%). 

The stock market continues to trade within a tight trading range. That might change in a relatively short order. If you would like to find out which way the market will break and when, please Click Here. 

In the meantime, the US Dollar continues to surge higher. Given the chart below, is it prudent to expect this trend to continue for the foreseeable future? Let’s explore.

dollar-chartAs discussed in our weekly podcast (Saturday’s post), it is highly probable that the dollar is approaching a major turning point for the following reasons.

  • The long-term chart above suggests that we are still in a major downtrend and now approaching a major resistance level.
  • Everyone is long the “King Dollar”.
  • For the dollar to truly bottom, a double bottom around 2011 levels is likely.
  • International currency war were everyone is trying to debase their currency has started.
  • The FED might postpone interest rate increases
  • Upcoming recession and another QE is likely.
  • Etc…..

In other words, there are many reasons for the US Dollar to come down now. As a result, it would be wise not to have a large long dollar position going forward. And if you do, it would pay to watch your position like a hawk.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to mSubscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 26th, 2015  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Is The US Dollar About To Reverse?  Google

Why Russian People Will NEVER Turn On Comrade Putin – Daily Podcast

Listener Question: Why are Russians still supporting Putin?  Daily Podcast – Listen to our short 5-10 minute podcast to find out. Plus, don’t forget to email me your questions.

Putin brands Ukraine army a NATO proxy as fighting flares

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Why Russian People Will NEVER Turn On Comrade Putin Google