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Investment Wisdom Of The Day
Anti Russian Propaganda Index Hits An All Time High
The amount of anti Russian propaganda in the Western media is now truly staggering. Here is just a small sample from this morning.
- The Four Horsemen Of Russia’s Economic Apocalypse
- West trying to throttle Russia’s economy, overthrow Putin: Kremlin
- Distortions, lies and omissions: The New York Times won’t tell you the real story behind Ukraine, Russian economic collapse
- Russia hits back at Obama over State of Union speech
- Lavrov on Obama speech: Efforts to isolate Russia will fail
- Russia ends US nuclear security alliance
Nice. I continue to maintain that out of all the stupidity coming out of Washington, this is the biggest issue most Americans don’t care about. They very much should. What most Americans don’t understand is that we have passed the point of no return with Russia. And while the hostilities might die off in the near future, depending on who our next president is, Russia will never forget this assault on their economy and their way of life. Make no mistake, Russia now sees the US as an enemy.
What’s more, you should pay a very close attention to the last article on the list. Arguably, the US and Russian nuclear security alliance was one of the most successful post Soviet era agreements between the two nations. It’s failure is not only troubling, it is a clear indication that we are now enemies. That is to say, we are right on schedule as per my earlier report Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon.When, How & Why
Finally, even the biggest bully in the school yard knows not to pick on other bullies. A law of the jungle that was definitely not a part of the curriculum at the Harvard Law. Something that I am afraid we will all pay dearly for.
Are You Ready For A Bear Market?
1/25/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 4 points (+0.03%) and the Nasdaq up 20 points (+0.44%).
The stock market has been, more or less, stuck in a trading range since a very important PRICE/TIME juncture of July 17th, 2014. That’s exactly six months if you are counting.
The question becomes, is the market consolidating or are we about to breakdown?
Well, if you are to listen to mainstream financial media you would be assured that the stock market is just starting its secular bull run and it just a matter of a few short years before we see the Dow hit 40K. Unfortunately, I do not share in their enthusiasm. Consider the following.
- Collapsing yields and flattening yield curve suggest a massive recession ahead.
- Oil Prices continue to collapse. Down over 50% in just 6 months.
- Baltic Dry Index continues to slide while hitting multi-year lows.
All while stocks are selling at spectacular valuation levels reminiscent, if not higher, than 2007 and 2000 highs. I just don’t see how any sort of a secular bull can develop here.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 20th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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Investment Grin Of The Day
As Russia’s oil revenue collapses, a new export is expected to make up the difference. Get Yours Today!!!
Is China Beginning To Collapse?
We have been talking about China’s “ponzi” economy for well over a year now. Here is just a small sample of our previous work Shocking: China’s Housing Collapse Is Already In Full Swing. It now appears that China’s massive fraud is beginning to unravels. Consider the news flow.
- China’s 2014 economic growth slowest in more than 2 decades
-
China’s $20 Trillion Headache Underscored by Stock Swings
- The Scale Of The Chinese Real Estate Crash Is Terrifying
Here are just a few more bits that should scare the bejeezus out of you.
- Chinese corporate borrowers owed $14.2 trillion at the end of 2013 Vs $13.1 trillion owed by U.S. corporations.
- This means that as much as 10 percent of global corporate debt is exposed to the risk of a contraction in China’s informal banking sector.
- Cash flows and leverage at Chinese corporations are the worst among global peers, having deteriorated from being the best in 2009.
As I have mentioned in the past, most of China’s economic growth over the last 5-6 years has been financed by massive credit expansion. The likes of which we have never seen before. The result?
- $21 Trillion Debt Mountain. Roughly the same size as the entire US Banking Sector. It took the US 220 years to get to that number, it took China just 5 years of explosive credit growth.
- $6 Trillion In Shadow Banking. Actually, no one knows how large this number is. I have read good data/reports putting this number at $10-15 Trillion range.
- Empty cities, shopping centers, massive speculative bubble in real estate, built out infrastructure, rising cost of labor and export driven economy.
How much longer can this go on? Well, that’s a Trillion dollar question…..or a $40 Trillion dollar question. Apparently, it is already unraveling. Either way, one thing is for sure, this will not end well nor will it end in an orderly fashion.
Weekly Update: Marc Faber, FX Bloodbath & Upcoming Bear Market
1/16/2015 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 190 points (+1.10%) and the Nasdaq up 63 points (+1.39%).
The stock market continues to perform exactly as forecasted. If you would like to find our what happens next, please Click Here. In the meantime, a number of things to consider over the weekend.
Marc’s fundamental view of our current economic environment is right on the mark. I couldn’t agree more. Unfortunately, his timing has been terrible over the last few years. As a result of predicting a massive bear market since about 2011. Has he thrown in the towel?
Not by a long shot, but his timing and his ultimate S&P target might backfire…..once again. In terms of timing and missing a large down move. When perma bears such as Marc Faber suggest that the market is about to surge higher, the maximum bearish pain threshold is hit and the time might be right to go short. That is too say, don’t wait for 2,500.
- Swiss franc’s ‘unprecedented’ surge causes 2 brokerage firms to become insolvent
-
Largest Retail FX Broker Stock Crashes 90% As Swiss Contagion Spreads
By now everyone should be familiar with what the Swiss did with their Swiss Franc, its impact on currency/financial markets and complete devastation they have caused throughout FX industry. As a result, everyone from Goldman Sachs to a typical day trading grandmother suffered massive losses.
There are two simple lessons here.
First, don’t try to be on the same side of the trade as everybody else. It rarely pays. On the contrary, the probability of it blowing up in your face is typically high. Just as we saw. Second, don’t use leverage. Countless speculators, including 2-5 large FX brokers were literally wiped out. I am sure we haven’t yet heard about all the damage the move caused. In many cases capital that took years and even decades to accumulate, was destroyed in a matter of minutes. In other words, don’t leverage up 1:100 and expect good things to happen. Sooner or later you will get destroyed.
A good overall look at why smart investors should anticipate a bear market sooner rather than later. An article definitely worth your time. Think about it in the following fashion. Those who outright dismiss even the slightest possibility of a bear market, despite a 5.5 year bull market cycle, might soon find themselves with large losses. Just as they did in 2008. Yet, those who a smart enough to prepare will be able to avoid losses and even profit.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. January 16th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!
Weekly Update: Marc Faber, FX Bloodbath & Upcoming Bear Market Google
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