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Thank You For The Rally Mr. Putin. Plus, Market Update

daily chart march 4, 2014

3/4/2014 – A massive stock market rally with the Dow Jones up +227 points (1.41%) and the Nasdaq up +74 points (1.75%). 

Traditional media would lead you to believe that today’s rally was due to ease of tension between Russia and the West. Once again, looking at the market in such a fashion would be confusing cause and effect. Yesterday, I had mentioned that the market will close the gap it had opened up on Monday. It did so today, but it did open up another large gaping hole on the downside. When will it be closed?  It’s not too important at this stage. 

Either way, as I indicated earlier, the volatility is back. Today we had an arrival of an important cycle from 2007 top. An exact hit. This cycle is the most likely culprit in today’s rally. With many cycles and points of force interfering with each other I continue to believe that March will be a very volatile month. So far, that has been the case. 

As I suggested in my earlier forecasts the markets are close to a very important point of inflection.  I did give a number of dates (please see yesterday’s forecast), but the price variable remains fixed. Let’s see if the market is able to reach XXXX on our first target date of XXXX.

When it does, it will mark a structural shift in the stock market. With a proposed plan of action outlined throughout our daily and weekly updates, I am confident you will be very well positioned to profit from it.  

In terms of trading and positioning, XXXX

Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Thank You For The Rally Mr. Putin. Plus, Market Update Google

Is It Time To Short Facebook?

Facebook has been on fire lately with its stock price appreciating 200% over the last 9 months. Of course, Facebook is not alone. Tesla, Google and many other highly speculative issues are up big time since this credit driven stock market rally made a push for its blow off top a year ago.

With that said, Facebook is going out on a limb of stupidity with it’s ridiculously overpriced purchase of WhatsApp two weeks ago and now an apparent purchase of drone maker Titan Aerospace for $60 million.  Something tells me that Titan doesn’t have any revenue either, but that’s beside the point.

The issue here is as follows. Mark Zuckerberg doesn’t know what to do with all of his cash. It’s burning a hole in his pocket and he is making idiotic decisions reminiscent of the tech bubble. While Facebook’s stock is still technically strong, there is no doubt that these stupid capital allocations will catch up to Facebook sooner rather than later.Once the market begins to breakdown as per my FORECAST I would anticipate Facebook to come down significantly.  

Making Facebook a great short opportunity. (Not yet, wait for a technical breakdown)

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Facebook will buy drone maker Titan Aerospace for about $60 million, a source familiar with the situation told CNBC on Tuesday.

The solar-powered drones can reportedly be airborne for up to five years without having to land.

The deal is part of Facebook’s ambition to provide Internet access worldwide. News of a possible deal was first reported by TechCrunch.

Last summer, Mark Zuckerberg announced a project called Internet.org—a partnership with a number of other tech giants that aims to make Internet available to everyone in the world. The solar-powered drones could help Facebook provide Internet to areas around the world without it, starting with Africa.

Titan Aerospace is privately held, and is based in New Mexico. The news comes after the social network acquired messaging app WhatsApp for $19 billion last month.

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Is Time To Short Facebook? Google

RadioShack Is Closing 1,100 Stores. Time To Buy?

RadioShack (RSH) is a shadow of its former glory. There is no arguing that. What was once a $70 stock is now selling at about $2.40. Today the company announced that it is closing 1,100 underperforming stores (about 25% of its stores) as it continues its turnaround plans. As of today, the company continues to lose money and there seems to be no hope left.

The question is…..is this company toast or is this the next Tenbagger?  

RadioShack reminds me of RiteAid (RAD), which is up 550% over the last 1.5 years. RadioShack is selling well below its Intrinsic and Book Value. The primary question is this. Will the company be able to execute it’s turnaround plan and recover or will it be filling for bankruptcy within a few years. We won’t know either way until the stock price confirms. RadioShack chart is starting to look very good. With firm base in place and an indication of a bull move, RadioShack’s turnaround might work out. If it does, this stock is likely to be up over 1,000% over the next 5 years. It is definitely going onto my watch list. 

Please do your own research.  

radio-shack

March 4 (Reuters) – Struggling retailer RadioShack Corp reported a wider quarterly loss on Tuesday and said it will close up to 1,100 U.S. stores after a huge drop in sales over the holidays, sending the stock down more than 15 percent.

Sales at the Fort Worth, Texas-based chain have been in free fall amid executive departures, tough competition and an image problem. Despite its ubiquitous presence in the United States, analysts say it has not done enough to transform itself into a destination for mobile phone shoppers or become hip enough to woo younger shoppers.

Its net loss widened to $191.4 million, or $1.90 a share, in the fourth quarter, from $63.3 million, or 63 cents, a year earlier.

Sales fell to $935.4 million in the quarter covering the all-important holiday season, from $1.17 billion in the year-ago period. Analysts, on average, looked for sales of $1.12 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Sales at stores open at least a year fell 19 percent on weak customer traffic.

Chief Executive Officer Joe Magnacca, who took the helm in February 2013, has said he expected the turnaround to take several quarters.

The stock fell 15.4 percent to $2.30 in premarket trade.

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RadioShack Is Closing 1,100 Stores. Time To Buy? Google

Chilling Video. This Is How Wars Start

That’s about as close as you can get before shooting starts.

If you don’t speak Russian, one of the Ukrainian soldiers keeps screaming “America is with us” and “America is behind us”…. What an idiot. 

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Chilling Video. This Is How Wars Start  Google

“Hey America, Thanks For The Billion. You’ll Never See It Again” – Ukraine

Last time I checked, the US National Debt stood at $17.5 Trillion. But what the hell…..what’s another billion between friends. Right? 

The US Government is about to sign off on a $1 Billion loan guarantee to Ukraine. That’s right, they are about to give $1 Billion to an illegitimate government in an unstable nation where no one really knows what’s going on. But not to worry, Janet Yellen will just print that billion with a snap of her fingers. 

Hey Obama, couldn’t we spend this money in the US on homeless people or something? We will never see this money again anyways. Someone, please tell me again how this “money printing” will end well for the US.

NATIONAL DEBT 

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KIEV, Ukraine (AP) — Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Kiev Tuesday to show U.S. support for the fledgling Ukraine government, and the Obama administration announced with his arrival a $1 billion energy subsidy package. The fast-moving developments came as the United States readied economic sanctions amid worries that Moscow was ready to stretch its military reach further into the mainland of the former Soviet republic.

Kerry arrived as the Ukraine government grapples with a Russian military takeover of Crimea, a strategic, mostly pro-Russian region in the country’s southeast, and as Russian President Vladimir Putin said he wouldn’t be deterred by economic sanctions imposed punitively by the West.

While on the ground, Kerry was planning to pay homage to the dozens of protesters who were slain Feb. 20 in anti-government demonstrations which culminated days later in the ouster of President Viktor Yanukovych.

As Kerry arrived, the White House announced the package of energy aid, along with training for financial and election institutions and anti-corruption efforts. U.S. officials traveling with Kerry, speaking on grounds of anonymity, said the Obama administration is considering slapping Russia with unspecified economic sanctions as soon as this week.

Additionally, the officials said, the U.S. has suspended what was described as a narrow set of discussions with Russia over a bilateral trade investment treaty. It is also going to provide technical advice to the Ukraine government about its trade rights with Russia. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to be quoted by name before the official announcement was made.

Putin pulled his forces back from the Ukrainian border on Tuesday, yet said that Moscow reserves the right to use all means to protect Russians in the country. He accused the West of encouraging an “unconstitutional coup” in Ukraine and driving it onto anarchy, declaring that any sanctions the West places on Russia will backfire.

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In this image released by the White House, President …

In this image released by the White House, President Barack Obama, left, convenes a National Securit …

Speaking from his residence outside Moscow, Putin said he still considers Yanukovych to be Ukraine’s leader and hopes Russia won’t need to use force in predominantly Russian-speaking eastern Ukraine.

In Washington Tuesday morning, the White House said the $1 billion loan guarantee was aimed in particular at helping insulate Ukraine from reductions in energy subsidies. Russia provides a substantial portion of Ukraine’s natural gas and U.S. officials said they were also prepared to work with officials in Kiev to reduce their dependence on those imports. The White House said the assistance was meant to supplement a broader aid package from the International Monetary Fund, which currently has officials in Ukraine working with that country’s new government.

On Monday, the Pentagon announced it was suspending military-to-military engagements between the United States and Russia, including exercises, bilateral meetings, port visits and conferences.

European leaders already are considering sanctions on exports of Russia’s natural gas, uranium and coal industries. U.S. sanctions likely would be similar to Europe’s.

Some Republicans in Congress were considering a possible package of “debilitating economic sanctions” to get Putin’s attention. House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Ed Royce said that the U.S. and Europe should act collectively to threaten the Russian stock market, economy and ruble if Russia doesn’t withdraw from Crimea.

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Secretary of State John Kerry, left, and Vice President …

Secretary of State John Kerry, left, and Vice President Joe Biden listen to President Barack Obama a …

“We can’t just keep talking,” Royce said Monday. “We need to do something.”

The European Union issued a Thursday deadline for Putin to pull back his troops from Crimea or also face a rejection of visa liberalization and economic cooperation negotiations that have long been in the works.

The U.S. officials traveling to Kiev said Washington is warily watching to see whether Russia will try to advance beyond Crimea.

They cited reports of Russian helicopters nearly flying into mainland Ukraine airspace before being intercepted by jets controlled by Kiev. The officials said it’s believed that as many as 16,000 Russian troops have deployed to Crimea, while Ukrainian forces amassed on both sides of an isthmus that separates the region’s peninsula from the mainland.

The officials also said there is no support currently within the Obama administration to eventually let Russia annex Crimea — a possibility that has been raised quietly amid questions about U.S. interests in the pro-Russian region. They said it is up to the Ukraine government to decide whether a referendum should be held to let the Crimean people decide their own fate.

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Secretary of State John Kerry, left, and Vice President …

Secretary of State John Kerry, left, and Vice President Joe Biden listen as President Barack Obama a …

Speaking Monday at a U.N. session in Geneva, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov attempted to deflect blame back on the West. He defended the deployment of Russian troops in Ukraine as a necessary protection for his country’s citizens living there.

“Those who are trying to interpret the situation as a sort of aggression and threatening us with sanctions and boycotts, these are the same partners who have been consistently and vigorously encouraging the political powers close to them to declare ultimatums and renounce dialogue,” Lavrov said.

“This is a question of defending our citizens and compatriots, ensuring human rights, especially the right to life,” he said.

President Barack Obama on Monday described the Russian advance as a violation of international law. He called on Congress to approve an aid package for the new Ukrainian government and repeated earlier threats that the U.S. will take steps to hobble Russia’s economy and isolate it diplomatically if Putin does not back down.

“The strong condemnation that has proceeded from countries around the world indicates the degree to which Russia is on the wrong side of history,” Obama said.

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“Hey America, Thanks For The Billion. You’ll Never See It Again” – Ukraine Google

Putin Chills Out. Futures Soar

As I suggested yesterday, Putin got what he wanted and is likely to move on. By destabilizing Ukraine, Western governments ended up putting Putin in an impossible situation. If didn’t do anything, he would be viewed as a weak leader. Yes, he was forced to go into Ukraine. After demonstrating his power and taking Crimea without a single shot, Putin is a happy man. Plus, it is likely there was some sort of a behind the scenes deal where Western governments had agreed to stop meddling in Ukraine business. Put these two together and you have today’s resolution. 

Is this crisis over? Yes and No. It is over if the Western powers back off and shut their mouth. However, if the US Government, the EU Bureaucratic monkeys and the western media continue to go after Putin and/or Russia we might see re-escalation again. It is as simple as that. 

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Vladimir Putin said there’s no immediate need for Russia to invade eastern Ukraine as the Obama administration prepares sanctions to punish him for military action in the southern region of Crimea.

In his first public remarks since protesters overthrew Viktor Yanukovych last month, President Putin reserved the right to use force to protect ethnic Russians, though said there’s “no such necessity” at present. Troops stationed in Crimea, where Russia keeps its Black Sea fleet, have only been securing their bases, according to Putin.

“The use of the military is an extreme case,” he told reporters at his residence near Moscow. “But we have a direct request from a legitimate president, Yanukovych, on military aid to protect Ukrainian citizens.”

Russia is tussling with the West for influence over Ukraine, which claims its former Soviet master seized control of Crimea by deploying troops to block army bases and airports. The U.S. and Europe have threatened sanctions against Russia and are racing to seal billions of dollars of aid to help the new administration in Kiev avoid bankruptcy. Russia says Ukraine owes state-controlled energy giant OAO Gazprom $2 billion.

Kerry Visit

As Secretary of State John Kerry arrived in Kiev for talks with the new government, officials traveling with him said sanctions such as travel and asset bans on Russian individuals and institutions are likely within days if Russia doesn’t de-escalate its actions in Ukraine and return its forces to barracks. They spoke on condition they not be named because the penalties aren’t finalized.

Putin’s comments signal the crisis, the worst between Russia and the West since the Cold War ended, won’t immediately escalate. The standoff roiled markets as Russia held military exercises on Ukraine’s eastern border. The drills ended today.

Russia’s Micex stock index, which yesterday plunged 11 percent, extended gains as Putin spoke and rose 5.9 percent. The ruble strengthened 1 percent against the dollar-euro based used by the central bank, which unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate by 150 basis points to 8 percent yesterday.

Ukraine’s hryvnia gained 3.6 percent to 9.4 per dollar, while the yield on the government’s dollar debt due 2023 fell 82 basis points to 9.738 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Kerry will unveil a U.S. financial-assistance package that includes $1 billion of loan guarantees by international financial institutions, according to a government fact sheet.

An International Monetary Fund delegation is also due in Kiev today. Ukraine needs $15 billion in the next 2 1/2 years to stay afloat, Finance Minister Oleksandr Shlapak said March 1.

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Putin Chills Out. Futures Soar  Google

Bernanke: I Am Smarter Than I Look. Trust Me

Well, don’t take medical advice from Ben Bernanke. “Although we have been very aggressive, I think on the monetary policy front we could have been even more aggressive.” Really Ben? This is equivalent to giving a strung out coke head another kilo so he can “feel better”. I am dumb founded that most people don’t get it.

The majority of fiscal and financial issues we see around ourselves can be directly traced back to reckless policies by Greenspan, Bernanke and now Yellen. Their answer to everything is to print more money with complete disregard the larger macroeconomic picture. While printing works for a time, when it stops, there is ALWAYS a price to pay. That is exactly where we find ourselves today. 

Over the last couple of years I have argued, sometimes passionately, that the Federal Reserve doesn’t really know what is going on within our own economy and our financial markets. Not only that, but I have also argued that they are a bunch of idiots and fools who believe that they can somehow control our financial markets.

If recently released transcripts, generated during the 2008 meltdown don’t prove my point of view without a shadow of a doubt, I don’t know what will. Here are just a few quick points from the said transcripts.

  • They didn’t even realize recession was happening until the 4th quarter of 2008. By that point the stock market has completed 80% of its down move.  In fact, for most of 2008 they thought the recession “could be avoided”.

—-Hello???? Was anyone home??? Recession started in Q4 of 2007.

  • Bernanke talked about pent-up demand for housing as late as January 2008.
  • Bernanke was worried about inflation as late as January 2008.
  • Throughout Q1 of 2008 they have held a generally rosy view of the world and the US Economy

 Sure Ben, we believe you. 

ben bernanke cat investwithalex

Bernanke says Fed could have done more during crisis

ABU DHABI (Reuters) – Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank could have done more to fight the country’s financial crisis and that he struggled to find the right way to communicate with markets.

“We could have done some things on the margin to mitigate somewhat the crisis,” Bernanke, 60, said on Tuesday in his first public speaking engagement since he stepped down in January after eight years heading the Fed.

“Although we have been very aggressive, I think on the monetary policy front we could have been even more aggressive.”

Bernanke said he could now speak more freely about the crisis than he could while at the Fed – “I can say whatever I want” – and in remarks to over 1,000 bankers and financial professionals in the capital of the United Arab Emirates, he made clear that he had regrets.

The United States became “overconfident”, he said of the period before the September 2008 collapse of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers. That triggered a crash from which parts of the world, including the U.S. economy, have not fully recovered.

“This is going to sound very obvious but the first thing we learned is that the U.S. is not invulnerable to financial crises,” Bernanke said.

As the Fed provided tens of billions of dollars of emergency aid to the U.S. financial system, Bernanke said he felt the central bank was in a “terrible” political situation because it could be accused of bailing out institutions unfairly.

He also said he found it hard to find the right way to communicate with investors when every word was closely scrutinized.

“That was actually very hard for me to get adjusted to that situation where your words have such effect. I came from the academic background and I was used to making hypothetical examples and … I learned I can’t do that because the markets do not understand hypotheticals.”

He concluded that he should “try to simplify the message, but not simplify too much”.

Ultimately, Bernanke said, he wished the U.S. economy could have recovered faster but “we did good in a very complicated situation and in a very complex political situation, and the result is what it is.”

REMUNERATION

Bernanke received at least $250,000 for his appearance at the financial conference staged by National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD.AD), the UAE’s largest bank, according to sources familiar the matter. NBAD did not announce the fee.

Because of Abu Dhabi’s oil wealth, state-controlled NBAD prospered during the global crisis caused by Lehman’s collapse, taking market share from hard-hit U.S. and European banks.

Bernanke’s speaking fee is similar to one received by his predecessor Alan Greenspan for an Abu Dhabi speaking engagement in 2008, the sources said.

Greenspan embarked on a series of lucrative speeches after he stepped down, and Bernanke now appears to be doing the same. He is scheduled to speak at an event in South Africa on Wednesday and in Houston on Friday.

Another former heavyweight in U.S. economic policy, ex-Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, spoke at the Abu Dhabi event and criticized some aspects of Fed policy under Bernanke, although he acknowledged that policy needed to be expansionary.

Ultra-loose monetary policy, known as quantitative easing, has diminished returns in the economy and there is concern about the way the impact of low interest rates is being transmitted through the economy, Summers said.

Bernanke, looking relaxed in a grey suit and tie, said that after stepping down, he would write more about his experiences in the crisis to explain his side of the story. “For the future, I’m in a mode of reflection.”

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Bernanke: I Am Smarter Than I Look. Trust Me  Google

Stock Market Update. March 3rd, 2014

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3/3/2014 – The volatility is back with the Dow Jones down -153 points (-0.94%) and the Nasdaq down -31 points (0.72%). 

While the rest of the world blames Ukraine and Russia we know better than that. The stock market is tracing out its exact structure. Throughout last week I have warned you that the volatility will back due to a number of significant points of force arriving throughout March. What we are seeing today is clear evidence of that…not in terms of downside, but in terms of volatility. With VIX (volatility index) up 16% today alone and interference patterns abound, March will remain a highly volatile month. 

The question everyone is asking….will this be the start of the bear market?

In terms of bear market structure, my mathematical and timing work show, and I continue to believe, today’s gap down must be closed before this up leg from XXXX completes itself and the bear market resumes. In fact, in our weekly update I presented you with an exact price target that must be achieved before the market turns around. I see very little evidence that such a point will not be reached. .

Further, my analysis shows that Ukraine’s hostilities will die down over the next few days, allowing the market some time to close its gap, recover it’s losses and to push higher to our target below.

As reported over the weekend, at this stage I have a number of very strong indications that the market will hit this point before turning around.

Date: XXXX
Price Target: XXXX

(*** Please Note: About 75% of the information contained within this section has been deliberately removed. Particularly, exact dates and prices of the upcoming turning points. As well as trading forecasts associated with them. I deem such information to be too valuable to be released onto the general public.  As such, this information is only available to my premium subscribers. If you are a premium subscriber please Click Here to log in. If  you would be interested in becoming a subscriber and gaining access to the most accurate forecasting service available anywhere, a forecasting service that gives you exact turning points in both price and time, please Click Here to learn more.Subscription is through lottery only. Don’t forget, we have a risk free 14-day trial). 

Hence, I suggest the following positioning over the next few days/weeks to minimize the risk while positioning yourself for a forecasted market action.

If You Are A Trader: XXXX

If No Position: XXXX

If Long: XXXX

If Short:  XXXX

Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Stock Market Update. March 3rd, 2014 Google

Ukraine Is Already Lost. Russia Won, Markets Should Move On

wargames

No matter how much huffing and puffing, cursing and table pounding the US and their EU allies will do, Russia has already won. Let’s take a look at the situation from an analytical point of view. 

  • No one is fighting Russia in Ukraine. Yes, the illegitimate Ukrainian Government has called for “mobilization”  and has “declared war” as the Western Media proclaims, but still, no one will join that mobilization nor will anyone fight against Russia. People there are not stupid and will not die for nothing. 
  • Russia is ready to go to an extreme if need be to keep Ukraine. It is ready to go to war. I don’t think the western world is ready to fight over Ukraine. 
  • The US and the EU is out of options. The only real option they have is to get NATO involved. However, any such action would quickly escalate into WW 3. It is just my hope that out mentally challenged government is not considering this move.

As such, Ukraine will go to Russia. Our financial markets will soon realize the same and will recover quickly (over the short term). When? Find Out Here

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Ukraine Is Already Lost. Russia Won, Markets Should Move On  Google

Warning: Student Loans Replace Home Equity ATM’s

Just when I think things can’t possibly get more idiotic and ridiculous, they do.  As WSJ reports, tens of thousands (if not hundreds of thousands) of Americans are going back to school in order to take out student loans. Not for education, but to use them as their primary source of income. Once you think about it, it does make perfect sense and I do not blame the people trying to get whatever money they can in order to bridge their expense gap.  

I guess this so called 6.6% unemployment is not working for everyone. I do blame the FEDs and the idiots at every level of our government. The situation we see today is the direct result of monetary policy implemented over the last 2 decades. Somehow, the fools believe that they can simply print money and insure that everything goes on as it should. Of course, it works until it doesn’t.

We have already experienced a number of sever bear markets since the 2000 top. With one more bear market and a severe recession left of the clock (2014-2017), it is my hope that the American people wake up and demand answers from their Government. But I will not be holding my breath.  For most Americans, watching “The Biggest Loser” is a lot more important than understanding macroeconomic issues at hand. Oh well.

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WSJ Writes: Student Loans Entice Borrowers More for Cash Than a Degree

Some Americans caught in the weak job market are lining up for federal student aid, not for education that boosts their employment prospects but for the chance to take out low-cost loans, sometimes with little intention of getting a degree.

Take Ray Selent, a 30-year-old former retail clerk in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. He was unemployed in 2012 when he enrolled as a part-time student at Broward County’s community college. That allowed him to borrow thousands of dollars to pay rent to his mother, cover his cellphone bill and catch the occasional movie.

“The only way I feel I can survive financially is by going back to school and putting myself in more student debt,” says Mr. Selent, who has since added $8,000 in student debt from living expenses. Returning to school also gave Mr. Selent a reprieve on the $400 a month he owed from previous student debt because the federal government doesn’t require payments while borrowers are in school.

A number of factors are behind the growth in student debt. The soft jobs recovery and the emphasis on education have driven people to attain more schooling. But borrowing thousands in low-rate student loans—which cover tuition, textbooks and a vague category known as living expenses, a figure determined by each individual school—also can be easier than getting a bank loan. The government performs no credit checks for most student loans.

College officials and federal watchdogs can’t say exactly how much of the U.S.’s swelling $1.1 trillion in student-loan debt has gone to living expenses. But data and government reports indicate the phenomenon is real. The Education Department’s inspector general warned last month that the rise of online education has led more students to borrow excessively for personal expenses. Its report said that among online programs at eight universities and colleges, non-education expenses such as rent, transportation and “miscellaneous” items made up more than half the costs covered by student aid.

The report also found the schools disbursed an average of $5,285 in loans each to more than 42,000 students who didn’t log any credits at the time. The report pointed to possible factors such as fraud in addition to cases of people enrolling without serious intentions of getting a degree.

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Capella Education Co., which runs online schools, examined student costs and debt at institutions—public and private—in Minnesota and concluded that between a quarter and three-quarters of loans taken out by students were for non-education expenses. At one of Capella’s master’s programs, the typical graduate left with about $30,200 in student debt even though tuition, fees and book costs totaled roughly $18,800. Borrowers are prohibited under federal law, except in rare instances, from discharging student debt through bankruptcy.

The share of student borrowers taking out the maximum amount of loans—$12,500 a year for undergraduates—has risen since the recession. In the 2011-12 academic year, federal Education Department data show, 68% of all undergraduate borrowers hit the annual loan ceiling, up from 60% in 2008.

Research suggests a fair chunk of that is going to non-education expenses. In 2011-12, about a quarter of student borrowers took out loans that exceeded their tuition, after grants, by $2,500, according to research by Mark Kantrowitz, a higher-education analyst and publisher of the education site Edvisors.com.

Some students say they intend to get a degree but must borrow as much as possible because they can’t find decent-paying jobs to cover day-to-day expenses.

Tommie Matherne, a 32-year-old married father of five in Billings, Mont., has been going to school since 2010, when he realized the $10 an hour he was making as a mall security guard wasn’t covering his family’s expenses. He uses roughly $2,000 in student loans each year to stock his fridge and catch up on bills. His wife is a stay-at-home mother who also gets loans to take online courses.

“We’ve been taking whatever we can for student loans every year, taking whatever we have left over and using it to stock up the freezer just so we have a couple extra months where we don’t have to worry about food,” says Mr. Matherne, who owes $51,600 in federal loans.

Some students end up going deeper into debt. Early last year, when Denna Merritt lost her long-term unemployment benefits, the 49-year-old Indianapolis woman enrolled part-time at the Art Institute of Pittsburgh’s online program, aiming for a degree in graphic design. She took out $15,000 in federal loans, $2,800 of which went to catch up on unpaid bills, including utilities, health-insurance premiums and cable.

“Obviously, it’s better not to use it that way if you can help it, because you’re just going to owe that much more later,” says Ms. Merritt, a former bookkeeper.

The government lets students use a portion of federal loans for living expenses on the grounds that it allows students to devote more time to studying and improves their chances of graduating. Even when schools suspect students are over-borrowing, they are restricted by federal law and Education Department policy from denying funds.

College and university trade groups are pushing legislation this year to set lower maximum loan limits for some types of students, such as part-timers. Dorie Nolt, spokeswoman for Education Secretary Arne Duncan, says the Obama administration is “exploring alternatives to see how we might ensure that students don’t borrow more than necessary.”

Mr. Selent, of Fort Lauderdale, knows he is getting himself deeper in a hole but prefers that to the alternative of making minimum wage. In his 20s, he earned a bachelor’s degree in communications from a local for-profit school but couldn’t find a job in the field after graduating and began falling behind on his student-loan bills. He is now taking courses for a degree in theater so he can become an actor.

Meanwhile, federal loans allow him to cover any needs that arise during the semester. Says Mr. Selent: “It keeps me from falling apart.”

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Warning: Student Loans Replace Home Equity ATM’s   Google