1/3/2019 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 660 points (-2.83%) and the Nasdaq down 202 points (-3.04%)

Having fun yet? As we have been saying, the stock market remains at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to accelerate in an unexpected way. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

The bulls and the bears are locked in the battle of wills. Who will win? Consider the following….

Here’s how astute investors should think about Apple’s stock today

Blah, blah, blah, Apple is an amazing company selling at great value, blah, blah, blah, Warren Buffett owns it, blah, blah, blah, this is a buying opportunity of a life time.

On the flip side…..

If this is a ‘proper’ bear market, stocks ‘are only at the beginning of the selloff’: SocGen

There’s been a lot of handwringing over the stock market’s ugly finish to 2018, but a true bear market would likely mean much more pain is ahead for investors in 2019, according to data compiled by Société Générale.

In a Wednesday note, Andrew Lapthorne, head of quantitative equity research at Société Générale, said that while investors are fixated on stock indexes as they near or exceed a 20% pullback from recent highs — the widely used definition of a bear market — it’s common to see a third of the stocks that make up an index slump 50% over the course of a “proper bear market.” (See chart below.)

I would have to admit, it is an incredibly confusing time for most investors out there. Both sides make a compelling argument, but only one can come to a fruition. Well, assuming the stock market doesn’t infuriate both sides by remaining range bound over an extended period of time.

Luckily, we might have the answer you are looking for. If you would like to find exactly what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here.  

1/2/2019 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 18 points (+0.18%) and the Nasdaq up 30 points (+0.46%) 

The stock market remains at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to accelerate in an unexpected way. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

In December of 2018 President Trump issued a Strong BTFD call by suggesting the stock market is selling at an incredibly attractive valuation. You know, your typical “Buying Opportunity Of A Lifetime” call.

Today he went even further by assuring investors …….

Trump says stocks had ‘glitch’ and that markets will rise when trade deals settled

President Donald Trump on Wednesday referred to recent stock market losses as a “glitch” and said the market will go up again once trade agreements are settled. “We had a little glitch in the stock market last month,” Trump said at a cabinet meeting.

Our interpretation is rather simple. Mr. Trump, if you believe the stock market is incredibly inexpensive and about to surge higher, as you so often claim, why don’t you take your entire Net Worth and put your money where your mouth is.

Of course, he never will as President Trump famously avoids investing in a “Sure Thing” stock market.

More importantly, here is what we said exactly one year ago as the market was putting in an important top. Recall, the Dow 30K was just weeks ago, at least according to Mr. Trump. 

It is incredibly difficult to argue with hardcore Trump supporters, I was one of them before he flipped on nearly every important issue, but let’s try.

For instance, according to most Trump supporters, we are witnessing an economic miracle the like of which we haven’t seen since the days of ancient Rome. For instance……

WH PRESS SEC: DEMS WARNED OF ECONOMIC ‘ARMAGEDDON,’ ‘TOTAL OPPOSITE’ HAPPENED

Fair enough, but…. under Obama the Dow Jones zoomed up about 200%. And under Trump? Well, as Mr. Trump so graciously points out himself, it is up about 34% since he won the election. Not bad, but far from Obama’s achievement.

The above applies to almost any measure. From unemployment to GDP Growth. Thanks to the FED and their insane monetary policy, of course.

Second, it is a well known fact among American Presidents to never take credit for the stock market’s boom. Why? Well, because one might have to deal with the consequences of a recession or god forbid, a market crash. Understandably, such a silly rule does not apply to Emperor Trump.

Trump takes credit for Dow 25,000, says ‘I guess our new number is 30,000’

• With the Dow breaking 25,000 for the first time, President Trump is hoping for even bigger gains.
• “What that means is that, whenever you see that number go up on Wall Street, it means jobs, it means success, it means 401(k)s are flourishing,” Trump tells reporters.

But, do you recall the following…..

Trump Praises the Stock Market at 22,000 That He Said Was a Bubble at 18,000

So, either President Trump is a mad genius, a complete fool or a liar. You decide. One thing is certain, it will be fun to revisit his tweets below in a few years. 

Either way, if you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here 

A negative week with the Dow Jones down 1,655 points (-6.86%) and the Nasdaq down 578 points (-8.36%)

In early June of 2018 we presented our subscribers with the following chart. At that time it was just a red dotted line you see above projecting upcoming stock market moves. June 27/28th bottom was a direct hit. The biggest discrepancy for the forecast above was our anticipated early September bottom. September 11th bottom ended up being much shallower than we originally anticipated.

The forecast was slightly adjusted in our weekly/daily updates with price/time calculations as we went along and an important top arrived in early October.  The sell-off thus far has been fairly straight forward.

Not too bad for a forecast issued 6 months ago. 

Over the last two weeks I issued the following warnings to our premium members.

December 8th Update: Market’s structural composition suggests the market will very quickly slice though both 24K and 23K on the Dow over the next 10 trading days. Once those major support levels are taken out, the Dow might very quickly collapse to XXX by the time our XXX  TIME turning point arrives.

December 15th Update: The Dow did briefly break below 24K on Monday, followed by an ideal structural bounce discussed in our daily updates. It appears the bounce did conclude on Wednesday and that we are now in very early stages of XXX down. A word of caution.  These structural locations in the stock market are incredibly dangerous and/or violent.  

As we came into December most traders/investors were anticipating a massive “Santa Rally”. Our work was projecting the exact opposite months ago and we made sure our subscribers knew.

Now that the market is approaching short-term oversold levels and investor sentiment is getting nearly “panicky”, yet another important move is about to develop. Just don’t assume it will be a powerful bounce and/or resumption of a bull market. You know, BTFD!!! Stock market history clearly suggests that all market crashes occur under oversold conditions.

Plus, it is the market’s duty and full time job to fool as many investors at once as possible – including yours truly.

Having said that, if you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here.

12/11/2018 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 53 points (-0.22%) and the Nasdaq up 11 points (+0.16%) 

The stock market remains at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to accelerate in an unexpected way. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

I don’t think Warren Buffett can make it any more clear…..

Once again Warren Buffett has given us a major warning that everything is expensive

Buffett’s holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, just announced a blockbuster quarter, earning nearly $7 billion.

And Buffett’s still sitting on over $100 billion of cash. That means he’s got enough money to buy almost any company he wants, anywhere in the world.

But the only move Buffett made in the last quarter was buying $928 million of Berkshire Hathaway stock.

Some people might say this is a sign that Buffett thinks Berkshire’s stock is incredibly undervalued.

To be fair, nobody knows Berkshire better than Buffett. And shares may present a good value at this level – an all-time high price.

But it’s clear to me that Buffett simply can’t find anything else worth buying.

Remember, Buffett’s got over $100 billion in cash (and he could use debt to fund an even larger acquisition).

So he could buy stock in any publicly traded company. Or he could buy most any private company (the last time he did this was Precision Castparts in 2016 for $32 billion).

We have been facing a similar dilemma as value investors. There is nothing to buy. But it gets worst……

Not only is there nothing to buy, the stock market finds itself at historically high valuation levels. Also known as the everything bubble.

As recently as a few months ago Mr. Buffett have suggested that this is a great time to invest in America. Our view has always been the same. Do not listen to what he says, instead, do as he does.

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here.