InvestWithAlex.com 

The Bear Is Dead, Long Live The Bull

1/16/2019 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 141 points (+0.59%) and the Nasdaq up 10 points (+0.15%) 

As we have been saying, the stock market remains at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to accelerate in an unexpected way. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

Bullish sentiment is back with the vengeance. This is just a small sample of what MarketWatch looks like today. Most other financial portals we follow look very similar….

Oh, My……

Traditional sentiment indicators tend to support this notion as most find themselves at their pre sell-off levels.

Yet, nothing has changed. If anything, the fundamental backdrop continues to deteriorate. The debt is still surging, earning estimates are collapsing, the yield curve is still inverted, the stock market is still incredibly overpriced, trade war is still boiling over, Trump is still acting crazy, etc……

Yet, no one is pausing to consider the other alternative. What if the late 2018 sell-off was just a warning shot of what is to come?

Well, was it???

Luckily, you don’t have to guess. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our mathematical and timing work, please Click Here 

Please Note: Our latest call was a direct hit. While everyone was panicking our work projected an important bottom on December 27th (+/- 1 trading day) on the Dow at 21,725 (+/- 50 points). An actual bottom was put in place on December 26th at 21,713. 

What Would Stalin Do?

As Americans we have to start asking some serious questions. For instance, at what points should these scum of the Earth reporters be dragged outside and shot like dogs? At the very least, at what point do we send them to a gulag in the mountains of Montana? Make no mistake, what they are doing is borderline treasonous!!!

Here are two very good takes on the subject matter.

The New York Times Smears the President

and

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Most Investors Have No Clue – Still Fully Invested In The Biggest Bubble Of All Time

1/15/2019 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 155 points (+0.65%) and the Nasdaq up 118 points (+1.71%)

As we have been saying for some time, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here

Here is an interesting thought. Even the very few bulls who acknowledge the possibility of a major correction, might be underestimating its true potential. For instance….

Would you be prepared if the Dow Jones Industrial Average were to fall 5,700 points?

To those who have not been investing for a long time, the prospect of the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 5,700 points in one day may seem ridiculous. But is it?

On Black Monday, 31 years from last Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA, -0.50% fell about 23%. If the same percentage drop were to happen today, it would be about 5,700 points. I lost millions that day, and so did many others. Of course, today is not 1987.

Some of the most dangerous words in investing are “this time it’s different.” Basic human emotions of greed and fear that drive the markets do not change. Let’s explore this issue with two charts.

And while the author concentrates on a one day crash, the same line of thinking applies on the longer time frame. In other words, BTFD!!!

Allow me to challenge that line of thinking very quickly. 

Shiller’s Adjusted S&P P/E Ratio is about 29 today with a mean of 16. For the S&P to reach its mean valuation it would have to fall 50%…..today. And we are not even talking about overshooting to the downside.

But it gets worst. The S&P earnings are at about 120 today. When a recession hits (not if) they will very likely slide to at least 70, if not much worse. Some analyst are already talking about it today.

When we combine these two valuation metrics, it is not out of the question for the market to slide 70-80% in order to get back to its mean.

So, instead of trying to figure out what you will do when the Dow corrects 10%, you might start wondering why the hell are you fully invested in arguably the biggest stock market bubble of all time.

Luckily, you don’t have to guess. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our mathematical and timing work, please Click Here 

Please Note: Our latest call was a direct hit. While everyone was panicking our work projected an important bottom on December 27th (+/- 1 trading day) on the Dow at 21,725 (+/- 50 points). An actual bottom was put in place on December 26th at 21,713. 

Z30

Just As Predicted Here – Trump’s Approval Collapses

1/14/2019 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 86 points (-0.36%) and the Nasdaq down 65 points (-0.96%) 

As we have been saying, the stock market remains at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to accelerate in an unexpected way. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

In early December of 2018 we made a startling prediction. Shocking Forecast Reveals Why President Trump Will Lose 2020 Re-Election Bid

Our stock market mathematical and timing work is crystal clear. Most Americans will turn on Mr.Trump by the time 2020 election rolls around faster than Kim Kardashian can find a mirror.

This will be as a direct result of Mr. Trump taking ownership of the “Everything Bubble” and his disastrous economic policies (trade war, tax cuts for the rich, massive imbalances, debt surge, etc…)  In fact, it might get so bad for President Trump over the next few years that he might not seek re-election to begin with.

Latest Rasmussen data makes this abundantly clear.

Please note something of significant importance. Trump’s approval peaked at the same time the stock market did in early October. It has been steadily eroding ever since and the stock market is only down a bit. Just imagine what would happen if massively overvalued stocks drop 50% or more.

That is to say, President Trump better pray this chart becomes a reality or he is history. 

Luckily, you don’t have to guess. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our mathematical and timing work, please Click Here 

Please Note: Our latest call was a direct hit. While everyone was panicking our work projected an important bottom on December 27th (+/- 1 trading day) on the Dow at 21,725 (+/- 50 points). An actual bottom was put in place on December 26th at 21,713. 

Z31