10/16/2018 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 547 points (+2.17%) and the Nasdaq up 214 points (+2.89%) 

As we have been saying, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

Since Trump went after the FED again, it is prudent we re-post this write up for a few days ago.

This is the main issue with Trump that we have been warning everyone about for over a year.

You can’t take FULL CREDIT for an all time high on the Dow just a few days ago and then turn around and blame the FED Chairman Powell for today’s sell-off. 

That is exactly what we talked about yesterday Trump Continues His Unprecedented Attack On “Independent” FED

Now this…….

Trump Says Fed ‘Has Gone Crazy’ Following Stock Market Selloff

President Donald Trump slammed the Federal Reserve as “crazy” for its interest-rate increases this year in comments hours after the worst U.S. stock market sell-off since February.

“The Fed is making a mistake,” he told reporters on Wednesday as he arrived in Pennsylvania for a campaign rally. “They’re so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy.”

Trump’s latest attack on the U.S. central bank appeared to blame the Federal Reserve for a stock rout that market analysts mostly attributed to fresh concern about his trade war with China. Trump has been publicly criticizing the Fed since July for interest-rate increases and declared he was “not happy” in September when the central bank raised rates for the third time this year.

 

Trump Blames Powell: “I Think The Fed Has Gone Crazy” After Selloff

While it is unlikely that the culprit will be revealed, there is nothing that would prevent Trump from pushing the former narrative and blaming Beijing for today’s rout.

That said, there is one more person who should be rather nervous after the plunge: recall that exactly 24 hours ago Trump said that he doesn’t “like what the Fed is doing.” What better justification could Trump have to “push” Powell than to accuse him of the second worst selloff of 2018?

Indeed, as one notable fintwit member said, a little more downside in the S&P, “and Powell can start putting his coffee cups and pencils in a cardboard box.”

Then again, maybe President Trump is playing a brilliant game of 10-D Chess.

Juice the stock market to the 10th degree with tax cuts and MAGA, creating the biggest “Everything Bubble” in human history, then watch it collapse. Blame the FED, Iran, EU, Putin, Illegal Mexicans and who could forget, the Democrats for the collapse. Trump’s base will eat this up and Mr. President will get a massive landslide victory in 2020.

Checkmate. 

Having said that, if you would like to remove all of the BS above from the equation and simply concentrate on the market, we might have an answer. If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here

10/15/2018 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 90 points (-0.35%) and the Nasdaq down 66 points (-0.88%)

For weeks we have been warning you that the market was about to move. Does last week qualify? If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here

So, just how fast can the stock market find itself at 2016 lows?

I know, I know. Most bullish market participants (most investors today) are laughing at me right about now.  What in the world are you talking about Alex?  This is just a small correction, the bull is still intact, earnings are surging, MAGA, etc……

Humor me for a second.

Stocks Bounce… Then Comes the REAL Collapse

This line is of TREMENDOUS importance as it has acted as critical support ever since this last bull market began in early 2016. The fact that it required this many trader games and manipulations to reclaim it on Friday tells us that stocks are in SERIOUS trouble.

So while it’s likely we’ll get a relief bounce this week (it is options expiration week, which usually features a rally of some sort), the fact remains that unless a MAJOR rally begins now, there are nothing but air pockets from here down to 2,400 on the S&P 500.

There is another much more important support level for the market. And no, it is not on the S&P, the Nasdaq or even the Dow. It is located on the NYA. We spoke about it in our weekly update to our members over the weekend Click Here

In short, should that support level fail, the stock market might find itself at 2016 levels in a fashion that will take your breath away.

Can such a move develop?

You no longer have to guess. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, and based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here.  

A negative week with the Dow Jones down 1,108 points (-4.18%) and the Nasdaq down 292 points (-3.75%)

For weeks we have been warning you that the market was about to move. Does this week qualify? If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here

Despite this week’s sell-off, bullish investors have never been more bullish. With BTFD crowd out in force Market Participants Freak Out: Buy The F$#@ing Dip Is The Mantra Of The Day

Now, I highly encourage you to watch the video below in full as it clearly reflects the state of today’s sentiment.

To quickly summarize if you don’t have the time: David Stockman, whom I regard as one of the best researched macro economists out there is quite literally dismissed, laughed at and pummeled by the bulls. One liners such as “you missed the rally, when did you sell, this time is different, you are a broken record with a bad track record, the earnings are surging, etc….” are used repeatedly.

Now, these so called brilliant bullish investors keep talking about surging earnings and CHEAP forward P/E of 16. Making today’s market extremely cheap. I have two charts to show them.

I have beaten these charts to death over the last few months, so I won’t go into detail here. Simply put, numerous indicators such as the Buffett Indicator, Price/Sales, Shiller P/E (not forward junk), etc….all suggest that we are presently in the most expensive market in the history of humanity. Especially, if we make adjustments for lack of 2000 tech earnings.

Hence, the everything bubble of today. 

That is to say, eager bulls should not be so quick to dismiss well researched bears or they might soon be re-learning the lessons of 2000 and 2007.

Luckily, you don’t have to guess as the fundamental practitioners above do. If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

10/11/2018 – Another massive negative day with the Dow Jones down 546 points (-2.13%) and the Nasdaq down 93 points (-1.25%)

As we have been saying, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

Everyone and their day trading grandma are going hysterical over the stock market sell-off over the past few days. GOD forbid stocks ever go down, even 5-10%, right?

More so, highly leveraged bulls are in full panic mode trying to convince each other that today’s declines represents “the buying opportunity of a lifetime”. Just check this small collection of articles from today.

• Why U.S. investors should be buying this stock market pullback ‘with both arms’
• The Dow 40,000 Is Still Coming, Just Wait A Little

• Blackstone’s Byron Wien says S&P 500 on track for year-end rally to 3,000 despite stock-market wreckage

Oh My, so bullish…….why stop at 40,000….why not 100,000. 

Anyway, why is everyone freaking out? This plays a big part.

Everyone is high, dry and on margin. We talked about this before Margin Debt Horror Show Gets Even Scarier

In other words, forced liquidation.

The stock market already took out a number of important support levels. Should the sell-off continue, considering the chart above, we might witness a bloodbath unseen since the 1987 over the next few weeks.

That is exactly what we talked about in today’s update to our members. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here 

10/10/2018 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 831 points (-3.15%) and the Nasdaq down 315 points (-4.08%) 

What a difference a day makes.

As we have been saying, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

This is the main issue with Trump that we have been warning everyone about for over a year.

You can’t take FULL CREDIT for an all time high on the Dow just a few days ago and then turn around and blame the FED Chairman Powell for today’s sell-off. 

That is exactly what we talked about yesterday Trump Continues His Unprecedented Attack On “Independent” FED

Now this…….

Trump Says Fed ‘Has Gone Crazy’ Following Stock Market Selloff

President Donald Trump slammed the Federal Reserve as “crazy” for its interest-rate increases this year in comments hours after the worst U.S. stock market sell-off since February.

“The Fed is making a mistake,” he told reporters on Wednesday as he arrived in Pennsylvania for a campaign rally. “They’re so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy.”

Trump’s latest attack on the U.S. central bank appeared to blame the Federal Reserve for a stock rout that market analysts mostly attributed to fresh concern about his trade war with China. Trump has been publicly criticizing the Fed since July for interest-rate increases and declared he was “not happy” in September when the central bank raised rates for the third time this year.

 

Trump Blames Powell: “I Think The Fed Has Gone Crazy” After Selloff

While it is unlikely that the culprit will be revealed, there is nothing that would prevent Trump from pushing the former narrative and blaming Beijing for today’s rout.

That said, there is one more person who should be rather nervous after the plunge: recall that exactly 24 hours ago Trump said that he doesn’t “like what the Fed is doing.” What better justification could Trump have to “push” Powell than to accuse him of the second worst selloff of 2018?

Indeed, as one notable fintwit member said, a little more downside in the S&P, “and Powell can start putting his coffee cups and pencils in a cardboard box.”

Then again, maybe President Trump is playing a brilliant game of 10-D Chess.

Juice the stock market to the 10th degree with tax cuts and MAGA, creating the biggest “Everything Bubble” in human history, then watch it collapse. Blame the FED, Iran, EU, Putin, Illegal Mexicans and who could forget, the Democrats for the collapse. Trump’s base will eat this up and Mr. President will get a massive landslide victory in 2020.

Checkmate. 

Having said that, if you would like to remove all of the BS above from the equation and simply concentrate on the market, we might have an answer. If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here