Why The US Should Stop Propping Up Genocidal Regime Of Saudi Scumrabia
Investment Grin Of The Day
An Important Message From The Yield Curve
10/18/2018 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 327 points (-1.27%) and the Nasdaq down 157 points (-2.06%)
As we have been saying for some time, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here.
MISH had an important write up on the yield curve. Let’s take a look
Some believe recession risk is minimal because the yield curve is steepening and there has been no inversion.
In regards to steepening, there is not much credence except in isolated incidents like that shown in the “Steepening Yield Curve Snapshot”.
In regards to inversion, there is no rule that says the yield curve must invert before before recession. Japan provides an excellent example.
Mish is dead on in his analysis and we have been saying the same thing over the last few months.
The actual inversion is never very deep and does not last very long. Historically speaking. As a result, the event itself is of limited importance.
What is?
The flattening of the yield curve going into the recession and/or stock market collapse. It takes much longer and it is devastating to earnings of most financial firms. The primary driver behind today’s so called debt fueled recovery. And today’s yield curve is already as flat as a poor’s man pancake.
In other words, most of the damage has already been done. It is little beside the point if the yield curve actually inverts (it will) or not.
Our mathematical and timing work associated with the stock market tends to agree. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here.
From MAGA To World’s Best Economy To Great Depression 2.0, Wait What?
10/19/2018 – A mixed week with the Dow Jones up 105 points (+0.41%) and the Nasdaq down 47 points (-0.62%)
As we have been saying, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here.
Just how fast can we go from the World’s Most Competitive Economy to Great Depression 2.0? According to the IMF, incredibly fast. Let’s start with good news.
U.S. Wins Title of World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade
The World Economic Forum, which hosts the annual conference of global elites in Switzerland, said on Tuesday that the United States is the most competitive economy in the world. The U.S. has not held the number one spot since 2008, when the aftermath of the financial crisis and bungled recovery efforts left the U.S. economy limping.
“The United States, as one of the world’s great innovation powerhouses, is very well positioned in this new competitive landscape,” the Forum said in an article explaining its ranking. “It ranks first overall in the world in three of our twelve pillars; business dynamism, labour markets and financial system. It comes second in another two; innovation (behind Germany) and market size (behind China).”
Deranged MAGA chants were heard coming out of the White House as soon as the news broke. With that in mind, it is not all rainbows and unicorns.
IMF Issues Dire Warning – ‘Great Depression’ Ahead?
Is another “Great Depression” on the horizon?
It would be easier to dismiss these words from Nouriel Roubini, Marc Faber or other doom-and-gloom prognosticators. Coming from Christine Lagarde’s team, though, they take on a new dimension of scary.
The International Monetary Fund head isn’t known for breathlessness on the world stage. And yet the IMF sounded downright alarmist in its latest Global Financial Stability report, stating that “large challenges loom for the global economy to prevent a second Great Depression.”
Even some market bears were taken aback. “Why,” asks Michael Snyder of The Economic Collapse Blog would the IMF use this phrase “in a report that they know the entire world will read?”
Wait, what?
This is rather simple. Recessions and depressions follow irrational exuberance caused by imbeciles in power who were hell bent on juicing the Everything Bubble with massive amounts of debt. But don’t listen to me, even President Trump is getting ready….
Here’s who Trump will blame when stocks tumble
President Trump is a master at blame-ducking. And he has recently telegraphed who he plans to hold responsible whenever there’s a meaningful drop in the stock market.
Trump has become a vocal critic of the Federal Reserve, complaining that the central bank is raising interest rates too far, too fast. He recently griped that the Fed is “going wild,” even though most economists support the Fed’s strategy of gradually pushing interest rates back toward historical averages.
All of the above is nice in theory, but useless when it comes to predicting capital markets. We might help….
If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here
Marc Faber: Be Very Careful, Markets Are Incredibly Fragile Right Now
Investment Grin Of The Day
Trump Attacks The FED Again, Questions Its ‘Independence’
10/16/2018 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 547 points (+2.17%) and the Nasdaq up 214 points (+2.89%)
As we have been saying, the stock market finds itself at an incredibly important juncture. Things are about to move. If you would like to find out what happens next, based on our timing and mathematical work, in both price and time, please Click Here.
Since Trump went after the FED again, it is prudent we re-post this write up for a few days ago.
This is the main issue with Trump that we have been warning everyone about for over a year.
You can’t take FULL CREDIT for an all time high on the Dow just a few days ago and then turn around and blame the FED Chairman Powell for today’s sell-off.
That is exactly what we talked about yesterday Trump Continues His Unprecedented Attack On “Independent” FED
Now this…….
Trump Says Fed ‘Has Gone Crazy’ Following Stock Market Selloff
President Donald Trump slammed the Federal Reserve as “crazy” for its interest-rate increases this year in comments hours after the worst U.S. stock market sell-off since February.
“The Fed is making a mistake,” he told reporters on Wednesday as he arrived in Pennsylvania for a campaign rally. “They’re so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy.”
Trump’s latest attack on the U.S. central bank appeared to blame the Federal Reserve for a stock rout that market analysts mostly attributed to fresh concern about his trade war with China. Trump has been publicly criticizing the Fed since July for interest-rate increases and declared he was “not happy” in September when the central bank raised rates for the third time this year.
Trump Blames Powell: “I Think The Fed Has Gone Crazy” After Selloff
While it is unlikely that the culprit will be revealed, there is nothing that would prevent Trump from pushing the former narrative and blaming Beijing for today’s rout.
That said, there is one more person who should be rather nervous after the plunge: recall that exactly 24 hours ago Trump said that he doesn’t “like what the Fed is doing.” What better justification could Trump have to “push” Powell than to accuse him of the second worst selloff of 2018?
Indeed, as one notable fintwit member said, a little more downside in the S&P, “and Powell can start putting his coffee cups and pencils in a cardboard box.”
Then again, maybe President Trump is playing a brilliant game of 10-D Chess.
Juice the stock market to the 10th degree with tax cuts and MAGA, creating the biggest “Everything Bubble” in human history, then watch it collapse. Blame the FED, Iran, EU, Putin, Illegal Mexicans and who could forget, the Democrats for the collapse. Trump’s base will eat this up and Mr. President will get a massive landslide victory in 2020.
Checkmate.
Having said that, if you would like to remove all of the BS above from the equation and simply concentrate on the market, we might have an answer. If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here
An Important Message From Ron Paul – Get Ready For An Economic Collapse
Air Pocket? Just How Fast Can The Market Reach 2016 Lows
10/15/2018 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 90 points (-0.35%) and the Nasdaq down 66 points (-0.88%)
For weeks we have been warning you that the market was about to move. Does last week qualify? If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here
So, just how fast can the stock market find itself at 2016 lows?
I know, I know. Most bullish market participants (most investors today) are laughing at me right about now. What in the world are you talking about Alex? This is just a small correction, the bull is still intact, earnings are surging, MAGA, etc……
Humor me for a second.
Stocks Bounce… Then Comes the REAL Collapse
This line is of TREMENDOUS importance as it has acted as critical support ever since this last bull market began in early 2016. The fact that it required this many trader games and manipulations to reclaim it on Friday tells us that stocks are in SERIOUS trouble.
So while it’s likely we’ll get a relief bounce this week (it is options expiration week, which usually features a rally of some sort), the fact remains that unless a MAJOR rally begins now, there are nothing but air pockets from here down to 2,400 on the S&P 500.
There is another much more important support level for the market. And no, it is not on the S&P, the Nasdaq or even the Dow. It is located on the NYA. We spoke about it in our weekly update to our members over the weekend Click Here
In short, should that support level fail, the stock market might find itself at 2016 levels in a fashion that will take your breath away.
Can such a move develop?
You no longer have to guess. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, and based on our timing and mathematical work, please Click Here.
