A positive day with the Dow Jones up 526 points (+1.60%) and the Nasdaq up 162 points (+1.54%)  

This is much more interesting than today’s stock market. There are four things to consider in terms of the war in Ukraine. 

1. The ground is almost frozen. Recent reports from the Donbass region suggest there is still mud, but the ground is expected to be fully hardened within two weeks. Then tanks/artillery can roll. 
2. Back in September Russia announced the mobilization of 300,000 people. Some suggest it was more like 500,000 people, but that is a little beside the point. Most of these men are now fully trained and arriving daily at the front lines. 
3. A few days ago Mr. Putin himself paid a visit to Belorussia to meet with its President Lukashenko. This is very important. Mystery shrouds Putin’s rare visit to Belarus If you are not familiar, there is a major Russian army group ready to roll in Belarus. Some estimates suggest 50,000+ troops and equipment. 
4. Finally, today Russia’s Medvedev meets China’s Xi in Beijing, says Ukraine conflict discussed This was an incredibly important meeting at the highest level between Russia and China. In my opinion Medvedev told Xi Russia is about to unleash hell. 

So, in my humble opinion/analysis, Russia is about to smash Ukraine and end the war. Hopefully. At least for the time being.  

Let me very quickly play a role of an Armchair General. Despite the BS you are hearing in the MSM, Ukrainian army is being systematically destroyed in the Donbass region. They are suffering major casualties and running out of men/equipment. Constant pressure, as it is today, would see them fall by the Spring of 2023 anyway. 

If I was in command, and thank GOD that I am not,  I would drive down from Belorussia to Transnistria to then Odessa. Taking Lviv in the process. There isn’t much resistance there. That would encircle Ukraine and cut off all foreign aid. 

I would then unleash hell in the Western Ukraine, just as the Soviets did against Nazi Germany. And Checkmate – it would be all over for Ukraine. 

Sure, a lot of Ukrainian men would die (over 100K have already died), but they have no one but Zelensky and the West to blame for this disaster. 

Meanwhile, the Nazi mass murdering scum known as Zelensky is begging our Congress for more money and military aid. To the last Ukrainian……right? Clown world indeed.  

Trying to make money based on what happens in Ukraine is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here. 

If You Would Like To Find Out What The Stock Market Will Do Next – Click Here

She is on to it……

If You Would Like To Find Out What The Stock Market Will Do Next – Click Here

A positive day with the Dow Jones up 176 points (+0.53%) and the Nasdaq up 21 point (+0.21%)

About a week ago we commented on the used car “bubble” prices collapsing. If you recall, this metric represents a rather large chunk of the FED’s inflationary index. 

Now, rents are hitting the skids. Fed’s New Inflation Index Shows Rent Slowing Sharply, Setting Stage For Fed Pivot

There are two things that need to happen for the Fed to stop hiking and pivot (or just one if the Fed were to raise its inflation target, which will happen but not for several years as Powell himself admitted last week): first, the labor market has to turn decidedly weaker with both the pace of monthly payrolls increase and hourly earnings having to come down drastically; and second, inflation has to drop sharply on a Y/Y basis and has to at worst flatten sequentially.

Regarding the first, we are almost there. Recall that as we first reported last week, the Philly Fed had effectively revised what was according to the BLS a gain of 1.1 million jobs to just 10,500 jobs, meaning that the Fed was looking at erroneously overstated, arguably politicized data, as it unleashed its burst of 75bps rate hikes in June… which happened just as June jobs number turned negative.

“For the better part of his presidency, while the American economy has struggled and record inflation has brought historic pain to families and small businesses across the country, President Joe Biden has consistently bragged about job growth”, Scott wrote adding that “now, thanks to the good work of analysts at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, we know that the BLS inaccurately reported the creation more than one million jobs, and that much of what President Biden has claimed credit for as the economic achievements for his administration is a lie.”

WRONG BY A MILLION JOBS. THIS IS OUTRAGEOUS.@JoeBiden‘s admin has been lying to the American people about our economy to prop up his failed agenda & I won’t stand for it. I’m requesting an immediate meeting with the head of @BLS_gov. WE NEED ANSWERS NOW! pic.twitter.com/OKwsiYSoER

— Rick Scott (@SenRickScott) December 16, 2022

In other words, most important/large inflationary metrics are decelerating if not outright reversing in a major way. Jobs creation numbers are fake. There aren’t any and mass corporate layoffs are just starting. The short end of the yield curve is stable and the FED is right on top of it.

Yet, we are expected to believe they will continue to hike interest rates? 

Give me a break. The stock market might be sniffing this out as well. 

Trying to make money based on what the FED does or doesn’t do is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here. 

If You Would Like To Find Out What The Stock Market Will Do Next – Click Here

NO DOUBT!!!

China, Russia “Strengthen Cooperation” With Large-Scale Joint Navy Drills

Russia and China have announced new large-scale joint naval drills to be held this week in the East China Sea at a moment the West has continued to be alarmed that relations between Moscow and Beijing have remained unfazed by the Ukraine war.

The Russian defense ministry (MoD) announced the drills will be held December 21-27, with a purpose to “strengthen cooperation between the two navies to maintain peace and stability in the Asian Pacific region.” There will also be an anti-submarine warfare and missile launch training component to the drills.

We have been saying this for close to twenty years now. More precisely, we have predicted over 15 years ago that before WW-3 Nuclear Exchange will take place in late 2020s, Russia and China will announce a military alliance. 

You can see that report here. Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon. When, How & Why (Full Report)

As I have said in that report back then, the final nail in the coffin of this forecast would be an official announcement of a military alliance between China and Russia. At that juncture we would have to accept the fact that our Nuclear Exchange forecast is indeed dead on accurate. And as is evident, we are coming ever closer to this reality. 

If you would like to find out exactly when this Nuclear Exchange will take place and things you can do now, please Click Here

12/19/2022 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 162 points (-0.49%) and the Nasdaq down 159 points (-1.49%) 

The amount mainstream bearishness out there is quite striking. For instance, Mike Wilson Turns Apocalyptic: “The Declines For Equities Will Be Much Worse Than What Most Are Expecting”

Meanwhile, the Dow is down only 6% off of its recent highs and everyone is losing their minds. 

Just take a look at the Put/Call Ratio below. While off its recent high, it is still nearly on par with the March of 2020 “freak out” peak. 

That is too say, there is quite a bit of bearishness baked into this market. And that in itself might prove to be quite bullish. 

Trying to make money based on bullish/bearish patterns or various indicators is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here. 

If You Would Like To Find Out What The Stock Market Will Do Next – Click Here

Great discussion, but everyone is way too bearish if you ask me. Time to buy? Find Out