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Putin The Idiot
But not for the reasons you might imagine. Just the opposite. He is an idiot for being too patient, too soft and I would argue too nice. And that is driving us all towards a nuclear war. Allow me to elaborate…..
I would have to agree with Paul Craig Roberts on this. He is indeed dead on accurate……
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Is Russian Restraint Averting the Risk of Nuclear War – or Inviting It?
- Expect More Widening of the Ukraine Conflict
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Is the Kremlin Out to Lunch?
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The Prospect of Nuclear War Is Getting too Close for Comfort
Bottom line: what Moscow does next will not only determine the course of the war in Ukraine but whether the world goes up in radioactive smoke. Does restraint and non-response to provocation make the apocalyptic scenario more likely, or less? Conversely, would a rapid, decisive move by Moscow widen that window or help close it?
His premise is rather simple. By being TOO soft on Ukraine, Putin is giving the West too much time to re-group and to escalate the conflict. And that is exactly what is happening. We went from being very cautious to now sending the US troops and Patriot missile systems into Ukraine. Does anyone remember how Vietnam got going?
Our own mathematical and timing work clearly indicates that there will be a nuclear exchange between NATO members and Russia/China alliance. We still have a few years left, but it is coming. If you would like to find out exactly when it will happen, please Click Here.
Only if Putin could be more “liberal” and wipe out Ukraine in one go. Also Poland and the Baltic states for a good measure, we might all be able to escape such a dreadful faith.
Inflation – Just A Hoax ?
Another negative day with the Dow Jones down 282 points (-0.85%) and the Nasdaq down 105 points (-0.97%)
I found this to be a very interesting opinion on the subject matter from Paul Craig Roberts The Inflation Hoax
Yes, prices are rising, but not for the reasons the Federal Reserve says. When I say inflation is a hoax, I mean the purported cause is a hoax. The Fed is fighting a consumer inflation, a “demand-pull” inflation.But what we are experiencing is a supply-side inflation caused by the Covid lockdowns and economic sanctions that closed businesses, disrupted supply chains, and broke business relationships while reducing energy supplies to the UK and European countries, thus forcing up costs in a globalized economy.One of the many neglected problems of globalism is that inflations and recessions are no long simply a national problem. Interconnectedness sends adversity globally, although in varying degrees.
I couldn’t agree more as we’ve held the same point of view.
Meanwhile the Fed yesterday raised interest rates another half a percentage point in the face of expectations of a bad recession in the coming year. This is the high level of incompetence that today rules Americans.
Personally, I am suspicious of this inflation. If it is, as I believe, the result of supply disruptions, the resumption of productive activity following the disastrous lockdowns would itself have brought prices down without need of Fed action. I also suspect that the inflation resulted in part from announcements of its arrival, in which announcements executives and boards saw opportunity to boost profits and obtain their bonus rewards by raising prices. A lot goes on that passes unnoticed by economists and pundits.
Mr. Roberts is entirely correct.
I would just add that “Covid Stimulus” did have a large impact. Yes, its function was to replace lost income, but in most cases it did much more than that. I personally know quite a few people who made out like bandits with PPP, unemployment benefits, SBA loans, etc……
Meaning, today’s apparent inflation is once again rolling over into a deflationary spiral. Just as it should. And unless there is yet another disruption, something in line with the Covid Scam, we should expect this trend to accelerate going forward.
In other words and for the time being, I am calling the FED’s bluff.
Well, trying to make money based on what the FED will or will not do is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here.
Wall Street’s Mexican Standoff With The FED
12/14/2022 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 142 points (-0.42%) and the Nasdaq down 85 points (-0.76%)
The FED didn’t give us much of anything today. Just another word salad. With that in mind, and as we have discussed over the past few weeks, they are all but caught up to the short end of the curve.
This is now evident to most……
A Stunned Wall Street Reacts To The Unexpectedly Hawkish Fed
As the first kneejerk reactions to the final Fed statement of 2022 come in, the consensus is clear: after the recent Brookings comments from Powell and yesterday’s CPI miss, few expected the Fed to come out as guns blazing hawkish, as it did, despite shaving off 25bps from it recent 75bps rate hikes (largely the result of the sharp easing in financial conditions over the past two months which the Fed is clearly unhappy with).
The market’s reaction was swift, pushing both terminal rate expectations higher and hawkishly adjusting rate-cut expectations…
What happens next reminds me of a Mexican Standoff. At least as of right now.
The short end of the yield curve suggests the FED is done or nearly so. Yet, the FED continues to insist they will hike well into next year. Our mathematical and timing TNX work shows 10-Year yields will continue to fall well into 2023. If the short-term follows or even remains stationary, the FED will be forced to pause. Recent deceleration in inflationary forces point in this direction as well.
Alternatively, the FED can simply ignore the markets and crash them in the process.
Who will win?
Well, trying to make money based on what the FED will or will not do is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here.
Investment Grin Of The Day
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Tsunami Of Vax Deaths In Next Two Years?
Listen to the people who predicted all of this. Not only predicted all of this, but told us there would be a vaccine before there was a vaccine. That’s one of the reasons I was able to convince my family not to take it. I told them there would be a vaccine and a mandatory vaccine passport back in March of 2020. That these psychopaths would try to poison everyone. They saw it unfold as predicted and were very hesitant despite massive Psyop that got most people.
Most importantly, watch the video below if you were vaccinated for a possible solution. Hint…..Ivermectin. Get that crap out of your system.
Today’s Big CPI Miss Confirms Our FED Forecast
12/13/2022 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 103 points (+0.30%) and the Nasdaq up 113 points (+1.01%)
What a day…..
In our view it is rather simple. The FED used the COVID scamdemic to pump a tremendous amount of money into the system through various sorts of Quantitative easing, stimulus, PPP, zero interest rates and the such. Plus, with supply lines breaking down due to shutdowns, we saw quite a bit of inflation take hold in the system.
Now that the money has worked itself though the system and the supply lines (for the most part) are coming back online, inflationary price pressures are disappearing. Recessionary winds and an inverted yield curve are also deflationary. Hence, others are beginning to see what we have been saying for some time….
“Stick A Fork In Inflation”… “Tomorrow Is The Last Hike This Cycle”: A Stunned Wall Street Reacts To The CPI Miss
“The better-than-expected core CPI number gives the Fed the cover it needs to signal hikes will be coming to an end. However, we still think the Fed will signal it will maintain rates near the peak for longer than the market is pricing, which means the front-end knee-jerk rally may not have legs, while the long end may retest recent yield lows flattening the curve a bit further.”
We couldn’t agree more. Just as we have suggested in our previous article This Little Indicator Suggests The FED Is About To Shock The Market the FED tends to follow the 3 and 6 month Treasury.
And that side of the yield curve suggests the FED is either done hiking or will be very soon. We would expect to see that reflected in their statement tomorrow. Fascinating.
Having said that, trying to make money based on what the FED will or will not do is incredibly hard. Our mathematical and timing work is not. It clearly shows what the stock market will do in both price and time over the next few months. If you would like to see, please Click Here.
Investment Wisdom Of The Day
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How Close Are We To A Nuclear War?
Paul Craig Roberts believes we are all but a brain fart away from such an event. A daily occurrence in the White House today. A Hair Trigger on Endgame
We are now on the brink of a nuclear holocaust. One false warning of nuclear attack, believed to be true, could cause Russia to launch a full-scale nuclear attack against the US and Europe.
We are on the brink of nuclear war, and we do not have a John F Kennedy in the White House to stop it. Instead, we have insane neoconservatives committed to US hegemony at all cost.
We first predicted this eventual outcome over 15 years ago. Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon. When, How & Why (Full Report)
I hope it is now painfully clear where we are heading. The report above could be read as a prophetic masterpiece with a terrible ending. That is not something I am happy about as I prefer to appear entirely foolish in this matter.
Unfortunately, things are snowballing into our exact outcome. Just a few years left, as per our timing and mathematical work, before nukes fly.
If you would like to see my book on the subject matter, please Click Here
Jim Rogers Expects A Bloodbath……Should You?
A positive day with the Dow Jones up 528 points (+1.58%) and the Nasdaq up 139 points (+1.26%)
You have got to admire the FED. What they have done consistently over the past 30+ years is they have taken a Ponzi Bubble of unimaginable proportions at the time and they have made it bigger. To the point where financial professionals of just 20 years ago would never believe that today’s numbers are even remotely feasible.
Well, Jim Rogers believes the bill is coming due and soon. Investment guru projects ‘worst economic problems in lifetime’
He warned, however, that “After the optimism, you should be extremely worried because we’re going to have economic problems again sometime in the next two or three years and they will probably be the worst in my lifetime because there’s so much debt. So much debt worldwide has built up since 2009. So, the next time we have a problem, it’s going to be very, very bad.”
Our own forecast tends to line up with what Mr. Rogers has in mind. As indicated in the article above, he does anticipate a bit of good news before it all comes crashing down.
Having said that, his 2-3 year window is not very precise. We believe our own mathematical and timing calculations are much more accurate. They do project an important top occurring in 2023 and then a foretold bloodbath.
If you would like to find out exactly what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here