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Our Updated Netflix (NFLX) Analysis Shows The Stock Will Soon Crater – But Not Quite Yet

We just updated our Netflix (NFLX) forecast and the picture is quite interesting.

This is a perfect opportunity for us to discuss how we identify our “fast movers”. Fast movers are stocks that are expected to make powerful directional moves of 50%+ within a compressed time window of 12 months or less.

Basically, when there is a short period of time (less than 12 months) between a major cycle top and bottom (or bottom and top), stocks tend to move with quite a bit of power during these times. Not always, but quite often.

Case and point, Netflix’s collapse between November of 2021 and May of 2022. Red ellipse above. As you can see, there was a short period of time between these points. Six months to be exact. And boy did the stock move. Collapsing from $700 to $162 a share during that time.

Here is where it gets interesting. Take a look at the green ellipse above and we have a more extreme repeat of this very same trade setup. The time window between this major cycle up and down is only 4 months.

Will the stock collapse during this time, just as it did in 2021-22? 

It might, but this is not a guarantee.  We have to consider other factors in our calculations in order to ascertain this final outcome. NFLX is just one of such opportunities. If you would like to find out what NFLX and other stocks will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

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No One Is Expecting A Big Sell-Off…..Should You?

Do you recall mid to late November of 2023?  I do.  It was gloom and doom everywhere as quite a few people were predicting an outright collapse. And today, those projections are a distant memory.

So much so that any suggestion of a big scale decline is met with general disbelief.  For instance…..

Stock-market pullbacks are price of admission, says strategist who expects bumpy gains

Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Advisory Services, said it’s normal for markets to pull back — only three years out of the last 40 did not see a pullback of more than 5%.

Isolating S&P 500 SPX SPX returns and pullbacks occurring after a first-quarter gain of at least 10%, the strategist found, on average, drawdowns of 11% the rest of the year. All that said, the total return from quarters two through four averaged 11%, with 91% of those instances being positive. (1987 was of course quite the outlier.)

Lerner sees a number of factors supporting stocks, among them that the economy remains resilient. “Our motto for several months now— and the lesson from market history—is a stronger economy with fewer rate cuts is preferable to a weakening economy in need of significant rate cuts,” he said. That resilient economy should support earnings.

In other words, don’t worry, be happy and keep buying. There is nothing to worry about as the market will keep going higher. There is no other possibility.

We don’t necessarily share in this opinion. On the contrary, our work is suggesting something entirely different. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here. Trust me, you would want to know.

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Our Next Fast Mover Was Just Posted – We Expect This Stock To Fall 60% Within 12 Months

Can you guess what this stock is? 

Fast movers are stocks that are about to stage powerful directional moves of 50%+ within a short period of time of 12 months or less. As the chart above suggests, this stock is about to top and then collapse to the tune of 60%+ within 12-14 months.

To be exact, top to bottom move is coming up. XXXX should top around $103 by September of 2024 and then collapse to $44 or lower by November of 2025

If you would like to learn more about our fast movers and/or if you would like to see what this stock is, please Click Here

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We Just Posted Our Google Update/Analysis – What It Does Next Doesn’t Make Any Sense

In summary, we expect GOOGL to eventually top out at XXXX on XXXX of 202X. A fast down move into as low as $XX by XXXX of 202X should begin thereafter. As a result, it would be of great interest to revisit this stock before this fast move down begins.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens to Google over the next few years, in both price and time and including our fast move, please Click Here

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Is Yet Another Spike Higher For VIX Long Overdue?

In our prior VIX analysis from August of 2023 we stated the following…..

      • VIX is at the bottom of its trading range. No surprise there.
      • The index will remain within confines of this bottom for a while and into 2024. Sorry Michael Burry, no crash.

If you would recall, at that time we had all sorts of “market crash” calls and Michael Burry was famously betting that VIX would surge. At the end of the day our forecast was right on the money.

So much so that our prior forecast is still in effect. Well, we just updated it with slightly renewed dates, but otherwise the overall forecast remains in play. This is of particular importance if you are trying to figure out when, or I should say if, the overall market breakdowns. 

I will give you a hint. You see that mid cycle top scheduled to arrive in relatively short order. Expect a spike higher there. If you would like to find out what VIX will do in both price and time going forward, please Click Here 

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Our Next Fast Mover Is Ready – Can You Guess What It Is

Fast movers are stocks that are about to stage powerful directional moves of 50%+ within a short period of time of 12 months or less. As the chart above suggests, this stock is about to top and then collapse to the tune of 50% within 6 months. 

If you would like to learn more about our fast movers and/or if you would like to see what this stock is, please Click Here