Category: Uncategorized

When the Emperor has no clothes, he wants your attention elsewhere.

This is certainly the case with Trump’s latest escapade with North Korea.

Don’t get me wrong, I am all for ‘World Peace’, but this particular issue is really a non-issue that has been created by Mr. Trump himself.  Plus, none of this reconciles well with arms sales to murderous nations (aka…..Saudi Scumrabia, etc…) hitting their respective all time highs.

One thing is certain, whatever the outcome of these talks will be, agreement or kicking the can down the road, Mr. Trump will claim his “Historic Victory”

Before we get to where the real action is, let’s get a quick history lesson…..

From Little Rocket man to Dear Kim: Drama all set for historic talks in Singapore

When Trump took office, there was nothing in his rhetoric that could predict any effort to make peace with North Korea. The tycoon-turned-president’s first year in White House was tainted by heated exchanges with Kim. Trump had famously called the North Korean ruler ‘a Little Rocket Man’, and was furiously labeled “mentally deranged dotard” by Pyongyang.

Reacting to North Korea’s ballistic missile launches and a 2017 nuclear test that caused widespread international condemnation, Trump fired off a series of insulting tweets, including the one in which he claimed his nuclear button was bigger than that of Kim.

Aside from the boyish escapade, the situation in the Korean peninsula quickly got serious. The US and its ally South Korea began massive military exercises, probably seen in the North as war preparations.

In other words, bread and circuses as the Rome burns. 

Forget North Korea. We told you here a few months ago, at the time when the bozos above where threatening each other with nuclear annihilation, that nothing would happen. That there would be no war between the US and North Korea. The TIME for the next big war has not yet arrived.

Having said that, your attention is currently being diverted away from the most important issue of our time. Make no mistake, a Nuclear WW-3 is just around the corner and the chess board is being set up at the present moment on the Russian border.

So, while the world might breathe a sign of relief when President Trump declares victory tomorrow, it would be nothing but false hope. The real superpowers will fight this upcoming war soon enough. If you would like to find out exactly when this war will start, please Click Here

A positive week with the Dow Jones up 503 points (+2.02%) and the Nasdaq up 39 points (+0.51%)

This seemingly positive week for the Dow was rather simple. The index was playing catch up to its more speculative cousins.

So, what indicator are we talking about? This….

18 Times The Fed Has Gone Through A Rate Hiking Cycle, And 18 Times It Has Caused A Huge Stock Market Decline And/Or A Recession

Since 1913, the Federal Reserve has engaged in 18 distinct interest rate hiking campaigns, and in every single one of those instances the end result was a large stock market decline, a recession, or both.  Now we are in the 19th rate tightening cycle since 1913, but many of the experts are insisting that things will somehow be different this time.  They assure us that the U.S. economy will continue to grow and that stock prices will continue to soar.  Of course the truth is that if something happens 18 times in a row, there is a really, really good chance that it will happen on the 19th time too.  For years I have been trying to get people to understand that our country has been on an endless roller coaster ride ever since the Fed was created back in 1913.  Things can seem quite pleasant when the economy is on one of the upswings, but the downswings can be extremely painful.

A sustained interest rate hiking campaign, as undertaken by the Fed, has always resulted in negative stock market returns.

Always. Not usually, not might-be-correlated-to. Always. As in, 18 out of 18 times. Until now. When we’ve had the single highest percentage increase in history (93.33% peak to trough, so far).

Our timing and mathematical work is very much clear in this regard as well.

It shows a rather powerful bear market arriving in not so distant future. If you would like to find out exactly when it starts, ends and how much the market will decline, please Click Here

Of particular importance is his view on Mr. Trump’s upcoming trade war. A must listen for anyone investing today.

ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:

Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.

Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the Wilshire 5000.

Explanation:

Long-Term: It appears the Wilshire 5000 is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year. Did it already complete? Click Here

Short-Term: It appears the Wilshire 5000 might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market. Did it already complete? Click Here

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 

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ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it. 

– State of the Market Address:

• The Dow is back above 25,000
• Shiller’s Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 32.45. Slightly off highs, but still arguably at the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and still above 1929 top of 29.55.
• Weekly RSI at 56 – neutral. Daily RSI is at  62- neutral.
• Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 19,500 today (on weekly).
• Weekly Stochastics at  61  – neutral. Daily at 85 – overbought.
• NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at +28 – Neutral.
• Commercial VIX interest is now  net neutral.
• Last week’s CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) have, more or less, shifted back to a net short position.  For now, the Dow is net neutral, the S&P is at 3X net short, Russell 2000 is 3X net short and the Nasdaq is 2X net long.

If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here. 

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ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.