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Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here

Weekly Stock Market Update & Forecast: September 21st, 2024

Another positive week with the Dow Jones up 670 points (+1.61%)  the Nasdaq up 265 points (+1.5%)

Thus far, the stock market is performing perfectly as it continues to trend into our major projected time/price turning point.

Let me ask you something…..

Does anyone else remember the “Great Meltdown” that occurred in early August. When the Doom & Gloomers assured all of us that the top was in and the next great collapse is here.  Surely enough, everyone freaked out with VIX quickly spiking to $55. 

Yet, our email from August 1st (check your inbox) outlined a number of reasons as to why the top is not yet in and why we will still see a number of all time high on most major indices. And while that forecast was hard to believe then, it is now a reality. 

And how quickly did we go from that to this…….

• Powell Delivered The Stock Market To The Promise Land. SPX to 6000 by Year End
• FED’s Rate Cut Might Spark A Melt-Up
• Rising Odds Of A Melt-Up

Fair enough, but where were these people predicting a melt-up in early August? 

Perhaps they were loading up on overpriced put options or buying VIX above $50, but I digress. 

Back to our overall stock market forecast that hasn’t changed (outside of a few slight adjustments) since we pin pointed the 2022 October bottom with precision of a surgeon. 

That is, the stock market is looking for a major top. And we continue to maintain  we have the exact parameters of when the said top will occur in both price and time.

Let’s just say that both bulls and bears will be caught with their pants down when the said top will arrive. Here’s why……

As the sentiment above suggests, most investors, including the bears, anticipate some sort of a melt-up. And I think most of them will be quite disappointed. At least according to our work and calculations.  

Yet, when the said top does arrives, the subsequent move down will be a quick one. Likely catching both bulls and bears unprepared.  The answer is, of course,  is to know when the said top will arrive and the extent/timing of the subsequent move down. 

Luckily, our calculations reveal both of those things. If you would like to find out when the stock market will top, in both price and time, and what will happen thereafter, please e-mail me at alex@4-dcapital.com

We just posted our next fast mover.

Fast movers are stocks that are about to stage powerful directional moves of 50% or more within a compressed time window of 12 months or less. If you would like to learn more about our fast movers, please Click Here.

This one is straight to the point and rather self explanatory. Our mathematical time/price calculations suggest this stock will bottom fairly soon at around $20 a share and then surge to the tune of 600% or more within a relatively short period of time.

What can cause such a move as neither fundamental nor technical analysis would yield such an outcome/projection?

We really don’t know nor care. When it comes to such an analysis the subject matter is rather complicated. For instance, what we see on a two dimensional time and price stock market chart is a shadow representation of what is actually happening.

Yet, if you begin to measure it in a proper way, the actual structure begins to reveal itself and one can make projections as is described above.

Further, as our “Fast Mover” explanation link above suggests, this stock finds itself between an important cycle bottom and a major cycle top that i scheduled to arrive shortly thereafter. This constitutes a perfect setup for a fast move higher. And in this case our calculations confirm the matter.

Finally and despite apparent risks, this is a risk averse play.  Meaning, there is a small margin of error associated with the setup above.  Let me give you an example. Our calculations suggest a margin of error of only 2%. Meaning, if the stock above pushes just 2% below our target, our forecast is negated and our long  position is liquidated.  That is not to suggest the forecast might be incorrect, but rather, to show the degree of risk management.

This stock is one of many of our upcoming fast movers. If you would like to find out more about this stock and others, including their exact time and price targets, please Click Here 

Just how close are we to a Nuclear Exchange? This is a must watch.
Plus, the latest on Ukraine.

Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here

Thus far I have been hesitant to render any sort of an opinion about the upcoming election. As recently as May and June of this year there were too many moving variables to warrant an accurate guess. 

That has changed. I believe it is now crystal clear. This ties well into our stock market work and/or our mathematical calculations. 

If you would recall, throughout June we published a series of Is Something Bad About To Happen?

At that time we speculated that while we were not sure what was about to go down, something big was about to happen. This was tied into our stock market work. Trump’s assassination attempt on July 14th would have definitely qualified for the above if it was successful. 

Now, hear me out…….(btw, I don’t belong to any party). 

It is becoming obvious that this election will be stolen. Constant MSM propaganda is at historic levels and is clearly directed towards that outcome.  Just open Drudge Report and you would be led to believe that Trump is done and over with while Kamala is surging in polls. Anyone with two brains cells to rub together would know it to be a blatant lie.

But I digress as none of that really matters. 

Here is what I believe will happen over the next few months. Once again, this ties into our stock market work. 

Scenario #1:  Trump’s landslide victory is too much to overcome with cheating. Expect all sort of possibilities out of this scenario.  For instance, I wouldn’t put it past the democrats to start an all out war between NATO Vs. Russia or to force the nation into some sort of a civil clash. Obviously, another assassination attempt would be in the cards as well. Just about anything and everything will be on the table in order to prevent Trump from taking power.

• War Is Upon Us or Will Putin Blink Again
• Putin: NATO’s Approval of Use of Long-Range Missiles by Ukraine Will Mean It Is At War With Russia 

Scenario #2:  Kamala “wins”. And while the cretins from the MSM will surely celebrate her “historic victory”, not many straight thinking Americans will accept it as such.

I have theory for this particular outcome and I haven’t heard anyone discusse it.

If you would recall, with Texas in the lead a number of states challenged the 2020 election results as there were too many “inconsistencies” or the election was deemed, by many, as fraudulent.  The case was thrown out as Texas and other states were found not to have standing.  At least according to the Supreme Court. 

I have a feeling that Texas and at least 20 other red states will simply say NO this time around and will NOT go quietly into the night. Particularly, if this anticipated election fraud will be in your face evident. 

What will the Federal Government do, what will the States? That’s anyone’s guess at this point, but the whole setup would force a constitutional crisis – at the very least. 

One thing is clear. No matter what happens or who wins the 2024 election, the shit storm to follow will be of historic proportions.

 

 

We just updated our VIX forecast. To say it is a MUST see would be an understatement.

Our prior VIX analysis from early April revealed a number of important dates this year and made a number of both long-term and short-term projections. At the time we suggested VIX will see spikes to at least $45. And with early August spike to $55 that is now a reality. 

Yet, the best is yet to come – as the say. Recent VIX moves cleared up a short-term structure that we believe is very clear in both its TIME and PRICE projections. And I don’t have to tell you how much money can be made if one can get the VIX timing right. 

If you would like to find out what VIX will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here 

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To learn more about our mathematical and timing work  Click Here

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Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here

We just posted our next fast mover.

Fast movers are stocks that are about to stage powerful directional moves of 50% or more within a compressed time window of 12 months or less. If you would like to learn more about our fast movers, please Click Here.

This one is a big one and quite a significant position can be accumulated at the upcoming time/price turning point. And while most money managers will recognize the chart, it is just as important to know its upcoming top completion point and its subsequent trading parameters. 

For instance, we expect the stock to complete its bull run at a clear upcoming Time/Price turning point and then collapse to the tune of 50%…..quickly.  

As our “Fast Mover” explanation link above suggests, the stock finds itself between an important cycle top and a major cycle bottom that arrives shortly thereafter. This constitutes a perfect setup for a fast move down. And in this case our calculations confirm the matter. 

Finally and despite apparent risks, this is a risk averse play.  Meaning, there is a small margin of error associated with the setup above.  Let me give you an example. Our calculations suggest a margin of error of only 2%. Meaning, if the stock above pushes just 2% above our target, our forecast is negated and our short position is liquidated.  That is not to suggest the forecast might be incorrect, but rather, to show the degree of risk management. 

The anticipated gain is self explanatory. 

 

Oh, boy, where do we start…….This is so jammed packed with one line zingers that I don’t recall seeing anything like that for a while. Here are just a few…..

• This rally minted millionaires left and right.
• People are rejoicing and buying the dip.
• I am worried about the collapse, but long the stock market.
• “They” were smashing the buy button.
• Brah, stocks go up 77% of the time.
• You don’t have to be a math genius to know stocks mostly go up.
• There would be no stock market if stocks went down.
• Have faith in your positions.
• Stewardship of capital, believe in the FED Put.
• So rewarding for investors.
• Investors are all in on TECH stocks.
• People are scrambling to buy MSFT, NVDA, AAPL on days like today (down days).

Brah??? I am simply amazed anyone can squeeze so much bullishness in a 5 minutes segment. 

I just have a simple question. Where were these people at 2022 October bottom. Also, I would tread carefully when a “crazy eyed” lady tells you to load up on tech stocks. I would imagine Warren Buffett’s current selling carries more weight.

Anyway, if you would like to find out when the stock market will TOP, in both price and time, please Click Here.  What happens thereafter will send these people where they belong, straight to a  nut house.