3/9/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 139 points (+0.78%) and the Nasdaq up 15 points (+0.31%)
The Dow hit an Intraday low of 6,469 on March 6th, 2009. CNBC anchors were freaking out and most analysts were predicting the next great depression and the Dow 1,000. At the same time, a number of incredibly powerful and important TIME cycles were arriving between March 5-9th. Plus, the Dow was completing an important long-term mathematical point (see analysis on this page). In other words, an important bottom was approaching and I was telling everyone who would listen to BUY, BUY, BUY.
Today, the situation is reversed. The stock market is in a bubble territory and my timing work suggests that we should begin our final secular bear market decline shortly. For instance and as I have suggested so many times before, very few bull markets last longer than 5 years.
- 1914 -1920: Bull Market
- 1924-1929: Bull Market (followed by a 1929 crash)
- 1932-1937: Bull Market (followed by a 1937 crash)
- 1937-1942: Bear Market
- 1966-1971: Bear Market
- 1982-1987: Bull Market (followed by a 1987 crash)
- 1994-2000: Bull Market (followed by a 2000 crash)
- 2002-2007: Bull Market (followed by a 2007 crash)
- 2009-2014: Bull Market
In fact, prior to this 6 year run up, the longest 5 year cycle lasted between April of 1924 and September of 1929 (5.5 years). This begs the question…….
Are we in a secular bull market or has this bull cycle been artificially extended by the FED’s intervention and QE?
I don’t believe either explanation would be accurate here. First, I don’t believe that we are in a secular bull market. We are still in a secular bear market that started in 2000 and will only complete in 2017. You can find a more detailed analysis here Why A Bear Market Of 2015-2017 Is Unavoidable
Finally, one can argue that most stocks terminated their bull rallies around July of 2014 (5.5 years). As is evident from the chart below, most stocks have been treading water since then. In other words, it is quite possible that a stealth bear leg has already started.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014/15-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014/15-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. March 9th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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Happy Birthday Bull Market. Here Is What Happens Next. Google