9/29/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 46 points (+0.29%) and the Nasdaq down 26 points (-0.59%)
The stock market is not doing very much, so let’s talk about what I believe to be one of the best long-term short opportunities out there today. Facebook (FB). You can learn more about it here. Why Short Sellers Should Drool All Over Facebook (Published 2 months ago when Facebook was selling close to $100).
About two months ago I told you about a discrepancy that I have noticed right before and after Facebook’s Q-2 end.
Particularly, I have two old business pages on Facebook that I haven’t really used in about two years. When they were active, I have probably spent a grand total of around $500 advertising both pages on FB. Just testing things out. Since stopping, those pages went dead.
Until about July of this year. Around that time, one of the pages got 5 likes while the other got 7. Plus, around 20 people followed the pages in question over the last few weeks. Curiously, these pages got no action, literally ZERO, in both respects over the last two years. The content is old and whatever content is there is marginal at best. Point being, they shouldn’t be attracting attention.
I am now seeing this trend reappear at the end of September.
The question is…..why or what is going on?
While the story above is anecdotal at best and even though I cannot prove this, I believe Facebook is turning to artificial “click or like farming” to squeeze more revenue growth out of their business. Not a good sign at a P/E ratio of 88 to 95.
Point being, Facebook growth is slowing down. If they are indeed doing “Click Farming”, it must be slowing down substantially. And soon as investors get a whiff of that, they will send this thing down to $20 a share, where it belongs, and as my previous analysis suggests. At the very least, it should re-test $72. You can thank me later.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. September 29th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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