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Jim Simons’ & Renaissance Technologies Secret Revealed

I found the following discussion about Jim Simons (RIP Jim) and Renaissance Technologies fascinating for two reasons.

  1. They are absolutely correct to point out how unbelievable Jim’s performance was.
  2. They have no idea what they are talking about when it comes to his approach, algorithms, AI, etc…….. Well, no one does.

Allow me to expand on point #2.

Foremost, Jim was a brilliant Ph.D.  mathematician and a code breaker. In our opinion his work had nothing to do with any kind of a “black box” algorithm or some early AI invention. Instead, his work, just as ours, strikes at the underlying fundamental mathematical composition of the market.

Why Do You Think Your Work Is The Same???

During his 2014 TED Talk Jim Simons discussed what appeared to be two abstract mathematical concepts (video below – starts at 5 minute mark). My jaw nearly dropped. These were the same mathematical concepts we were applying to the stock market at the time and getting extremely accurate results.

To an untrained eye it was nothing, to us, Jim Simons was finally (he is very secretive) discussing the secret mathematical concepts behind Renaissance’s incredible success in money management. Allow me to explain this in greater detail…….

Here’s What Jim Simons Means……

“The markets being, at minimum, a 3-Dimensional phenomena, exactly like a large molecule rotating in space, in and out of the Z plane, with DNA coding sequences governing the entire process. Without understanding that the market is 3-D, twisting like a plant governed by the phyllotactic laws of dual number series and harmonic composition and decomposition, all measurements taken on a 2-D chart become misleading.”

What Does That Mean? 

The stock market moves in 3-Dimensional space. Much like a snake moving along the wall of a curved tunnel. As a result, the traditional 2-Dimensional stock market charts we all study represent the shadow of the move and NOT the move itself (torus side view).

So, how do we measure the stock market in 3-Dimensions? With very simple high school geometry.

LET ME SHOW YOU JUST HOW ACCURATE THIS WORK IS

The calculations above measure the stock market in 3-Dimensions. I highly encourage you to verify our calculations and the data set below to ensure its accuracy. How powerful can this be? Well, assuming you are aware of only this small data set, you would be able to pick out all major tops and bottoms on the Dow, in both price and time, and within 50-100 point or 1-3 trading day resolution.

Move High Date High Price Low Date Low Price Change Hours Change In Price 3D Value
1994/2000 1/14/2000 11,895 11/23/1994 3,612 8,437 8,296 11,832
2000/2002 1/14/2000 11,895 10/10/2002 7,156 4,437 4,727 6,483
2002/2007 10/11/07 14,279 03/12/2003 7,357 7,470 6,882 10,156
2007/2009 10/11/07 14,279 3/6/2009 6,428 2,280 7,811 8,137
2009/2015 5/19/2015 18,351 3/6/2009 6,428 10,050 11,923 15,594
2015/2016 5/19/2015 18,351 8/24/2015 15,332 436 2,981 3,012

ALLOW ME TO GIVE YOU ANOTHER EXAMPLE

Once again, all values above calculate the stock market in 3-Dimensions and start at 1994 bottom. That particular bottom was very important because the market shifted its energy level at that time. Please note how incredibly accurate these calculations are. Most yield a margin of error of less than 0.5%.

  • The value of approximately 24,650 (red circles) show up on at least three incredibly important tops/bottoms. Representing such moves as 1994 bottom to 2007 top and 2009 bottom and 2009 bottom to a secondary top in October of 2018.
  • The value of approximately 12,700 (black squares) show up on at least three occasions as well. Marking incredibly important tops and bottoms such as 2000 and 2007 tops and 2015 bottom. Note, 6,400 is half of this value (2000 top to 2002 bottom move)
  • All green circle values are related to the primary value of approximately 10,800 (2002 bottom to 2007 top move). At 2X, 1X and Square Root of 2 (14,800) relationships.

Please note something else of significant importance. The data set above represents a tiny portion of the analysis available to us once we begin to calculate the market in 3-Dimensions. For instance, if we zoom in to Intraday charts, we will continue to see similar structures and relationships. Finally, this sort of an analysis applies to all financial instruments (stocks, bonds, commodities, etc..) and time frames.

TIMING

PROPRIOTARY TIME CYCLES

Our computer system analyzes past proprietary cycles to identify important upcoming TIME turning points. It then clusters these cycles into a singular high probability TIME turning point. In other words, when multiple powerful cycles come together, a market turn, on most time frames, is highly probable.

FIXED HURST CYCLE VARIANT….UP/DOWN COMPOSITES

If we apply a unique type of cyclical analysis to our mathematical 3-Dimensional work above, our accuracy improves dramatically. Not only in PRICE, but most importantly in TIME.

Most cycle analysts out there are able to pick out various long-term and short-term market cycles at certain junctures. Such cycles tend to work for a time, only to disappear unexpectedly. That happens for two reasons……..

  1. Cycles tend to shift when geometric formations described above complete or shift. Once again, such geometric formations can only be measured and predicted by analyzing the stock market in 3-Dimensions.
  2. There are dual up and down cycles in development at all times, in all markets and on all time frames. This creates a much more complex system than most analysts work with today.

In other words, the above cyclical analysis allows us to TIME the market with astonishing accuracy on both the long-term and short-term basis. For example, we’ve had instances where we’ve been successful in calling major/minor tops and bottoms, in both price and time, within a 5 minute resolution.

Putting these two TIME composites together with 3-Dimensional Calculations allow us to pinpoint most upcoming turning points in both Price and Time. 

SUMMARY…..

When all of the above is combined in an appropriate fashion, the stock market and most other financial instruments, can be predicted with ASTONISHING accuracy. In both PRICE and most importantly TIME. On all time frames and in all market conditions. 

Our Emerging Market Forecast (EEM) Is Working Out Perfectly

We just updated our EEM forecast and calculations. To say it is performing just as forecasted would be an understatement.

Date Of Update: October 22nd, 2024

  • EEM has confirmed our earlier claim that October 2022 was a long-term bottom. As we mentioned in our prior update, EEM increases to its mid-cycle composite which was expected to arrive in XXXX.
  • Our calculations do not confirm the recent high as a point of interest and still shows higher target at XXXX
  • Once the above top is put in place and confirmed, EEM should decline into $33 by July of 2026.

In summary, no changes to our prior update as EEM is still tracing out our previously discussed forecast.

If you would like to find out what EEM or other stocks will do next in both price and time, please Click Here

Short-Term & Intraday Analysis For The Dow Jones – October 22nd, 2024

Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here

Netflix (NFLX) – Interesting & Powerful Move Ahead

 

We just update our Neftlix forecast. 

We just updated our Netflix (NFLX) forecast and the picture is quite interesting.

This is a perfect opportunity for us to discuss how we identify our “fast movers”. Fast movers are stocks that are expected to make powerful directional moves of 50%+ within a compressed time window of 12 months or less.

Basically, when there is a short period of time (less than 12 months) between a major cycle top and bottom (or bottom and top), stocks tend to move with quite a bit of power during these times. Not always, but quite often.

Case and point, Netflix’s collapse between November of 2021 and May of 2022. Red ellipse above. As you can see, there was a short period of time between these points. Six months to be exact. And boy did the stock move. Collapsing from $700 to $162 a share during that time.

Here is where it gets interesting. Take a look at the green ellipse above and we have a more extreme repeat of this very same trade setup. The time window between this major cycle up and down is only 4 months.

Will the stock collapse during this time, just as it did in 2021-22? 

It might, but this is not a guarantee.  We have to consider other factors in our calculations in order to ascertain this final outcome. NFLX is just one of such opportunities. If you would like to find out what NFLX and other stocks will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here. 

Find Out Why Google (Googl) Has Already Topped, Where The Bottom Is & What Happens Thereafter

If you would like to find out what the stock market and individual stocks will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here

Will Democrats Attempt To Steal This Election? Is Water Wet?

Another great article from Paul Craig Roberts and we couldn’t agree more.

Democrats Intend to Steal the Election

Paul Craig Roberts

The notion that we are going to have a free election in November is a fantasy. The Democrats intend to steal the election. They have openly made it completely obvious.

The Democrats have made it impossible to have a valid election in the United States. Elon Musk is correct to say that if the election is stolen from Trump, there will never again be an election. The agenda of the Democrat Party is one-party rule.

If the Democrats do not intend to steal the election, why did California make it a felony to require an ID to vote?

Why did the Wisconsin Supreme Court overturn the ban on ballot drop boxes?

Why did some blue states rule that ballots have to be counted regardless of irregularities in how they are filled out.

What Democrats have done in swing states is to legalize vote fraud. Some blue states have tried to make it illegal to challenge the vote count, an issue that will have to be settled by the US Supreme Court.

Arizona is illegally withholding the list of 218,000+ registered voters who have not provided proof of citizenship as required by law
https://media.scored.co/post/Y7jpOjPGZNvk.png

BREAKING: In Stunning Development Absentee Ballots are Being Mailed to “Inactive” Voters in Wisconsin for Presidential Election
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/breaking-stunning-development-absentee-ballots-are-being-mailed/

North Carolina Voting Roll Corrupted
https://krisjurski.substack.com/p/did-the-north-carolina-election-board

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer sends absentee voter applications to ineligible voters
https://www.themidwesterner.news/2024/09/gov-gretchen-whitmer-sends-absentee-voter-applications-to-ineligible-voters/

Madison, Wisconsin, caught mailing duplicate mail-in ballots
https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1838763006806647281

Soros-Backed Organizations Leverage Waves Of New Immigrants To ‘Sway’ Elections
https://www.dailywire.com/news/how-soros-backed-organizations-leverage-waves-of-new-immigrants-to-sway-elections?topStoryPosition=1

NGOs are active in each swing state, operating ballot mills registering illegal aliens and other migrants – capturing their ballots – and voting them.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/citizen-platform-take-ngos-big-steal/

Common Sense Elections identified over 500,000 ineligible addresses each in Michigan, Georgia and Wisconsin, and more than 1.4 million in Pennsylvania.

Non-citizens added to states’ voter rolls through DMV, even after admitting lack of US citizenship
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/non-citizens-added-states-voter-rolls-through-dmv-even-after-admitting

Investment Wisdom Of The Day

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here 

Short-Term & Intraday Analysis For The Dow Jones – October 7th, 2024

Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here