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Regional Banks Are Set To SURGE !!! Wait, What???

Small/Regional Banks ETF (IAT) – Update
Date of Analysis: January 17th, 2024

We had an exact hit on our prior bottom projection in May of 2023.  Going forward, our timing and mathematical work for IAT suggests the following:

  • As our prior forecast suggested, there was an exact hit on our bottom target of $30 (+/- $1) on May 4th, 2023.
  • Now, since we have the exact bottom confirmed, we have more accurate top projections.
  • Note that we are still within the variance of the top composite cycle. There is a strong cluster arriving on XXXX (+/- 2 weeks).
  • Precise mathematical calculations lead to $86 +/- $2 target.

In summary, we have an important divergence between our top TIME projection and our top PRICE target of $86. Meaning……..Click Here

Having said that, if you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here.

Posted on

Why The FED “Put” Will Fail

1/19/2024 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 395 points (+1.05%) and the Nasdaq up 255 points (+1.70%) 

The market continues to behave exactly as our time/price calculations project.

A couple of interesting articles today…….

Stocks & Bonds Tumble After Fed’s Waller Sends Rate-Cut Odds Reeling

    • At first glance, Fed Governor Chris Waller’s comments were more of the same – data-dependent, mini-mission-accomplished, be careful of easing financial conditions, and the market seems over-enthusiastic about 2024 policy. But it was the level of detail he added – and the flip-flop-ish nature of his comments – that colored the market’s perceptions hawkish (full speech here).

Stocks, Bonds, Oil, & Gold All Down As Waller Wrecks Rate-Cut Party

    • Comments by Governor Waller in a speech and discussion today raised the risk that the first cut could come slightly later than the market’s expectation of March and that the pace of cuts could be quarterly from the outset, rather than the market’s more aggressive forecast of three initial consecutive cuts followed by a switch to a quarterly pace.

We made a shocking prediction last week. Not only the FED won’t cut, they will continue to hike, at least for the time being. Here’s why…..

Because the market will force them to.

Keep raising rates….are you out of your mind? Yes and No!!!

Earlier in the day we updated our mathematical Time/Price 10-Year Note (TNX) Forecast You Won’t Believe What Interest Rates Will Do Next

In that forecast, while we do not share exact Time/Price targeting data, we do suggest that TNX hasn’t topped yet or that October’s high was not the final high. In other words, another leg higher is expected.

Here is the thing. The FED tends to follow the market and not lead it. Particularly the short end of the curve. Over the years I have presented a mountain of evidence to support this notion.

Meaning, if our overall TNX calculations are correct, and I have no reason to doubt them, interest rates are about to surge higher one more time. And if so, the FED will follow.

And that, ladies and gentlemen, should get very interesting.

Having said that, if you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here.

Posted on

This Fast Mover Is About To Collapse

Our latest “Fast Mover” has been published. If you are familiar with the chart above, great, you know the name of the stock. And if not, please Click Here

If you would like to learn more about our fast movers and how we identify them, please Click Here.  Your can also view our TimedProfits.com site.

Analysis Summary for XXXX
Date of Analysis: January 11th, 2024

Time Target: An up-cycle composite arrives on February 18th, 2024.
Price Target: $143 (+/- $2)
Projected Move: Our time and mathematical calculations suggest the top is not yet in and we will arrive at around $143 – most likely around February 18th. Once the top is put in place, the stock is expected to drop lower to $95 (+/- $2) by September/October of 2024.

Posted on

DOW 100,000…..Here We Go Again

1/10/2024 –  A positive day with the Dow Jones up 170 points (+0.45%) and the Nasdaq up 112 points (+0.75%)

The Bulls are once again out in force.

Investor lays out case for Dow 100,000 within a decade as artificial-intelligence boom transforms U.S. stock market

    •  U.S. stocks are off to a rocky start in 2024, and across Wall Street, analysts have been grumbling about the high bar that America’s largest companies will need to surmount when they start reporting their final batch of earnings for calendar year 2023 in January. But as sentiment turns increasingly bearish in early 2024, one chief investment officer of a firm with $2 billion in assets believes that the bull run in U.S. stocks is only just getting started. As a boom powered by the spread of artificial-intelligence technology heats up, major U.S. equity indexes could see their value double or triple over the coming decade.

Oh yeah, the AI. This is in stark contrast to what we saw at the end of October with most money managers predicting the “crash”.

We are now dealing with an overbought market with quite a few sentiment indicator flashing a warning light.

From our perspective this is rather easy. If you recall, we have predicted this rally off of October 2022 low back in July of that year and have suggested that the market will see new all time highs before it is all said and done.

And here we are…… 

What happens next is also rather clear. At least according to mathematical and timing calculations. And if you would like to find out what the stock market will do going forward, in both price and time, please Click Here

Posted on

Why The FED Will Likely Hike Again

1/12/2024 –  A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 118 points (-0.31%) and the Nasdaq up 3 points (+0.02%) 

Why? 

Because the market will force them to.

I found this article to be of interest No Smoking Gun Yet To Justify Magnitude Of Fed Rate-Cuts

      • US data from last week were not enough, from the perspective of the economy, to endorse the amount of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve expected by the market. Payrolls and the jobs data released last week demonstrated why the market – and the Fed – shouldn’t take it too seriously as a real-time snapshot of the labor market.

Keep raising rates….are you out of your mind? Yes and No!!!

Earlier in the day we updated our mathematical Time/Price 10-Year Note (TNX) Forecast You Won’t Believe What Interest Rates Will Do Next

In that forecast, while we do not share exact Time/Price targeting data, we do suggest that TNX hasn’t topped yet or that October’s high was not the final high. In other words, another leg higher is expected.

Here is the thing. The FED tends to follow the market and not lead it. Particularly the short end of the curve. Over the years I have presented a mountain of evidence to support this notion.

Meaning, if our overall TNX calculations are correct, and I have no reason to doubt them, interest rates are about to surge higher one more time. And if so, the FED will follow.

And that, ladies and gentlemen, should get very interesting.

Having said that, if you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, please Click Here.