InvestWithAlex.com 

Venture Capital

venture capital

Continuation from yesterday……(How To Raise Money From Angel Investors)

And what does being ready mean?

First, you should already have something built.  While having a finished product is your best bet, a prototype or a beta type of a situation might work as well. Keep the following in mind. Very few angel investors or venture capitalists will invest in an idea.  In fact, I have never seen it happen personally, although I have heard about it.

Second, have a detailed business plan written out. It is a must have to show potential investors. You must illustrate in a very clear fashion that you know what you are talking about, what the market forces are, financial, etc…. Simply put, without a detailed business plan most angle investors will not be capable of properly evaluating the legitimacy of your investment opportunity.

Again, the threshold here is very easy and straight forward. If you cannot put a legitimate business plan together, how are you supposed to run a business?  Chances are, you cannot.  Therefore, if you can’t put it together, you have no business approaching either angel investors or venture capitalists.  Do not waste their time as it is almost a certainty that you will not get anywhere.

Venture Capital

Everything that was mentioned above in regards to angel investors applies towards venture capitalists, but on a bigger scale. That means more expansive capital, higher threshold requirements and for the most part a bigger capital investment.

The keyword for venture capitalists is TRACTION.

If you are starting out with just an idea, at times it wouldn’t even be appropriate to approach venture capitalists.  You are not ready and they are not interested.  In fact, think of venture capital as growth capital. For the most part, venture capitalists are interested in growth concepts that are already getting customer traction.

Still, if you do decide to approach venture capitalists the best way to do so is through your network or their existing portfolio companies.  An introduction is always the best possible way, but it is not an option for many.  Try to avoid a shotgun approach here. Meaning, you would be much better served researching any given venture capitalist for some time and coming up with a unique proposition as to why they should listen to you.  This will guarantee a much better success rate as you unlikely to hear back from anyone if you attempt to contact them in mass. Weather it is through email, mail or in any other fashion.  Finally, finding venture capitalists should be relatively easy as multiple lists are available online.

Personally, I have mixed feelings about venture capitalists. They are wonderful and very smart people. Yet, they are under constant pressure from their own investors to hit that next home run or to earn a significant positive return.  As such, their interests are not necessarily aligned with yours.  It is their job to make as much money as possible and they will do whatever is necessary to get that done.  Sometimes that includes destroying companies they have invested in or replacing top management, including you.  Be aware of it, but don’t blame them. That’s just how the game is played at that level.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Venture Capital Google

Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Summary

Continuation from yesterday……(The Reason Most People Buy High and Sell Low)

With that in mind, it is now time to bring all of the points above together in order to formulate a clearly defined investment strategy.

Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Investment Strategy Summary

stock market cycle

Know Exactly Where You Are At All Times.

Whether you are investing in individual stocks or the overall stock market, you must have a clear understanding of exactly where you are in the cyclical composition of the underlying financial instrument.   Luckily, you only have a few options.

  • Market Bottom:

Cover your short positions and prepare to go long. Identify substantially undervalued securities.

  • Bull Market:

Buy and hold substantially undervalued securities. Continue to add to your positions and/or buy newly discovered undervalued securities throughout the duration of a bull market.

  • Market Top:

Liquidate all of your long positions and prepare to go short. Identify good shorting opportunities. They can either be stocks you were long or stocks that are expected to decline at X multiple to the market.

  • Bear Market:

Take short positions in the overall stock market or individual stocks once a bear move is confirmed.  Continue to add to your short positions for the duration of the move. Cover once the bottom is reached.

Then simply rinse and repeat.  The rules above, of course, can be applied to all time frames and to all financial instruments. For as long as you know exactly where in the cycle you are.  The primary benefits are as follows.

Risk Reduction:

  • Through the purchase of undervalued securities.
  • Through knowing where in the cycle you are.
  • Though having the ability to be on both sides of the trade at appropriate times.

Maximizing Profits:

  • Through having the ability to profit from both sides of the move. Long and short.
  • Through purchasing undervalued securities with significant upside potential or shorting overvalued securities with a lot downside.
  • Through compressing anticipated gains into the shortest time frame possible.

Let me now show you exactly how this works with a real life example and why this particular approach outperforms most others by a significant margin.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..

Z30

Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Summary Google

Running Angry

angry running

Continuation from Monday…..(What Would Buddha Do?)

Transforming STRESS Into Positive Energies

Once you know how, transforming your internal energies from one form into another becomes a whole lot of fun. Just as if you were choosing from dozens of ice cream flavors, you have a hidden ability of taking any flavor of your internal energy and then transforming it into whatever it is that you wish. For instance, you can take sudden bursts of anger energy and then instantaneously transform into laughter or you can take jealousy and transform it into love or you can take stress and transform it into compassion. You can even take any of the energies within, supercharge them and then release them to the outside world if it serves a purpose.

Perhaps my running activity would be a perfect illustration of what I mean.  In short, I really enjoy running when I am incredibly angry. If for no other purpose than getting a better work out and making the entire process a little bit more fun.  Yet, as was mentioned in the previous section it is next to impossible to make me upset, let alone angry. Someone would have to go out of their way and dedicate real time and resources to bring any sort of anger out of me.  As such, artificial anger generation becomes the only option.

Typically, to get my anger energy flowing I concentrate on recent political issues that I might disagree with and past events where people have done me wrong. I then begin two oscillate between both issues while consciously imagining how idiotic the people in question are, what should be done and what my payback will be. With a few tricks I can then escalate this energy into a furious firestorm of anger within my belly.  All within the first five minutes of starting my run.

And the point?

Once my anger energy is at a boiling point I consciously flip an internal switch and transform this anger energy into a literal jet fuel that supercharges my running output. So much so that I typically shave off a minute off of my regular mile pace of 8 minutes. With pure anger fueling my short legs I usually have no problem holding 7 minute a mile pace for well over an hour. Only to drop near exhaustion after my anger jet fuel literally runs out.

And while we already talked about this in the previous section, it is worth repeating what happens behind the scenes.  Simply put, as I start my daily runs I consciously access my unified energy reservoir and its daily allocation.  I then knowingly introduce anger into this unified energy field and though the process describe above start to spiral it into a concentrated field of pure anger energy.

To the point where all of the energies within me become ANGER. Once this heightened state of anger is achieved I then deliberately transform it into the jet fuel energy used in my daily runs.  So much so that this little trick gives me the ability to function at peak performance levels throughout the entire ordeal.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Running Angry Google

What You Ought To Know About Your Stock Market Gains Vanishing Into Thin Air

daily chart Sept 17 2014

9/17/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 20 points (+0.12%) and the Nasdaq up 9 points (+0.21%)

Most markets continues to trade within the confines of their 3 week trading range. And despite Janet Yellen’s dovish stance, one primary question remains. Now what? With today’s backdrop of less liquidity, proposed higher interest rates and a massive speculative bubble in the stock market (well, most asset classes), what happens next?

Perhaps Bill Fleckenstein has the answer. Fleckenstein on missing the rally: ‘So what?’

“I think the stock market is more crash-prone than ever,” Fleckenstein said Tuesday on CNBC’s “Futures Now.” “So will we get through September and October without some sort of an accident? I don’t think we will, but I don’t know-we’ll just have to see. If you want to pursue idiots like the Fed doing crazy policies, and if you think you can get out in time, go for it. I don’t want to try to do that. Fleckenstein may have missed out on gains, but “so what?,” he asked rhetorically. “When markets decline, how fast it will be taken away from you.”

He is right on the money and that’s what most people or investors don’t get. Despite the bulls hyperventilating about how great this bull market is, once a bear market gets going or god forbid crashes, most of the gains accumulated over the last few years will vanish into thin air. In a matter of weeks, if not days. In fact, repeat after me…. “POOF”. Yep, just like that.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. September 17th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

What You Ought To Know About All Of Your Stock Market Gains Vanishing Into Thin Air Google

How To Raise Money From Angel Investors

angel investors

Continuation from yesterday…..(What About Crowd Funding)

Angel Investors:

If you are unable to raise capital from previous formats, angel investors should become your best friends.  Yet, it comes with a disadvantage.  As we move down this capital raising list, the complexity levels and costs associated with raising capital increase substantially. For instance, while in the majority of cases you would be able to have a brief conversation with your friends and family in order to raise capital (at reasonable costs), such an approach would not work with angel investors or venture capitalists.

Before we get any further, let’s define who angel investors are, how to find them and what they are looking for.

Who Are Angel Investors?

They are defined as affluent individuals who provide capital for business start ups, usually in exchange for convertible debt or ownership equity. They can be anyone, but in the majority of cases they are high net worth individuals who have $1 Million or more in liquid investable assets. Some of these individuals advertise themselves as Angel Investors while others do not.  Technically speaking, if you have a rich uncle with over $1 million in investable assets, he could be classified as an angel investor.

Where Do You Find Them?

There are four primary ways.

  • Look for angel investor groups in your city. Angel investor groups or organizations should be popular hangouts for angel investors in your city. They tend to pull their resources together in order to look for startup companies that match their requirements. They often have meetings and set up presentations/pitches for entrepreneurs and startups alike. And while some of them make capital allocation decisions based on group vote, others do so on the individual basis.  Either way, there should be at least a few organizations in your city and you are highly encouraged you to look them up. Simply Google “angle investors in your city” to get started.
  • Search Online: There are a number of websites out there that cater to bringing angel investors and entrepreneurs together.  com and angel.co  are good places to start, but there are many others.  These sites do their best to connect companies to capital, but it is not as easy as it sounds.  A substantial amount of work on your part is still required.
  • Get A High Net Worth Individual List: There are many such lists out there, but I highly recommend going to Infousa.com and using their filters to get the best possible data.  Do a search for people in your area with a net worth of over $1 Million and then contact them on individual basis to see if they would be interested in investing in your venture. Make sure you are following all of the rules and regulations associated with contacting potential investors.
  • Ask Around: Ask people within your circle of influence if someone A. Participates in angel investing directly and/or B. Knows someone who does. Ask for an introduction or a connection.

What Are Angel Investors Looking For?

While this might not be the case for all angel investors, many of them are interested in two things.  First, they would like to generate massive ROI while participating in exciting start ups.  Yet, for many it is much more than that.  Many angel investors are also interested in participating and mentoring entrepreneurs. Trying to re-live their glory days through the companies they are investing in. Whatever the case might be, most angel investors approach this in a very serious fashion. Meaning, do not approach angle investors unless and until you are ready.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…...(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How To Raise Money From Angel Investors Google

The Reason Most People Buy High and Sell Low

Continuation from yesterday……(Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover)

Warning Signs:

  • Most long-term bull market cycles do not last longer than 5 years. Today’s bull market has been in existence since about March of 2009 or 5.5 years. Suggesting that the market might be topping.
  • Monthly charts show a possible period of distribution that started in January of 2014. In other words, the market has shifted from a fast moving bull market into a flat market. Suggesting a possible near term roll over.
  • Short-term charts suggest that the market is unable to go much higher. Let alone continue on with its bull market. Therefore, a real downtrend shift becomes likely here.
  • A massive fundamental overvaluation bubble reminiscent of 2000 and 2007 tops.
  • A secular bear market of 2000-2017 is scheduled to complete in 2017.
  • A mass psychological delusion suggesting the impossibility of a bear market at this juncture.

Determination:  Even thought all technical indicators (short-term and long-term) are still positive at the moment, the market is at a very dangerous juncture. In fact, given the warning signs above, any analyst worth his salt should conclude that the market is likely to be at the top here.  That the market is distributing prior to its eventual roll over into a full out bear market.  Not a simple correction.

As you can see, this simple analysis yields exactly where in the cycle we are and what we should do next.

Recommendation:  Any investor here should go on the highest level of alert in anticipation of a possible roll over.  All investors should be ready to liquidate their long positions at a moment’s notice and go short if their trading/investing profiles allow for it.

The following recommendations would apply to specific risk tolerance levels.

  • Low Risk: Get out of the market by liquidating all of your long positions. Remain in cash.
  • High Risk: Get out of the market by liquidating all of your long positions. Remain in cash in anticipation of a market roll over.

Upcoming investment recommendation:

  • Low Risk: Stay in cash while the market corrects. Preserve your capital and buy stocks at 30-50% discounts at the next market bottom. Profit from the next bull cycle.
  • High Risk: Be ready to go short as soon as the stock market confirms the start of a bear market leg.

The great thing about the approach above is it works in all market conditions. For instance, investors who are “long only” today or those who are unaware of our current cyclical location would simply hold their positions throughout the duration of the upcoming bear market. Just as they did between 2007 and 2009. Most likely selling at the bottom of the range as the amount of psychological distress associated with losing 30-50% will reach its pinnacle right around the market bottom.

That is why most investors do the opposite of what they should be doing. Instead of selling out and going short at today’s market top, most investors will go long due to their general unawareness, long only bias, faulty technical indicators and to be honest, stupidity.  Holding it for the duration of the decline and getting out at the bottom.  Even worst, many will go short right before the market bottoms. In other words, they will buy high and sell low.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……

Z30

The Reason Most People Buy High and Sell Low Google

What About Crowd Funding

hedge fund investwithalex

Continuation from Friday…..(How To Borrow Money)

  • SBA Loans: Too many requirements and an application process that might take a while to complete.  An unfortunate development since you need to start your business NOW and not 2 years from now.  However, it is a good option for many brick and mortar businesses and it is recommended that you look into this if no other options are available at the time.
  • Bank Loans: Forget it if you have a startup.  Banks typically require a 3 year operating track record and audited financial statements before they would even consider lending you penny. It is an option for more established businesses seeking growth capital and not for entrepreneurs like you.
  • Revenue Financing: Finally, if your business is already generating revenue, yet it is doing so on Net 30-60-90 or more payment terms it might make sense to finance your operations and cash flow through accounts receivable financing. Also known as factoring.  In essence, financial institutions fund your accounts receivables in exchange for interest. And while the rates are not very competitive, it is an option if everything else fails.

Crowd Funding

As described earlier in “Build a Crowdfunding Campaign”, crowd funding is the most recent phenomena that has proven to be a highly successful avenue for various entrepreneurs to raise money.

If you have skipped the earlier section, it works in the following fashion. Let’s assume that you have a great idea for a business, product or even a movie. What you would do is post the details of your project on sites like Kickstarter.com or Indiegogo.com in order to ask people for contributions or donations towards your cause. If people do like what you are trying to do they might contribute somewhere between $5 and $1,000. And if you get enough people to do that, you are talking about real money.

For instance, let’s for a second imagine that 10,000 people contributed an average of $25 towards your business idea. Well, that’s $250,000 you didn’t have before that can now go towards your business. And for most, that should be more than enough to get going.  At the same time, the donations are not really free. Most projects offer either a completed product or some sort of a thing or a perk in return for the monetary contribution.  And while it’s becoming increasingly difficult to post projects due to their oversupply, it is definitely an avenue worth pursuing.

Equity Crowd Funding:  Based on the Jobs Act of 2012.

Only a brief mention here as this particular point will be discussed in greater detail in the Angel Investor section below.  Plus, the water is still a little bit murky on this one as most of the laws governing this type of an equity investment are still being written by the SEC.  In simple terms, this law allows entrepreneurs to market and directly raise capital from High Net Worth individuals. As opposed to the environment prior this law, where entrepreneurs could NOT directly market or solicit investment into their enterprises.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Google

Are You Ready To Buy Some BABA?

daily chart Sept 16 2014

9/16/2014 – A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 101 points (+0.59%) and the Nasdaq up 34 points (+0.75%). 

The market continues to trade in a tight trading range. Accumulating energy for either a significant breakdown or a breakout. In the meantime, some money managers believe today’s range bound market is due to Alibaba’s IPO this Friday.

“People are pruning their portfolio ahead of Alibaba to get rid of over weights in competitors to raise money for Alibaba,” said Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS. “The usual cat and mouse game is bigger than normal.”

Fair enough, but what about the fact that Alibaba’s anticipated valuation being out of sync with any sort of fundamental reality?   

“There is some room for some volatility in the market over the next week when they realize that this period of zero rates is going to end,” he said. “But if you take a look at the big picture, rates are still so extraordinarily low that money will continue to flow into equities.” Standing by his prediction of 18,000 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow Jones Global Indexes: .DJI) by year end, Siegel again made his case for why the bull market still has legs.

In other words, buy everything in sight. Buy BABA and buy every stock under the sun. And the more speculative it is the better. Yet, maybe…..call me crazy…..just MAYBE this Alibaba IPO will mark the market top. Hmm, definitely something to think about.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. September 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Are You Ready To Buy Some BABA? Google