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Most Bears Capitulate…..Markets To Surge Higher?

daily chart August 29 2014

8/29/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 19 points (+0.11%) and the Nasdaq up 22 points (+0.50%). 

Yep, it’s official, even the perma bears are throwing in the towel.  Real stock correction going to blindside us: Pro 

“The day we’re going to get a real correction is when we stop parading people … saying a correction is coming, people like me who have been wrong. If we finish strong today, I’m going to ditch my notion of a correction.”

-The rest of the article is an all out Bull Party predicting a massive stock market rally towards the end of the year.

Wow, what a bear. One more day and he is out. And while traditional financial media calls these people bears, I call them weaklings. Yet, for a big move down to occur, this psychological setup cannot appear in any other fashion.

I have said it before and I will say it again. Two things. First, the stock market has been accumulating massive amounts of energy since December 31st, 2013. This energy is pointing towards a massive move (up or down) in the very near future. Second, there are no bears left. Everyone is incredibly bullish on this market and very few (if any) people expect any sort of a correction. Let alone a crash. The question is…..who is right? The majority or a few “retarded” bears that are crazy enough to maintain their stance.

If you would be interested in receiving a direct answer to this question, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. August 29th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Most Bears Capitulate…..Markets To Surge Higher? Google

How To Build A Minimally Viable Product

idea validation

Continuation from yesterday…..(How To Validate Your Business Idea With Crowdfunding)

Example: Develop a detailed presentation for your Pet Smart Phone.  Concentrate on outlining all of its benefits and features.  If at all possible, build a working model and produce a video.  Once ready, find a crowdfunding platform that satisfies all your needs. Post your project on the site and promote it in order to see what kind of a response you will get. Go to work and deliver on all of the promises made during this process.

Until now we have concentrate on steps that were, more or less, free.  Where your time and efforts were the only real requirements.  Yet, if you were to follow the steps above you would be able to ascertain a fairly good idea if your product or service was legitimate.  If it wasn’t you would have to go back to the drawing board and then repeat the process outlined here for your new or adjusted idea. More importantly, if your product, service or idea passed the steps above with flying colors, it would be an opportune time to move on to the Idea Validation Level #2.   Assuming you would like to continue on with developing your idea.

Level #2: An In-Depth Idea Scan

This is where the proverbial tires hit the pavement. In addition to your time commitment, some sort of a monetary commitment will be necessary at this stage. This is where you will develop a working sample of your product or service and attempt to sell it in a real world environment.   And while most people will make a big deal out of it, it doesn’t have to be. In fact, a minimally viable product is all that you are trying to accomplish at this stage.  Build it fast, build it cheap and ship.

“Real Artists Ship”
-Steve Jobs

Let’s now take a quick look at a number of different business models to see how you can implement this step with rapid speed and effectiveness.  Just remember, all you are trying to do is determine if you have a viable product or service on your hands.

Online Businesses:

Buy a domain and a web hosting package for your business. Setup a WordPress site and begin to develop your website. Total time and monetary investment…..about 1 hour and $70/year. I would recommend using Bluehost.com if you decide to go this route.  If your web project requires a customized solution I would recommend hiring programmers from either Russia or India to build your site on the cheap. You can easily find such programmers on freelancing sites such as Elance.com

Thereafter, develop a minimally viable website for your product or service as fast possible and begin to promote it. The entire process should not take more than 30 days. Unless you are working on something truly unique.  Once ready, begin selling your product directly to your target audience to see what kind of a response you generate.

It also important to note that since your website will be a brand new one; you shouldn’t expect too much traffic. If any at all. If that is the case, you should rely primarily on Google Adwords or Facebook Ads to drive highly relevant leads to your product or service offering.  If you are not familiar with developing ad campaigns on these platforms I would recommend doing a lot of research into the area before committing a single dollar.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How To Build A Minimally Viable Product Google

A Few More Rules For Finding Tenbaggers

Continuation from yesterday……(Rules For Trading Tenbaggers).

RULE #7: Buy Fast Growing Companies After Market Corrections

If we look at all of the above companies and try to identify one trait that worked 95-100% of the time, this would it. Every one of our stocks sold off during bear market legs of 2000-2002 and 2007-2009. Most of the time at X multiple to the market.  Meaning, their declines were at times more, sometimes a lot more than the overall market. Suggesting that their eventual bounces would be more significant as well.

Further, once the market corrections were over, it was time to buy. Most of our stocks had their largest 500-2,000% run ups during bull legs of 2002-2007 and 2009-2014. Or right after bear market legs terminated at their respective bottoms.   Perhaps Warren Buffett had said it best, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”  Buy at the bottom.

Clue #7: This strategy is about as foolproof as it can get. By buying at the bottom of a bear cycle, you ensure good entry points and subsequent massive gains in your potential Tenbaggers.

RULE #8: Secular Bull or Bear Markets are Not Very Relevant:

All of the stocks above had their massive run ups during a secular bear market of 2000-2017. Proving, without a shadow of a doubt, that individual stocks can increase in value even in the hardest of times. Assuming their underlying businesses are performing well.  And while it is helpful and more profitable to have a bull market at your back, it is not a requirement.  There will be many stocks that go up 10X or more under all market conditions.

With that said and as was suggested above, all investors must be on a lookout for fast developing bear market legs that tend to appear in secular bear markets. For instance, 2000-2002, 2007-2009 and 2014-2017. It is at this time that most stocks go though their corrections. Giving us an opportunity to 1. Liquidate our long positions.  2. Go short and 3. Load up on multiple Tenbaggers at give away prices at the bottom of the decline.

Clue #8: Don’t pay attention to bull or bear markets. Instead, concentrate on avoiding bear market legs in secular bear markets. Load up on your favorite Tenbagger stocks when selloffs terminate.

RULE #9: At Least Some Diversification is Required.

While the Tenbaggers in this book offer a high rate of return, it comes with a side of extra risk associated with new product introductions, restructurings, growth, etc…. As such, it would be prudent not to bet all of your chips on one or two potential Tenbaggers.  Yet, a wide diversification here is impossible since you will not be able to find many stocks that satisfy all of your Tenbagger requirements. You can go about solving this issue in one of two ways.

First, simple add Tenbaggers to your overall well diversified portfolio. While they will have a net positive impact, they impact might not be as great is if you were concentrating on Tenbaggers alone.  Which brings us to option number two.   In this case you would develop a portfolio of no more than 10 Tenbaggers while concentrating your attention entirely on overseeing their progress.

Clue #9: Do not bet all of your money on 1-2 potential Tenbaggers as such stocks are inherently more risky and unpredictable. Instead, concentrate on developing one of two diversification strategies that appeal to you the most.

To Be Continued On Monday……

Z30

A Few More Rules For Finding Tenbaggers  Google

The Stock Market Is Going Up Forever…..Right?

daily chart August 28 2014

8/28/2014 – A down day with the Dow Jones down 42 points (-0.25%) and the Nasdaq down 12 points (-0.26%).

If you would like to find out where the market is going next, you don’t have to look further than this gem of market wisdom….Why you can’t lose if you invest in equities  

Here are some highlights of this “Markets are going higher forever no matter what” fluff piece.

  • If markets go up, they win. If they go down, central banks repeat again how they won’t do anything unless they are convinced the “recovery” is here to stay, and on such utterances markets resume their upward trajectory. So again investors win. It’s a no-brainer.
  • We have nothing to fear except fear itself: never a more accurate saying than it is today about Western central banks. 

Sheer stupidity. This only made sense after I have learned that the author of the above nonsense stems from academia as opposed to any sensible applicable discipline. Nevertheless, there is an important lesson here. His view is shared by most of the investors out there. And we all know how well that worked out in the past.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. August 28th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

The Stock Market Is Going Up Forever…..Right? Google

How Desires Trigger Stress

desire

Continuation from yesterday…..(Killing Stress)

When it comes to controlling your STRESS or STRESS associated energies, the state of NOW offers the ultimate solution. STRESS is simply impossible in a fully conscious state of NOW.  Since your mind will not be able to generate STRESS related thoughts, past or future, STRESS will vanish into thin air.

Unfortunately, very few people can be in the state of NOW 24/7. In fact, to attain this level of consciousness, a tremendous amount of work on one’s self is necessary. Enlightenment is a must. In essence, to be fully self aware 24/7 and to be enlightened are the two sides of the same coin.  And since very few people throughout human history had been able to achieve such a state, it might not be an optimal solution for you. Still, by practicing living in the state of NOW on the daily basis, you will be able to collapse your levels of STRESS associated with all aspects of your life to a bare minimum.

How?

Through the daily practice of Exercise #2.  Allocate 30 minutes per day to this practice and follow it religiously. Not only will you be able to minimize STRESS in your life, but little by little you will find yourself living in the state of NOW more and thinking less.  This will cause the thought intensity associated with your negative STRESS energies of the past and the future to go down substantially.  Only to be replaced by positive energies associated with calmness, happiness, bliss and joy.  Yet, don’t expect fast results here. It might take months, if not years, before you feel and see clearly defined results.

Unfortunately, there is no faster alternative. You must do the work.  You mind and your thought processes have been in existence for decades and it will now take some time to rewire your entire being. It won’t be easy, but it is defiantly something worth doing if you want STRESS and STRESS related energies completely out of your life.

KICK DESIRE AND CARE OUT OF YOUR LIFE

Now, only two other hurdles remain on your way to a STRESS free life. Desire and care. When combined, these two psychological traits bring an immense amount of STRESS into your life. The worst part is, you don’t even realize fact. Let’s take a look at them individually first.

Desire: Including desires for material and immaterial things. Typically, human mind works in the following fashion. If you see a good looking man or woman walk by you will immediately desire them. If you see that car of your dreams driving down the road, you will desire it. If you are a regular at a local church, you will desire god and heaven. If you friends are doing better financially, you will desire more money.  And so forth, ad infinitum.

What’s worst, it is highly probable that you don’t even think or realize the fact when your desires appear in your realm of consciousness.  Some come out of nowhere, while others linger within your subconscious for decades.  And while some desires might appear as wholesome and even admirable, others will make even the hardened criminals cringle. If you begin to pay attention and keep track, you will notice that your mind tends to generate hundreds, if not thousands of different desires each day.  Again, showing just how cunning the mind can be.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Site?)

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How Desires Trigger Stress  Google

How To Validate Your Business Idea With Crowdfunding

crowdfunding

Continuation from yesterday……(The Secret Behind Validating Your Business Ideas)

Ask Your Friends or Associates If They Would Buy Your Product or Service Today.

Typically, most people ask for opinions. They tend ask their friends and associates if this might be a good idea. Do not fall into this trap. Understand one profound truth.  About 95% of people you associate with will tell you that your product or service idea is the best thing since sliced bread. The truth is, they don’t want to hurt your feelings or tell you what they really think about your product. One way around this issue is to offer your product for sale as a “Pre-Order” to your family, friends and associates.

As soon as the money enters the picture you will, for the first time, get an honest feedback. If people begin to buy or pre-order, you must assume that you have a legitimate product idea on the table. Yet, if people begin to give a million different excuses, you must learn to read between the lines. What they are really telling you is…..”Your product or idea suck and we want nothing to do with it”. If that is the case you must go back to the drawing board and rethink your entire idea and approach.

Example: Create a one page flyer outlining what you Pet Smart Phone will look like and what it will do. Outline all of the benefits and selling points for the potential buyers. Include a picture of a finished product and a price. Approach everyone within your circle of influence, pass on the flyer and ask them to think about the idea for a day.  Approach them the following day and ask for their feedback. If the feedback is good, ask them for a pre-order.  If they are not ready to commit, your idea is not that good.

Build A Crowdfunding Campaign. 

If the “Friend Test” above is successful it is time to find out what others think. The best way to do that is thought a quick crowdfunding campaign. If you are not familiar, crowdfunding is the practice of funding a project or venture by raising monetary contribution from a large number of people, typically via the Internet.  In our case you would build a crowdfunding campaign for your Pet Smart Phone by outlining what you are planning to do, what the end product will look like, the benefits for pet owners and how much money you are looking for. In return, you would offer the completed product when ready. Essentially, you are taking pre-orders and using the money to build your product or service. To be delivered to your backers at a future date.

An important note: Do not attempt this step until you are ready and fully committed to going forward with your idea. Raising money from outsiders and not delivering on your promise or deciding not to go forward thereafter is not only unethical, it is borderline criminal.

There are a number of websites where you can build your crowdfunding campaign with ease. The two of the most popular sites are Kickstarter.com and Indiegogo.com . There are many others in almost every category imaginable. Simply Google crowdfunding to find the right website for your project. And while it is free to post your project, the sites offering the service will charge you a percentage of the money raised.

Once you have selected the site that best fits your needs, post your product or service idea on it. Outlining the product, the benefits and when you will deliver on your promise. Then use social media to promote your crowdfunding attempt and see what develops.  If people believe it is a great idea they will start pre-ordering.  The best part is, no one knows how successful your campaign might become. There have been numerous instances where entrepreneurs have tried to raise a few thousand dollars to get their projects started, only to raise a few million instead. All because others thought it was such a great idea as well.   Who knows, your brilliant idea might be the next runaway hit.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How To Validate Your Business Idea With Crowdfunding Google

Rules For Trading Tenbaggers

Continuation from yesterday……(Rules For Finding Tenbaggers)

Rule #4: Use All 3 Analytical Frameworks:

As was suggested earlier, it would be incredibly difficult to make an investment in any one of our Tenbaggers through the use of a singular analytical tool.  When fundamental, technical and mathematical analysis tools are used individually, they give very few clues that the underlying stock issue is about to surge higher. However, when we combine them and they all confirm the upcoming rise, our chances of success increase dramatically.

As was the case with Chipotle Mexican Grill in the late 2008. From the fundamental perspective alone the company was doing incredibly well and growing just about as fast as it could. Yet, the company’s stock price kept going lower throughout 2008. Mostly due to its general overvaluation at the time and the financial crisis of 2007-2009. If we were looking at the company from the fundamental perspective alone we wouldn’t be able to tell when the stock would bottom and when it would be an opportune time to go long. Yet, when we bring technical and mathematical analysis into the picture, it clears up. Giving us a number of signs that the stock price was bottoming and the time to take position was at hand.

Clue #4: When fundamental, technical and mathematical analyses confirm each other, the chances of the stock surging higher increase exponentially.  Therefore, companies that have all three analytical frameworks agree on the direction of the underlying stock price are the companies that warrant possible investment. Assuming that all other investment requirements are satisfied.

Rule #5: Wait For a Technical Confirmation:

When we initiate a position in any given stock is about just as important as IF we make an investment at all. A proper entry point can make all the difference between generating substantial gains almost immediately and losing money on the trade.  At its worst, an improper entry point can force us to liquidate a position at a loss and at exactly the wrong time. Right before the stock begins its run up. As such, it is always important to wait for a technical confirmation before taking a position. Typically, the confirmation will come in a form of a higher high after a certain bottom is reached or a break above/below a trend line.  As a matter of fact, all of our entry and exit points in this book were timed in such a way.

Clue #5: Wait for a technical confirmation before taking a position in the underlying stock.

Rule #6: Trade In and Out of Your Positions (Particularly in a secular bear market):

If anything, one proposed “Truth” has been drilled into investor’s psyche over the last 50 or so years.  Buy stocks for the long term and hold them forever.  As nice as this catch phrase might sound, it doesn’t work under all circumstances.  We deal with uncertain and unpredictable world on the daily basis. As a result we must have the ability to shift our opinions and positions at a moment’s notice.  And in doing so, we gain the ability to minimize the risk while maximizing the returns.

Further, it was shown that by trading in and out of our positions at the right times we can easily double or even quadruple our overall Tenbagger performance. Assuming a long enough time frame. All while avoiding soul crushing 50-80% declines and uncertainty associated with such fast growing stocks. In fact, trading in and out becomes the only prudent approach to investing in Tenbaggers over a long period of time. Particularly in bear markets.

Clue #6: Don’t hesitate to trade in and out of the stock when the technical and mathematical analyses call for it.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……

Z30

Rules For Trading Tenbaggers Google

What Will The Catalyst For The Upcoming Stock Market Crash Be?

daily chart August 27 20148/27/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 15 points (+0.09%) and the Nasdaq down 1 point (-0.02%).

Some well researched bears are anticipating a quick 30-60% crash in the near future……‘Complete turmoil’ in upcoming correction: Pro As accurate as such bears might be, they are nothing but a laughing stock for most of the investors out there. For them, this bull market will never end.

Yet, both sides miss the entire point when they start talking about various catalysts that can cause any significant (if any at all) market declines.

Both are wrong. They won’t be a catalyst. Trying to figure out which catalyst will cause the stock market to decline is like looking up the horses ass while trying to see its teeth. It won’t work. The market is the catalyst in itself. It precedes ALL fundamental reasoning. And while a crash is certainly possible, no one will see it coming. The market will simply crash 30-60% in a matter of days and be done with it. It is only after the fact that financial media talking heads will try to identify the so called “catalyst”.  Missing the entire point in the process.  In other words, you have been warned.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. August 27th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

What Will The Catalyst For The Upcoming Stock Market Crash Be? Google