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Trading Rules….Part 2

trading rulesContinuation from Friday…..Never Commit To Anything:  Never attach your forecast to any fixed outcome. If you do, you will shift from a position of power to a position of fear and hope.  Opening up your trading strategy to risk and losses. Instead, remain flexible and move with the market even if your forecast indicates otherwise.

Move Stop Losses:  As the market or stocks continue to move with the main trend you must continue to move your stop losses up or down to avoid unexpected developments and to protect your profits.  By doing so you eliminate the unnecessary risk of losing money.

Don’t Be Afraid To Be Out Of The Market:  There is absolutely nothing wrong with being out of the market completely.  Sometimes for prolonged periods of time. It is better to sit on the sideline than to lose money. Particularly, when the direction of the financial instrument you are looking at is unclear.

Don’t Wait Until The Trend Changes:  DO NOT hold your losing position in hope of a trend change.  That is how people lose most of their money.  For instance, the bears who have been holding short positions throughout 2013 have been decimated (even though they will eventually be right).  Once again, always move with the main trend.

Get Out As Soon As You Realize That You Have Made A Mistake:  Even if your in-depth research shows one thing, the market might do something completely different.   At such times you might realize that you have made a mistake.  Do not hold your position and hope that the market will reverse itself and allow you to exit at a better price. Liquidate your position immediately.

Always Wait For A Confirmation:  Do not establish a position until and unless your work is confirmed by the market itself.  In most cases the market will do so by setting new highs or new lows. Only after receiving such a confirmation should you establish a trading position based on the main trend of the market and/or based on your own work.

Avoid Hope & Fear: This is probably the main reason why people lose money in the stock market. They trade and/or invest on emotion rather than technical, timing or fundamental work. They hope, pray and fear instead of following the main trend.  Do not behave in such a fashion. Never trade based on hope or fear. Always follow the rules.

Avoid Loss Averaging: Contrary to a popular believe, it is not a good idea to buy more stock when the price declines after your original purchase.  Buying more at a discounted price means you are going against the main trend and not with it. While you lower the overall purchasing price, the main issue remains. The main trend is down. Instead, you should average up when the stock price is going up. That way you are going with the trend.

Now that we have looked at the overall guidelines to profitable stock market operations, let’s take a quick look at a simple set of specific trading rules.

Rules For Trading In Stocks

RULE 1: Buy at new high prices or old top levels.

RULE 2: Buy when prices advance above old low prices.

RULE 3: Sell when prices decline below old top levels or high prices.

RULE 4: Sell at new low price levels.

RULE 5: Wait to buy or sell until prices CLOSE above old highs or below old lows on the daily charts. Closing price is incredibly important.

RULE 6: Use stop losses. Your capital and your profits must be protected at all times with STOP LOSSES. Implement stop losses at 1-3 points above or below your original price and at the time of the original trade.

RULE 7: Do not lose money.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….

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Trading Rules….Part 2 Google

How To Avoid Stress

How To Avoid StressContinuation from Thursday…...While the example above is hypothetical, the STRESS associated with it is as real as it gets. Having gone through a similar experience myself, minus the Russian mobster, and having a number of friends collapse under similar circumstances, this IS about as much STRESS as any normal human being can take.  In fact, the STRESS energy becomes so overwhelming at that juncture that death and self destruction are literally inches away.

Again, while the example above represents an extreme and compressed version of STRESS and associated energies, it is something that all of us deal with on the daily basis. Whether its work, family, personal life or something else.  And while our daily STRESS levels might be spread out over an extended period of time, unlike the stock market example above, at the end of the day we all suffer the same.

Is there anything we can do to separate from this emotional rollercoaster?

Absolutely.  In order to stop STRESS energy in its tracks, before transforming it, three things are necessary.

  1. A strict set of rules.
  2. Living in the NOW.
  3. Separation, Control & Meditation

Implementing a Strict Set of Rules

Let’s go back to our stock market example for a second.  It was entirely unfortunate, but Jimmy’s downfall was sealed long before he bought a single share of that stock.  As most of us, Jimmy operated on human emotions and feelings. Greed, fear, hope, desire, anger, joy, sorrow, etc….. He was not in control. His research gave him a false sense of security as he hoped that the stock in question would continue to go up indefinitely. He never considered nor prepared for a possible loss. A sure recipe for disaster.

Most human beings operate in exactly the same fashion in their everyday lives.  They are like leaves in the wind. A little gust to the left and their entire day goes sour. A little to the right and they are as happy as they could be. Without even realizing the fact. Relying entirely too much on external circumstances, outside stimuli and their emotional states as opposed to paying attention to what is really happening in their lives. That has to change if people are interested in removing STRESS energies from their lives.

One of the first requirements in doing so is to set a strict set of rules in an environment that brings STRESS into your life.  For instance, Jimmy J. could have prevented his predicament with a few simple rules.

  • Jimmy’s Rule #1: Implementation of strict trading rules. Without room for any sort of deviation.
  • Jimmy’s Rule #2: Setting a firm price (based on his analysis) or a stop loss order at which Jimmy would have liquidate/sold his position.

Not only do these strict trading rules take all the guess work out of the equitation, more importantly, they remove emotions and feelings out one’s decision making process. Removing STRESS energies in the process. For example, let’s assume that Jimmy’s trading rules clearly instructed him to sell his position in stock XYZ if its price hit $9 a share. If Jimmy would have had this clear understanding from the beginning, he would have been acutely aware that his losses would be limited to $100,000. In the worst case scenario. Removing uncertainly and therefore STRESS from the picture.

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It is important to note that such “Rules” must be exact and without any room for deviation. Typically, your mind and your emotions will play cruel tricks on you if you do leave room for deviation. Going back to Jimmy, if he would have left room for any sort of divergence, he would found himself in the same place where he actually ended up.

Allow me to illustrate just how cunning the mind can be if Jimmy deviated from his iron clad rule of selling at $9 a share.

  • The stock price hits $9 a share.

Jimmy’s Cunning Mind:  Well, let’s wait until the stock hits $8.50. My technical setup shows that it cannot possibly go lower. If I sell now, I will lose $100,000. I am sure the stock will bounce back to $13 in a few days. Its option expiration date. The stock market always does that.
Outcome: Jimmy does not sell.

  • The stock price hits $8.50 a share (STRESS levels are going up).

Jimmy’s Cunning Mind:  It can’t possibly go any lower. These sellers are fools. This is at least a $30 stock. I am going to hold. I am sure it will turn around tomorrow.
Outcome: Jimmy does not sell.

  • The stock price hits $7.00 a share (STRESS levels are now extremely high).

Jimmy’s Cunning Mind: This is F*$# stupid.  There is no reason for this stock to go this low. I wish I had another Million. I wish I could buy more. If I did I would make a fortune.
Outcome: Jimmy does not sell.

We all know what happens next. Point being, Jimmy J. was too lenient on his own rules. What started out as an innocent $0.50 cent deviation, ended up in an absolute disaster.  And this is the KEY point you must be aware of.  First, you MUST NOT deviate from your original set of rules. No matter what. Come hell or high water, you MUST stick to them. Second, you MUST be aware that your mind will begin to play tricks on you. It will ask for just a little bit more, an inch, a penny, a feather in order to push the underlying situation just a tiny bit further. Opening the gates of hell in the process and bringing STRESS energies back into your life.  Just remember, be firm and unabated; stick to your Rules, always and as if your life depended on it.

To Be Continued On Monday…….(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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How To Avoid Stress  Google

George Soros Is Expecting A Market Crash…..Should You?

daily chart August 19 2014

8/19/2014 – Another up day with the Dow Jones up 81 points (+0.48%) and the Nasdaq up 19 points (+0.43%). 

As ZeroHedge Reports: “Soros Put” Rises To Record: Is The Billionaire Investor Betting On Market Crash?

Soros has once again increased his total SPY Put to a new record high of $2.2 billion, or nearly double the previous all time high, and a whopping 17% of his total AUM.

While a portion of this position is a hedge, it is now too big to be “just a hedge”. In other words, while your typical CNBC money manager Yahoos run around proclaiming that the market is on the verge of a “Once In A Life Time Surge”, market legends such as Soros and Icahn are getting ready for a major decline. I suggest you do the same.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. August 8th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

George Soros Is Expecting A Market Crash…..Should You? Google

Create Killer Business Ideas While Meditating

business meditationContinuation from yesterday……

STEP #7:  Create an “Idea Soup” Matrix

This is an extremely powerful approach and one of my favorite ways to generate amazing ideas. Create a matrix of sorts with 10 to 20 or even 100 different words, industries, businesses, etc… spread across the page as a matrix. For instance, one square would have a word “robotics” in it while another square might have a phrase “fast food” in it. Here is just a small example.

Business Cards Smart Phone Kitchen
Cloud Boxing Car
Chemical Engineering Revolution Dog
Candle Beautiful Girl Stapler
Sandwich China Medical Center

What you would have to do next is very simply. Go through the matrix and randomly combine different words, businesses or industries in order to create unique combinations.  In this instance, you can combine fast food and robotics and begin think of various business ideas that bring robotics into the fast food industry. At the end of the day, there might be nothing there but a lot of wishful thinking. At the same time, by combining these unique concepts you might be able to think of something that can eventually turn into that “huge payoff” idea.

As was mentioned earlier in the book, this sort of an approach will allow you to combine various concepts that were otherwise unrelated. Giving you the ability to come up with some interesting and crazy ideas that you might have never discovered otherwise. How else can you come up with an idea for “Dog Candles” or “Medical Centers in China”?   Plus, it’s a ton of fun.  The best thing about these matrixes and why I like using them so much is the fact that they…

  • A. Are easy and fast to create (no more than 10 minutes).
  • B. Help you generate original thinking.
  • C. Offer an infinite number of unique possibilities.

Plus, if you already know what industry or area you would like concentrate on, you can tailor your matrix to do just that.  You would do so by tailoring the keyword mix to your specifications. For example, if you would love to concentrate on the coffee industry you would populate 50% of your matrix with coffee related keywords while keeping the other half random. This type of a mix will produce the best possible result.

STEP #8: Meditate

While dismissed by many, this is one of the best ways to generate brilliant business ideas. Ideas that will literally knock your socks off.  Yet, you have to approach the process with one slight adjustment. At least in this case, meditation for the sake of meditation will do very little to help your cause.

You must first complete Steps 1-7. Then meditate on the information gathered or created in those steps. Meditate on the industry or the company specific information, on various products, on your research and on various business ideas you were able to come up with during the process.   As you meditate, you mind will connect the dots in some unexpected ways.  Yielding some powerful ideas in the process. It is highly encouraged that you allocate 15 minutes a day to this practice, particularly, if you are in the process of generation new ideas.

To Be Continued On Monday…...(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Create Killer Business Ideas While Meditating Google

Which Countries Will Escape The Nuclear World War 3

bunker

Continuation from yesterday……Keep in mind, the survival of your family should be your number one priority. To accomplish that you have to do the following.

Survival Blueprint:

STEP #1: Research & Select a Country Where You Will Stay

If you have the ability to travel anywhere in the world with your family, determine which country or area is your best bet.  While some parts of the world will be utterly annihilated, other will be able to make it through the ordeal without a scratch. Relatively speaking.

  • Areas That Will Be Destroyed Through Direct Strikes and Subsequent Radioactive Fallouts:  

Russia, China, Japan (most of Asia), all of Europe, the U.S., Canada, Australia, New Zealand, most of the Middle East.

  • Areas That Will Be, More or Less, Spared

Parts of the South Pacific, Central Australia, parts of New Zealand, Central Africa, Central and South America’s.

If you live in a country that will face the brunt of the attack, you might want to consider moving your family to locations that will escape the worst of it as 2030 approaches and the war begins.  If you already live in the above mentioned countries, you are well ahead of the curve. At the same time, not many people can just pack up and move their entire family across the world.  If that is the case, consider the following.

STEP #2: Find a safe location for your family.

This step applies to everyone, regardless of whether or not you live in a safe or impacted area. Just remember, you don’t want to be around population centers. Large or small. As was suggested above, societies throughout the world will deteriorate. Impacted or not.  As such, you want to be as far away from everyone as possible. That is your best bet for survival.

To Be Continued On Monday…….(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Which Countries Will Escape The Nuclear World War 3 Google

An Important Set of Simple Trading Rules

trading rules

Continuation from yesterday…….An appropriate trading approach and a number of fixed trading rules is just as important, if not more so, than your overall technical, mathematical and fundamental analysis. In essence, by implementing strict trading rules and procedures you are able to take all of the guess work out of the equation. In other words, strict trading rules make sure you pull the trigger exactly where you should.

The rules below are based on a simple strategy of getting in and out of various stocks at the right price and time.

Avoid Low Priced Stocks:  While it is possible to make large amounts of money with such stocks, for the most part, cheap stocks remain at low levels for extended periods of time.  At times forever.

Avoid Slow Trading Markets and/or Stocks:  These are the financial instruments that are stuck in a trading range.  Do not invest in them until and unless the trend is broken, either to the upside or to the downside.

Concentrate On Fast Moving Markets and/or Stocks:  This is where most of the money is made over the shortest period of time.

Never Guess:  Take the guesswork (gut feeling) out of your decision making process.  Develop strict trading rules that are followed 100% of the time.  You should never guess if you have got it right. Let the market and/or your trading rules put you in and take you out.

Always Follow The Main Trend: You will always make money if you follow the main trend.  Either up or down. Remember, stocks are never too high to buy if the stock market is going up and they are never too low to sell if the trend is pointing down.

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Always Use Stop Losses:  I cannot overstate this enough. Always use stop losses to protect your capital. Let the market prove if you are right or wrong. In the meantime, your capital base will remain safe.

Buy At New Highs:  Believe it or not, but buying at new highs is the most profitable way to make money in the stock market. Most people believe that they must buy at the lowest price or in the valley. That couldn’t be further from the truth. By buying at the new high you are moving with the main trend.

Sell At New Lows:  In a similar fashion, selling or selling short at new lows is the best possible way to exist a stock. It confirms that the trend has changed while giving you the ability to exit your trade at a good price.  More importantly, it allows you to trade with the trend and not against it.

To Be Continued On Monday….

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  An Important Set of Simple Trading Rules Google

Why Can’t Everyone Just Show Love For This Bull Market

daily chart August 14 2014 8/14/2014 – Another up day with the Dow Jones up 62 points (+0.37%) and the Nasdaq up 19 points (+0.43%).

I am beginning to think that Caligula was right. Here you go ladies and gentleman. Apparently this bull market is so hated right now that it will not end until everyone gets on board. I tell you, that sounds like an amazing investment strategy. As the guy says, “An amazing and glorious run up is just around the corner.”

Unfortunately, I do share in the optimism. This conclusion is based on my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. August 8th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Why Can’t Everyone Just Show Love For This Bull Market Google

Why You Should Avoid “High Tech” In Your Next Business Venture

future-technology

Continuation from yesterday…….STEP #6:  Be Wary of the High Tech Ideas 

In relative terms very few people build their fortunes from the high technology field. Most of the time it’s the true and tried methods of starting any kind of a business and growing it from nothing into something. As you very well known, that takes a lot of hard work, perseverance, patience and even luck.

Unfortunately, all we hear about is Google, Apple and hundreds of other high technology companies that have made it big. Don’t pay any attention to that. The technology space at the highest level is very unpredictable. You have just about as much of a chance of starting the next Microsoft or the next Instagram as winning a lottery.  Instead, you will have a much better chance in concentrating on using new technologies in existing and proven business models.

For most of us, it makes perfect sense not to be a fore runner.  The risk of failure is just too high when you are trying to figure out what works and what doesn’t.  What will be accepted by the marketplace and what will fail. While the draw of making millions from the high tech field is always there, never forget, most fortunes are made the old fashioned way….Hard Work.

One of my previous business ventures, ExpertZoo.com is a perfect illustration of that. We first started to develop the concept in 2007. We thought that we had a great idea. A social business network that would facilitate transactions and interactions between businesses/experts/service providers and consumers. In essence, a mix between LinkedIn, Yelp, Yellow Pages and Amazon.  While it was a great idea and it did generate traction in the early days, we could never make it work.

In retrospect, the concept failed due to a number of things. First, we made the overall website and our product offering way too complicated. We have tried to be everything to everyone and that tends not to work very often.  Second, we hired a large sales force and spent way too much money on marketing before ever proving the validity of our concept. Finally, we incorrectly assumed that people will both understand and fall in love with our service.  While such short comings are easy to see now, we were not able to figure it out while we were attempting to grow the company.

Point being, if your field is a high tech one and that is what you would love to do, it would only make sense for you to do so. The warning above is geared more towards those who do not have a technology background, yet would love to make millions or billions from the field.  Chances are…..it will never work.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

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Why You Should Avoid “High Tech” In Your Next Business Venture Google