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Find Out Why Both Bulls & Bears Are About To Be Destroyed

daily chart July 23 2014

An up day with the Dow Jones up 62 points (+0.36%) and the Nasdaq up 31 points (+0.71%)

The stock market continues to perform as per our exact internal forecasts. And while the markets remain just about as exciting as a day at the dentist, this too shall pass. Remember, periods of inactivity are often followed by periods of immense activity.

That is one of the reasons that the market tends to catch most of the traders and investors by surprise. It is the market’s job to confuse as many bears and as many bulls as humanly possible. That is the setup we have today. With most bears capitulating and with most bulls remaining in the state of blissful comma, something big is about to happen. The question you have to ask yourself is this. What can the market do in order send a shock wave through the ranks of most investors? Both bulls and bears. And while the answer might appear easy, it is not.

If you would be interested in learning exactly what the stock market will do next (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 23rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Find Out Why Both Bulls & Bears Are About To Be Destroyed Google

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What You Ought To Know About Getting Rich

money2-lastspartan

Continuation from yesterday………

Reason #8:  Financing Is Readily Available

It has never been easier to obtain financing for your business and/or a startup.  With a multitude of options available (discussed later in the book) it simply becomes a matter of preference and a little bit of hard work when it comes to raising capital for your business. The saying “You need money to make money” is indeed accurate. Having multiple access points to capital makes it that much easier for you to succeed and to become wealthy.

Reason #9: Most Corporate Jobs Are A Dying Commodity That You Can’t Really On

While not entirely yet evident, having a good paying and a stable corporate job that can make you wealthy is going the way of the dinosaurs. Gone are the days when you can expect to have the same job for the rest your life.  Instead, today’s business environment is a fast paced zoo that oftentimes destroys jobs that you thought would be there forever. Tossing people out of the job market for ever longer periods of time. Without a warning and when they expect it the least. As a result, having a corporate job becomes just as risky, if not riskier, than starting your own business.

Reason #10:  Transform Your Life For The Best

Finally, it’s a perfect time to get wealthy because it’s going to change your life for the best.  Not only will you have more money to spend on your family and friends, but more importantly, you will have more time. Further, real wealth will allow you to structure the life of your dreams. Whatever it might be, every single desire will be available to you at the snap of your fingers.  More education, adventure, family time, charity work, etc… will be at your discretion once wealth is achieved.

As the points above clearly illustrate, the time for you to get wealthy is NOW.  There are no barriers and it has never been easier. The costs associated with starting a business are next to nothing while the total number of business opportunities is mind boggling.  With the worldwide economy offering a substantial amount of opportunity to anyone who wants it and with all types of information available at your fingerprints, there is no risk in trying. Finally, the freedom and happiness associated with getting wealthy will change your life for the best.

You can START NOW by coming up with a million or a billion dollar business idea. The next chapter will show you exactly how.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Site?)

z33

What You Ought To Know About Getting Rich Google

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One Million Chicken Burritos

CMG

Company Name:  Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc Stock Symbol:  CMG Industry:  Restaurants
Percent Appreciation:  1,465% Number of Bags:  14.6 Holding Period:  8.5 Years
Entry Date & Price:  Feb, 2006 @$42.20/share Exit Date & Price: Current ($660.50/share) Original Investment($10,000): $146,500

Company Description:  Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates fast-casual and fresh Mexican food restaurants. As of December 31, 2013, it operated approximately 1,600 restaurants; and 6 ShopHouse Southeast Asian Kitchen restaurants. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Denver, Colorado. The company focuses on trying to find the highest quality ingredients they can to make great tasting food, on building a special people culture that is centered on creating a team of top performers empowered to achieve high standards, on building restaurants that are operationally efficient and aesthetically pleasing, and on doing all of this with increasing awareness and respect for the environment. The company expects to open between 180 to 195 additional stores in 2014.

Quick Trading Overview & Objective: The Company went public in January of 2006 after being spun off from McDonalds. While the company’s IPO price was set at $22 a share, the price immediately doubled at the open, only to trade at $45. The share price continued to appreciate over the next 2 years. Running up 200% before collapsing 70% in the midst of 2008 financial crisis.  Subsequently, the company’s share price went on to appreciate over 1,550% between 2009 bottom and today (as of 7/23/2014 @ $660.50)

We will now go back in time and take an in depth look at the company in order to determine if we could have taken a long position in either 2006 or 2008-2009. More importantly, we will look at Chipotle’s fundamental/trading patterns over the last 8 years to ascertain if we would have been able to maintain our position over such an extended period of time in order to walk away with such massive gains.

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:

In order to establish a clear picture of what had happened between 2006 and today we must first analyze the fundamental growth of the company over the last 8-10 years.

To Be Continued Tomorrow…….

z32

One Million Chicken Burritos  Google

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Why China Is Furious With The USA As Well

china fuck investwithalex2

Continuation from yesterday…….The major point to take away from our Russia Vs. the USA discussion is as follows. Russia is fed up with the US for a number of reasons. First, the Russian leadership and top military commanders see NATO’s expansion up to the Russian border as a declaration of war.  The US meddling in Ukraine, Georgia and even Belarus over the last 5 years is a clear indication of that.  Second, the US keeps lecturing Russia on what to do and how to do it. Since no one likes being lectured, Putin is not only fed up with the US foreign policy, he is furious with it. His televised speech on March 18th, 2014 proves that without a shadow of a doubt.  Finally, with the US hitting Russia with multiple rounds of sanctions throughout 2014, the Russian leadership, media and population clearly decry such actions as a form of economic warfare. Rightfully so.

When we combine the factors above we can safely conclude that the Cold War 2 is now in full swing.  What’s more, we can anticipate Putin to remain in power in Russia for as long as he wants. Therefore, for as long as the US continues with this foreign policy against Russia, a policy that is unlikely to change anytime soon, the US relationship with Russia will continue to deteriorate. So much so that at a certain point it will be too late for either party to prevent the Nuclear World War 3 from happening.

China finds itself in a very similar situation. If you have ever been to China, you very well know that Chinese are very proud people. Just as Americans are. Yet, America cannot help itself but to shove it’s god given “Righteousness”, democracy and politics down the Chinese throats.  One thing is certain.  This policy infuriates the Chinese to no end.  Plus, China sees itself as a rising global superpower who is trying to assert its presence in the region through its military buildup, only to be constantly undermined by the US directly or with the help of Japan, Taiwan and the Philippines.

While many will argue that China is acting out as a big bully against its less powerful neighbors, and that might very well be the case, one thing is certain. China feels powerful enough to challenge the US directly by suggesting, in no uncertain terms, that the US should get out of the South Pacific region. With the latest threat occurring in May of 2014 when Beijing accused the US Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel of threats and intimidation. Here is just a brief summary of the conversation.

The US Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel: “In recent months, China has undertaken destabilizing, unilateral actions asserting its claims in the South China Sea.  The US will not look the other way when fundamental principles of the international order are being challenged”.

The Deputy Chief of Staff of the Chinese Army, Lieutenant-General Wang Guanzhong responded with: “We firmly oppose any nation’s use of intimidation, coercion, or the threat of force to assert these claims. I felt that Secretary Hagel’s speech is full of hegemonism, threat and intimidation.”

To Be Continued Tomorrow…..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

Z30

Why China Is Furious With The USA As Well Google

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Why You Should Always Keep Your Mouth Shut….When Investing

daily chart July 22 2014

An up day with the Dow Jones up 62 points (+0.36%) and the Nasdaq up 31 points (+0.71%)

The market continues to behave exactly as forecasted in our internal daily updates. In short, the market remains within a tight trading range as it continues to accumulate energy. Yet, not a day goes by without an important lesson.

Today’s lesson? Never reveal your stock market position(s). 

Yesterday, notorious short seller and activist hedge fund manager Bill Ackman announced that he will finally deliver a death blow to Herbalife’s (HLF) existence and prove, once and for all, that Herbalife is nothing but a giant Ponzi scheme. I am sure while having wet dreams that his amazing  presentation will send HLF stock to zero. And while the stock initially came down, the price staged an impressive 26% rally once Ackman opened his mouth to deliver his presentation. Ackman Unleashes Herbalife’s Biggest Single-Day Gain Ever

Point being, never discuss your positions. Even if you are a Billionaire. Sooner, rather than later, it will lead to losses. That is one of the reason I will never announce the upcoming stock market crash on a free public forum. While my subscribers will have full access to that information, unfortunately, the rest of the public will be caught unprepared. In other words, sounds like a perfect reason to subscribe.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 22nd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Why You Should Always Keep Your Mouth….When Investing  Google

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The Secret Behind Why The “Time Is Right” To Get Filthy Rich

hedge fund investwithalexContinuation from yesterday…..

Reason #3:  An Ocean Of Money Is Available For The Taking

  • Annual GDP (Gross Domestic Product) of the USA: $16 Trillion
  • Annual Worldwide GDP:  $72 Trillion (Estimated)

Just think about the numbers above.  The worldwide GDP offers all of us $72 Trillion for the taking. With $16 Trillion in the USA alone. If you are able to start a business and put your fingers on just a fraction of the tenth of one percent of that money, you will be making billions of dollars.  Simply put, there is an avalanche of money out there.  All you have to do is go get a big enough bucket and start filling it with money. Lots of money.

Reason #4:  Millions Of Opportunities To Become Wealthy.

The markets have never been so open. There are literally millions of different ways to get wealthy. From new technologies to restaurants, from improving old processes to foreign markets. Opportunities are beyond abound. No matter what industry or field of work you specialize in, chances are, there are plenty of opportunities to get wealthy in every single one of them.

Reason #5:  No Risk In Trying

What is the worst thing that might happen if you start a business and try to get wealthy?

Well, you can fail and file for bankruptcy.  That’s about as bad as it is going to get. Certainly you will have financial issues and other predicaments associated with your business failure, but you will still be alive. You will be well enough to pick up the pieces and keep moving forward.  It is a very well known fact that some of the most successful people in the world have gone through a number of failures only to have a spectacular success later on.  Pick up almost any biography and you will find it there.  As a result, the only real risk is in NOT trying.

Reason #6:  Support & Know How

It is no longer necessary to get an MBA in order to start a business and/or to get wealthy.  With proliferation of the Internet everyone has access to the same information. What used to take a few weeks can now be done within a few hours.  Plus, there are a number of companies offering personalized support, education and coaching when it comes to starting your own business.  The bottom line is, there are no barriers of entry and if you do need extra support, well, it is available as well.

Reason #7: Worldwide Markets Are Now Open For Business

You no longer have to be tied to your local markets.  There is no doubt that the Internet makes your online business automatically international, but it is much more than that.  For instance, you can always take a physical business that works very well in the USA and open the same type of a business in China. While not a guarantee recipe for a success, it illustrates just how easily the international arbitrage can now be done. For the most part, the world should be viewed as an opportunity playground. A place where you can get wealthy just about anywhere you wish.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……..(Why Am I Seeing This On A Financial Website?)

Z31

The Secret Behind Why The “Time Is Right” To Get Filthy Rich  Google

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Don’t Buy The Best Buy

BBY

Continuation from yesterday……

TIMING & MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS:

After going public in 1985 at around $0.05 a share (split adjusted) the company’s share price gradually increased until November of 1994 when it set an intermediary top of $4.71. Regrettably, after looking at the stock price composition my mathematical and timing work has failed to yield a clear result. In other words, Best Buy’s stock price had no clearly identifiable cyclical, structural or internal time frameworks associated with it.

While a rare occurrence, some stocks do not have such a structure. They tend to oscillate on their own accord and without as much of a hint as to what the future holds.  It would not be at all inappropriate to file such stocks under a “Wild Animal” category and forget about them. Particularly when the fundamental and the technical analysis results had failed to yield anything worthwhile.  Based on my personal experience, it is best to steer clear of such stocks.

CONCLUSION:

Best Buy Inc gave us no warning or evidence in 1997 that it was about to stage a massive 4,000% rally over the next 9 years.   In fact, all of our analytical metrics had failed in predicting the upcoming rise.

Sometimes it is just as important to know when it is time to take a position as it is when it is time to walk away. Best Buy presents us with a clear illustration as to why you should have walked away, even though the stock was about to stage a massive rally. Despite its general undervaluation at 1997 bottom, the future was anything but clear.

From the fundamental perspective, there was no way to know if the company would be successful in making their new store concepts work and if they would be able to improve their margins. In addition, it was impossible to anticipate when the company would accelerate their new store growth and to what an extent.  Certainly not in 1997 and certainly not when the company’s stock price was at around $1.25 a share.

Out technical and mathematical analysis did not fare that much better. Both had failed to predict and upcoming surge in the share price.  While our technical analysis did suggest an entry point in November of 1997 at $3 a share, when the stock price broke above the previous high, neither the fundamental nor the mathematical side of the analysis would warrant a position.

In conclusion, even thought Best Buy’s stock price went on to gain 4,000% between 1997 and 2006, there was no prudent way to take a position in the stock in either 1997 or early 1998. By the time the fundamental picture was starting to clear up, the stock price has already surged to $40 a share.   In other words, the only way to take position in the stock was to speculate or to have it as a small allocation within your overall well diversified portfolio.  It would have been impossible to benefit otherwise.

Final Prescription: Sometimes It’s Better To Walk Away

z32

Don’t Buy The Best Buy Google

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Why Russia Will Go Into War Over Ukraine

nato expansionContinuation from yesterday……

Political Reasons for the War:

We don’t have to go very far to see the tensions between Russia and the US -or- China and the US.  All we have to do is turn the TV on. As I write this today, the relationship between Russia and the US had cooled to the point we haven’t seen since the 1980s or before the Soviet Union broke up.  And while the two superpowers continue to position themselves throughout the world, the situation in Ukraine requires further attention as it clearly displays the power struggle between Russia, the US and NATO.

Just a few days ago the tragedy of Malaysia Airlines flight 17 struck over Ukraine.  And despite plenty of evidence to the contrary, the Western World and the Western Media were very quick to condemn Russia for the attack. Certainly before any investigation can begin and in many cases just 10 minutes after the crash had occurred. With very little physical, radar and other verifiable evidence, the President of the United States had the audacity to blame Russia and Mr. Putin directly for the crime committed over the skies of Ukraine.  A troubling trend that relies entirely on the “Believe Us” premise so often used by corrupt politicians. While it is highly probable that we will never know who shot down Flight 17, the incident clearly displays just how much the US and Russia relationship had deteriorated and just how close NATO and Russia are to getting involved in an all out conflict.

To most, Ukraine might appear as an irrelevant nation somewhere in the Eastern Europe. To the US, NATO and Russia it is of incredible importance. As the NATO expansion picture above illustrated, NATO continues its eastward expansion and now sits directly on the Russian border at multiple locations in Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia.  As it is right now, many high ranking Russian military generals see this expansion right up to the Russian border as a clear declaration of war by NATO.

That is why NATO’s push for Ukraine becomes so important. If the Western powers and NATO are able to get a major foothold in Ukraine and eventually have Ukraine join the EU and NATO, that in itself would  deal a major defeat to Russia.  NATO would now have a massive border with Russia and it would, in theory, be able to deploy a missile shield rendering Russian nuclear forces obsolete.  In other words, the conflict in Ukraine is a lot more complex and a lot more important than most people are led to believe.  Basically, it is a conflict that Russia cannot afford to lose and it is likely to go into an all out war to make sure Ukraine remains under Russia’s influence.

To Be Continued Tomorrow……(Why Am I Seeing This On A  Financial Website?)

Z30

Why Russia Will Go Into War Over Ukraine  Google