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Top CEO’s Anticipate A Massive Slowdown. Should You?

no capex investwithalexOne of the main bullish arguments or justifications behind today’s stock market rally is that corporations will accelerate their CAPEX spending and hiring. It appears as if some of Americas top CEO’s disagree with such an assessment. Top CEOs downgrade economic growth forecasts, expect to spend less

“CEO expectations for both investment and growth remain well below the potential of the U.S. economy and below what we should be experiencing at this stage of a recovery,” Stephenson said.

While the downbeat mood was blamed on the expiration of tax breaks, this goes deeper than that.  There is very little to invest in because of the ZERO interest rate environment over the last decade. Most possible investments have already been made and the economy is not catching fire as most would have you believe.

All of this comes back to the FED and their irresponsible (even criminal) monetary policy. With the US Economy already showing sings of cracking (credit/speculative velocity is dying off) and with our mathematical/timing work showing a severe recession in the US between 2014-2017, the writing is on the wall.  Simply put, the stock market is way out of sync with reality.

z32

Top CEO’s Anticipate A Massive Slowdown. Should You?  Google

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American Total Debt Level Reaches Unprecedented Benchmark

total debt USA investwithalex

American total debt level (government, business, mortgage, consumer) has hit an unprecedented level of 60 Trillion dollars. Well, $59.4 Trillion to be exact. A number so staggering that is truly impossible to comprehend. Yet, let’s give it a try. Here is what you can buy for 60 Trillion….

  • 15 Trillion Big Macs at McDonald’s
  • 60 Million McMansions at $1 Million each.
  • 240,000 Boeing’s 777
  • Or you would have to spend about $2 Million per every single minute of your life if you are to live for 70 years.

It would only be appropriate if the stock market celebrates this amazing achievement with another stock market rally. On a more serious note, there is absolutely no way that the US Government or the US Citizens can repay this amount of debt. Given our current economic environment, it would have to be inflated away. That is precisely what my mathematical and timing work shows.

Even though there are signs of inflation, technically we are still in a deflationary environment. With more debt defaults and debt liquidation coming during the bear market of 2014-2017, deflation will continue to rule. Yet, come 2017 we should see ever increasing pressure on the inflationary front. Slow at first and accelerating into double digit inflation towards the 2030’s. That in itself will create a huge mess, but it’s too early to talk about that at this stage.

Z30

American Total Debt Level Reaches Unprecedented Benchmark  Google

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 17th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart June 17 2014

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 27 points (+0.16%) and the Nasdaq up 16 points (+0.37%)

Contrary to a popular belief, the stock market does not follow the news. Today is a perfect illustration of that. Despite an outright collapse in Iraq, gas pipeline detonation in Ukraine, prospects of faster FED tightening and subpar economic data coming out on most fronts, the stock market managed to erk out a small gain.

How does it work? 

Instead of following the news, the stock market traces out an exact mathematical structure. This is best explained from a scientific perspective. For instance, every element in nature will have a certain 3-Dimensional structure associated with it. Same thing with the stock market, just a little bit more complicated. The stock market traces out its exact mathematical points of force while moving though 3-Dimensional space and in accordance to its own DNA sequence.

What does this work show?

Well, my mathematical work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Daily Stock Market Update. June 17th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

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Why Retirement Is For Fools

retirement

Over the last 50 years the Wall Street did a wonderful job selling the main street on the dream of retirement. Work and save now, invest in the mutual funds (aka…give us your money) and then live happily ever after in retirement. Why ‘I’ll just work longer’ is not a good retirement plan.

In short, such BS articles drive me up the wall.  While I am all for saving as much money as you can, handing it over to Wall Street in hopes of having enough income in time for retirement is a foolish dream. The bear market of 2014-2017 will, once again, show you why.

On a personal note, I don’t understand retirement.  I will work until I drop dead, even though I can retire today. Retiring at any age is DEATH. It is as simple as that. Instead, one should structure his work/life balance as a contact state of enjoyment. When that happens, work becomes pleasure and retirement becomes unnecessary. Enough wisdom for today.

Z31

Why Retirement Is For Fools Google

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Too Much Cash On The Sidelines. Are Markets About To Stage A Massive Rally?

stock market tops

Tech Bubble top, Housing & Credit Bubble top……and now a “I Am A Stupid Idiot Who Never Learns Bubble” top?  Not according David Seaburg head of equity sales at Cowen and Company. Based on his research, there is a massive amount of cash on the sideline and the markets are about to surge higher.

“This could set up for a year-end chase rally when we start to see a lot of this money get put to work. Come September, we could see a massive move up. You are going to see the market grind up and people will be chasing performance until year end…. Everybody is super confused. When we start to see more data come in positive, you will start to see that cash be put back into the market.”

I agree with him on one thing, everyone is super confused. Yet, I don’t think it points to massive rally by the end of the year. On the contrary. Money managers are sitting in cash because everything has been driven into a bubble territory. I am a perfect example that. There is absolutely nothing to buy. As a fundamental value investor I am unable to find anything of value. ZERO. Not a single company is “undervalued”. If that doesn’t scare you, I am not sure what will.

Further, my advanced mathematical and timing work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start in 2014 (to the day), please CLICK HERE. 

z32

Too Much Cash On The Sidelines. Are Markets About To Stage A Massive Rally?  Google

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Shocking: These Tech Advancements Over The Next 20 Years Will Blow Your Mind

future-technology

I have always been fascinated with future, hence my life’s commitment and obsession with using advanced sciences to predict financial markets. In a similar fashion, futurist Kevin Kelly sees an amazing future The Next 20 Years Are Going To Make The Last 20 Look Like We Accomplished Nothing In Tech. Here is quick summary. 

  • Artificial Intelligence Will Advance Immensely.
  • Robots Will Do All The Work.
  • Big Data Will Be Even Bigger.
  • Humans Will Make A Quantum Jump In Intelligence.

So, in a nutshell, people will be free to watch Jerry Springer all day while robots do all the work (so much for that quantum jump). Plus, you will be able to print a hot Pizza with 17 toppings on a 3-D printer/microwave as the NSA spies on your heart rate in real time. Sounds good to me!!!

Now, before you get to excited about the next 20 years you must understand something very important. Nothing in nature moves in a linear fashion. Meaning, what we have experienced over the last 500 years and over the last 100 years in particular (straight line advancement) is something of a singularity.

It rarely happens and the human race is overdue for a “market correction”. While I truly hope the things above come to a fruition, my long-term stock market work predicts that there will be nothing left standing in 20 years. Just as outlined in this report. Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon.When, How & Why 

Z30

Shocking: These Tech Advancements Over The Next 20 Years Will Blow Your Mind  Google

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 16th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart June 16 2014

An up day with the Dow Jones up 5 points (+0.03%) and the Nasdaq up 10 points (+0.24%). 

So, how do you make money in this crazy, low volatility, low volume, flat, range bound market?

You don’t. 

Sometimes the best course of action is to stay out of the market, sit on the sideline and prepare for a very fast moving market. As I suggested before, this is a very dangerous period of time. Flat markets are synonymous with energy accumulation. Think of it a giant spring being wound up and you have a fairly accurate representation of today’s stock market. When it finally snaps, expect the market to behave in a violent fashion. Catching most of the trader off guard.

Which way will it break…..will it be a blow off top or perhaps an outright crash?

Well, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Daily Stock Market Update. June 16th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

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IMF Cuts Growth Forecast. Rates To Remain Low

recession ahead investwithalexWhile most market pundits expect the US Economy to accelerate growth due to “anticipated” increase in CAPEX, hiring or whatever other nonsense they believe in, even the IMF is not buying it. IMF Cuts U.S. Growth Forecast, Sees Greater Scope for Zero Rates

The International Monetary Fund cut its growth forecast for the U.S. economy this year and said theFederal Reserve may have scope to keep interest rates at zero for longer than investors expect

This has been my view for quite some time now. As our stock market mathematical and timing work clearly shows, the US Economy will be in a server recession by this time next year. That means that any and all tightening proposed by the FED will go out of the window. Instead, the FED will be looking re-inflate the economy/market through all means necessary. That means putting all interest rate increases on hold and possibly re-accelerating QE.

In short, expect interest rates to stay low for at least a few more years. This is further confirmed by our technical 10-Year Note view and it’s likely retest of the 1.5-1.6% range(double bottom in yields).

Z31

IMF Cuts Growth Forecast. Rates To Remain Low  Google