InvestWithAlex.com 

Should You Start Buying Bonds – Hint, Not YET

1/29/2024 – Another positive day with the Dow Jones up 224 points (+0.59%) and the Nasdaq up 172 points (+1.12%) 

The stock market continues to perform as anticipated/projected.

Some investors believe this will be easy…..

Investors parked in cash should consider bonds before the Fed pivots, Nuveen says

    • Bonds have been rallying in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s pivot to rate cuts this year, but today’s higher yields still leave room for buying opportunities, according to Nuveen’s chief investment officer.
    • “Many investors spooked by” the painful repricing of bonds over the past two years “sold their bond positions and piled their money into cash and cash equivalents,” Nuveen CIO Saira Malik, wrote in a Monday client note.
    • Assets in money-market funds have ballooned to about $5.96 trillion over roughly the past year, even with a $1.4 billion decrease seen in the past week, according to data from the Investment Company Institute.

Not so fat.

Our latest 10 Year Note analysis was just posted and you won’t believe what happens next. Let’s just say Bill Ackman might have covered his position too soon.

10- Year Treasury Index (TNX) – UPDATE
Date: January 9th, 2024

Our mathematical and timing work for TNX suggests the following:

      • TNX is moving towards its next half-cycle TOP which is expected to arrive in early XXXX.  We have multiple strong TIME clusters confirming this interest rate high by hitting around XXXX of 2024.
      • Our calculations suggest TNX will top out at XXXX (+/- 0.1%). They also suggest October of 2023 top was NOT the top.
      • Once the top is in TNX will fall into its next mid-cycle bottom scheduled to arrive around XXXX of 2025.
      • And while it is too early to calculate how low the 10-Year will go, a hit around XXXX is probable.

In summary, our price and time calculations suggest the top for TNX is not yet in. It is scheduled to arrive in XXXX of 2024 and top out at around XXXX. Then be cut in half by XXXX 2025. This is consistent with our overall stock market forecast.

IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO FIND OUT EXACT TIME AND PRICE PARAMETERS ABOVE -PLEASE CLICK HERE

Short-Term & Intraday Analysis For The Dow Jones – January 29th, 2024

Our daily report for the Dow Jones Intraday analysis has been posted. To see it, please Click Here.

If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next, in both price and time, short-term and/or long-term, please Click Here

Our Next FAST Mover Is Ready To Run

Our next fast mover is ready to run. Our mathematical time and price calculations suggest the stock will bottom around $150 later this year and then surge to about $450 within a few months. Exact TIME and PRICE targets are available.

If you would like to find out what this stock is, please Click Here

What The Hell Is Happening With This Stock Market? The Answer Is Very Simple

The stock market continues to behave exactly as anticipated. 

If you would recall, we saw complete Gloom & Doom at the end of October, with nearly everyone expecting some sort of a market crash.  Well, we didn’t, as we continued to maintain that all indices will see new all time highs before it is all said and done.

Today, most investors, professional or not, are dumbfounded by what they are witnessing.

Recession red flags: Wall Street and Main Street are at odds about the economy

    • The U.S. stock market may be at an all-time high, but the “Wall Street – Main Street disconnect” remains wider than ever — and that spells trouble ahead.
    • Specifically, there’s a dramatic difference in perspectives about the health of the U.S. economy. On the one hand is Wall Street celebrating the stock market’s new records, with many believing the Federal Reserve has avoided a recession by executing a “soft landing.”
    • Yet the average American is much more pessimistic. I receive numerous emails from readers describing significant and sudden slowdowns in their particular industries and widespread fears in their communities of how much worse it could become in coming months. And the data confirm what they’re saying.

The above is understandable, but our approach to the overall market analysis is rather simple.

You see, the overall market hasn’t yet completed its mathematical pattern that it needs to complete before any further downside is possible. Hence the confusion between today’s fundamental deterioration and the stock market’s apparent positive outlook.

In other words, the market must complete its pattern and hit its mathematical and timing points of force first.  And until that happens it will NOT go down. No matter what happens with the overall economy, geopolitically, etc……  It is as simple as that.

If you would like to find out exactly where this time/price point in, in both price and time, please Click Here