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Iran Is Building A Fake Aircraft Carrier

The amount of stupidity out there is unbelievable.  With Obama/Putin slap match accelerating speed, Turkey/Spain agreeing to build/share an aircraft carrier earlier this year and some in Alaska wanting to join Russian Federation  I sometimes wonder how we have made it this far as a human race.  Not to be outdone, Iran is building a fake Nimitz class aircraft carrier on top of a large barge. 

Why?  

According to the latest theory, to blow it up in a propaganda video. Because you know, just in case the US and Iran go to war, it will work wonders for the spirits of their population. Completed with a traditional parade and an American flag burning. How do you say WTF in Persian? تکواندو 

iran aircraft carrier investwithalex

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Iran Is Building A Fake Aircraft Carrier  Google

Iran Is Building a Fake U.S. Aircraft Carrier, Possibly So They Can Blow It Up

Iran is still negotiating with world powers about limiting its nuclear program, but if things go south, they have a spectacular ending in mind – or rather, had. U.S officials may have spoiled it by revealing that Iran is building a mock-up of an American aircraft carrier. The New York Times reports that since last summer, satellite photos have picked up images of a ship being built near Bandar Abbas that looks suspiciously like the Navy’s Nimitz-class carriers – though it’s two-thirds the size and has no nuclear propulsion system. “Based on our observations, this is not a functioning aircraft carrier; it’s a large barge built to look like an aircraft carrier,” said Commander Jason Salata, a spokesman for the Navy’s Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. “We’re not sure what Iran hopes to gain by building this. If it is a big propaganda piece, to what end?”

One leading theory: They’re planning to blow it up. In the past, Iran has fired missiles at barges during training exercises, then aired the footage on state-run news media. Recently, the Iranians have cut back on their anti-American posturing during naval exercises, but if the mood changes, they could tow the barge out to sea and destroy it to make one impressive propaganda film.

According to the Times, “For now, Navy analysts and American intelligence officials say they are not unduly concerned about the mock ship.” But making a 700-foot model aircraft carrier, complete with little planes on the flight deck, does take a lot of work, so let’s act surprised if they do blow it up.

 

 

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Nasdaq and Biotech Breakdown….What’s Next?

biotech chart investwithalex

In my weekly update to my premium subscriber I spent a considerable amount of time talking about the Nasdaq and the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB). Today, even though the Dow is down slightly, the Nasdaq (-1.6%) and the IBB (-3.5%) continue to collapse. While I cannot share my exact findings (available to premium subscribers only), this sort of market action is indicative of a major turning point.

Is this a simple correction or a major turning point?

While both indices are oversold and due for a short term bounce, long term picture remains very clear. Our mathematical and timing work continues to indicate that the US Equity markets will go through a severe bear market between 2014-2017. Has it started already? If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition please Click Here.   

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Nasdaq and Biotech Breakdown….What’s Next Google

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Fake Boobs Index Signals Stock Market Top

Not that we needed another confirmation, but since you have asked. In another offbeat indicator that the market top is in, plastic surgery index is up 18% from it’s 2009 bottom.  It is a very well known fact that plastic surgery and economic/stock market conditions are highly correlated. It should come as no surprise to the readers of this blog that FED’s intent on credit infused “real economic recovery” is, once again, being miss allocated to butt implants and fake boobs. 

fake boobs

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Fake Boobs Index Signals Stock Market Top  Google

Yahoo Finance: Cosmetic surgeries see biggest gains since the Great Recession

Though it may not bode well for America’s self-esteem as a whole, there may be a reason to celebrate the fact that cosmetic procedures have seen their greatest gains since the Great Recession. 

Plastic surgeons performed more than 11 million cosmetic surgical procedures in the U.S. in 2013, up 12% for the year and 18% higher than the 9 million procedures ordered in 2009, according to the American Society for Aesthetic Plastic Surgery. 

In the wake of the economic downturn, plastic surgeons have offered more options for less financially confident consumers who want to stick to their budgets but still get work done — why pay for a pricey facelift when you can get some Botox for a fraction of the cost? Invasive surgeries like breast augmentations and tummy tucks are still the bread and butter of many a plastic surgeon, but rapid developments in noninvasive procedures have been a boon for the industry and penny-pinching patients alike.

Nonsurgical procedures increased in 2013 by 13% with 9.5 million procedures. A man — cosmetic procedures for men have grown 237% since 1997 — who might have spent $15,000 to $20,000 on a facelift a few years ago can opt for a round of Botox or a quick microdermabrasion treatment, both of which rarely break the $1,000 mark. 

“Not everybody is willing to be [in recovery] for several weeks after a major procedure,” said Dr. Jack Fisher, president of ASAPS. “They’re looking for a less dramatic change with shorter recovery.” 

Botox injections, which cost a few hundred dollars a pop, are the most popular noninvasive procedure by far, with 3.7 million procedures performed last  year—15% more than in 2012. Other contenders may soon dethrone it in popularity, however. Photo rejuvenation, which reduces signs of aging caused by sun exposure, was up 35% with half a million procedures in 2013 and Hyaluronic Acid (wrinkle fillers) saw 31% growth with nearly 2 million procedures. 

Liposuction and breast augmentations still ruled the list of invasive procedures, with gains of 16.3% and 5.2%, respectively). Buttock augmentation procedures, which can cost from $5,000 to $10,000, were up 58% year-over-year. 

The nose job indicator

Economists have often unofficially linked the ups and downs of the plastic surgery industry to the overall robustness of the U.S. economy. In 2009, Merrill Lynch analysts found 77% of plastic surgeons blamed the economy for reducing the total number of breast augmentation procedures they did from the year before. 

The worse Americans feel about their finances, they argue, the less likely they are to treat themselves to a little nip and tuck. 

“If you just watched your portfolio lose 20% to 30% of its value, why would you decide to go get a facelift?” Fisher said. “2009 was a very bad year for most plastic surgeons. There was a drastic drop, especially in more expensive procedures.” 

This year’s figures, while uplifting for a business that was hit during the recession, weren’t entirely unexpected. The beauty industry as a whole has been on the upswing over the last year.

Karen Grant, senior beauty industry analyst for NPD Group, sounded optimistic in a February review of the cosmetics and beauty industry. “Consumers continue to struggle with lower income levels, but the global economic environment continues to stabilize,” she said. “The social trends all around us indicate an improving outlook and a willingness to invest when the associated risk is low.” 

Here were the most popular cosmetic procedures in 2013, according to the ASAPS.  

Surgical procedures:

Liposuction (363,912 procedures, up 16.3%)
Breast augmentation (313,327 procedures, down 5.2%)
Eyelid surgery (161,389 procedures, up 5.4%)
Tummy tuck (160,077 procedures, up 2.3%)
Nose surgery (147,966 procedures, up 2.9%)

Nonsurgical procedures:

Botulinum Toxin (3,766,148 procedures, up 15.6%)
Hyaluronic Acid (1,872,172 procedures, up 31.5%)
Hair Removal (901,571 procedures, up 2%)
Microdermabrasion (479,865 procedures, down 3.8%)
Photo Rejuvenation (456,613 procedures, up 35.3%)

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USA: Becoming A Militarized State?

With even our former president Jimmy Carter complaining that the US is spying on him, are things about to get worse? According to video above…..absolutely.   

Warning: Graphic Video  In it, heavily armed (with assault rifles) members of Albuquerque Police Department kill a homeless who was trying to run away from them by shooting him in the back. Justice? AR 15 Vs. 4 inch blade and running away. Disgusting. 

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USA: Becoming A Militarized State?  Google

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More Proof That Most Economists Are Useless

Most economists have it way to easy and that’s one of the reasons I go after them on this blog. Their job description? Take today’s number, make a few questionable adjustments and forecast them into perpetuity.  For instance, according to the LA Times most economists expect the economy to accelerate this year and into the future. 

The media projection in the quarterly survey by the National Assn. of Business Economics, released Monday, is for the economy to expand at a 2.8% annual rate this year. The figure is up from a projection of 2.5% in December.

Keep dreaming. As I have warned people on this blog a number of time, the US Economy and our financial markets are about to go through a severe recession and a bear market (2014-2017). Can any of the economists above see that? Of course not. Again, they simply look at today’s numbers and forecast them into perpetuity. Forget the massive credit bubble, huge imbalances, overpriced stock market, speculation, etc….Just as in 2000 and 2007, the economy will slap such scholars in their face.  

Inflation or Deflation InvestWithAlex

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More Proof That Most Economists Are Useless Google

LA Times Reports: Business economists more optimistic about growth despite harsh winter

WASHINGTON — Economists for U.S. businesses are more optimistic about the recovery than they were three months ago, forecasting growth to accelerate this year after a slow start caused by severe winter weather.

The media projection in the quarterly survey by the National Assn. of Business Economics, released Monday, is for the economy to expand at a 2.8% annual rate this year. The figure is up from a projection of 2.5% in December.

The economy expanded at a 1.9% annual rate last year.

The improved outlook comes despite respondents saying the bitter cold and snow in much of the country would reduce total economic output — or gross domestic product — in the first three months of the year by 0.4%.

“Despite a challenging start to the year in which adverse weather conditions will likely shave nearly one half of one percentage point from first-quarter real GDP growth, NABE’s March 2014 Outlook Survey panel expects the pace of economic expansion to accelerate this year — and next,” said Jack Kleinhenz, the group’s president and also chief economist of the National Retail Federation.

The 48 economists surveyed expect slightly less labor market growth this year, with the economy forecast to add 188,000 net new jobs a month compared with the monthly average of 194,000 in 2013.

But job creation will be strong enough for the Federal Reserve to end its bond-buying stimulus program this year. About 57% of the economists surveyed expect the program to end in the fourth quarter of the year.

A quarter of respondents expect the Fed to end the program before Oct. 1.

Fed policymakers last week voted to reduce the bond buying to $55 billion a month — the third reduction since December.

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Warning: Is Crude Oil Signalling Another Recession?

During the last US market collapse of 2007-2009, Crude Oil took it on the chin. Collapsing from $150 to $40 or (74%) in 2008 alone. Even though it recovered substantially since it’s low, it has been stuck in the trading range since the early 2011.  Today, funds are starting to cut their long oil exposure. 

Money managers cut net-long positions by 25,775 futures and options combined in the week ended March 18, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. It was the biggest drop since June. Long positions slumped 6.6 percent after reaching a record earlier in the month. Shorts increased 7.6 percent

Start of a new trend?  Not yet. Crude oil continues to trade within its range without as much as breaking to the upside or downside over the last few years. However, I believe that trend is about to change. As our mathematical and timing work indicates, the US Equity markets will go through a severe bear market between 2014-2017. Pushing the US economy into another recession. When that happens, I expect Crude Oil to break down out of its trading range and fall into at least a $60 range. 

crude oil

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Warning: Is Crude Oil Signalling Another Recession?  Google

Bloomberg Reports:Speculators Cut Bullish Oil Bets by Most in Nine Months

Hedge funds reduced their bets on rising West Texas Intermediate crude prices by the most in almost nine months as U.S. inventories climbed and concern eased that sanctions against Russia will disrupt oil supplies.

Money managers cut net-long positions by 25,775 futures and options combined in the week ended March 18, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. It was the biggest drop since June. Long positions slumped 6.6 percent after reaching a record earlier in the month. Shorts increased 7.6 percent.

Crude supplies advanced for a ninth week in the seven days ended March 14 to a three-month high as production increased to the most in 26 years and refineries processed the least oil since October. The U.S. and European Union announced sanctions after voters in Crimea chose to leave Ukraine and become part of Russia, the world’s biggest energy exporter.

“Market players are stepping back and the record longs continue to be shed,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital LLC, a New York-based hedge fund that focuses on energy. “Overall inventories have increased a lot as refineries are doing maintenance.”

Crude dropped 33 cents to $99.70 on the New York Mercantile Exchange in the period covered by the CFTC report. It ended below $100 in each of the five days and slid to $97.99 on March 12, the lowest settlement since Feb. 6.

Prices rose 0.6 percent to $99.46 on March 21 after Russian President Vladimir Putin signed legislation to absorb Crimea, brushing aside sanctions. WTI rose 7 cents to $99.53 a barrel at 9:15 a.m. in London today.

Growing Supply

U.S. stockpiles increased by 25.6 million barrels, or 7.3 percent, in the nine weeks ended March 14 to 375.9 million barrels, the highest level since Nov. 29, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Domestic production climbed to 8.22 million barrels a day in the week ended March 14, the most since May 1988. Refineries processed 15 million barrels a day, the least since Oct. 18. The operating rate dropped to 85.6 percent of capacity as companies retooled plants before gasoline demand climbs with warmer weather.

Phillips 66 said on March 17 that its Los Angeles refinery was conducting planned maintenance. The plant has a capacity of 139,000 barrels a day. Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) was performing planned work at the 206,000-barrel-a-day refinery at Robinson, Illinois, a person familiar with the matter said on March 13.

Refinery Repairs

Suncor Energy Inc. said on March 14 that it has begun maintenance at the Commerce City, Colorado, plant. The refinery near Denver has a capacity of 103,000 barrels a day.

“It’s the refinery maintenance season,” said Carl Larry, president of Oil Outlooks & Opinions LLC in Houston. “The concern is definitely on the U.S. economy and the fundamentals.”

President Barack Obama authorized sanctions against officials and businessmen close to Putin as Russia completed its annexation of Crimea. Among the targets was billionaire Gennady Timchenko, a co-founder of Gunvor Group Ltd., an oil-trading firm. The U.S. named Putin as an investor in the company. Gunvor said Putin has never held a stake.

Timchenko sold his stake in the company to partner Torbjorn Tornqvist, according to a company statement. The transaction took place March 19, the day before the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on the 61-year-old billionaire.

Russia produced 10.4 million barrels a day of oil in 2012 and exported 7.4 million, according to the EIA. The southern part of the Druzhba line carries 300,000 barrels a day of Russian crude through Ukraine to refineries in Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

Lower Wagers

Net-long positions in WTI crude held by money managers, including hedge funds, commodity pools and commodity-trading advisers, fell by 7.9 percent to 302,320. Long positions dropped to 334,104, while shorts increased to 31,784.

Bullish bets on gasoline decreased 1.4 percent to 57,343 futures and options. Futures slid 6.42 cents, or 2.2 percent, to $2.9028 a gallon on the Nymex in the reporting period and gained 0.4 percent to $2.9079 March 21. They were at $2.9043 today.

Regular gasoline at the pump, averaged nationwide, rose 0.2 cent to $3.525 a gallon on March 22, the first gain in three days, according to Heathrow, Florida-based AAA, the largest U.S. motoring group.

Money managers’ bullish wagers on U.S. ultra low sulfur diesel decreased 30 percent to 23,109. The fuel fell 4.55 cents to $2.9155 a gallon in the report week and dropped 12 cents to $2.9201 March 21. It was at $2.9140 today.

Natural Gas

Net-long wagers on four U.S. natural gas contracts dropped 2.4 percent to 408,941. The measure includes an index of four contracts adjusted to futures equivalents: Nymex natural gasfutures, Nymex Henry Hub Swap Futures, Nymex ClearPort Henry Hub Penultimate Swaps and the ICE Futures U.S. Henry Hub contract.

Natural gas futures fell 14.9 cents, or 3.2 percent, to $4.456 per million British thermal units on Nymex during the report week. They slid 1.3 percent to $4.313 on March 21 and were at $4.332 today.

“The fundamentals are weak for oil,” said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago. “So far, Russia hasn’t been a big threat to oil supplies.”

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NATO: Russia Is About To Attack. Russia: No Attack Coming. Who Is Right?

According to NATO, Russia has amassed a strong military force right next to Ukraine, ready to attack at moment’s notice. Russia claims that no such force has been assembled and no attack is imminent. 

Who to believe?  

Both sides. Let me put it this way. Yes, Russia has amassed a strong military force right next to Ukraine, ready to be deployed at moments notice. Yet, as it stands today, Russia will not go in. The only thing that will trigger an incursion into Ukraine is more sanctions against Russia and/or Putin. If the West goes forward with any further sanctions, Putin will have no choice but to respond and show his “power”. That would mean a powerful military move into East Ukraine and it’s possible annexation. As such, it would be a good idea for the West to stop here if they don’t want this conflict escalating further. 

usa russia

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NATO: Russia Is About To Attack. Russia: No Attack Coming. Who Is Right?  Google

Moscow: No troop build-up or undeclared military activity near Ukraine borders

Russia is observing all international agreements on troop limits in regions bordering Ukraine, the Russian Deputy Defense Minister said, adding that foreign missions’ inspections can confirm that.

The statement was made in response to reports by several foreign media outlets over concentrations of “thousands” of Russian servicemen on the Russian-Ukrainian border.

“By the way this issue has during the last month been regularly raised in telephone conversations between Russia’s Minister of Defense Sergey Shoigu, and his foreign counterparts, including US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and even acting Ukrainian Defense Minister Igor Tenyukh,” Anatoly Antonov, the Russian Deputy Defense Minister said.

Sergey Shoigu has, in a very transparent manner, informed all of them about the real situation on the Russian-Ukrainian border. He also stressed that Russia has no intention to concentrate troops there, Antonov said.

Following recent probes by foreign missions in Russia of Ukraine’s bordering regions, foreign inspectors came to the conclusion that “Russian Armed Forces are not undertaking any undeclared military activity that would threaten the security of neighboring countries,” Antonov added.

The official said eight foreign inspection groups have recently visited Russia.

“Our venues and regions, where troops are stationed near Ukrainian borders, have twice been checked by the Ukrainian military,” the Deputy Minister said. “Besides, we have had on our territory inspectors from the US, Canada, Germany, France, Switzerland, Poland, Latvia, Estonia and Finland.”

Seven of those eight missions were interested in Russian regions bordering with Ukraine, Antonov said. Foreign inspectors were allowed to talk to chiefs of the Russian military units, make pictures of deployment sites and military vehicles, and control them during relocation.

“We did our best to meet our partners’ requests by allowing them to inspect all of the sites they wanted to. We have nothing to hide,” Antonov said.

The deputy minister said he was hoping that participants of those inspecting missions would inform their countries’ leaderships of what is really going on at the border between Russia and Ukraine.

“We believe this would to large extent facilitate release of tension, something the head of the Pentagon, Hagel, called for during his recent phone conversation with Minister Shoigu.”

Germans, French ‘nullified military co-op with Russia under pressure’

Berlin’s and Paris’ moves to halt military cooperation with Moscow are derailing the bilateral efforts of recent years and are completely unconstructive, Antonov said. However, according to the defense official, the two did so under pressure from their NATO ally. 

“Obviously, the proverbial ‘Atlantic solidarity’ has made our French and German partners come up with loud statements against Russia,” Antonov said. 

“Refusing from contacts and delegatory exchange though military departments brings to naught the positive tendencies established in the recent years, including the cooperation on Afghanistan, the dialogue on transparency of military activity and military-technical cooperation. We perceive the decision of the German side as taken under pressure and unconstructive,” Antonov stressed.

Both Russian and German defense ministries have recently undertaken some “serious efforts” in mutually beneficial cooperation, the official noted. He also highlighted the “unprecedented” bilateral work with France, including that of the Air Forces and Airborne Forces, noting that a “new impulse of cooperation” had been planned for 2014.

Addressing media on Sunday, Antonov stressed that Russia and its European partners are equally interested in military cooperation. It is “very easy to ruin what has been done by our countries [in the field of military cooperation] and it will be very difficult to restore relations,” he said. 

The Russian side hopes that Germany and France will review the situation on the Ukrainian border upon receiving reports from the international inspectors and will move to restore the severed ties, Antonov said. For now, Moscow will act in accordance with the “existing realities,” he added.

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Weekly Update & Stocks To Short. March 22nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

z24

Weekly Update & Summary: March 22nd, 2014

Overall it was a good week for the market with the Dow Jones up +237 points (+1.48%) and the Nasdaq up +31 points (0.74%) for the week. Structurally, the market did very well, leaving only one big gap behind at around 16,050. I believe the market will go back to close this gap when the bear market initiates.

FUNDAMENTAL & MARKET ANALYSIS: 

As per our timing and mathematical work below, the market will continue to shift gears from bull market to bear market throughout 2014. Longer term, this bear market will last between 2014-2017 as I have indicated many times before. While it’s internal structure will not be as violent and as steep as the 2007-2009 bear market leg, investors should anticipate the market to lose 35-40% when it’s all said and done.

(If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start and its internal structure, please Click Here) 

In last week’s update we talked about some of the best ways to approach the bear market and what you should and shouldn’t be doing. To see that report please Click Here. In this week’s update we will take a look at some of the best stocks to short and how you should approach the entire process.  

Step #1: Find Highly Speculative and/or Overpriced Stocks.

The list below should get you going. Click on it to see larger image.

short stocks

Step #2: Find Force Multipliers

In addition to performing technical and fundamental analysis, look for force multipliers. These are the stocks that move at X to market. For example, if the Nasdaq index moves 4%, a stock with 3X force multiplier will move 12%. All you have to do is compare index moves with the individual stock moves during the same period of time. The higher the multiplier, the higher rate of return you should anticipate.

If you believe the market is going decline substantially, it makes a lot of sense to take a short position in such stocks. If the market declines 20%, it is highly probable such stocks will decline 40-60%. Yet, this is not without risk. At times stocks move at X to market due to their fundamental outperformance. In such cases, the declines will be less than overall market. That is why fundamental and technical analysis become so important. You must first figure out if the stock is simply overpriced/overhyped or if there is substance to its outperformance.

Step #3: Take Position

Whatever your trading strategy is, once the bear market starts, execute it. As you know, shorting is inherently riskier and should be treated that way. Keep tight stop losses and execute your risk management strategies to the best of your ability.

That about covers it. If you believe the bear market is just around the corner (as we do), get yourself ready if you are interested in participating on the short side. Identify stocks to short, zero in on force multipliers, execute and minimize risk. Good luck and profit greatly. If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start and its internal structure, please Click Here.  

MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS:

Ukraine continues to dominate the news.

While the markets were able to ignore the news this week, that might change over the next few weeks and into April. As I have mentioned here before,  Putin was willing to walk away with Crimea and call it a day if the West wasn’t hell bent on sanctions. Unfortunately, I don’t believe the West is done, just yet, with either Ukraine or sanctions. If they continue to slap Putin with sanctions he will have no choice but to respond with a military force in Ukraine over the next few weeks. 

Let me put it this way. If the West (US or EU) slam Russia or Putin with further sanctions, Putin WILL invade Eastern Ukraine.  There will be no fighting and Eastern Ukraine will quickly ask to become a part of Russia. This will create a downward spiral in foreign relations, a massive geopolitical risk and a possible selloff in US equities(see timing & mathematical section).

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

Long-Term: The trend is still up. Market action in January-February could be viewed as a simple correction in an ongoing bull market. 

Intermediary-Term: Since February 5th, intermediary term picture shifted from negative to positive. Giving us a technical indication that both the intermediary term and the long term trends are up. Yet, that in itself can be misleading as per our timing analysis discussion below.

Short-Term: While the short-term trend remains bullish, it might be misleading as per our timing analysis discussion below.  

Again, even though all 3 trends are bullish for the time being, that might be misleading. Please read our Mathematical and Timing Analysis to see what will transpire over the next few weeks.    

MATHEMATICAL & TIMING ANALYSIS: 

(*** Please Note: This time around about 90% of the information contained within this section has been deliberately removed as it contain too much technical information. Particularly, exact dates and prices of the upcoming turning points. As well as trading forecasts associated with them. I deem such information to be too valuable to be released onto the general public.  As such, this information is only available to my premium subscribers. If you are a premium subscriber please Click Here to log in. If  you would be interested in becoming a subscriber and gaining access to the most accurate forecasting service available anywhere, a forecasting service that gives you exact turning points in both price and time, please Click Here to learn more.Don’t forget, we have a risk free 14-day trial).  

Based on our mathematical and timing work the next turning point is located at

Date: XXXX 
Price: XXXX

XXXX

Others are getting very close.   

The list below is for your reference point. It entails my investment strategy over the next few weeks for my own investment purposes. While you are free to follow what I do, please do so at your own risk. Do not take this as a trading advice.    

Stock

Entry Point ($)

Action To Take

QQQ

88

XXXX

XXXX

1160-1180

XXXX

XXXX

515

XXXX

XXXX

74

XXXX

XXXX

21

XXXX

XXXX

420

XXXX

XXXX

35

XXXX

XXXX

65

XXXX

XXXX

120

XXXX

XXXX

100

XXXX

XXXX

112

XXXX

Otherwise, I suggest the following positioning over the next few days/weeks to minimize risk while positioning yourself for a forecasted market action. (This is continuation of our previous positioning).

If You Are A Trader: XXXX

If No Position: XXXX

If Long: XXXX

If Short:  XXXX

CONCLUSION: 

An incredibly important week is coming up. Only one scenario remains on the table. I have also described the point force we are looking at and exactly what you should do. Wiith increased volatility, multiple interference patterns and an incredibly important long-term turning point we must be very careful and risk averse here.  Those anticipating the moves and those who can time them properly will be rewarded appropriately.

Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Weekly Update & Stocks To Short. March 22nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

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Stock Market Update. March 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

Daily Chart March 21, 2014 investwithalex

A down day with the Dow Jones down -31 points (0.19%)  and the Nasdaq down -42 points (0.98%) 

While the market rallied early on it spent the rest of the day closing the gap which it opened up in the morning. While the Dow held up relatively well, the Nasdaq lost 1% of it’s value, amplifying the divergence over the last couple of day. This not atypical when marketing topping formations develop themselves. Simply put, various markets and industries top out on different days, sometimes different months. Today’s move on iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) and it’s break into a technical downtrend is a clear indication of that. 

Does that mean the bear market has already started?

I have long maintained that the US Equity markets will go through a sever bear market between 2014-2017. Unfortunately, the information on exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) is available only to my subscribers. If you would be interested in gaining that information as well as the internal composition of the bear market over the next 3 years, please Click Here. Don’t forget, we have a 14 day free trial offer. 

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Stock Market Update. March 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google