InvestWithAlex.com 

Much Lower Oil Prices Ahead ?

We will have a much more detailed oil analysis available later in the week, but consider the following TIMING chart for the time being. Please note something of significant importance. According to our TIMING parameters Crude Light (CL) doesn’t hit bottom until early next year at its earliest. 

Is The Stock Market About To Bottom?

Let’s review………

The Dow’s Long-Term Cycle Composite: At least one of them. Our work suggests the stock market or individual stocks have multiple composites running its cycles at any given time. Not only that, there are up and down composites, that are responsible for all tops and bottoms, short-term and long-term. The one below gives you a pretty good idea about what happens next and/or when to anticipate major tops and bottoms. 

Interestingly enough, the chart below has a very fascinating setup. The TIME variable between anticipated top and bottom is rather small. That typically entails a very powerful move might be at hand. 

TIMING Clusters: Each line below represents a timing cluster where a number of different cycles (independent of composite cycles above) come together and indicate a change in trend. This change can be long-term or short-term in nature. The next TIME cluster of interest arrives on October 10th (+/- 2 trading days). Will it spark a rally or be a dud? Find out below.   

Market’s Structural Composition: As our theory suggests, the market moves in multidimensional space. When it does it traces out certain lattice structures in 3D space based on prior moves. In other words, all future movements are geometrically precise in both PRICE and TIME. For instance, dots below represent all possible future turning points. Now, most of them can be filtered out to get a 95% accurate read.  

Narrowing Down The Completion Point: Taking the above into consideration our software then filters out most possibilities in order to give us the final answer. Please see the chart below. It is at this juncture that we know with near certainty what the stock market will do next in both price and time. Not only that, based on geometric/timing constructions of the stock market (or any stock) we are then able to calculate what the next move will be, up or down, and its precise PRICE/TIME. 

Let’s now review our short-term components to narrow down the window. 

As its above long-term counterparts, lines below represent cycle clusters that may or may not cause a turning point. Once again, that depends on the strength of a timing cluster in question. 

For instance, the Time/Price short-term analysis below highlights all possible turning points in both price and time. A highlighted point indicates the market MIGHT turn around on October 11th at around 12:20 EST at 27,720 on the Dow Jones. Please note, we simply highlighted this point as a sample, not to project. 

The market’s geometric configuration below filters out and limits the number of possible outcomes available or associated with this anticipated bottom. 

In summary, when the data points above are combined in an appropriate fashion, you get a very clear picture of where the upcoming Time/Price turning point is.

YES, it appears the next Time/Price point of interest is located around mid October in the mid 27K range on the Dow Jones. To get the exact location of this anticipated turning point please Click Here

So, will we get a turning point at that juncture? 

That is quite possible, but at the same time dangerous for me to suggest here. It is definitely an important point to watch. It is dangerous to confirm this point in a free forum for the following reasons…..

First, certain real time indicators will confirm if this point will fire off or fail as we get closer. It must be followed in real time. More importantly, those who wish to participate in this move must first understand the extent of the next move. Will it be a small bounce before the market tanks again or a more sizeable bounce or perhaps even a new bull market. That makes a big difference in terms of risk, position size, etc….

Luckily, our mathematical and timing work answers those questions as well. For instance, as soon as the said bottom is confirmed it is possible to calculate the extent of the PRICE and TIME variables of the upcoming rally/bounce. 

Please CLICK HERE to get that information as well. 

What Happens When We Hit The Red Region?

We first published this chart over a week ago. Since then the Dow has sliced below its June’s low and is now clearly on the way to the red region outlined below. Now, if you recall, we calculate the market in multidimensional space in order to yield clear Price and Time targets.  

In other words, the Dow should hit the red region below. But that in itself is not very important. What is important is what the market will do next? Will it bounce, will it stage a powerful rally or will it simply shift gears into the next Time/Price point? That’s the billion dollar question at this time…….if I may.  If you would like to find out exactly when/where the red region is hit and, most importantly, what happens thereafter, please Click Here

Buffett Indicator Suggests A Market Crash?

Yet another down day for the market. Nothing unexpected if you follow our work here 

Now, this is the stuff nightmares are made off. According to Mr. Buffett’s own general valuation indicator the market is about to crash…….BIG Time. 

Just look at it, today’s Everything Bubble is twice as big as nearly every other peak that preceded any market crash of importance.  In other words, stocks crazy expensive. Surely the stock market is about to collapse to the tune of 50% + just to reach its historic norm. 

Yet, the analysis above is too simplistic in its nature and doesn’t offer anything in terms of timing. 

For instance, expensive things can get even more expensive and stay there. For instance, 2020-2022 episode is a perfect example. You could have made an argument that stocks are about to collapse based on Buffett indicator alone. They did, “due to covid”, but then quickly recovered to new all time highs where they have been enjoying stratospheric valuation levels ever since. 

Sure, I agree. At some point stocks will collapse. Having said that, before that happens yet another upside surprise might be in the books. If you would like to find out what the stock market will do next and when the next “crash” will occur, please Click Here.  

The Demise Of The Dollar Has Been Greatly Exaggerate

According to some the stock market cannot rally until the Buck cools off. Don’t look for a stock market bottom until a soaring dollar cools down. Here’s why.

What a bunch of nonsense. Sure, any market bounce/rally will likely coincide with the DXY selling off, but there is very little long-term correlation between the overall market and the USD. Just look at the chart above. 

Speaking off, we have been following the chart above for years. There are two points of interest on the chart. The first circle in 2019 is when the market crossed an extremely important support/resistance line, line that most people are not aware of, clearly suggesting a long-term rally was coming. 

The second hit on the line occurred in 2021 when this same line acted as support. I remember it very well. At that time the Dollar bears and Gold/Bitcoin enthusiasts proclaimed, once again, the dollar was about to collapse to near zero while everything else would soar. At this very same time we were looking for a bottom. 

As you can see from the chart above, the DXY doesn’t have must of a resistance until it hits 120 levels. Now, we are not saying it would happen overnight, but those betting on the Dollar’s demise might want to re-consider. At least for the time being. 

We will be publishing our updated dollar TIME/PRICE analysis in a matter of weeks. If you would be interested in seeing it in full, please Click Here

Short-Term Composition Of The Market Suggests The Following…..

The analysis below is short-term in nature. To be more precise we have to apply longer-term analysis that can be found here……

Let’s take a look at our TIMING variable first. 

Lines below represent cycle clusters that may or may not cause a turning point. That depends on the strength of a timing cluster in question. 

The Time/Price short-term analysis below highlights all possible turning points in both price and time. For instance, a highlighted point indicates the market MIGHT turn around on October 11th at around 12:20 EST at 27,720 on the Dow Jones. Please note, we simply highlighted this point as a sample, not to project. 

The market’s geometric configuration below limits the number of possible outcomes available or associated with this anticipated bottom. 

In summary, when the data points above are combined in an appropriate fashion, you get a very clear picture of where the upcoming Time/Price turning point is. Let’s say to the day and +/- 50 Dow points.  Further, a projection can be made as soon as the said bottom has arrived to estimate the extent of the PRICE and TIME variables of the upcoming rally/bounce. 

So, where and when will this anticipated bottom arrive? Please CLICK HERE to find out. 

As Markets Bet On FED’s Mercy ….. Treasury Bills Suggest No Mercy Will Be Given

9/16/2022 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 197 points (+0.64%) and the Nasdaq up 86 points (+0.76%) 

It’s a well know fact that the FED follows 3 and 6 month Treasury rates when setting their benchmark. Last time the FED raised interest rates by 75 basis points was in late July. At that time 6 Month Treasury was at around 2.85% and today, at 3.87%. Let’s round up and say 1% higher. 

That suggests the FED would have to hike as much as 1% just to catch up. Will they or won’t they is not as important as what they will say. The bulls are praying for a clear indication that the rate hikes are either nearly done or will slow. And the bears, of course, are salivating over a 1% hike with no end in sight. 

What will actually happen is likely somewhere in between. Luckily, you don’t have to guess how the stock market will react. That has already been pre-determined. Allow me to explain how our work knows where the market will either top or bottom, plus, exactly WHEN it will happen. 

Dow’s Long-Term Cycle Composite: At least one of them. Our work suggests the stock market or individual stocks have multiple composites running its cycles at any given time. Not only that, there are up and down composites, that are responsible for all tops and bottoms, short-term and long-term. The one below gives you a pretty good idea about what happens next and/or when to anticipate major tops and bottoms. 

TIMING Clusters: Each line represents a timing cluster where a number of different cycles (independent of composite cycles above) come together and indicate a change in trend. This change can be long-term or short-term in nature. The next TIME cluster of interest arrives on September 19th (+/- 2 trading days). Will it spark a rally or be a dud? Find out below.   

Market’s Structural Composition: As our theory suggests, the market moves in multidimensional space. When it does it traces out certain lattice structures in 3D space based on prior moves. In other words, all future movements are geometrically precise in both PRICE and TIME. For instance, dots below represent all possible future turning points. Now, most of them can be filtered out to get a 95% accurate read.  

Narrowing Down The Completion Point: Taking the above into consideration our software then filters out most possibilities in order to give us the final answer. Please see the chart below. It is at this juncture that we know with near certainty what the stock market will do next in both price and time. Not only that, based on geometric/timing constructions of the stock market (or any stock) we are then able to calculate what the next move will be, up or down, and its precise PRICE/TIME. 

 

In summary, our software and advanced mathematical calculations show us exactly where the next turning point is, in both PRICE and TIME. Sometimes to within 30 minute resolution. Not only that, it shows you the extent of the upcoming move. If you would like to find out when this next Time/Price turning point is, please CLICK HERE