7/9/2015 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 32 points (+0.19%) and the Nasdaq up 12 points (+0.26%)
Impossible?
Not only is it possible, it is highly probable. At least based on my long-term mathematical work. Also, John Hussman certainly thinks so as well, although not to the extent: Get Ready for Zero Stock Returns Over Next 10 Years
I don’t know why people find this so shocking. I often mention two extended periods of time when stocks showed ZERO appreciation. From 1790 to 1860 (70 years) and 1899 to 1949 (50 year) periods of time. But we don’t have to go that far.
The stock market hasn’t gone anywhere over the last 15.5 years. The chart below shows an inflation adjusted S&P. As you can see, the index hasn’t gone anywhere. The Dow finds itself in the same boat, while the Nasdaq is still 10-15% lower (inflation adjusted).
What’s worse, we are currently in an overvaluation bubble and on a verge of a substantial bear market. In fact, my mathematical work shows that once the market rolls over, we won’t see today’s levels again until the year 2021 at the earliest. Plus, once the next bull market completes in the early 2030’s we are likely to re-test these levels again.
And if you believe that is insane, it’s obvious that you haven’t studied the market long, far or hard enough.
Here is the point I am driving at. Long-term or buy/hold investors will be incredibly frustrated over the next 15-20 years. Just as they have been over the last 15 years. And only those who are willing and are able to shift into a bear market positioning, as my earlier post today suggested, should be able to benefit substantially. Everyone else will be sitting on zero gains. What’s worse, they are set to experience yet another severe bear market over the next few years.
So, a preemptive rotation into a bear market positioning or into cash is the key here.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 9th, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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Shocking: Advance Mathematical Work Shows 30 Years Of No Capital Gains Ahead Google