3/2/2016 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 34 points (+0.20%) and the Nasdaq up 14 points (+0.29%)

When I was shorting stocks in May of 2015, I distinctly remember Marc Faber throwing in the towel and suggesting that stocks might never go down again. Due to FED’s intervention. He is at it again……

Dr. Not So Doom: Marc Faber says stocks may rally

“That could drive the market up to maybe around 2,050, but I don’t necessarily see new highs, and if new highs happen, they will happen with very few stocks participating,” he said.

Fair enough. Yet, confusion among market participants continues to dominate. And while some attempt to explain away the rally Reasons Behind the Rally in Equity Markets others openly admit confusion, frustration and complexity associated with today’s market environment. TOP HEDGE FUND MANAGER: ‘The future for me is now more uncertain than at any time I can remember’

About 4 weeks ago I introduced the following chart to you. Suggesting in the process that the market will drive both bulls and bears up the wall over the next few weeks. And that is exactly what has been happening. Although, one can argue, at least for the time being, that bulls are winning the battle.

In reality, the market remains within the confines of a trading range or support/resistance levels outlined above. Further, the market will continue to trade within the said trading range until a certain date is reached in the future. When that happens, the market will stage a massive move. Either up or down.

If you would like to find out exactly when, in TIME, the structure above terminates. In addition to in which direction this larger move will develop, please Click Here. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. March 2nd, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

2/29/2016 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 127 points (-0.76%) and the Nasdaq down 33 points (-0.71%) 

Gold bugs are excited. It appears Gold is breaking out of its multi-year slump after taking out important resistance levels. Fundamentals look right as well. As any financial crisis caused by the overvalued stock market would surely cause massive inflows into the sector.

Why buying gold now could be a lot like buying stocks in 2009.

Perhaps. Yet, a number of things do not add up. Most importantly, various technical and sentiment indicators suggest that the bottom is not yet in. Here is the view expressed by Matt Demeter Find Out Why Gold Is Going Much Lower A view that is just as valid today.

Now, let’s talk about China. The first rule of investing is…….when a government entity issues a strong statement in support of a financial instrument, you know what to do. Run the other way. Here is what China had to say about Yuan devaluation

China assures US no devaluation, pushing reforms forward

Fair enough, but I would rather listen to what hedge fund manager Kyle Bass had to say about the subject matter. We wrote about it just a few days ago Further Yuan Devaluation Imminent In other words, China has no choice. It either devalues or goes through an economic/financial collapse. Invest accordingly.

Finally,there is at least one bull out there who still believes….

Tom Lee: These factors point to higher stocks

Longtime bull Tom Lee said Friday it’s been tough lately to be positive on stocks, but too many investors may have have tilted to the bearish camp. Lee played down the concern about the possibility of a global recession, saying market internals like transport and small-cap stocks are not pointing to a recession. “If we’re actually seeing worsening economic conditions, these should be in a death spiral,” he said. But he noted that these groups have actually been doing better.

I actually would have to agree with Mr. Lee in regards to investor sentiment. I wrote about it just a few days ago. Shocking: Here Is Why The Stock Market Is Rallying

As for the latter, I strongly disagree. Fewer and fewer stocks are keeping this market afloat. On top of that, valuations are still incredibly high as per Shiller’s Adjusted P/E ratio. We are talking about historic highs. All while the S&P earnings are falling at the fastest pace since 2008 financial crisis. Forward guidance was adjusted down a little over 2%.

Put all of that together and it becomes fairly clear which way the market will swing long-term. That is not to say we can’t have substantial rallies along the way, but rather, to suggest that any bullish dreams might have to be adjusted here.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 29th  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Golden Dreams, China’s Upcoming Devaluation & The Stock Market Rally  Google

2/22/2016 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 225 points (+1.37%) and the Nasdaq up 66 points (+1.47%) 

Make any sort of a declaration or a market statement today, and chances are, you can make a nearly bulletproof case that you are right. Let me show you what I mean…..

• Has The Market Crash Only Just Begun?
• Is it possible the correction is over?
• HARRY DENT: The recession isn’t coming — it already started
• Marriage of crude-oil prices, stocks at historic level
• Look out below? Options price in scary S&P swoon
• ‘It is a time of opportunities

And that’s just a small sample from today.

In other words, if your Charles Schwab financial adviser is telling you that he knows where the market is going, well, he is probably lying through his teeth.

That is why fundamental analysis becomes absolutely worthless in a complex market environment we are experiencing today. And even though both bulls and bears might eventually be right, it is the sequence of events that will determine what the market will do next. A better approach is needed.

A TIMING approach.  I have been publishing the chart below over the last few weeks with the following explanation.

We remain in a very complex market environment. Here is the chart I presented to you almost two weeks ago. Suggesting at the time that the market will remain within a certain trading range until the structure below (sphere) completes itself on a certain date and price. When it does, a powerful directional move will start. If you would like to find out when that PRICE/TIME arrives (to the day) and where the market will push next, please Click Here. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 22th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Market Confusion Index Hits An All Time High Google

2/18/2016 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 41 points (-0.26%) and the Nasdaq down 46 points (-1.03%)

Here is something that I haven’t seen anyone cover. Basically, every FED Chairman since Paul Volcker, and to a certain extent before, has been baptized by fire of a large scale market sell-off. Let me give you an example.

• Paul  (The Iron Will) Volcker: Took office in August of 1979. Last down leg of a 1966-1982 bear market started in April of 1981. Baptized by fire 1.5 years into his tenure.
• Alan (The Master Printer) Greenspan: Took office in August of 1987. Baptized by fire just two months later, when the crash of 1987 took place.
• Ben (The Savior) Bernanke: Took office in February of 2006. The 2007-2009 bear leg started in October of 2007. Baptized by fire 1.75 years into his tenure.
• Janet (Everything is Peachy) Yellen: Took office in February of 2014. Now exactly two years into her tenure.

I am sorry to tell you this Ms.Yellen, but if the trend above holds true, you are about to get creamed along with every other bull out there.

Not only that, it appears that Ms. Yellen’s test might have actually started last year and right on schedule (1.5 years into her tenure).

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 18th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Is Janet Yellen Being Tested?  Google

2/17/2016 – Another positive day with the Dow Jones up 257 points (+1.59%) and the Nasdaq up 98 points (+2.21%)

What a difference a few trading days make. Last Wednesday, or right before an important bottom, I wrote the following. Financial Media Predicts Armageddon – Time To Go Long?

Open any financial media outlet and you will be hard pressed to find anything positive. So much so that quite a few prominent market “pundits” are calling for an outright financial Armageddon. Soup lines in tow.

Today, bottom callers are once again out in force. For instance, Cramer: Bullish signals to spot a raging buy  Although, even though the market is now overbought, the sentiment is not as bullish as it was at the end of December or right before the most recent market collapse.

What does all of that mean? 

We remain in a very complex market environment. Here is the chart I presented to you almost two weeks ago. Suggesting at the time that the market will remain within a certain trading range until the structure below (sphere) completes itself on a certain date and price. When it does, a powerful directional move will start. If you would like to find out when that PRICE/TIME arrives (to the day) and where the market will push next, please Click Here. 

Now, here is a very good technical take on today’s market. I would have to agree with most things Mr.Griffiths talks about.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 17th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

What You Ought To Know About “Buying The Dip” Here  Google

2/1/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 17 points (-0.10%) and the Nasdaq up 6 points (+0.14%) 

The Dow is up a miserly 1,000 points since its bottom on January 20th,  but all sorts of bottom calling creatures are out in force. For instance….

• Bear Market? I See a Bull Market for the Next 15-20 Years
• Selling stampede ended last week: Saut
• Has the most reliable U.S. recession predictor lost its value?

“If China suffers a hard landing — we don’t expect that — but if it does, it will impact other emerging markets,” he said. “And when you look at other emerging markets, along with China, that can spill over not only to the United States, but to the rest of the global economy.For that reason, Chan puts the chances of a U.S. recession at roughly 25 percent.

I am just curious about where they were when I was calling and/or looking for a bottom….Should Investors Be Panicking Right About Now? (published on January 20th)

I am literally dumbfounded by how blind or how much in denial these people are. I predicted this recession two years ago. It is a simple matter of QE, interest rates and credit velocity. As soon as it is withdrawn, even at the margins, this Ponzi economy perpetuated by easy credit will collapse. It as simple as that.

Further, let me ask you a few simple questions. If the US Economy is doing so well, why has the Baltic Dry Index collapsed? Hitting its historic lows daily now. Why is the yield curve is as flat as a pancake and nearing inversion? Why has oil collapsed? Why was forward earnings guidance down 2% (biggest adjustment down since 2008) in Q-3?

Are we expected to believe that this is a mid-cycle slowdown? If so, please enlighten me, just what will propel us forward?

But here is the scariest part of all. The stock market hasn’t yet reacted to any of the above and/or readjusted. As I have mentioned at least a thousand times by now, the market is sitting at the 4th highest valuation level in history. According to Shiller’s Adjusted S&P P/E Ration. Right behind 1929, 2000 and 2007 tops.

And it shouldn’t take a genius to figure out what happens next. In fact, a proper investment allocation here should be as easy as it would be for Bernie Madoff to steal girl scout cookies on a Sunday afternoon.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. February 1st, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Bottom Callers Are Out In Force – Bearish? Google