Tag: daily update

A substantial down day with the Dow Jones down 161 points (-0.94%) and the Nasdaq down 62 points (-1.41%) 

The stock market continues to behave exactly as anticipated or as per our internal forecasts.

People often ask me how I am able to identify financial bubbles. Well, it is fairly easy. Outside of using my highly advanced mathematical and timing work, here is what you have to do. First, watch for insane valuation levels and a run away euphoric market. Just as we have today. Then, pay attention to what kind of nonsense the financial media is peddling. Case and point….

• Fed hawks: Start draining the punch bowl!
• Forget buy low and sell high in this “everything boom” economy

So, let me get this straight. The only responsible members at the FED are called “Party Poopers” and the best investment strategy going forward is to “Buy Everything”. Well, my friends, that’s how you know you are in a massive financial bubble that is about to implode. The only thing that confuses me is this. How can the majority be so stupid when this exact thing had occurred at 2000 and 2007 tops. I guess some people will never learn.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Did People Forget To “Buy Everything Today”. Outrageous.  Google

An up day with the Dow Jones up 77 points (+0.22%) and the Nasdaq up 9 points (+0.25%). 

The Dow opened up a 50 point gap in the morning as it continues to climb higher (exactly as per our internal forecast). That is in addition to a large 100 point gap from Monday. Suggesting an upcoming correction.

The amount of stupidity out there is truly mind numbing. Last week, it was the forecast that the Dow will hit 20,000 and even 30,000 by the end of the year. Yesterday, most financial commentators jumped on a perpetual bear bandwagon to declare that the market is about to crash. Today? Well, today, Google will apparently hit a $1 Trillion valuation within the next 10 years. With Facebook’s valuation not that far behind.  Any reasonable valuation metrics should not apply.

Google has the potential to hit a trillion-dollar market cap in the next 10 years, according to one technology investing leader.Jim Breyer, founder and CEO at Breyer Capital and a partner in Accel Partners, expects the search engine giant to join Facebook in gobbling up smaller companies and continuing to grow rapidly. The environment we’re in now is probably the most interesting seismic change relative to the new companies that will be Internet leaders.

You know what, just f$%* this. Most people will never learn. I am really looking forward to this market developing as per my internal forecast. It will be fun watching people scramble as the market gets decimated in a matter of a few short days/weeks. Trust me, there is nothing better than watching CNBC talking heads trying to explain a 1,000 point drop on the Dow as my profits skyrocket. If you would like to learn when, well, qualify for my premium service.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 16th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Google’s Valuation Is Heading To Gazillion Dollars Google

A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 111 points (+0.66%) and the Nasdaq up 25 points (+0.56%).

The Dow opened up a large 100 point down gap in the morning. Suggesting an eventual short-term correction. On a positive note, the stock market continues to perform as per our exact internal forecasts.   In terms of the overall market…..

• Massive Stock Market Overvaluation…….Check
• Compressing Yield Curve….Check
• VIX At Or Near All Time Low…...Check
• Dow 20K, 25K and 30K Predictions…….Check 
• And Now…..Massive Retail Buying…..Check 

If it wasn’t so sad, I would laugh. As the chart above indicates retail investors are falling all over each other, buying stocks at the top of the market and hoping for the best. Just as they did in 1929, in 1937, in 1966, in 1987, in 2000 and in 2007. Right into what will be a massive collapse. I guess some people will never learn.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 14th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Monkeys See Monkeys Do. Retail Investors About To Lose Everything….Again.  Google

A down day with the Dow Jones down 70 points (-0.42%) and the Nasdaq down 23 points (-0.52%).

The stock market continues to perform exactly as per our internal forecasts. The market opened with a huge 150 point down gap, only to recover most of the drop by the end of the day. Confusing the Bejusus out of both the bulls and the bears in the process. Not us. 

In the meantime, Marc Faber continues to hit at the market, predicting a massive and a fast moving correction. And while CNBC Talking Head Fools suggested that Marc is no longer credible, Mr. Faber does have a good point. He compared today’s market to Brazil Vs. Germany game, where most networks had to repeat and assure their audiences that the score at half time was really 5:0. Something so unimaginable that NO ONE in the world thought that it would be possible.

Marc suggests, and I tend to agree, that one day soon you will have double and triple check your stock tape. In other words, in the very near future the market will shave off 20%+ off today’s valuation levels in a matter of days. And that will be just the start. Point being, don’t find yourself cheering for a losing team.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 10th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. July 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

An up day with the Dow Jones up 79 points (+0.47%) and the Nasdaq up 27 points (+0.63%) 

 Quite an interesting day, full of contradictions. 

• Yield Curve Continues To Flatten (Just as I have been predicting here since last year)
• Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst
• QE to end in October, FED Fears Investors Are Too Complacent 

So, let me get this straight. The yield curve is flattening, the FED is tightening and even Janet Yellen now thinks that the market is out of sync with reality. Yet, the market keeps going higher (developing as per our internal forecasts). Yet, you have fools predicting the DOW 20,000 by the end of the year. I think the most accurate representation of today’s market environment would be imagining a lit fuse disappearing into a 40ft container load full of TNT.

I have said it before and I will say it again. As the market continues to be stuck in a very tight trading range (since the beginning of this year), it continues to accumulate energy. When this energy is finally released, there will be hell to pay. Literally. In other words, investors who ignore this warning will pay dearly, just as they did in 2007.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 9th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. July 8th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another down day with the Dow Jones down 118 points (-0.69%) and the Nasdaq down 60 points (-1.35%) 

The stock market continues to develop as per our exact forecasts. Click Here  If you follow traditional financial media, you head should be spinning right about now. Where they have tried to explain last week’s rally with proposed/anticipated double digit earnings growth and baked in Dow 20,000, this week’s sell off is attributed to Concern Over ‘Severe’ Pullback Sends U.S. Stocks Lower  So, which one is it?   One thing is for sure, trying to explain any sort of market action after the fact is a fools game.

Luckily for you, I don’t play that game. Simply put, the stock market is in the process of building a complex top before a massive bear market begins. In the meantime, the market will continue to oscillate up and down, without as much as going anywhere and driving everyone insane. When will this sideways market end? When will the market top out and when will the bear market start? While I wish I could post this information here, I cannot.

I can tell you one thing. Getting out at the top in 2014 would be equivalent to getting out at the top in 1987, 2000, 2007, etc…

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 8th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. July 8th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A down down day with the Dow Jones down 44 points (-0.26%) and the Nasdaq down 34 points (-0.77%) 

The stock market continues to develop exactly as forecasted (member section). With most markets opening up a large gap down in the morning, the chances are high that the market will push higher over the next few trading days to close today’s gap.

Yet, the fundamental valuation issue persists. The fact the overall stock market is in a massive bubble and the fact that riskiest junk (stock or bonds) is surging ever higher in price. The riskier it is, the better it does as all rational thinking has long been dismissed. Case and point, King Digital Entertainment (KING).  

After its failed IPO, the shares of Candy Crush maker is up 35% over the last two weeks. So, let’s get this straight. The company has ONE hit game that is already declining in popularity, $6.6 BILLION market cap and a big plan to take over the world. Perhaps the same fools who are predicting the Dow 20,000 by the end of the year are the ones buying KING shares.

At the same time this shouldn’t come as a surprise. This is indicative of market tops.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 7th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. July 7th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 92 points (+0.54%) and the Nasdaq up 28 points (+0.63%). 

Break out your party hats everyone. The Dow broke above 17,000 (as was predicted in our member section).  And according to some bulls this is an important level. It indicates that the bull market is very well intact and that the stock market is going higher. As accurate as that might be, suggesting that the stock market will go higher here just because it broke above 17,000 is like driving 100 MPH while looking in a rear view mirror. It’s not going to end well.

Further, most markets opened up a large gap up in the morning. That is in addition to a large gap on Tuesday of this week, leading all the way down to 16,925.  What does that mean?  It is highly probable the market will go down over the next few days/weeks to close these gaps before further longer term moves become evident. Longer-term, the market remains at insane valuation/speculation levels. With VIX fast approaching all time lows (it hit its February 2007 low today), the market is setting up for a large drop. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 3rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. July 3rd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 20 points (+0.12%) and the Nasdaq down 1 points (-0.02%).

While the market continues to put most traders/investors into a deep state of trance, the chart above should give them a swift kick in the ass. At least in theory.  Among other things, it clearly shows that forward P/E for the S&P is now officially higher than it was back in 2007. And while some will stop there, I will not.

You see, the E in P/E has been massively diluted over the last 5 years by the FED, massive capital infusion, QE, etc….Creating “fake or pay it forward” earnings for all of the corporate America.  So much so that if we make make certain adjustments and take that monstrous/artificial liquidity out, the real P/E is likely to be above 40. Making today’s market incredibly overpriced. This is exactly what happened in 2008 when corporate earnings collapsed and the S&P P/E ratio briefly jumped over 100.

So, – 49%, -57% and -??% to complete our 2000-2017 secular bear market.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. July 2nd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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