Tag: daily update

An up day with the Dow Jones up 40 points (+0.24%) and the Nasdaq up 13 points (+0.30%).

MarketWatch had a fairly good article 3 reasons why the Dow doesn’t deserve to be at 17,000. Here is a quick summary of the reasons why…..

• No one is really buying.
• Corporate earnings are flat.
• There are no alternative investments.

I can come up with 100 more just off the top of my head, but fair enough. They are, of course, absolutely right. As I have mention so many times before the market has disconnected from any sort of fundamental reality quite a while ago. It is in a massive speculative bubble (thanks for the FED liquidity party) and it WILL come crashing down to earth. Make no mistake about it. The only question is…..WHEN? 

Well, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 13th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 13th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

A substantial down day with the Dow Jones down 109 points (-0.65%) and the Nasdaq down 34 points (-0.79%). 

The Dow started the day with a small gap. That is in addition to a large gap on June 11. Both will have to be closed before any sustained downside can develop. Suggesting an upcoming bounce.

Buy the dip mentality continues to be well entrenched as most market pundits continue to suggest that investor use this slide as a buying opportunity. Given today’s technical setup/trend I would agree with them on most occasions……but not today. Buying at today’s levels will lead to a lot of pain and suffering for anyone who dares to do just that. It might not be tomorrow, but rest assured that it’s coming soon.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 12th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 12th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A down day with the Dow Jones down 102 points (-0.60%) and the Nasdaq down 6 points (-0.14%) 

Most indices opened up with a gap down, suggesting a near term bounce. With that said, don’t get too complacent here. The massive bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. Make no mistake about it.

I keep hearing two lines of thought. One suggesting that this bull market is in a dangerous territory” followed by a big BUT “there are just too many bears out there”.

Well, I think it dangerous to suggest that the market is in a “dangerous territory”. A more accurate description would be comparing today’s stock market and valuation levels to a “40ft container full of TNT with a lit fuse disappearing inside of it”.

In terms of “too many bears” the chart below speaks for itself. Most bears have been squeezed to death as the fear/bearish index falls below 2007/2000 levels. I wonder what happens next?

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 11th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 11th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A slight up day with the Dow Jones up 3 points (0.02%) and the Nasdaq up 2 points (0.04%).

Since it is more exciting to watch the paint dry than it is to watch today’s market, allow me to re-examine the 5-Year Cycle and what it predicts.

As I have mentioned so many times before, there is a prominent 5 Year stock market cycle that oscillates between the bull and the bear markets. While the cycle does show up as a bear cycle at various points, for the most part this cycle is more clearly identifiable during the bull stage. Let’s take a quick look. More importantly, let’s see what does this cycle can tell us about the future. (We are looking at the DOW)

1. 1982-1987 From 1982 bear market bottom to pre crash 1987 the cycle lasted exactly 263 week and moved up 1977 points. That is exactly 5 Years + 10 trading days.
2. 1994-2000 From 1994 bottom on 11/23/1994 to 01/14/2000 the market advanced 8296 points in exactly 1298 trading days. So, this cycle lasted 5 Years +32 trading days.
3. 2002-2007 From 2002 bottom  on 10/10/2002 to 10/11/2007 top the market advanced 7209 points in exactly 1259 trading days or EXACTLY 5 years.
4. 2009-2014  From 2009 bottom on 03/06/2009 to 2014.

AMAZING, isn’t it? I mean we are talking about exact hits. Bottom to top. If you go back and study the market before 1982 you will find the same cycle showing up again and again. The slight deviation by a few trading days at the end of each cycle is caused by other cycles arriving around the same time. Just by knowing this one 5 year cycle you can predict what the market will do and beat 95% of the pros.

Now, let me warn you. This cycle is not as easy as just timing the 5 year period of time. There is something behind the scenes that causes this cycle to happen. As of right now, I cannot discuss what causes this in the public forum, but the chart below doesn’t lie. Just more proof that the market can be predicted to the day.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 10th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

A slight up day with the Dow Jones up 19 points (+0.11%) and the Nasdaq up 15 points (+0.34%).

I can’t even count how many times I was told that “It is different this time” by the bulls. And that’s just over the weekend. Every possible explanation was given. From the FED being able to control the markets to stocks being inexpensive to Jesus Christ coming back later this year (I wish I was kidding).

In reality, it is never different.  Unfortunately, most investors don’t have a sense of memory. With the stock market doing exactly the same thing today as it was doing at 2000 and 2007 tops, there will be no one to blame. In other words, I will enjoy gutting this market on the short side (when the time is right) and I will show no mercy.  

This chart is just another “In Your Face” warning sign that you should pay a very close attention to.  The bullish sentiment is now above 2007 top levels.  

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 9th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 9th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 87 points (+0.52%) and the Nasdaq up 25 points (0.59%).

The market continues to push higher while the VIX (volatility/fear index) collapsed bellow 11, pushing some of the lowest levels ever recorded. As I write this, it is about 4% away from its 2007 low. We all know what happened thereafter.

On the flip side, Uber Technologies Inc (a money losing company) just completed a Venture Capital round at $17 Billion valuation. Yes, you have read it right. A company with no net income and a “Big Sparkly Dream” of being the “Next of Something” is worth more than Hertz Global Holdings Inc, Best Buy Co, Alcoa or another 250 companies on the S&P 500 index. 

If this doesn’t SCREAM out “Market Top” or show you how out of touch with reality today’s valuation levels are, I am not sure what will. Certainly, a multitude of Wall Street analyst and talking heads are standing by to proclaim that it is “different this time”. Yet, if you value your money you wouldn’t buy it for a second.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 5th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 6th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 98 points (+0.59%) and the Nasdaq up 44 points (1.05%). 

As the chart above illustrates, the stock market has ZERO fear as all of the bears have been taken out to Siberian Taiga and shot dead. In other words, this is as good as it gets for the bull market. Just as it was back in 2007.

I have long argued that the stock market has by now disconnected from any sort of reasonable fundamental valuation levels (due to massive FED stimulus) and is now in a bubble territory. Despite strong technical indicators and trends, investors must be very careful here. 

Just as the reminder……. most bull markets do not last longer than five years, we remain in a secular bear market that started in 2000 and will terminate in 2017, the valuation levels are outright crazy (I can’t find any value), the FED is tightening, fear levels/indicators hitting all time lows, etc…..  The bottom line is, and as stupid as it sounds, the market is climbing higher for the sake of climbing higher.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 5th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 5th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

An up day with the Dow Jones up 15 points (+0.09%) and the Nasdaq up 18 points (+0.41%). 

Since the market continues to flat line, let’s take a quick look at index divergences and their meaning. While most major indices are up for the year (S&P +4.3%, Nasdaq +1.8%, Dow +0.9%), this doesn’t tell the whole story.

While the S&P and the Dow have re-confirmed their bullish trends, the Nasdaq has failed to do so. Just a matter of time? Maybe or maybe the Nasdaq is the leading indicator in this bearish setup. As I have mentioned a few days ago, the Nasdaq is likely in a process of building the right shoulder of a fairly large Head-And-Shoulders trading pattern. Making the Nasdaq the most important index to watch over the next few months. Assuming that you would like to get it right.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 4th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 4th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

A slight down day with the Dow Jones down 21 points (-0.13%) and the Nasdaq down 3 points (-0.07%).

If the stock market was a patient it would be pronounced dead already. Did someone shut down Wall Street or has everyone left for the Hamptons already?

In all seriousness and as I have mentioned before, the market continues to accumulate energy. Like a spring. This is a very dangerous period. Typically, periods of inactivity are followed by periods of immense activity, catching most traders/investors with their pants down. Based on my mathematical work, it is likely to be the case here.

In other words, when this period of inactivity ends the stock market will stage either a massive rally or a “mini-crash” kind of a move. If you would be interested in learning which way it will break and when, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. June 3rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. June 3rd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google