Tag: daily update

An up day with the Dow Jones up 65 points (+0.39%) and the the Nasdaq up 23 points (+0.54%). 

Secular bear markets typically end where they have started (ex: 1897-1914, 1929-1949, 1966-1982 and  2000-2017).  What’s interesting is that there is a perfect alternating bull/bear cycle that lasts 16-18 years going all the way back to May 17th of 1790 (first official day of trading in the US).

I am bringing this up because A LOT of people have assumed that a brand new secular bull market has started on March 6th, 2009. What they don’t realize is that we’ve never had a bear market last only 9 years. NEVER and it’s not going to happen now.  Plus, despite the “New Bull Market”, here is the reality from the 2000 top (14 years later)….

• DOW: +44% (2.65% annualized gain….should have bought bonds). 
• S&P: +38% (2.35% annualized gain….should have bought bonds). 
• NASDAQ: -16% (what gain?)

By the time the bear market of 2014-2017 completes itself, the green above will turn red. Proving, once again, that there is a beautiful internal mathematical structure to the market that cannot be altered.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 29th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 29th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A down day with the Dow Jones down 42 points (-0.25%) and the Nasdaq down -12 points (0.28%) 

I am looking at this market and I am at awe. Literally. And I am not even kidding you. My mouth is wide open in disbelief. Very rarely does the stock market present us with an opportunity to see so many divergences, so much speculation and so much animal instinct at any one time. I can only remember 2000 and 2007 tops display identical behavior.

It is literally like watching a lit fuse disappear into a container load of TNT.  

Perhaps nothing is screaming louder than the flattening yield curve, collapsing interest rates and it’s massive divergence with the stock market.  The 10-Year Note is at 2.43% and down 3.2% today alone. The chart above (courtesy of ZeroHedge) speaks for itself. Basically, either the stock market is about to implode or the bond market (considered by many to be more intelligent) has lost its mind.

Now, a lot of investors are betting that the bond market has gone nuts as they continue speculating in the stock market on margin (highest margin level since 2000). Who is right here? Will the market surge to set a blow off top or will it collapse. I think we are about to find out.

From my vantage point and based on my mathematical/timing work, the answer is undeniable. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 63 points (0.38%) and the Nasdaq up 31 points (0.76%). 

The market continues to grind higher while stuck in a tight trading range. Even the Nasdaq has reversed it’s short-term downtrend as most “High Flyers” staged a massive week long 5% rally.

If you have ever wondered what the market top feels and looks like, wonder no more. Just take a look at today’s stock market.

Let’s see….. VIX slammed to a multi year low, yield curve compression continues, stock are rallying on low volume indicative of a short squeeze, massive amount of complacency, extreme valuation levels(hidden), FED induced credit bubble, 5-Year bull cycle is over  and a multitude of divergences.

Did I miss anything? 

I am sure I have. Point being, the market is either climbing the wall of worry or it is set for a massive blow up. I will let you decided which option plays out.

From my vantage point and based on my mathematical/timing work, the answer is undeniable. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 23rd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

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Another up day with the Dow Jones up 10 points (0.06%) and the Nasday up 22 points (0.55%). 

The stock market continues to oscillate within a very tight trading range. Driving both bulls and bear up the wall.

Short Interest S&P Chart below (courtesy of ZeroHedge) gives us yet another perspective on today’s market. While most market practitioners believe large short interest in the market will eventually lead to a strong rally (aka short squeeze), quite the opposite is true.

As the chart below shows, instead of causing rallies, “smart” short interest established at the right time eventually breaks the market. Today’s short position on the S&P is more or less where it was at 2007 top. Suggesting that the market might be ready to break, just as it did back than.

The real question is, are the short-sellers (typically more intelligent or better researched investors) right or wrong this time? Will the market break or will we see a massive short squeeze?  Something tells me we are about to find out. 

Longer term, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

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A big up day with the Dow Jones up 158 points (0.97%) and the Nasdaq up 34 points (0.85%). 

The market continues to be stuck in a very tight trading range.

The good news? With the FOMC minutes failing to impress or add anything new, the stock market rallied on low volume while slamming VIX to a 9-month low of 11.91.

The bad news? Kind of the same. The market left a huge gap up in the morning (suggesting upcoming downside), while short squeezing the market up on low volume. Plus, with VIX pushing levels unseen since before the 2007-2009 financial crisis, the amount of risk in our financial system is immense.

It certainly feels as if something is about to break and a powerful move (either up or down) is just around the corner.  

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

A strong down day with the Dow Jones down 138 points (-0.83%) and the Nasdaq down 29 points (-0.70%)

Despite today’s sell off the market remains within its tight trading range. Yet, today’s sell off and other seasonal factors should raise a number of red flags. For instance, the market is fast approaching its important short-term support at 16,300. Once broken, it might present us with the ominous sign of what is to come for the overall market.

Plus, the now famous saying “Sell In May And Go Away” didn’t just appear out of thin air. There is a certain cyclical composition within the stock market structure that sets it off in May of each year. (Hint….find out when the market first started trading).

With that said, the market left a number of gaps to the upside since starting it’s decline on May 13th. Suggesting an upcoming rally. Which side (bull or bear) will prevail over the next few weeks? That in itself is not very relevant. What is relevant is that a vicious bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.

This is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 20th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

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An up day with the Dow Jones up points 20 points (+0.13%) and the Nasdaq up 35 points (+0.86%).

The stock market continues to trade within a very tight range. Accumulating energy for what is to come next. I have beaten this dead horse here for over 3 weeks now, so don’t be caught with your pants down once the market decides to wake up.

The video below is another good way to look at the stock market today (take a look). As I have mentioned here before the divergence between the market and the 10-Year Note continues to widen. Which market is right? My money is on the bond market. 

 

All of this is further confirmed by my mathematical and timing work. Again, my work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 19th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

An up day with the Dow Jones up 44 points (+0.27%) and the Nasdaq up 21 points (+0.52%). 

As I have indicated in my previous posts, the bear market of 2014-2017 will drive everyone up the wall. It will be a very difficult market where both bulls and bears will lose a lot of their money. Looking at its internal (upcoming) composition, most investors will be fooled. In fact, I continue to believe that the only people who will be able to walk away with any meaningful gains at all, will be the market timers and/or exceptional traders.

What you are witnessing today is just the start. As frustrating as it might be, the market continues to accumulate energy. Winding up its internal spring and getting ready for a fast and powerful move. When the move finally comes, as always, most investors will be caught with their pants down.

Don’t be like the rest.

Again, the stock market loves doing this. It loves putting traders/investors (both bulls and bears) to sleep before ripping their heads off in a very violent fashion. The market has been winding this spring up since December 31st, 2013. An extremely powerful and violent move is just around the corner. Consider this as your wake up call.    

Will this move be the blow off top or the beginning of a bear market? Our mathematical and timing work provides a clear answer. If you would be interested in learning exactly when this move will occur and in which direction, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 16th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

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Another substantial down day with the Dow Jones down 167 points (-1.01%) and the Nasdaq down 31 points (-0.76%). 

While most headlines proclaimed an all time high for the Dow just a few days ago, YTD the Dow is already down 130 points (-0.80%). And it only took two days.

Further, while bullish sentiment remains at somewhat extreme levels, market fundamentals and internals continue to deteriorate. Suggesting that quite a powerful move might be just around the corner.

As I suggested in yesterday’s update, the direction of such a move is critical. It will either break the market and give us an early warning sign that something is seriously wrong within the US Economy -OR- it will surge higher to prove most market pundits right.

Which way will the cookie crumble? 

Well, my mathematical and timing work clearly shows that the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 15th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

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A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 20 points (0.12%) and the Nasdaq down 14 points (-0.33%). 

Let me ask you a question. When you look at the chart above, what represents the X and Y axis? Duhhhh, price and time. Exactly. And with 99.9% of Wall Street analysis concentrating strictly on the “price” part of the equation, let me ask you……

WHAT IS TIME & HOW CAN IT BE USED TO PREDICT THE MARKET? 

I know it is a deep question. There are libraries full of philosophy and physics books that define time in a million different ways.

For our purpose, we have to ask a question. Is time linear or is it cyclical?

The stock market chart identifies time as linear (from past to present to future), yet if you begin to actually study what time is you will very soon come to a conclusion that time is anything but linear.  Nature is not linear. Everything in nature is cyclical. It might look linear to an untrained eye, but once you look under the hood, the situation is completely different.

For example, you are born, you grow up, you live, you grow old, you die. The cycle is now complete.

Same thing is with time. Time does not flow at a constant rate nor does it flow in one direction. Time vibrates and cycles at its own speed and rate of vibration.

Before I get in too deep let me restate it from a much simpler perspective as it applies to the stock market or individual stocks.

Because time is cyclical (not linear) and has its own rate of vibration as it applies to the stock market or individual stocks, that rate of vibration can be determined and as such be used to  identify precisely WHEN any given stock or the overall market will move in any given direction.

Yes, you have heard it right, my mathematical and timing work clearly indicates that the stock market can be predicted and timed to within daily resolution. Due to this, out sized returns can be achieved.

For instance, let’s take a look at today. This same mathematical and timing work clearly shows that the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 13th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!