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Daily Stock Market Update. May 12th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 12 2014

A substantial up day with the Dow Jones up 112 points (+0.68%) and the Nasdaq up 72 points (+1.77%)

How do you spell Short Squeeeezzzeeeee? In essence, that is exactly what we saw today. While most market pundits will argue that the bull market is back on, I do not share in their optimism. First, very few of the Dow stocks are participating in this rally. Second, there are so many different divergences in most markets that there is no clear sign of anything. Finally, even though the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 had a massive two day rally, they remain in a clearly defined bearish trend.   As do most of the leading high spec stocks.

More importantly, all markets opened up a large gap up in the morning. As you know from my earlier updates markets tend to close all gaps before resuming their directional moves. Not always, but 95% of the time is a good measure. With a large gap up today and a number of gaps going all the way down to 15,400, it’s just a matter of time before the Dow reverses and heads lower.

That is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows that the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. May 12th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 9th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 9 2014

A slight up day with the Dow Jones up 32 points (0.20%) and the Nasdaq up 20 points (+0.50%).

Today, let’s talk about one of the most dangerous times within the stock market internal composition. Contrary to a popular believe, most powerful moves do not happen as blow off tops/bottoms, they tend to materialize after a prolonged period of inactivity. From a mathematical/physics perspective, it is similar to compressing a powerful spring and then letting it go. As you can imagine, such action releases a massive amount of pent up energy in one quick snap. The 1987 market crash is a perfect illustration of that.

If you haven’t noticed, the stock market has flat lined over the short-term since April 22nd and over the long-term since December 31st, 2013. At this juncture most investors/traders are bored out of their minds and fast asleep.

This is the most dangerous time as WARNING signs should be flashing all over the place. The stage is being set. Remember, it’s the market’s job to create such an environment and put everyone to sleep…….before slamming you out of your nap in a violent fashion.

This sort of thinking tends to be in agreement with our mathematical and timing work. Once again, it shows that a severe bear market of  2014-2017 is just around the corner.When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 9th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Daily Stock Market Update. May 8th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 8 2014 - nasdaq

Another mixed day with the Dow Jones up 32 points (+0.20%) and the Nasdaq down 16 points (-0.40%). 

While the Dow has been, more or less, stuck in a trading range since the beginning of the year, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 have a clearly defined short-term bearish trend associated with them. Further, both indices are approaching their respective and important support levels. If broken, it would be a clear warning sign for the overall market.

With multiple undercurrents traversing the market, which index presents us with a better preview of what is to come for the overall market and the US Economy as a whole ……. the Dow or the Nasdaq?

It depends on the market environment we are in. In this particular case I believe the Nasdaq will be our leading indicator due to its overall level of overvaluation, speculation and recent market action.

This is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work, showing that a severe bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 8th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Daily Stock Market Update. May 7th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 7 2014

A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 118 points (+0.72%) and the Nasdaq down 13 points (-0.32%). 

The stock market was as neurotic as Janet Yellen’s testimony earlier today. Divergence and volatility was the name of the game. A large gap in the morning, followed by a 120 point decline, followed by a 160 point rally (in an attempt to close yesterday’s gap), etc….and that’s just for the Dow. VIX down, Nasdaq down, most of the high flying tech stocks slammed once again, S&P up and Russell 2000 almost breaking an important support levels.

There was enough divergence and confusion to cause even the best market practitioners to throw their hands up in the air while yelling out a number of obscenities.

Not us. Today, I would like to bring your attention to VIX. Even though various markets and/or sectors exhibit serious signs of strain, VIX is scraping the bottom of it’s two year trading range. In a nutshell, there is absolutely NO fear in the market. Should there be? Given today’s fundamental overvaluation levels, divergences, speculation and outright tightening…….we believe so.

Once again, based on our mathematical and timing work the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 7th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Daily Stock Market Update. May 6th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 6 2014

A down day with the Dow Jones down 129 points (-0.78%) and the Nasdaq down 57 points (-1.38%).  

Is “Sell In May & Go Away” starting to play out already? While it’s too soon to tell, here is one thing that might keep you up at night. The Dow might be in process of completing the right shoulder of a textbook “Head and Shoulders” trading pattern. With the Dow being unable to set a new high in it’s recent rally, April 4th remains the top of the “Head”.

Should the Dow accelerate to the downside and break below 16,000, it would signal the completion of a pattern and trend reversal. More importantly, it would give us an ominous sign that the bull market that started in 2009 might be over.  No doubt a complex setup. Yet, if you look at the subject matter from a timing perspective, things tend to clear up.

Once again, based on our mathematical and timing work the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 6th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Daily Stock Market Update. May 5th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 5 2014

An up day with the Dow Jones up 17 points (+0.11%) and the Nasdaq up 14 points (+0.34%).

I continue to be amazed how/why the majority of market participants relate fundamental economic growth to the future of stock market performance. Case and point……

Investors would be best served by not selling in May, according to Morganlander. “I would say that would be bad advice,” Morganlander said. “You’re starting to see a string of good economic numbers. In fact, I believe that over the coming couple of months, you’re going to start to see the housing market click in as well. That’s going to bode well for the overall markets. You just need to get through this geopolitical concern.”

Such thinking is absolute garbage that has no place in the real world (assuming that you like making money and not losing it). To prove my point, allow me to take you back to October 11th, 2007.  The GDP growth was 4.9%, full employment, the stock market was on fire and while the real estate market was showing signs of a roll over, it wasn’t that bad. In a nutshell, economic future looked as bright as it could be.

Yet, the stock market topped out on October 11, (exactly 5 years and 1 trading day from its 2002 bottom) and then proceeded to decline. Slow at first, picking up speed mid cycle and subsequently destroying everything and everyone. There was no fundamental catalyst. Was it possible to predict? I did, but if you were looking at the market from a fundamental perspective you would have never seen it coming.

This is the perfect example why its the stock market that drives the economy and not the other way around. Which brings us to today. Based on our mathematical and timing work the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.

When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 5th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Daily Stock Market Update. May 2nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart May 2 2014

A down day with the Dow Jones down 46 points (-0.28%) and the Nasdaq down 4 points (-0.09%). 

The market has, more or less, flat lined since it’s bounce rally termination point on April 22nd. Over the last 10 trading days the Dow barely moved in net terms, putting most investors and traders into the state of sleep (my subscribers knew of this likely development since April 24).

As I insinuated here before, low energy/flat markets/ low volume/no volatility periods are often followed by powerful and high velocity moves. Remember, it’s the market’s job to bore you to death and put you into a comfortable state of sleep before surging higher or slamming the market lower.  In fact, 1987 crash is a perfect case study of such a time.

While I am not suggesting that we will have a 1987 style crash here, I am suggesting that you should be very alert here. Based on our mathematical and timing work the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.

When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Daily Stock Market Update. May 2nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

Stock Market Update. April 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 21 2014

A positive day with the Dow Jones up 41 points (0.25%) and the Nasdaq up 26 points (0.64%). 

With today’s close being just a few points away from Wednesday, April 16th close, the DOW is flat lining. This is indicative of either a pause in a rally or a slow roll over into the next bear leg. Yet, what the market does on the day-to-day basis is somewhat irrelevant. What you have to ask yourself is where we are in the overall cyclical composition of the stock market. If you study the stock market all the way back to May of 1790 (when it first started trading) you would eventually come to a realization that the bear market that started on January 14th, 2000 is NOT technically over. You would also realize that most bear markets end with a severe 2-3 year down markets. (Ex: 1912-1914, 1946-1949 and 1980-1982).

This is further confirmed by our mathematical/timing work and it’s application to the current bear market. Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 21st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Stock Market Update, April 14th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart Feb 14, 2014

An up day with the Dow Jones up 146 points (+0.91%) and the Nasdaq up 23 points (+0.57%). 

Out of all the major indices, only the DOW didn’t close it’s morning gap, suggesting further downside at some point in the future. Otherwise, the markets continue to perform as anticipated. This is what we have told our subscribers over the weekend….

Case For A Strong Bounce: On Friday, the Dow bottomed dead on one of our mathematical points of force. It’s not a particularly strong point of force, but it would work for a short-term bounce. Further, on Friday the Dow bottomed at a fairly strong resistance point located at around 16,000-16,050. Further, on Friday the Nasdaq bottomed at its February 5th intermediary low, without being able to break it. Finally, most indices are oversold and are due for some sort of a bounce. XXXX….etc…. 

While most markets will continue to bounce around today’s levels over the next few days, their long term future is unmistakable. Based on our mathematical and timing work, the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here).

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Stock Market Update, March 14th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

Stock Market Update. April 11th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 11 2014

Another down day with the Dow Jones down 143 points (-0.89%) and the Nasdaq down 54 points (-1.34%) 

The amount of stupidity associate with the recent market decline continues to increase unabated. From Carl Icahn’s barber being excited about this stock market to most market pundits predicting an Earth shattering decline of 5-7% before an eventual bounce. While all of that is going on the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) is already down over 20% while the Nasdaq is down 8.2%. Yet, all of the above is irrelevant.  One must understand where we are in the cyclical and mathematical composition of the stock market. While I have tried my best to drill that information into investor consciousness, most of it falls on deaf ears. That is to be expected, I got the same reception in 2007.

To quickly summarize,  we are still in the secular bear market that started on January 14th, 2000. Based on our mathematical and timing work this bear market will complete itself in 2017. When it does, you will see most of the gains from 2009 bottom vanish into thin air. With the 5 year cycle (1994 -2000, 2002-2007 and 2009-2014) now complete you will see a bear market initiate within a relatively short period of time. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start(to the day) and it’s subsequent internal composition, please Click Here   

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 11th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google