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Facebook Shorts Should Thank Their Lucky Stars

Facebook Chart2

Let me tell you a quick story first. As most indices pushed to their respective all time highs in April and May of 2015, I was building a heavy short position. Most investors thought I was crazy. Even perma bears like Marc Faber were throwing in the towel at the time, suggesting the markets might never go down again due to the FED’s intervention.

At one point I got so excited that I published this Why Short Sellers Should Be Thanking GOD At least one of my readers didn’t have a sense of humor, sending me a few choice words in return.

Nevertheless, it was a great call. The higher the market pushed the better of an opportunity it was to short.

I feel the same way about the Facebook (FB) today. I continue to maintain that this is one of the best short opportunities out there. And the higher the stock goes…. the better. I have outlined my reasoning for shorting Facebook (FB) here What You Ought To Know About Shorting Facebook & Getting Rich

And with Thursday’s massive $10 gap higher, it’s nearly a certainty that Facebook will have to close this gap and push below $90 a share. Perhaps on the way to another massive gap it left behind. At $20 a share.

Now,  the only remaining question is WHEN? If you are long-term investor, willing to ride this short position out, anytime would be a good opportunity. If you want more exact timing, when the market completes today’s bounce and reverses again. If you would like to know when that happens, please Click Here. 

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Facebook Shorts Should Thank Their Lucky Stars Google

What You Ought To Know About Shorting Facebook & Getting Rich

Daily Chart AJanuary 8 InvestWithAlex1/8/2016 – Another down day with the Dow Jones down 168 points (-1.02%) and the Nasdaq down 46 points (-0.98%)

I have to admit something. I hate Facebook with passion. First, it is a cesspool of pointless narcissistic activity. Not for everyone, but the % is high enough. Now, I have learned a long time ago not to make “emotional” investment decision. That is why it warms my heart to see Facebook (FB) at such dizzying valuation levels.

Here is why I believe short sellers  should drool all over Facebook (FB)

Facebook FB - InvestWithAlex

When Twitter (TWTR) was selling at $48, I wrote this….Why Twitter (TWTR) Should Go On Your “Stocks To Short” List  Less than a year later it is trading 60% lower. With that in mind, I continue to maintain that the worst is yet to come for the company. By the time upcoming bear market ends, Twitter should be below $10.

With that in mind, I believe Facebook (FB) presents us with even a better shorting opportunity. In fact, I continue to believe that Facebook is one of the best shorts out there.

And while most investors today will laugh at me when I suggest that Facebook (FB) will see $20 a share over the next 3 years, I will laugh back when it does. I promise. Here is why……

  • As discussed over the last few days, Facebook is massively overpriced. At its $275 Billion market cap, the company is now worth more than GE. At 10th the revenue base and a P/E of 95. I guarantee you, investors in Facebook today will look back in 2-3 years and wonder “What the hell were we thinking?”.
  • I am beginning to notice quite a bit of fraudulent activity on Facebook when it comes to likes, promotions, paid advertising, etc… That is firsthand knowledge, but you can Google the same and do your own research. That suggests the Facebook is running out of growth and its multiple is not justified. By a long shot. I wrote about it here Why Facebook Remains An Amazing Short Opportunity
  • See those massive gaps all the way down to $20 a share? Yep, they will have to be closed at some point.
  • We are on a verge of a multi-year substantial bear market. Click Here. When such bear markets develop, if past is any history, such overvalued and over hyped stocks tend to lose 80-90% of their value. Just as the gaps above suggest. I don’t know why this time would be any different.
  • Short interest is low.

Finally, even at $20 a share, Facebook will be extremely overpriced. In other words, I just gave you a 80% gainer, but its up to you what you do with it. As always, TIMING is the key here.

Have a great weekend everyone.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.

(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update.January 8th, 2016  InvestWithAlex.com

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What You Ought To Know About Shorting Facebook & Getting Rich Google

Why Short Sellers Should Drool All Over Facebook

Facebook FB - InvestWithAlex

When Twitter (TWTR) was selling at $48, I wrote this….Why Twitter (TWTR) Should Go On Your “Stocks To Short” List  Less than 6 months later it is trading 35% lower. With that in mind, I continue to maintain that the worst is yet to come for the company. By the time upcoming bear market ends, Twitter should be below $10.

Now, here is why short sellers should drool all over Facebook.

And while I might eat crow for dinner tonight, this view is a longer-term one. Even if Facebook (FB) reports great earnings and jumps higher later on today, I continue to believe that Facebook is one of the best shorts out there. That is to say, if a jump does occur, use it as an opportunity to load up on the short side. That is, after upward pressure, if any, dissipates and the stock reverses.

While most investors today will laugh at me when I suggest that Facebook (FB) will see $20 a share over the next 3 years, I will laugh back when it does. I promise. Here is why……

  • As discussed over the last few days, Facebook is massively overpriced. At its $275 Billion market cap, the company is now worth more than GE. At 10th the revenue base and a P/E of 95. I guarantee you, investors in Facebook today will look back in 2-3 years and wonder “What the hell were we thinking”.
  • I am beginning to notice quite a bit of fraudulent activity on Facebook when it comes to likes, promotions, paid advertising, etc… That is firsthand knowledge, but you can Google the same and do your own research. That suggests the Facebook is running out of growth and its multiple is not justified. By a long shot.
  • See those massive gaps all the way down to $20 a share? Yep, they will have to be closed at some point.
  • We are on a verge of a multi-year substantial bear market. Click Here. When such bear markets develop, if past is any history, such overvalued and over hyped stocks tend to lose 80-90% of their value. Just as the gaps above suggest. I don’t know why this time would be any different.
  • Short interest is low.

Finally, even at $20 a share, Facebook will be extremely overpriced. In other words, I just gave you a 80% gainer, but its up to you what you do with it. As always, TIMING is the key here.

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Why Short Sellers Should Drool All Over Facebook Google

Facebook (FB) – The Best Short Out There?

Facebook FB - InvestWithAlex

If it is not the best, it should definately be on your radar screen. While most investors today will laugh at me when I suggest that Facebook (FB) will see $20 a share over the next 3 years, I will laugh back when it does. I promise. Here is why……

  • As discussed over the last few days, Facebook is massively overpriced. At its $275 Billion market cap, the company is now worth more than GE. At 10th the revenue base and a P/E of 95. I guarantee you, investors in Facebook today will look back in 2-3 years and wonder “What the hell were we thinking”.
  • I am beginning to notice quite a bit of fraudulent activity on Facebook when it comes to likes, promotions, paid advertising, etc… That is firsthand knowledge, but you can Google the same and do your own research. That suggests the Facebook is running out of growth and its multiple is not justified. By a long shot.
  • See those massive gaps all the way down to $20 a share? Yep, they will have to be closed at some point.
  • We are on a verge of a multi-year substantial bear market. Click Here. When such bear markets develop, if past is any history, such overvalued and over hyped stocks tend to lose 80-90% of their value. Just as the gaps above suggest. I don’t know why this time would be any different.
  • Short interest is low.

Finally, even at $20 a share, Facebook will be extremely overpriced. In other words, I just gave you a 80% gainer, but its up to you what you do with it. As always, TIMING is the key here.

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Facebook (FB) – The Best Short Out There? Google

Twitter (TWTR) Is Breaking Down. Is Social Media On Death’s Door?

The original post is from May 6th. Then there was this post from February, Why Twitter (TWTR) Should Go On Your “Stocks To Short” List, when Twitter was sitting at around $50 a share.

Since then, Twitter (TWTR) has clearly broken below wedge support. Suggesting that there is much more immediate downside ahead. Facebook (FB) is holding on, but barely so. When we combine all of the above with the fact that the overall stock market is in a massive bubble and overdue for a correction, it doesn’t look good. Well, unless you have a short position in both stocks.

Original Post: 

Let’s take a quick look at two charts. Facebook (FB) and Twitter (TWTR).This is rather simple. Fundamentaly speaking, both companies are massively overpriced.  Technically, Twitter is on the verge of breaking below a massive muti-year rising wedge.

Should it do so, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Twitter below $15 a share over the next 12-18 months. Facebook is about to break below a major/important support level. The problem is, Facebook has massive gaps all the way down to $20 a share. Gaps that must be closed sooner or later. That is not a good sign.

Hmm, I wonder what happens next. 

Twitter TWTR - InvestWithAlex

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Twitter (TWRT) Is Breaking Down. Is Social Media On Death’s Door? Google