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Why Most Economists Should Be Treated Like Terrorists

Bloomberg Writes: Why Germany’s Export Machine Is Under Attack

 EconomistsMessedUp

Imagine someone who runs a thriving luxury car dealership, yet does the weekly shopping at a no-frills discount store. That pretty much describes the Germans. The global No. 3 exporter is famously thrifty at home, so Germany runs a trade surplus equaling nearly 7 percent of its economy.

Now, imagine telling the Germans that this is bad. That’s what is happening as a growing chorus of international critics warns that Germany’s trade surplus is endangering global growth, and putting Germany’s own future at risk.

On Nov. 5, the European Union threatened to probe Germany’s trade surplus, which since 2007 has exceeded EU guidelines of a maximum 6 percent of gross domestic product. Germany must boost consumption and raise wages “to open the bottlenecks to the growth of domestic demand,” EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said.

Rehn’s comments follow recent criticism from the International Monetary Fund, which says German export policy is hindering Europe’s economic recovery. A “significantly smaller current account [surplus] would be useful,” David Lipton, the IMF’s first deputy managing director, said in Berlin last week.

The U.S. has weighed in, too, with a recent Treasury Department report (PDF) warning that German policies were placing “severe pressure” on troubled European economies and creating “deflationary bias for the euro area, as well as for the world economy.”

Not surprisingly, the Germans are furious. Trade surpluses “are a sign of the competitiveness of the German economy and global demand for quality products from Germany,” the country’s Economy Ministry said on Oct. 31. “There are no imbalances in Germany which require a correction of our growth-friendly economic and fiscal policy,” spokesman Martin Kotthaus told reporters in Berlin. An article in the magazine Spiegel 

The critics, though, aren’t really asking Germany to export less—although that certainly would help such EU trading partners as Spain and Italy, which are struggling to export more of their own goods. The Germans are mainly being asked to spend more money on themselves. Over the past decade, Germany has dramatically lowered labor costs and reduced unemployment by creating a large number of low-wage and part-time jobs.

Read The Rest Of The Article Here

Sometimes I feel like I live in the parallel universe where only stupidity is rewarded.

Germany is running its economy as any responsible country should (well, besides being a part of the European Union) and IMF/USA have the balls to tell Germany to that it is doing everyone a disservice by not spending more.  I have never heard anything more ridiculous.

While I understand the reason behind such a statement, this is equivalent to having a friend who has already maxed out all of his/her credit cards telling you that you should live it up a little and instead of saving money should blow it all on coke and hookers.

It is terrifying, but that is the state of our economic leadership today.   It leads to nothing more than an eventual  decline in economic standard or worse…..an economic collapse that is just around the corner.  

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Are All Economists Retarded?

Bloomberg Writes: Why Germany’s Export Machine Is Under Attack

 EconomistsMessedUp

Imagine someone who runs a thriving luxury car dealership, yet does the weekly shopping at a no-frills discount store. That pretty much describes the Germans. The global No. 3 exporter is famously thrifty at home, so Germany runs a trade surplus equaling nearly 7 percent of its economy.

Now, imagine telling the Germans that this is bad. That’s what is happening as a growing chorus of international critics warns that Germany’s trade surplus is endangering global growth, and putting Germany’s own future at risk.

On Nov. 5, the European Union threatened to probe Germany’s trade surplus, which since 2007 has exceeded EU guidelines of a maximum 6 percent of gross domestic product. Germany must boost consumption and raise wages “to open the bottlenecks to the growth of domestic demand,” EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said.

Rehn’s comments follow recent criticism from the International Monetary Fund, which says German export policy is hindering Europe’s economic recovery. A “significantly smaller current account [surplus] would be useful,” David Lipton, the IMF’s first deputy managing director, said in Berlin last week.

The U.S. has weighed in, too, with a recent Treasury Department report (PDF) warning that German policies were placing “severe pressure” on troubled European economies and creating “deflationary bias for the euro area, as well as for the world economy.”

Not surprisingly, the Germans are furious. Trade surpluses “are a sign of the competitiveness of the German economy and global demand for quality products from Germany,” the country’s Economy Ministry said on Oct. 31. “There are no imbalances in Germany which require a correction of our growth-friendly economic and fiscal policy,” spokesman Martin Kotthaus told reporters in Berlin. An article in the magazine Spiegel 

The critics, though, aren’t really asking Germany to export less—although that certainly would help such EU trading partners as Spain and Italy, which are struggling to export more of their own goods. The Germans are mainly being asked to spend more money on themselves. Over the past decade, Germany has dramatically lowered labor costs and reduced unemployment by creating a large number of low-wage and part-time jobs.

Read The Rest Of The Article Here

Sometimes I feel like I live in the parallel universe where only stupidity is rewarded.

Germany is running its economy as any responsible country should (well, besides being a part of the European Union) and IMF/USA have the balls to tell Germany to that it is doing everyone a disservice by not spending more.  I have never heard anything more ridiculous.

While I understand the reason behind such a statement, this is equivalent to having a friend who has already maxed out all of his/her credit cards telling you that you should live it up a little and instead of saving money should blow it all on coke and hookers.

It is terrifying, but that is the state of our economic leadership today.   It leads to nothing more than an eventual  decline in economic standard or worse…..an economic collapse that is just around the corner.  

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!  

German People, You Have Chosen Poorly

Bloomberg Writes: Merkel Records Biggest Victory Since Kohl’s Reunification Vote

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Angela Merkel won an overwhelming endorsement from German voters, putting the country’s first female chancellor on course for the biggest election tally since Helmut Kohl’s post-reunification victory of 1990.  Merkel’s Christian Democratic bloc took 41.8 percent to 25.6 percent for the Social Democratsof Peer Steinbrueck in yesterday’s election, projections on ZDF television showed at 12:02 a.m. in Berlin. That leaves her short of a majority and needing a coalition partner to govern Europe’s biggest economy.

 “This is a super result,” Merkel, who is now set to become the fourth chancellor since the war to win a third term, told supporters at her party’s headquarters in Berlin. “To the voters, I promise that we will handle it responsibly and with care. We will do everything we can in the next four years to ensure that they’re once again successful years for Germany.”

Read The Rest Of The Article Here

 

In one of my previous posts Germany Should Leave The European Union. Like Now  I have argued that German people have a wonderful opportunity to shift the direction of their country towards economic prosperity.   Unfortunately that did not happen on September 22nd as Merkel and her party won re-election.  While seemingly unimportant, this decision will have severe consequences on the overall global economy.

Germany is an economic powerhouse and is the only thing that’s keeping “fiscal mental hospital” that is European Union together. I strongly believe that without Germany, European Union has no chance for a very long survival.  German people had a wonderful opportunity to set their country on the path to eventually leave the EU by voting for AfD, but they let it slip away.

So, what now?

Unfortunately, for Germany nothing will change going forward. Germany will continue to support Greece, Italy, Spain and the rest of the freeloaders for the foreseeable future at the expense of the German people. That will put a significant drag on the overall German economy and any chance of loosening up the shackles that could have set Germany on the path to economic prosperity they haven’t seen before.

In summary, more of the same as fiscal insanity that is EU continues uninterrupted.

 

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Germany Should Leave The European Union. Like Now!!!

BusinessWeek Writes:  German Euro Skeptics Could Give Merkel An Election Shock  

 investwithalex germany

German parliamentary elections are coming up on Sept. 22, and Chancellor Angela Merkel has a problem on her hands. A euro-skeptical political party known as AfD is rising in the polls and could deny her Christian Democratic Union and its coalition partners the majority they need to continue governing.

AfD, or Alternative for Germany, currently holds no seats in the Bundestag, and until recently it barely registered in public-opinion polls. But a survey released on Sept. 4 by the Forsa polling group showed it with 4 per cent support—just shy of the 5 per cent needed to win Bundestag representation. Peter Matuschek, Forsa’s chief political analyst, says the poll may have underestimated the party’s strength. Many supporters, he told Spiegel, “are too embarrassed to admit that they are planning to vote for the AfD,” which wants Greece, Spain, and other crisis-hit countries to leave the euro zone, and possibly break up the existing monetary union itself.

Read The Rest Of The Article Here

An important election in Germany is coming up on September 22nd.

So important in fact, that the future of European Union is at stake. While most believe that Chancellor Merkel will maintain control, there is an increasing number of observers (including myself) that believe CDU will lose control.

Why is this so important? It could spell the end of the European Union as we know it. German people are fed up with supporting Greece, Spain, Italy and the rest of the freeloaders.  European Union is a  mess on multiple levels. While it is a great idea on paper, culturally speaking there is just too many differences on both the economic and cultural level.

Germany is an economic powerhouse and it should act like it.  I believe German people feel the same way and will act accordingly in 12 days.  If Merkel losses control, I have a hunch that it will set Germany on the course to eventually leave the European Union and go back to the Deutsche Mark.  This would lead to a huge surge in German Economy and that is all that German people should care about.

As soon as that happens, European Union will collapse under its own weight. While most people believe that it would be a bad, I respectfully disagree. I think it would be a boon to all European countries for various reasons. All we can do now is wait and see.  

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