Larry Summers: Initiate Massive Spending Now Or Face A Severe Recession

Too late Mr. Summers. I have been a long term proponent that Summers is one of a very few people who understands what kind of a fiscal mess we are in. That is the primary reason he passed on the FED Chairmanship last year. He can see and he knows what is coming down the pipeline and he wants nothing to do with cleaning it up or worst, be blamed for it. A smart individual, unlike Janet Yellen. 

Yet, his solution for today’s fiscal crisis is idiotic at best (see his article below). Sure, massive Government spending might prolong current state of stagflation, but it will in no way allow us to avoid the final collapse. His suggestion is equivalent to giving a drug junky that final and massive injection of heroin. Nothing more and nothing less. Plus, it’s already too late. As our mathematical and timing work clearly indicate, the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. A sever US Recession will not be that far behind. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here

larry summers investwithalex

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Larry Summers: Initiate Massive Spending Now Or Face A Severe Recession  Google

CNBC Writes: Larry Summers calls on US government to spend

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has urged global leaders to form a global growth strategy to combat economic stagnation and has called upon the U.S. government to ramp up investment expenditure.

Writing in the Financial Times on Monday, Summers took the opportunity to openly address central bankers and finance ministers who are gathering in Washington this week for the biannual International Monetary Fund meetings.

PLAY VIDEO
 
Larry Summers: Ukraine very important test for Europe
Lawrence Summers, former Treasury Secretary and Harvard University professor, discusses challenges facing Ukraine, and the impact on the global economy and the EU’s role in the Ukrainian crisis.

“In the U.S. the case for substantial investment promotion is overwhelming. Increased infrastructure spending would reduce burdens on future generations, not just by spurring growth but also by expanding the economy’s capacity and reducing deferred maintenance obligations,” he said.

“Government could do much at no cost to promote private investment including authorizing oil and natural gas exports, bringing clarity to the future of corporate taxes, and moving forward on trade agreements that open up foreign markets.”

Since the global financial crisis of 2008, loose monetary policies from central banks across the globe have resulted in record low interest rates in the hope of stimulating borrowing and spending. This has been accompanied by asset purchases by the U.S. Federal Reserve and others. Summers believes that while this may be better than the strategies put in place during the Great Depression of the 1930s, it doesn’t necessarily have a big impact on spending decisions.

Any spending this loose monetary policy induces tends to represent a pulling forward rather than an increase of demand, he said, adding that no-one can confidently predict the ultimate impact on markets of the unwinding of central bank balance sheets.

“Creative consideration should also be given to ways of mobilizing the trillions of dollars in public assets held by central banks and sovereign wealth funds largely in the form of safe liquid assets to promote growth,” he said.

“In a globalized economy, the impact of these steps taken together is likely to be substantially greater than the sum of their individual impacts. And the consequences of national policy failures are likely to cascade.”

Japan was singled out by Summers for its “dangerous” fiscal contraction as the country introduced a value-added tax at the start of the month. He poured scorn on this type of policy, suggesting that Japan’s fight against deflation (falling consumer prices) is far from over. A return to stagnation and deflation could rapidly call its solvency into question, he said.

For Europe, Summers says that there was no strategy for durable growth in place yet and called for “strong actions” to restore the banking system so that it can channel credit back into the struggling economy. In emerging markets, he said it was key that measures to bolster capital flows were put in place, thus making sure they do not become net exporters once again.

Capital has flown out of some emerging markets in recent months in anticipation of higher interest rates in the U.S. and Summers believes that it is imperative that exports to emerging markets from developed markets aren’t affected.

Stunning Obama Admission. US Economic Depression Is Coming

Huffington Post Writes: Larry Summers’ Desperate Depression-Fighting Idea May Soon Be Reality

Learning From History

If you think people who save money are being punished by low interest rates, wait until they have to deal with negative interest rates.

Slashing rates well below zero to make it painful not to spend money is the desperate approach to avoiding an economic depression recently endorsed by Larry Summers, President Obama’s former top economic advisor and one-time pick to run the Federal Reserve. With economic growth likely to be weak for the next infinity, the job market stubbornly awful and inflation disappearing, central bankers around the world have been toying with the idea for a while. Every day it gets closer to being a reality.

Read The Rest Of The Article Here.

Well, there you have it.

First, why are they talking about a depression?  If you listen to Bernanke, Yellen and/or Obama you would believe things are great and getting better. Unemployment is down, economy is up, stock markets are surging, etc….   What the hell do they mean by “desperate approach to avoiding an economic depression.”  Is Larry Summers on drugs?

Maybe the FED’s are not as stupid as I make them out to be.  If that is true, that makes them liars and criminals, committing economic crimes against the American people. Technically speaking that is exactly what they are doing. Uhmmmm, moving on before I get a call from NSA……

Listen, they know what they did and they know what is coming. The only way to combat that is to continue pumping a tremendous amount of money into the economy while hoping that interest rates stay low. However, they are running out of options.  Given current economic backdrop there isn’t that much more they can do.  Will bringing interest rates down to zero work ?

The answer is NO. Japan has tried that for 20 years without any success.  All they succeeded at is destroying their economy while trying to stimulate it. Here is the kicker….

Everyone, and I mean everyone believes that the markets behave based on what the FED does. Everyone believes that the FED’s can control and manipulate financial markets at will. That is the biggest and the most dangerous misconception everyone has. It might look that way, but they do not.

Remember 2007-09? Eventually markets will readjust on their own accord. When they do, there will be hell to pay. With or without 0% interest rates. The bear market is coming in 2014. 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!! 

Larry Summers Predicts Doom And Gloom. I Agree.

 BusinessWeek Writes: Larry Summers Has a Wintry Outlook on the Economy

irrational-investwithalex

Larry Summers, the man who was almost chairman of the Federal Reserve, is surprisingly gloomy about U.S. growth prospects. In a recent speech at the International Monetary Fund, he suggested the U.S. might be stuck in “secular stagnation”—a slump that is not a product of the business cycle but a more-or-less permanent condition.

Summers’s conclusion is deeply pessimistic: If he’s right, the economy is incapable of producing full employment without financial bubbles or massive stimulus, both of which tend to end badly. The collapse of the debt-fueled housing bubble led to the financial crisis of 2007-09, and some policymakers worry that the Fed’s easy-money policy is setting the economy up for another fall. Witness the Dow Jones industrial average at 16,000.

“Conventional macroeconomic thinking leaves us in a very serious problem,” Summers said in his speech. “The underlying problem may be there forever.” He added: “We may well need in the years ahead to think about how to manage an economy where the zero nominal interest rate is a chronic and systemic inhibitor of economic activity, holding our economies back below their potential.”

Read The Rest Of The Article Here

Mr. Summers is right on the money.  Exactly as I have argued before, we now know the true reason behind his candidacy withdrawal from FED Chairmanship role.  Unlike Janet Yellen who is a cheerleading fool who believes she can control the markets, Mr. Summers has a clear view of what’s coming.

He doesn’t want to be at the helm of the next substantial economic and financial market downshift that will start in 2014. Further, he is very well aware that the FED is the primary source of the problem. Instead of creating economic stability and an environment that is conducive to productive capital allocation, the FED’s have blown bubble after bubble in order to give the appearance of economic stability. Yet, any such economic stability is a mirage at best.  In reality it is a ticking time bomb. 

If we can learn anything from history, every financial bubble eventually bursts. Some spectacularly so and some with the whimper. As my timing work illustrates, the bear market will start in early 2014 and complete itself in 2017. I expect to see some fireworks as the market deflates back to where it should be. 

Did you enjoy this post? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!