Attention: Would You Like To Know The Exact Date & Time Of The Bear Market Start? Find Out Now

Interested in knowing the exact point (in both price and time) of the bear market start in 2014? You are in luck. Below is an excerpt from my upcoming book “Timed Value” telling you exactly when. While it was already published on this blog in November of 2013, I would like to bring your further attention to this portion of the book as it contains a useful forecast. Please note how accurate it has been since its original date of publication.

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As mentioned earlier, the 3-DV of EF today is 12,364. If we analyze the four 3-DVs above, we will soon find out that 3 different numbers closely resemble today’s value of 12,364. They are

DE 14,094
AE 13,542
CE 13,873

All other 3-DVs and their derivatives either fall short or are outside the scope of our analysis. You will notice that the value AE is the closest one to our present value of 12,364. That basically means the market is not yet done moving up. It also means that once the value AE 13,542 is reached, it is highly probable that it will mark the turning point in the stock market.

Further, as of today the value EF consists of 2 input variables. Time Value of 7,742 trading hours and Price Value of 9,641 points. Let’s further assume that based on our research we believe that March of 2014 will be the top of the bull market and/or the move EF. This gives us an additional 80 trading days or 520 trading hours. By adding 520 trading hours to 7,742 trading hours we get all necessary information to make an accurate estimate of the bull market top.

In addition, we can estimate how much the market will move up between now and March of 2014. We simply adjust our 3-DV equation to look like this

SQRT (8,262^2 + X^2 ) = 13,542

When we solve the equation for X, the X = 10,730. This value represents the PRICE portion of the equation at the completion of the move. With today’s PRICE value being at 9,641 this means the market is likely to go up another 1,089 points (10,730 – 9,641) between today and March of 2014.

DOW PROJECTION: 16,097+1,089 = 17,186 in March of 2014

Think about this for a second and how powerful this simple calculation is. If you got your lattice structure figured out and/or you know the next 3-DV move, you can predict with 100% certainty exactly when the stock market will top out. Not only when, but exactly where. To the day and to the point. So, while everyone else is playing the guessing game of how long this bull market will continue, you know the answer well ahead of that turning point taking place. You know that you must hold for another 4 month in order to realize the maximum gain and then simply reverse to short position to benefit from the upcoming bear market decline. Amazing, isn’t it?

But what if the forecast above is incorrect?

As I have mention so many times before in this book, no analyst or investor should look at any forecast in absolutely certain terms. Until the lattice structure of the market is fully understood, there is always a possibility of being wrong. Unfortunately, understanding the lattice structure of the market is outside the scope of this book. It is too complex and dynamic to be explained in this relatively short publication. Volumes of work must be published before clarity could be obtained. Yet, any analyst willing to put in the work, should be able to determine the underlying structure.

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Attention: Would You Like To Know The Exact Date & Time Of The Bear Market Start? Find Out Now

November 28, 2013November 28, 2013

Stock Market Update, November 29th, 2013

Summary: Continue to maintain a LONG/HOLD position.

Once again, no change since the last market update to alter my opinion. As my mathematical work clearly shows, the bear market will start in 2014. Would you like to know the exact date of the turn? I will make that information available in early 2014.

For now, the market continues to push through it’s daily highs, behaving as anticipated. My previous updates remain right on the money. Please click on the links below to see them.

November 22nd Report

November 15th Report.

November 8th Report.

November 1st Report.

As we continue to hold our long position while waiting for the market reversal, right now might be a good time to start thinking about how you would liquidate your holding and/or re-allocate your capital once the bear market of 2014-2017 starts.

If you would like to take it one step further, this is a good time to start researching SHORT opportunities.

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Stock Market Update, November 29th, 2013

October 21, 2013October 21, 2013

Get Rid Of Bears Once and For All

CNBC Writes: Bull market’s got another 10 to 15 years left: Pro

The stock market is only in the second of three phases of a secular bull market, Altaira’s director of technical research, Ralph Acampora, said Monday.

“The first phase of a secular bull market is usually led by quality,” he said. “Second phase of a secular bull market, when people start to feel a little better about things, they buy secondary stocks,” Acampora said. “The third and final phase is totally greed and complacency, and we’re not even close to that. So, the secular bull market has a lot of life left.”

On CNBC’s “Fast Money,” Acampora said that his 1,800 year-end target for theS&P 500 could easily be 50 points higher.

“I’m being a little conservative. Longer term, oh, good god—much, much higher,” he said. “This is a secular bull that has at least another 10, 15 years to run.”

Umm…. CNBC you never disappoint me. I just have 1 question for your PRO.

What bull market?

Let’s take a look. Since the secular bull market top in 2000 (13-14 years ago) the

DOW: + 30% (sitting at a bear market top about to reverse and go below 10,000 by 2016)
S&P: +14% (sitting at a bear market top about to reverse and go below 1,200 by 2016)
NASDAQ: -20% (sitting at a bear market top about to reverse and go below 2,500 by 2016)

Once again, which bull market has another 10-15 years to go? We are not in the bull market. The markets barely moved since the 2000 secular top. Some remain in the negative territory. Perhaps they are talking about the bear market that started at 2009 bottom, but even if such is the case there is very little evidence that it was the start of a full on bull market.

The numbers and dates you see above are based on the precise mathematical work that I do. Not some arbitrary statement. If Mr. Acampora have studied the markets since its opening in 1790 he would soon realize that the bull and bear markets alternate in easy to see and understand 17 year cycles.

As such, we still have another 3-4 years of the bear left. Don’t let the bear bite you.

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