Tag: Stock market update

A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 22 points (-0.13%) and the Nasdaq up 13 points (+0.31%). 

David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jefferies, says stocks are not overvalued and investors should buy the dips.

“A lot of the valuation metrics that are typical of the stock market…they fail to take into account the extraordinary monetary policy that’s been put into place. We’ve done a lot of healing. We have a lot of risk-taking in the pipeline and a lot of that risk-taking is going to start to generate real returns.” If you would like to read the rest of this garbage Click Here

Of course, he would like nothing more than to take that risk with your money…not his. The stock market has, more or less, flat lined since its April 11th bounce rally terminated on April 22nd (the bounce we told you about here). With the Dow and the S&P unable to go higher and with the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 in a technical downtrend, is this the “buy the dip” or “buying opportunity of a lifetime” that Mr. Zervos is talking about?

Don’t bet on it if you value your money. According to our mathematical and timing work the market is approaching an important juncture that will make Mr. Zervos look very foolish….. soon enough.

Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. May 1st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 45 points (0.27%) and the Nasdaq up 11 points (0.27%). 

Even though today’s FED release did not contain anything unexpected and the market ended up reacting in a positive fashion, from my vantage point, their tightening is just another death blow to today’s bull market/economy. As I have illustrated here so many times before, the FED is out of touch with reality.

It is a reactionary force at best. Earlier today I showed that the real GDP growth was a negative 1% (if you take temporary Obamacare boost out), plunging the US Economy into a technical and “unofficial” recession.  Yet, the FED continues to tighten. While I am not a proponent of QE or any other sort of artificial stimulus, tightening now is equivalent to financial suicide.

With the stock market sitting close to an all time high, this sort of a setup is a recipe for a disaster. There is no economic recovery and/or growth ahead. Instead, we have a highly leveraged/speculative economy that is running on fumes…..with FED tightening to boot. In a nutshell, watch this market blow sky high in a spectacular fashion as soon as other market participants realize this fact.

This is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work. Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 30th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

An up day with the Dow Jones up 86 points (0.53%) and the Nasdaq up 29 points (0.72%). 

With most markets pushing higher despite weaker consumer confidence and housing data, something doesn’t add up.  While the S&P and the Dow are nearing their all time highs the Nasdaq is falling behind with a clearly defined short-term bearish trend in place.

Will the Nasdaq catch up to the Dow or is the Nasdaq acting as a leading indicator (a preview) of what is to come for the rest of the market? I continue to believe it’s the latter. With seasonal factors now in play and with our mathematical/timing work indicating a severe bear market between 2014-2017, the market is bound to head lower within a relatively short period of time.

When the bear market starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 29th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A volatile day with the Dow Jones up 87 points (0.53%) and the Nasdaq down 1 point (0.03%) for the day. 

There is a famous saying on Wall Street “Sell In May And Go Away” as the stock market tends to historically underperform during the summer months. Not always, but often enough that the pattern is easily recognized by most market participants.  While most people attribute the subject matter to seasonality, there is a clearly defined DNA sequence within the stock market that sets this pattern off. To be exact, it hits on May 19th of each year (Note: May 19th does not represent tops or bottoms, it represents the time benchmark of when this energy arrives in the market).

With market internals getting uglier by the day, there is a real possibility that 2014 “Sell In May And Go Away” time frame will be the worst we have seen in quite some time. Clearly since the beginning of the current bull market on March 6th, 2009.

This is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work. Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

A significant down day with the Dow Jones down 140 points (-0.85%) and the Nasdaq down 73 points (-1.75%). 

Even though both the S&P and the Dow are a stone throws away from their all time highs, market internals are getting ugly. We have already discussed that in the past. What concerns me the most today is to what an extent the Obama Administration is going to play chicken with Russia.

If you have been reading this blog, you know that I have maintained a fairly accurate stand (for over a month now) that Russia will invade Ukraine one way or the other. It has no other option as it must stop NATO’s expansion up to it’s borders.  For Russia it’s a matter of national security.  With Russian jets entering Ukrainian airspace as I write this and with Russian special forces already operating in East Ukraine, it’s a forgone conclusion.

The real question here is how far the US is willing to go and what impact Obama’s actions will have on the US Economy. That’s right, the US Economy….not Russian economy. While most media pundits are completely oblivious to the subject matter with their American chest beating patriotism, economic warfare against Russia will only accelerate the upcoming and severe US Recession/Bear Market of 2014-2017. Make no mistake about that.

This is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work. Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

 

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A volatile day with the Dow Jones up 0.1 points (0.00%) and the Nasdaq up 21 points (0.52%).

The chart above (courtesy of Elliot Wave) contains everything you need to know about the state of today’s stock market. In a nutshell, today’s stock market is being driven by excessive levels of speculation with a smidge of margin debt.  Well, a record $178 Billion of margin debt to be exact.

While we have talked about margin debt before, this chart drives the point home. Most investors have overextended themselves at exactly the wrong time (as they always do). With margin debt levels being substantially higher than their 2000 and 2007 stock market top counterparts, the near term outlook for the stock market is anything but bright.

This is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work. Again, our work shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

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Stock Market Update. April 24th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

A negative day with the Dow Jones down 13 points (-0.08%) and the Nasdaq down 34 points (-0.83%). 

The Dow volume remained low as share distribution continued. Even though both the S&P and the Dow are sitting just a smidge away from their all time highs, that in itself doesn’t tell the whole story. For instance, please note a possible head and shoulder technical pattern developing on the Dow. All we need now is a quick leg to the downside to finish a textbook head and shoulders. Such patterns, of course, are indicative and most often seen at stock market tops. What follows thereafter is typically fairly ugly.

This sort of thinking is further confirmed by our mathematical and timing work as it continues to show that the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner.  When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

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Another up day with the Dow Jones up 65 points (0.40%) and the Nasdaq up 40 points (0.97%).

By now, the trauma bottom of a week ago is a long distant memory. With the Dow and the S&P approaching their all time highs the bull market is back on. Or is it? Not to rain on bulls parade but the current rally has all of the trademarks associated with a bear market rally. Low volume, short covering, divergences and sharp advances. While we are not in a technical bear market (not by any traditional measure anyway) it would pay off to start paying close attention to a possibility of a roll over.

In fact, our mathematical and timing work continues to show that the bear market is just around the corner.  When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 22nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

 A flat day with the Dow Jones down 16 points(-0.10%) and the Nasdaq up 9 points (+0.23%) 

The market continues to bounce for the time being. While most market pundits continue to argue whether or not the market has bottomed, the future we see is as clear as night and day. To explain, allow me to bring back one of my favorite cycles. The 5-Year Cycle. It is one of my favorite because it represents a complete growth spiral composition within the DNA genome code of the stock market and it’s subsequent rotation in multi-dimensional space (and you thought I follow simple technical analysis ;-).  Now, as I have shown before, the 5 years cycle is exact. We are not talking about 5 Years +/- a few months, we are talking about 5 years +/- a few trading days. For example, the 2002 bottom to 2007 top cycle completed in 5 Years and 1 day. With our recent 5-Year cycle completing in early March, there should be no doubt what comes next. 

Our mathematical and timing work clearly shows the US Economy and it’s financial markets will go through a severe recession and a bear market between 2014-2017. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please Click Here. 

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 17th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Another up day with the Dow Jones up 162 points (+1.00%) and the Nasdaq up 52 points (+1.29%) 

With a bear market now in the distant past of approximately 8.5 trading hours  😀 , the bulls are eager to buy. Financial media talking heads and market pundits are coming out of the woodwork, proclaiming a market bottom and the push towards the next high. In short, the correction is over and the bull is back. Not so fast there, sparky. This is what we told our subscribers in our weekly update last Saturday….

Case For A Strong Bounce: On Friday(4/112014), the Dow bottomed dead on one of our mathematical points of force. It’s not a particularly strong point of force, but it would work for a short-term bounce. Further, on Friday the Dow bottomed at a fairly strong resistance point located at around 16,000-16,050. Further, on Friday the Nasdaq bottomed at its February 5th intermediary low, without being able to break it. Finally, most indices are oversold and are due for some sort of a bounce.    

While everyone is cheering for the bull market, our mathematical and timing work continues to show an upcoming bear market in equities. When it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last two years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and its subsequent internal composition, please Click Here.  

 (***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

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Stock Market Update. April 16th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google