Tag: Stock market update

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 15th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 15 2014

A volatile day with the Dow Jones up 89 points (+0.55) and the Nasdaq up 11 points (+0.29%)

What you have witnessed today is the tag of war between cyclical composition within the stock market and macroeconomic issues associated with Ukraine. Unfortunately, I believe the situation in Ukraine will continue to dominate global markets over the next few weeks (if not months). Should things in Ukraine deteriorate significantly (as I fully expect), I would anticipate Russia to invade and global markets to sell off. That can happen at any day now.

With that said, it is important to remind you that from the fundamental perspective all markets and most asset classes continue to be incredibly overpriced. People who believe that a small sell off over the last two weeks CAN or WILL set valuations right need to pause and study financial market history. There is nothing to stop today’s “incredibly overpriced” stocks from becoming “dirt cheap”. And no amount of wishful thinking or market optimism will change that.  

Why is this important? Our mathematical and timing work continues to indicate that the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. Once it gets going it should very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last two years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Google

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 10 2014

A massive down day with the Dow Jones down 267 points (-1.62%) and the Nasdaq Down 129 points (-3.10%).

Is this another buying opportunity as most market pundits believe or is this a “sell now ask questions later” type of a deal? I continue to believe that markets are starting to wake up and see the forest through the trees. What a lot of traders and investors are starting to see is not pretty. Excessive overvaluation, massive speculation in all asset classes (even trailer parks), slowing economy, ineffective and counterproductive FED, flattening yield curve, etc….. With confidence levels collapsing it is just a matter of time before we find ourselves in a full blown bear market. 

That is precisely what our mathematical and timing work shows as well. In fact, we have been consistent in predicting a certain date for the bear market to start since the time this blog initiated in 2013. When the bear market of 2014-2017 starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains achieved over the last 2 years. If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and it’s subsequent internal composition, please Click Here. 

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here).   

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Stock Market Update. April 10th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

Posted on

Why Most Market Participants Are Clueless About The Stock Market

The article/video below is a perfect illustration of why most market participants are clueless about the underlying stock market structure and the cyclical/mathematical composition within the market. Of course, it takes decades of incredibly hard work to get there….something that Wall Street is allergic to. Case and point…..

“I think longer-term we’re in a secular bull market very much like we were from 1982 to 2000,” offers Saut in the attached video. “Not a lot of people believe that, especially not the individual investors. They don’t understand how you can have a secular bull when you have dysfunctional government, unemployment higher than what it should be at this stage of a recovery and GDP lower than what it should be.”

Here is something you don’t understand Mr.Saut. Secular bull/bear markets don’t last 9 years as you are proposing (2000-2009 bear). If you study the Dow Jones all the way back to it’s inception on May 10th, 1790 you will find an alternating bull/bear cycle that oscillates 17/18 years(see chart).  You would also learn that every 17/18 Bear leg completes itself with a 2-3 year severe bear market. As such, while you expect a 12% return for the year, I will be taking your clients and your money on the short side. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here. 

Long Term Dow Structure3

 

 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Why Most Market Participants Are Clueless About The Stock Market  Google

Breakout Writes: Jeff Saut: The bull market will survive a rough spring

When Wall Street strategists insist on hedging their forecasts using time frames it means one of two things. Usually it’s a way of sidestepping accountability and ducking into the standard sales pitch about the stock market historically returning somewhere around 9% or more on an annual basis. While mathematically true that’s neither earth shattering nor actionable.

In the case of Raymond James’ Jeff Saut his emphasis on the big picture is a polite way of avoiding the fact that stocks have been trading horribly for over a month and there’s little to suggest the near-term risk outlook is anything other than ominous.

“I think longer-term we’re in a secular bull market very much like we were from 1982 to 2000,” offers Saut in the attached video. “Not a lot of people believe that, especially not the individual investors. They don’t understand how you can have a secular bull when you have dysfunctional government, unemployment higher than what it should be at this stage of a recovery and GDP lower than what it should be.”

What don’t investors understand? Stocks don’t care about absolute levels. What matters is direction. Saut thinks the economy is improving. In the big picture everything else is noise.

In the more immediate term it’s impossible to ignore the fact that 5 years into Saut’s range of ‘82 to 2000 there was the 1987 crash. Saut isn’t looking for a repeat necessarily but the volatility of the tape suggests traders have almost no confidence in the market at this juncture. Markets put in an attractive bounce on Wednesday but those under the impression that a $7 pop in Facebook (FB), to take one example, is healthy after shares fell 20-points in a straight line need to keep in mind the wild ride isn’t over yet.

For the year Saut thinks the S&P 500 (^GSPC) can post above average gains of 10-12%. For the next 3 months his forecast is for some rocking and rolling. Review your portfolio to fit your personal tolerance for pain

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 7th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 7th 2014

Another down day with the Down Jones down 167 points (-1.02%) and the Nasdaq down 48 points (-1.16%) 

The stock market continues to perform as per our exact internal forecast (Click Here). While most market pundits see this as a simple correction and/or buying opportunity, the reality is a lot more complicated. In fact, I have argued long and hard (for at least a few months) that most market participants are positioned in exactly the wrong way. Long equity/short treasury. On the contrary, it should be the other way around and that is exactly what you are starting to see in the market. Based our mathematical and timing work, US Financial markets will go through a severe bear market between 2014-2017. When that happens expect equity prices and yields to collapse even further.

The bear market is just around the corner. If you would be interested in learning exactly when it starts (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.   

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

Stock Market Update. April 7th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

 

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 4th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 4th 2014t

A massive down day with the Dow Jones down 160 points (0.96%) and the Nasdaq down a bone crushing 110 points (2.60%). 

On Monday, both the WSJ and CNBC stated that statistically April is the best month to be LONG. Apparently, April has missed the memo thus far. In fact, you wouldn’t have been caught off guard if you were following our mathematical and timing work within our subscription section.  Not only was this sell off predicted a long time ago, but what comes next is as clear as night and day as well. Plus, believe it or not, today’s sell off had nothing to do with the jobs report, as my post at the open indicated. 

In particular, the Nasdaq and the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) took the brunt of the beating with IBB collapsing 4.01%. While most market pundits will view this in a typical “buy the dip” kind of mentality, this is so much more than that. It will be just a matter of time before the S&P and the Dow begin to play catch up. Remember, as our mathematical and timing work shows, the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. As I have mentioned yesterday, it will pay off to be very conservative here.

If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here. 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Stock Market Update. April 4th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 3rd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 1st, 2014

A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 0 points (0.00%) and the Nasdaq down 39 points (-0.91%). 

A lot of market participants were extremely excited today. Particularly, the DOW Theory followers.  According to the Dow Theory, today’s market action confirmed the bull market by breaking December 31st, 2013 top by a mere 14 points. Making it all dandy in the land of the bull. Yet, we continue to be incredibly skeptical. Thus far, the market has performed as per our exact forecast (available in our subscriber section). In fact, we continue to believe that the markets luck is about to run out. With a number of significant gaps on the downside it is just a matter of time before the market begins to break down.

z32

That is exactly what our mathematical and timing work in the stock market indicates. The bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner and when it begins it should very quickly retrace back to February 5th, bottom. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here. 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Stock Market Update. April 3rd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 2nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

z34

A relatively flat day with the Dow Jones up 40 points (0.24%) and the Nasdaq up 8 point (0.20%)

The Dow tried to push for an all time high, but thus far, has failed to do so. Stopping and reversing right at 16,588. The exact top previously achieved on December 31st, 2013. A perfect double top…so to speak. While most bulls are celebrating the recent upswing I am a lot more cautious. All markets left a number of large gaps on the downside that they must go and close over the next few trading days. In fact, if Mr. Putin delivers on Ukraine and/or the jobs report on Friday disappoints, I would expect the market to take a significant beating. 

Plus, based on our timing and mathematical work the bear market of 2014-2017 is just around the corner. When it starts it will quickly take the market below it’s February 5th low. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Stock Market Update. April 2nd, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

Posted on

Stock Market Update. April 1st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

daily chart April 1st, 2014

Another strong day for the markets with the Dow Jones up 75 points (0.46%) and the Nasdaq up 69 points (1.64%).

Today marked an important juncture. Just as forecasted on this blog last Friday, the Nasdaq ended up bouncing (quite strongly) from it’s oversold bottom. Yet, despite the S&P hitting an all time high and the DOW stopping just 24 points shy of an all time high, this doesn’t tell the whole story. For instance, all markets left a number of large gaps on the downside that they must go back and close over the next few days. Indicating upcoming downside. 

Plus, there is a small matter of the bear market of 2014-2017 that should start within a relatively short period of time. The bottom line is, it would pay to be very conservative here. If you would be interested in learning exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal bear market composition, please Click Here. 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

Stock Market Update. April 1st, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com Google

 

Posted on

Stock Market Update. March 31st, 2014. InvestWithAlex

 Daily Chart March 31, 2014 investwithalex

A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 135 points (0.82%) and the Nasdaq up 43 points (1.04%)

In Friday’s update I suggested that the DOW/Nasdaq are set for a significant bounce over the next few trading days. Further, the market continues to perform just as per our forecast (available in premium section). While consistent up days, all time highs and positive news continue, this never ending up drive higher is in the final stages of it’s development. If fact, this latest surge higher offers people with the perfect opportunity to liquidate most (if not all) of their long positions.

The bear market of 2014-2017 will start within a relatively short time window and when it does, it will quickly retrace most of the gains since February 5th low. If you would be interested in knowing exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

 

Stock Market Update. March 31st, 2014. InvestWithAlex Google

Posted on

Stock Market Update, March 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

Daily Chart March 28, 2014 investwithalex

Another volatile day with the Dow Jones appreciating 59 points (0.36%) and the Nasdaq up 4.5 points (0.11%).

The stock market continues to behave just as our mathematical and timing work indicates (exact forecast is available in our subscriber section). Most markets opened up with a gap and rallied early on. Only to sell off and close the gap before reversing higher. I continue to believe that we will see higher prices and a short term bounce over the next few days. As shown yesterday, the Nasdaq continues to be oversold and due for a bounce. Thus far it has been successful in building a short-term base from which it might rally over the next few days. 

Yet, any upside here will be short lived. Our mathematical work continues to show that the bear market of 2014-2017 will start in the not too distant future. If you would like to learn exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!


Click here to subscribe to my mailing list

Stock Market Update, March 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google