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The Secret Behind The Wealthiest 0.01%

Belfast Telegrapsh Writes: Combined wealth of the 85 richest people is equal to that of poorest 3.5 billion

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The wealth of the 85 richest people equals that of half the world’s population, says development charity Oxfam.

Global inequality has increased to the extent that the £1 trillion combined wealth of the 85 richest people is equal to that of the poorest 3.5 billion – half of the world’s population – according to a new report from development charity Oxfam.

Oxfam chief executive Winnie Byanyima said: “It is staggering that in the 21st century, half of the world’s population – that’s three and a half billion people – own no more than a tiny elite whose numbers could all fit comfortably on a double-decker bus.

“We cannot hope to win the fight against poverty without tackling inequality. Widening inequality is creating a vicious circle where wealth and power are increasingly concentrated in the hands of a few, leaving the rest of us to fight over crumbs from the top table.

“In developed and developing countries alike we are increasingly living in a world where the lowest tax rates, the best health and education and the opportunity to influence are being given not just to the rich but also to their children.

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Indeed, this is staggering. Just think about it for a second. Just 85 of the wealthiest people control the same amount of wealth as the poorest 3.5 Billion – half of world’s population.

At least a part of me wants to say, “So what?  Work your ass off and become part of the elite.”  Yet, after starting a number of businesses and being a part of the investment community,  I now know it is a lot easier said than done.  It takes favorable circumstances and luck to get anywhere close to that level. In other words, for most of us, approaching the pinnacle of wealth is nothing but a pipe dream.

That is why I am starting to shift my point of view towards the view shared by both Warren Buffett and Bill Gates. They argue that the taxation structure in place is disproportionately setup to favor the rich. That should not be a surprise to anyone as the system is setup by the rich.  The problems begin when we have a situation where 85 people control more wealth than the lowest 3.5 billion people.  It’s bad on two fronts. 

First, it stagnates the economy. The accumulated wealth held by so very few people is not being properly allocated to benefit the overall economy. For the most part, it just sits there accumulating interest. Second, it creates social unrest. If history teaches us anything, eventually, this type of a “social setup” leads to revolutions or worst, wars.

What is the answer? I am not sure, but this cannot continue over an extended period of time.  Some changes must occur. 

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The Secret Behind The Wealthiest 0.01%

Why Does Goldman Sachs Hates Your Money?

 

CNBC Writes: ‘No bubble troubles’ in stock market, declares Goldman Sachs

 

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Goldman Sachs thinks talk of financial bubbles is misguided, and the firm is encouraging its wealthy clients to keep their money in relatively expensive sectors such as U.S. technology stocks and high-yield bonds.

“Stay fully invested—we don’t have bubble troubles yet,” Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, chief investment officer for the bank’s investment strategy group, said at a press briefing in New York last week.

The firm likes several relatively pricey sectors. One is U.S. technology stocks, based on strong corporate free cash flows and prospects for corporate earnings growth. The Dow Jones U.S. Technology Index has gained about 141 percent over the past five years. 

Maybe Goldman Sachs clients are too rich for their own good and are in need of a good haircut. That is exactly what they are going to get if they listed to Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani. Instead of being risk averse she wants them to pile into highly speculative Tech stocks? You can’t make this stuff up.

The article continues,  “But she reiterated the four reasons Goldman believes equities are not in bubble territory, as outlined in a recent strategy report: Credit growth is not excessive; investors are just beginning to get back into U.S. stocks; views on the U.S. are not yet overly bullish; and stock valuations have not raced too far ahead”.

Let’s take a look at each point individually.

1. Credit Growth Is Not Excessive.  Are you kidding me? Total market debt as a % of GDP stands at 370%.  The highest in the history of mankind. As a reference point, 1929 this same indicator was at just 280% of GDP. We all know what happened thereafter. Plus, the FED is printing/monetizing $85 Billion per month to add liquidity to the market. There are credit bubbles everywhere (mortgage, student loans, credit cards, even car loans) and Goldman Sachs has the balls to claim that credit growth is not excessive? Unbelievable. 

2. Investors are just beginning to get back into US stocks: I am not sure what “investors” she is talking about, but the market is up over 150% in 5 years. If they are getting back in “just now” they are dumb and this should be used as a contrary indicator.   

3. Views on the US are not yet overly bullish: Once again, views by whom? If you take a look at the bullish sentiment indicator, it is sitting close to an all time high. That is above 2000 and 2007 levels. Plus, everyone (media, financial advisors, investors, etc…) are falling all over each other while predicting the market to go up in 2014. As far as I am concerned you can’t get more bullish than this.

4. Stock Valuations have not raced too far ahead: “Too Far” is the keyword. In a sense, Sharmin is admitting that valuations are indeed high. While this point is debatable based on your valuation metrics, personally, this market is incredibly expensive. At today’s prices I cannot find too many things (if anything) to invest in. 

The bottom line is as follows. The arguments Goldman Sachs makes are nonsense and without merit. Investors must clearly understand that before making their investment decisions. As I have said so many times before, my timing/mathematical work indicates a contrary position. The bear market is about to start and it will wreck havoc on the financial markets over the next 3 years. AKA….its time to protect yourself instead of buying up tech stocks.  

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Weekly Stock Market Update, January 18th ,2014

daily chart Jan18, 2014

Summary: Continue to maintain a LONG/HOLD position. 

There has been no real change since last week. The market oscillated up and down, but finished the week relatively flat. 

As I have mentioned many times before, my advanced timing work showed a number of cycles arriving and rolling over in early January. That is the primary reason you are seeing the market stalling since the beginning of the year. While everyone else is incredibly excited about the market (overwhelming bullish attitude) we should be very careful here. Again, the market is overpriced and the next leg of the bear market will start shortly. I will provide an exact date as we get closer. 

Technically speaking, while the market is showing signs of a fatigue and a roll over, this is not yet the top.  Either way, we have to wait for a technical confirmation before reversing position. My previous updates and various fundamental issues associated with the market remain right on the money. Please click on the links below to see them. 

November 22nd Report

November 15th Report. 

November 8th Report.

November 1st Report.

As we continue to hold our long position while waiting for the market reversal, right now might be a good time to start thinking about how you would liquidate your holding and/or re-allocate your capital once the bear market of 2014-2017 starts.

If you would like to take it one step further, this is a good time to start researching SHORT opportunities.  

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 Weekly Stock Market Update, January 18th ,2014

Why You Should Love Bear Markets

InvestWithAlex Wisdom 12

Today’s 5 Minute Podcast Covers The Following Topics: Why you should love bear markets.  

    • What makes bear markets so great.  
    • The secret behind making a large amount of money in the bear market.  
    • How bear markets can surge your investment returns. 
    • What everyone ought to know about bull and bear phases. 

Did you enjoy this podcast? If so, please review it on iTunes and share it with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Daily Stock Market Update, January 17th, 2014

Daily Chart January 17 2014

Summary: Continue to maintain a LONG/HOLD position.  

01/17/2014 – Slow day in the market. While the S&P and NASDAQ were both down to the tune of -0.50%, the DOW inched up 40 points or (+0.25%). As mentioned yesterday, the DOW closed the “DOWN GAP” that was originated on Thursday during the trading day today. We continue to be stuck in the trading range since the beginning of the year. According to my work this has to do with a number of cycles topping out on or around January 1st of this year. In other words, the powerful rally we have witnessed in the late 2013 is running out of steam. While the trend is still Bullish the market is starting to exhibit signs of a fatigue and an eventual roll over. Still, as of today, it is prudent to maintain our long position while we wait for a confirmation. Weekly summary coming up tomorrow.   

Daily Stock Market Update, January 16th, 2014

Daily Stock Market Update, January 16th, 2014

Daily Chart January 16 2014

 

Summary: Continue to maintain a LONG/HOLD position.  

1/16/2014 – The stock market is stuck in the trading range since the start of the year with the DOW being down -68 points or (-0.41%). It is important to note that the market opened with a gap down and while trading closed the “UP” gap opened yesterday. Why is that important? Market always closes its gaps. Sometimes right away and at times it takes a few years. The gap down in the morning means the market must close this gap before any reasonable down move can start. This works very well with our overall analysis and the notion that the bear market will start over the next few months. We continue to hold our overall long position as there has been no change in the overall trend. 

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Daily Stock Market Update, January 16th, 2014

Shocking Truth Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know

InvestWithAlex Wisdom 10

 

Today’s 5 Minute Podcast Covers The Following Topics: Shocking Truth Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know

    • Why you are better off managing your own money. 
    • How you can outperform the best of money managers with ease. 
    • The secret behind financial media and why you should tune them out. 
    • What to do to double your portfolio performance virtually overnight. 

Did you enjoy this podcast? If so, please review it on iTunes and share it with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Attention: Would You Like To Know The Exact Date & Time Of The Bear Market Start? Find Out Now

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Interested in knowing the exact point (in both price and time) of the bear market start in 2014? You are in luck. Below is an excerpt from my upcoming book “Timed Value” telling you exactly when. While it was already published on this blog in November of 2013, I would like to bring your further attention to this portion of the book as it contains a useful forecast. Please note how accurate it has been since its original date of publication. 

————————————————————————— 

As mentioned earlier, the 3-DV of EF today is 12,364. If we analyze the four 3-DVs above, we will soon find out that 3 different numbers closely resemble today’s value of 12,364. They are

  • DE 14,094
  • AE 13,542
  • CE 13,873

All other 3-DVs and their derivatives either fall short or are outside the scope of our analysis. You will notice that the value AE is the closest one to our present value of 12,364. That basically means the market is not yet done moving up.  It also means that once the value AE 13,542 is reached, it is highly probable that it will mark the turning point in the stock market.

Further,  as of today the value EF consists of 2 input variables. Time Value of 7,742 trading hours and Price Value of 9,641 points.  Let’s further assume that based on our research we believe that March of 2014 will be the top of the bull market and/or the move EF.  This gives us an additional 80 trading days or 520 trading hours.  By adding 520 trading hours to 7,742 trading hours we get all necessary information to make an accurate estimate of the bull market top.

In addition,  we can estimate how much the market will move up between now and March of 2014. We simply adjust our 3-DV equation to look like this

SQRT (8,262^2 + X^2 ) = 13,542

When we solve the equation for X, the X = 10,730. This value represents the PRICE portion of the equation at the completion of the move.  With today’s PRICE value being at 9,641 this means the market is likely to go up another 1,089 points (10,730 – 9,641) between today and March of 2014.

DOW PROJECTION: 16,097+1,089 = 17,186 in March of 2014

Think about this for a second and how powerful this simple calculation is. If you got your lattice structure figured out and/or you know the next 3-DV move,  you can predict with 100% certainty exactly when the stock market will top out. Not only when, but exactly where. To the day and to the point. So, while everyone else is playing the guessing game of how long this bull market will continue, you know the answer well ahead of that turning point taking place.  You know that you must hold for another 4 month in order to realize the maximum gain and then simply reverse to short position to benefit from the upcoming bear market decline.  Amazing, isn’t it?

But what if the forecast above is incorrect?

As I have mention so many times before in this book, no analyst or investor should look at any forecast in absolutely certain terms.  Until the lattice structure of the market is fully understood, there is always a possibility of being wrong. Unfortunately, understanding the lattice structure of the market is outside the scope of this book.  It is too complex and dynamic to be explained in this relatively short publication. Volumes of work must be published before clarity could be obtained. Yet, any analyst willing to put in the work, should be able to determine the underlying structure. 

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Attention: Would You Like To Know The Exact Date & Time Of The Bear Market Start? Find Out Now

How To Make A Fortune In The Upcoming Bear Market

InvestWithAlex Wisdom 9Today’s 5 Minute Podcast Covers The Following Topics and is in direct response to one of my readers questions, “What should I do to prepare for and make money in the upcoming bear market? Assuming your forecast is correct.” – Alex West 

    • What you should do to protect yourself in the upcoming bear market?
    • The best 3 options you have. 
    • How to profit substantially from the upcoming bear market. 
    • What sectors will decline the most and the secret to making a fortune during the bear markets. 

Did you enjoy this podcast? If so, please review it on iTunes and share it with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Marc Faber Confirms, We Are In A Gigantic Financial Asset Bubble

Bloombert TV: Faber: We Are in a Gigantic Financial Asset Bubble

 marc faber2

Watch The Video Here 

This should come as no surprise to my readers. I tend to agree with Marc Faber’s point of view on this.  The question is, when will the bubble pop? 

Fortunately or unfortunately, depending on your point of view, the bubble will not pop in a dramatic fashion some bears expect or anticipate. While the fundamental bearish stance is right on the money, based on my mathematical and timing work, the markets will not collapse. The market will decline to the tune of 40% over the next 3 years, but it will be a gradual (although at times volatile) process. 

Now, it baffles my mind why most people don’t see this massive financial asset bubble.  I am not entirely certain if it has anything to do with the financial media propaganda machine or simple human psychology. Perhaps a combination of both. Either way, if you don’t see the financial bubble in question I suggest you open your eyes and educate yourself. It will save you a lot of money.  

Yet, do not wait too long. The bear market is about to start. Get yourself ready.  

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!! 

Marc Faber Confirms, We Are In A Gigantic Financial Asset Bubble