Tag: ukraine

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Ukranian Neo-Fascist Trying Their Best To Start A War. Obama & The US Media Buy It

The media war between Ukraine, Russian and the West is going into overdrive.Remember all of those innocent Ukrainians in Kiev wanting freedom, liberty and rainbows? Turns out, a lot of them are Neo-Fascist who hate Jews and Russians. Let’s take a closer look at who is trying to start this war.

Russia Government:

 -OR- Ukraine’s Illegitimate Government Ran By Turchynov

  • UKRAINE’S TURCHYNOV SAYS SHIPS THREATENED IF ARMS NOT LAID DOWN
  • UKRAINE’S TURCHYNOV SAYS SHIPS THREATENED WITH SEIZURE
  • UKRAINE’S TURCHYNOV SAYS SITUATION AROUND FLEET IS DANGEROUS
  • UKRAINE’S TURCHYNOV SAYS RUSSIA INCREASING CRIMEA FORCES
  • UKRAINE’S TURCHYNOV SAYS RUSSIAN BLACK SEA FLEET HAS BLOCKED UKRAINIAN NAVY VESSELS IN SEVASTOPOL BAYS

So, let me ask you. Who is beating the war drum here? Turchynov is begging the West to get involved at any cost. He doesn’t care what that cost is. Never mind that any involvement by NATO might lead to WW 3.  It is my hope that the US Government and the US Media wake up, pull their head out of their collective ass and see who it is that they are dealing with.  It’s never a good idea to do business with Neo-Fascist. 

Here is my quick analysis. Russia is done. They have taken Crimea and they are more than satisfied with that. If no further provocation occurs, media hysteria will die down over the next few days and our financial markets will recover.  Cheers!!!

Why would markets recover? 

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CNBC: Russian officials: “Fascists in power now in Ukraine”

Russia’s Upper Council session on whether or not to approve President Vladimir Putin‘s request to send armed forces to Crimea was akin to traveling back in time, rhetorically speaking.

One Russian legislator said: “Look who came to power now in Ukraine—radicals, nationalists, fascists.”

(Read more: Parliament approves troops)

In fact, the word ‘fascist’ was used several times throughout the debate (though actual debate was limited since the legislators seemed to all be of the same opinion). 

Another quoted a Russian poet and signaled that now, “it’s time to use weapons, not words.”

Though the White House said it was monitoring the situation in Crimea closely, Putin and most Russian officials see Obama as extremely weak. 

A Russian business source with deep knowledge of Russia’s political, economic, and security situation, who requested anonymity, said morale in the Ukrainian army was low, giving Putin an upper hand.

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Ukranian Neo-Fascist Trying Their Best To Start A War. Obama & The US Media Buy It Google

 

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Ukraine Is Already Lost. Russia Won, Markets Should Move On

wargames

No matter how much huffing and puffing, cursing and table pounding the US and their EU allies will do, Russia has already won. Let’s take a look at the situation from an analytical point of view. 

  • No one is fighting Russia in Ukraine. Yes, the illegitimate Ukrainian Government has called for “mobilization”  and has “declared war” as the Western Media proclaims, but still, no one will join that mobilization nor will anyone fight against Russia. People there are not stupid and will not die for nothing. 
  • Russia is ready to go to an extreme if need be to keep Ukraine. It is ready to go to war. I don’t think the western world is ready to fight over Ukraine. 
  • The US and the EU is out of options. The only real option they have is to get NATO involved. However, any such action would quickly escalate into WW 3. It is just my hope that out mentally challenged government is not considering this move.

As such, Ukraine will go to Russia. Our financial markets will soon realize the same and will recover quickly (over the short term). When? Find Out Here

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Ukraine Is Already Lost. Russia Won, Markets Should Move On  Google

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Make No Mistake, Russia WILL Go To War Over Ukraine. Plus, Market Update

Update: Russian troops and tanks enter Ukraine @ Sevastopol. So it begins. 

Well, the American Government and the EU Bureaucrats have done it again. They have “liberated” the people of Ukraine from oppression and injustice. I wonder if there were high fives flying in the Oval Office over the weekend.  

Yet, as the Chinese story goes “Maybe it’s good and maybe it’s bad, we shall see”.

I have said it before, but I need to say it again so people have a clear understanding.  The US and the EU destabilizing and interfering in the business of Ukraine is equivalent to Russia destabilizing and trying to take over the government of Kentucky.  Technically speaking, Russia and Ukraine is a unified state going back thousands of years.  I would argue that it is idiotic at best and extremely dangerous at its worst for the western world to interfere in Russia’s and Ukraine’s business.

Luckily, I am not alone in thinking this way. Here is an open letter from Ron Paul: “Leave Ukraine Alone”

What most people don’t understand is this…… Russia and Putin in particular will never allow Ukraine to become a part of EU or worst NATO. They will go to whatever extent necessary to make sure that doesn’t happen. Even if it means going to war.  Also, it is only half of the Ukraine (western half, the poorer half) wanting closer ties with the EU. The other half (wealthier industrial eastern part) wants nothing to do with it. They want to have closer ties with Russia.  So, when American politicians scream out “Ukrainian People Want Freedom From The Tyranny of Russia”  they are talking about 25% of Ukraine’s population. Either way you twist it, this is a ticking time bomb.  

With Olympics now over, Russia has a lot more room to maneuver.  It will be interesting to see what develops over the next few weeks. I see 2 outcomes.

1.  In the past, Russia and Putin have proved to be good strategists. They might give an indication that they are stepping aside by allowing the EU and World Bank to try and bail Ukraine out by pumping billions of dollars into Ukraine’s economy.  Over the next few years, through various political actions and economic positioning Russia will, once again, replace Ukraine’s leader with their own “puppet” as they have done so many times before.  Of course, Western powers will never see their money again.  This is the most likely outcome and exactly what I would do.  

2.  However, if Russia is pushed too hard and too far, they WILL sanction and execute some sort of a military action in Ukraine.  With the EU and the US interfering in its business, Russia might literally have no other choice.

Which option will play out? Only time will tell, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some sort of military intervention over the next few weeks.  Will Obama draw his “Red Line” again and send in the Marines to protect newly liberated Ukrainian people?  Yeah right. I truly feel sorry for the Ukrainian people who believe that the West will come to their rescue. 

One thing is for sure.  Neither the US nor the EU have any business interfering in this part of the world. Doing so might lead to an all out conflict with Russia and a new Cold War.  Unfortunately, it looks as if it is exactly what some of our leaders want.

russian022412

MARKET UPDATE:

The market surged higher right at the open with the Dow Jones appreciating +103 point (0.64%) and with the Nasdaq gaining +29 points (0.69%) for the day. 

With most speculative issues appreciating the most, the question I see from a lot of the bears anticipating a collapse….. Is this is the “blow off” top? As I have mentioned so many times before, the bear market of 2014-2017 will not be directional. While it will have a general down trend, it will not present us with a directional move as it did between 2007-09. That means a lot of volatility and a lot of powerful ups/downs that will surely confuse and frustrate both bulls and bears. With that said, what does it say of today’s market?  

Our last inflection point was located at……. XXXX.

Not quite yet. This market is certainty not making things easy for our trading position as it continues to push upper ranges of what is possible if February XXXX was indeed a turning point.

There is couple of reasons for my hesitation. 

1. All indices have opened up a gap in the morning. Typically, the market comes back to close this gap over the next few trading days. While the market can do so during the next leg down, it closes it within the next 3 trading days 70% of the time. Indicating a high % possibility of a short-term decline. 

2. My calculations show an alternative top at today’s top of XXXX. It is hard to explain, but at times the market produces gaps within its own mathematical structure. It might be the case here.

In summary, it’s too early to call the market either way. While it is pushing upper boundaries, it is possible….. XXXX.

What are we to do?

Maintain our positions as described below while watching the market on an hourly chart. If the Dow breaks above XXXX we must nullify our XXXX top. If that is the case, the market is likely to continue higher. Not much higher, but high enough to close the gap that was left at 16,400 on the Dow.

If No Position: XXXX

If Long: XXXX

If Short/Trader:  XXXX

Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Make No Mistake, Russia WILL Go To War Over Ukraine. Plus, Market Update Google

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Is Obama Causing Ukraine’s Meltdown? Plus, Market Update

Ukraine has two things in abundance. Beautiful women and people stupid enough to believe that the EU and/or Obama will come to their rescue. 

Today President Obama warned Ukraine’s government against crossing the “Red Line” against its citizens and using force. Truly, I am in disbelief.

First, Obama administration works behind the scenes (aka covert CIA Operations or some crap like that) to instigate Ukrainian instability and uprising, then Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland says “Fuck The EU” for the whole world to hear.

So, what business does the USA has interfering in Ukraine’s and Russia’s business? 

Well, it shouldn’t, but for some reason it does. It is either because the US completely lost all of it’s marbles or because Obama would like to get back at Putin. Apparently, the negative propaganda spin through western media is not doing it’s job. Whatever it is, I think Obama is about to look stupid again. Just as he ended up with Syria and Iran. 

The only way Ukraine will join the EU or the West is over Putin’s dead body. Make no mistake, he controls it and he will not let it go. No matter how many protesters they will have to kill. For Russia, losing Ukraine to EU would be equivalent to the USA losing Kentucky to Cuba.  Not happening.

I just hope that the situation resolves itself without any further bloodshed.  The next few days will be very critical.  

Obama-Red-Line

MARKET UPDATE: 

2/19/2014 – An across the board down day with the Dow Jones down -89 points (-0.55%) and the Nasdaq down -35 points (-0.82%). 

The Dow started the day by zooming up into our previously suggested upper range of 16,222 before reversing and subsequently dropping 182 points.  In the process confirming a bearish short-term trend on the hourly chart. 

Should we celebrate this precise hit as per our earlier forecast? 

Not quite yet. I tend to be a little bit more on the safe side and would like to wait for a follow through to the XXXX tomorrow or over the next few days before confirming an exact price/time hit. I did reverse my QQQ position today at $89.71, going XXXX at the same price, with a stop loss @ XXXX. Please check our updated portfolio section within member section. 

Other than that, we are right where we need to be in both price/time and in terms of portfolio allocation. Portfolio allocation suggested to all parties on 2/18/2014 is still in effect.

END OF UPDATE: —-Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Is Obama Causing Ukraine’s Meltdown? Plus, Market Update Google

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Ukraine Imposes Capital Controls. Is Ukraine About To Collapse?

Typically, governments don’t impose capital controls on bright shiny days. They do it right before shit hits the fan. Argentina and Venezuela are perfect examples of that. No doubt Ukraine is on the brink of a political collapse or worse, much worse, economic collapse. With political meddling from EU, US and Russia, this powder keg is about to explode. If you know anything about the region, understand one thing. There is no way in hell, in this universe and the next, that Putin will let Ukraine go to the EU or Western side. As far as Russian government is concerned, Ukraine is still part of the iron “Soviet Union” and will remain so for the foreseeable future. No matter how many tantrums the UE or the US throws. Yet, even with Russia’s support I would expect Ukrainian economy to be flushed down the toilet and soon. Capital controls are never short term and are never good. Expect the worst especially when the Ukranian Government assures otherwise. 

ukraine currency

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Ukraine Imposes Capital Controls as President Meets Putin

Ukraine’s central bank imposed limits on foreign-currency purchases, bolstering a sagging hryvnia after interventions failed to, while President Viktor Yanukovychprepared to meet Russia’s Vladimir Putin in Sochi.

The monetary authority set a monthly cap on foreign currency purchases for individuals and imposed a waiting period of at least six working days for companies and people, according to a statement on its website yesterday. The crisis, in its third month, has rocked the hryvnia, squeezing reserves as authorities struggle to contain a record current-account gap.

With a leak of undiplomatic language from a U.S. diplomat rattling ties with the European Union as they discuss potential aid, Yanukovych traveled to the opening ceremony of the Sochi Olympics where he is to meet the Russian president, who halted payments from a $15 billion bailout after nationwide protests led to the cabinet’s collapse.

“It may be difficult for the central bank to contain the situation until there is more clarity regarding a bailout from Russia or, potentially, from the West,” Ben Griffith, an analyst at Victoria 1522 Investments LP in San Francisco, said by e-mail. “The market needs to know what changes would cause Russia to pull its agreement or cause the Western bloc to step in with assistance.”

Hryvnia, Bonds

The hryvnia, which has fallen to a five-year low of 9 per dollar several times in the past three days, gained 3.6 percent to 8.545 by 12:59 p.m. in Kiev, the biggest gain since September 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That pared the decline this year to 3.4 percent.

“The decision by Ukraine’s central bank to impose targeted capital controls should bring some short-term relief to the hryvnia,” Neil Shearing, a London-based analyst at Capital Economics, wrote in an e-mailed report today. “But it is unlikely to prevent further falls in the currency over the coming months.”

The yield on Ukraine’s dollar bonds due this June rose 191 basis points, or 1.91 percentage points, to 16.67 percent yesterday, the highest since before the Russian bailout was announced Dec. 17. The rate was 97 basis points lower at 15.70 percent at 2:18 p.m. today.

The cost of insuring the country’s debt against non-payment for five years using credit-default swaps fell 15 basis points to 1,071 after reaching the highest in almost two months yesterday, CMA data showed.

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Ukraine Imposes Capital Controls. Is Ukraine About To Collapse?  Google