– State of the Market Address:
- The Dow is back above 24,000
- Shiller’s Adjusted S&P P/E ratio is now at 32.42. Slightly off highs, but still arguably at the highest level in history (if we adjust for 2000 distortions) and still above 1929 top of 29.55.
- Weekly RSI at 55 – neutral. Daily RSI is at 60 – neutral.
- Prior years corrections terminated at around 200 day moving average. Located at around 19,400 today (on weekly).
- Weekly Stochastics at 40 – neutral. Daily at 94 – overbought.
- NYSE McClellan Oscillator is at +40 – Neutral.
- Commercial VIX interest is now 20K contracts net short.
- Last week’s CTO Reports suggest that commercials (smart money) have, more or less, shifted back to a net short position. For now, the Dow is net neutral, the S&P is at 4X net short, Russell 2000 is 3X net short and the Nasdaq is 2X net long.
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here.
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ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE:
Since many people have asked, I will attempt to give you my interpretation of Elliott Wave and how it is playing out in the market. First, I must admit. I don’t claim to be an EW expert, but I hope my “standard” interpretation is of help.
Let’s take a look at the most likely recent count on the Wilshire 5000.
Explanation:
Long-Term: It appears the Wilshire 5000 is quickly approaching the termination point of its (5) wave up off of 2009 bottom. If true,we should see a massive sell-off later this year. Did it already complete? Click Here
Short-Term: It appears the Wilshire 5000 might have completed its intermediary wave 3 and now 4. It appears the market is now pushing higher to complete wave 5 of (5). If true, the above count should terminate the bull market. Did it already complete? Click Here
If you would like to find out exactly what happens next based on our Timing and Mathematical work, please Click Here.
ATTENTION!!! Please note, we have moved most of our free editorial content to our new website MarketSpartans.com Please Click Here to view it.