1/8/2016 – Another down day with the Dow Jones down 168 points (-1.02%) and the Nasdaq down 46 points (-0.98%)
I have to admit something. I hate Facebook with passion. First, it is a cesspool of pointless narcissistic activity. Not for everyone, but the % is high enough. Now, I have learned a long time ago not to make “emotional” investment decision. That is why it warms my heart to see Facebook (FB) at such dizzying valuation levels.
Here is why I believe short sellers should drool all over Facebook (FB)
When Twitter (TWTR) was selling at $48, I wrote this….Why Twitter (TWTR) Should Go On Your “Stocks To Short” List Less than a year later it is trading 60% lower. With that in mind, I continue to maintain that the worst is yet to come for the company. By the time upcoming bear market ends, Twitter should be below $10.
With that in mind, I believe Facebook (FB) presents us with even a better shorting opportunity. In fact, I continue to believe that Facebook is one of the best shorts out there.
And while most investors today will laugh at me when I suggest that Facebook (FB) will see $20 a share over the next 3 years, I will laugh back when it does. I promise. Here is why……
- As discussed over the last few days, Facebook is massively overpriced. At its $275 Billion market cap, the company is now worth more than GE. At 10th the revenue base and a P/E of 95. I guarantee you, investors in Facebook today will look back in 2-3 years and wonder “What the hell were we thinking?”.
- I am beginning to notice quite a bit of fraudulent activity on Facebook when it comes to likes, promotions, paid advertising, etc… That is firsthand knowledge, but you can Google the same and do your own research. That suggests the Facebook is running out of growth and its multiple is not justified. By a long shot. I wrote about it here Why Facebook Remains An Amazing Short Opportunity
- See those massive gaps all the way down to $20 a share? Yep, they will have to be closed at some point.
- We are on a verge of a multi-year substantial bear market. Click Here. When such bear markets develop, if past is any history, such overvalued and over hyped stocks tend to lose 80-90% of their value. Just as the gaps above suggest. I don’t know why this time would be any different.
- Short interest is low.
Finally, even at $20 a share, Facebook will be extremely overpriced. In other words, I just gave you a 80% gainer, but its up to you what you do with it. As always, TIMING is the key here.
Have a great weekend everyone.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update.January 8th, 2016 InvestWithAlex.com
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