4/21/2015 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 85 points (-0.47%) and the Nasdaq up 19 points (+0.39%)
Short sellers, repeat after me….
- An opportunity to short Netflix (NFLX) at $570? Thank you Jesus (or whoever you pray to).
- An opportunity to short Biotech (IBB) at $364? Praise the Lord.
- The Nasdaq is at 5,000…… Hallelujah.
On a more serious note, once in the while the stock market does something so utterly stupid, it takes your breath away. What am I talking about? Today’s divergence between fundamental/macro data and the market’s bubble valuation levels. I wrote about it earlier Why The FED Has No Clue. Yet, despite this apparent ideal short trade setup, it’s not as easy as it sounds.
For short-sellers in U.S. stocks, the agony just piles on
“How are you supposed to actively short stocks in this environment? It has been impossible,” Seattle-based Fleckenstein told Reuters.
His frustration is shared by others dedicated to betting on declines, if not for the broader market then for individual stocks that look overvalued. Outside of the hard-hit energy industry, most sectors have performed well over the last several months, and dedicated short funds have been stung.
The biggest take away from the article above is not that short sellers have been unable to make money, but rather, the fact even the best researched and most successful short sellers are afraid to enter this market on the short side.
Isn’t that bullish?
On the contrary. That suggests three things. First, everyone is already in. Just as they were at 2000 and 2007 tops. Second, the market has been distributing for close to 9 months. Finally, any upcoming bear leg is likely to be fast/violent. In other words, today’s short sellers should be grateful for the many amazing money making opportunities the market offers.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2015-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2015-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE.
(***Please Note: A bear market might have started already, I am simply not disclosing this information. Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. April 21st, 2015 InvestWithAlex.com
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